CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceUniversity Credit Union Center, Davis, CA
Portland
Efficiency #259
2025-26: 15-19 · 8-13 conf
@
UC Davis
Efficiency #185
2025-26: 19-14 · 12-10 conf
Tue, Dec 1 · TBD
71.1
win 27%
Projected
78.1
win 73%
No line posted yet.
Model: UCD −7.0 · total 149.2 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: UC Davis 69.3, Portland 69.1 → 70.1 possessions
+3.9
UC Davis offense vs Portland defense
+0.1
Portland offense vs UC Davis defense
−2.9
Projected total
149.2
Axis starts at 146 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
UC Davis offense vs Portland defense
+0.1
Portland offense vs UC Davis defense
+2.9
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
UC Davis by 7.0
7.0
Portland side ◂▸ UC Davis side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 149.3 against a projected 149.2. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help UC Davis.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 70.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, UC Davis is the faster team (71.3, #41 of 365) and Portland the slower (69.7, #105). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
70.1
per team, 40 min
Projected total
149.2
model
Projected team totals
71.1 / 78.1
Portland / UC Davis
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.1#114
Portland
69.3#99
UC Davis
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantagePortland
Where Portland struggles: ball control
Portland turns it over on 19.7% of possessions (#342); UC Davis forces turnovers on 19.8% of opponent possessions (#30). Expect about 20.3%, 3.6 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -4.4 points per 100 possessions.
ClashUC Davis
Style match: ball movement
UC Davis assists on 59.9% of its made baskets; Portland allows assists on 66.7% of opponents' baskets (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 66.6% — both habits push the same way.
Pace
Track meet
UC Davis averages 71.3 possessions per 40, Portland 69.7. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 71 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
ClashUC Davis
Style match: 3-point volume
UC Davis takes 43.5% of its shots from three; Portland lets opponents take 45.6% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 46.7% — both habits push the same way.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Portland) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Portland at about 35.3% of its shots from three, UC Davis about 46.7%.
AdvantageUC Davis
Where UC Davis struggles: the offensive glass
UC Davis rebounds 25.2% of its own misses (#334); Portland lets opponents grab 32.5% of their own misses (#281). Expect about 27.8%, 2.6 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -1.6 points per 100 possessions.
Portland has the ball
OffenseUC Davis allowsvs D1 avg
51.2% #188
51.7% #197
+0.3 pt/100
19.7% #342
19.8% #30
-4.4 pt/100
28.1% #266
30.5% #182
-1.0 pt/100
34.4% #197
39.1% #290
+0.3 pt/100
74.0% #131
—
+0.1 pt/100
Portland net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -4.6 pts/100
UC Davis has the ball
OffensePortland allowsvs D1 avg
51.8% #157
52.7% #255
+1.4 pt/100
17.9% #266
17.0% #151
-1.0 pt/100
25.2% #334
32.5% #281
-1.6 pt/100
40.5% #53
32.6% #118
+0.2 pt/100
75.3% #74
—
+0.3 pt/100
UC Davis net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -0.7 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersPortlandoffense vsUC Davisdefense
Share of shots by zone
Portland shoots
41.7
8.2
15.3
34.8
UC Davis allows
44.1
5.0
12.7
38.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 62.9%#53 | 58.4%#164 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 44.3%#74 | 41.2%#213 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.4%#208 | 33.6%#42 | 38.0% |
| Three | 29.9%#344 | 33.8%#172 | 33.7% |
UC Davisoffense vsPortlanddefense
Share of shots by zone
UC Davis shoots
35.7
3.8
16.7
43.8
Portland allows
35.3
5.5
13.9
45.3
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.5%#141 | 59.2%#200 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 37.5%#236 | 29.5%#14 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.0%#189 | 37.2%#136 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.4%#149 | 36.1%#308 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersPortland
−2.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#290 of 365
Off reb %
28.1%
#266
Def reb %
67.5%
#281
Turnover %
19.7%
#342
Forced TO %
17.0%
#151
FT rate
34.4%
#197
FT allowed
32.6%
#118
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.7
Defensive rebounding−0.6
Ball security−2.0
Forcing turnovers+0.2
Foul shots drawn−0.2
Foul shots allowed+0.7
UC Davis
+0.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#176 of 365
Off reb %
25.2%
#334
Def reb %
69.5%
#182
Turnover %
17.9%
#266
Forced TO %
19.8%
#30
FT rate
40.5%
#53
FT allowed
39.1%
#290
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.7
Defensive rebounding0.0
Ball security−0.8
Forcing turnovers+2.1
Foul shots drawn+1.4
Foul shots allowed−1.0
UC Davis has more extra scoring chances per game: +0.1 (#176 of 365) to Portland’s −2.6 (#290).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Portland2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Portland's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Joel Foxwell | G | Fr | 6'1" | 34-34 | 35.7 | 15.6 | 4.3 | 6.5 | 3.1 | 46.8% | 31.9% | 6.4 | 80.7% | 29.3% | |
| 10 | Garrett Nuckolls | G | Jr | 6'6" | 34-19 | 25.9 | 6.7 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 41.5% | 17.8% | 2.1 | 82.6% | 20.9% | |
| 14 | James O'Donnell | F | So | 6'10" | 34-23 | 22.5 | 10.0 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 65.1% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 60.5% | 24.2% | |
| 35 | Cameron Williams | F | Jr | 6'8" | 31-28 | 23.9 | 10.6 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 52.6% | 26.8% | 1.3 | 79.8% | 24.7% | |
| 44 | Mikah Ballew | G | So | 6'5" | 31-15 | 23.6 | 8.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 45.8% | 33.6% | 4.8 | 81.3% | 23.0% | |
| 5 | Dante Censori-Hercules | G | Fr | 6'7" | 33-12 | 20.5 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 53.2% | 14.3% | 0.4 | 58.5% | 10.0% | |
| 1 | Jermaine Ballisager Webb | C | Sr | 7'1" | 34-17 | 19.8 | 8.9 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 57.4% | 35.5% | 1.8 | 71.0% | 24.7% | |
| 7 | Matus Hronsky | F | Sr | 6'8" | 31-21 | 18.3 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 50.0% | 30.8% | 2.9 | 90.5% | 19.3% | |
| 3 | Timo George | F | Fr | 6'8" | 15-1 | 19.9 | 12.5 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 70.5% | 18.2% | 0.7 | 71.4% | 28.3% | |
| 21 | NaVaughn Long | G | Fr | 6'6" | 13-0 | 10.5 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 62.5% | 55.6% | 0.7 | 50.0% | 12.1% | |
| 12 | Kelson Gebbers | G | So | 6'7" | 15-0 | 5.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 22.2% | 0.6 | 50.0% | 13.1% | |
| 2 | Sam Noland | G | Sr | 6'1" | 13-0 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 83.3% | 7.7% | |
| 11 | Riley Parker | G | Sr | 6'2" | 1-0 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 80.0% | 13.4% | |
| 8 | Preston Lee | G | Fr | 5'11" | 6-0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 87.5% | 100.0% | 0.2 | 50.0% | 18.4% | |
| 9 | Carlin Briggs | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Marchelo Moreira | G | So | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
UC Davis2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted UC Davis's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Connor Sevilla | G | Jr | 6'0" | 31-31 | 31.1 | 13.3 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 53.4% | 39.9% | 5.4 | 90.3% | 22.2% | |
| 2 | Marcus Wilson | G | Fr | 6'3" | 33-33 | 26.4 | 12.5 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 48.1% | 32.4% | 3.1 | 78.5% | 29.1% | |
| 20 | Isaiah Chappell | F | So | 6'9" | 33-18 | 24.1 | 8.5 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 52.3% | 35.6% | 4.9 | 60.0% | 20.6% | |
| 0 | Brayden Fagbemi | G | Jr | 6'0" | 31-3 | 25.4 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 46.8% | 27.3% | 1.8 | 64.7% | 19.7% | |
| 7 | Niko Rocak | F | Sr | 6'9" | 32-32 | 24.2 | 9.4 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 59.7% | 36.1% | 2.6 | 68.1% | 21.8% | |
| 36 | Nils Cooper | G | Jr | 6'6" | 27-23 | 24.7 | 12.3 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 57.2% | 23.8% | 1.6 | 73.7% | 26.2% | |
| 1 | Carl Daughtery Jr. | G | Sr | 6'3" | 24-9 | 26.5 | 10.0 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 55.1% | 42.0% | 4.7 | 73.3% | 19.4% | |
| 21 | Omer Suljanovic | F | Fr | 6'8" | 32-9 | 14.7 | 5.6 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 46.6% | 24.6% | 1.8 | 68.3% | 25.5% | |
| 5 | Jalen Stokes | G | Fr | 6'5" | 27-7 | 13.9 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 48.9% | 33.3% | 0.8 | 87.8% | 19.7% | |
| 10 | Cyril Franklin Jr. | G | So | 6'5" | 19-0 | 7.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 52.2% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 33.3% | 13.6% | |
| 8 | Chase Rawlins | G | Fr | 6'5" | 19-0 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 54.8% | 42.9% | 0.4 | 77.8% | 17.8% | |
| 14 | Abdullah Amzil | F | Fr | 6'7" | 15-0 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 35.7% | 20.0% | 0.3 | 100.0% | 10.3% | |
| 11 | Ylan Esso-Essis | G | So | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Portland2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Portland's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Joel Foxwell | G | Fr | 6'1" | 34-34 | 35.7 | 15.6 | 4.3 | 6.5 | 3.1 | 46.8% | 31.9% | 6.4 | 80.7% | 29.3% | |
| 10 | Garrett Nuckolls | G | Jr | 6'6" | 34-19 | 25.9 | 6.7 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 41.5% | 17.8% | 2.1 | 82.6% | 20.9% | |
| 14 | James O'Donnell | F | So | 6'10" | 34-23 | 22.5 | 10.0 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 65.1% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 60.5% | 24.2% | |
| 35 | Cameron Williams | F | Jr | 6'8" | 31-28 | 23.9 | 10.6 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 52.6% | 26.8% | 1.3 | 79.8% | 24.7% | |
| 44 | Mikah Ballew | G | So | 6'5" | 31-15 | 23.6 | 8.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 45.8% | 33.6% | 4.8 | 81.3% | 23.0% | |
| 5 | Dante Censori-Hercules | G | Fr | 6'7" | 33-12 | 20.5 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 53.2% | 14.3% | 0.4 | 58.5% | 10.0% | |
| 1 | Jermaine Ballisager Webb | C | Sr | 7'1" | 34-17 | 19.8 | 8.9 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 57.4% | 35.5% | 1.8 | 71.0% | 24.7% | |
| 7 | Matus Hronsky | F | Sr | 6'8" | 31-21 | 18.3 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 50.0% | 30.8% | 2.9 | 90.5% | 19.3% | |
| 3 | Timo George | F | Fr | 6'8" | 15-1 | 19.9 | 12.5 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 70.5% | 18.2% | 0.7 | 71.4% | 28.3% | |
| 21 | NaVaughn Long | G | Fr | 6'6" | 13-0 | 10.5 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 62.5% | 55.6% | 0.7 | 50.0% | 12.1% | |
| 12 | Kelson Gebbers | G | So | 6'7" | 15-0 | 5.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 22.2% | 0.6 | 50.0% | 13.1% | |
| 2 | Sam Noland | G | Sr | 6'1" | 13-0 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 83.3% | 7.7% | |
| 11 | Riley Parker | G | Sr | 6'2" | 1-0 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 80.0% | 13.4% | |
| 8 | Preston Lee | G | Fr | 5'11" | 6-0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 87.5% | 100.0% | 0.2 | 50.0% | 18.4% | |
| 9 | Carlin Briggs | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Marchelo Moreira | G | So | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Portland
Against the spread
Season
15-17
Home
11-5
Road
2-11
Last 10
5-5
avg cover +0.5
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 7 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
14-18
Home
10-6
Road
3-10
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total −3.8
Over in the last gameOver in 2 of 7 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | San Francisco | N | L 65–82 | +7.0 | L−10.0 | 144.5 | O147 | 97.0 | 122.3 | 67.0 |
| Mar 6 | Washington St | N | W 74–68 | +5.5 | W+11.5 | 150.0 | U142 | 106.3 | 97.7 | 69.6 |
| Mar 5 | Pepperdine | N | W 77–68 | −3.5 | W+5.5 | 154.0 | U145 | 111.2 | 98.2 | 69.3 |
| Feb 28 | San Diego | H | W 87–74 | −3.5 | W+9.5 | 148.5 | O161 | 125.8 | 107.0 | 69.2 |
| Feb 25 | #9Gonzaga | A | L 48–89 | +27.0 | L−14.0 | 150.0 | U137 | 71.2 | 131.9 | 67.5 |
| Feb 21 | Seattle U | A | L 59–71 | +6.5 | L−5.5 | 140.0 | U130 | 86.0 | 103.5 | 68.6 |
| Feb 18 | Pepperdine | H | L 87–95 | −7.0 | L−15.0 | 151.0 | O182 | 124.8 | 136.2 | 69.7 |
| Feb 11 | San Diego | A | L 58–71 | +2.5 | L−10.5 | 151.5 | U129 | 91.0 | 111.4 | 63.7 |
| Feb 7 | Seattle U | H | W 54–53 | +3.5 | W+4.5 | 143.0 | U107 | 86.5 | 84.9 | 62.5 |
| Feb 4 | #6Gonzaga | H | W 87–80 | +22.0 | W+29.0 | 152.5 | O167 | 117.7 | 108.2 | 73.9 |
UC Davis
Against the spread
Season
17-13-1
Home
9-5
Road
7-7-1
Last 10
5-4-1
avg cover +0.6
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 1 of 6 as an underdog, 1 push
Over / under
Season
17-14
Home
7-7
Road
9-6
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −6.0
Under in the last gameOver in 1 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 4 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | Fullerton | N | L 70–82 | +1.0 | L−11.0 | 155.0 | U152 | 84.4 | 98.9 | 82.9 |
| Mar 11 | Santa Barbara | N | W 79–73 | +4.5 | W+10.5 | 139.5 | O152 | 107.2 | 99.1 | 73.7 |
| Mar 7 | UC Irvine | A | L 69–79 OT | +8.5 | L−1.5 | 145.0 | O148 | 92.6 | 106.0 | 74.6 |
| Mar 5 | Long Beach St | A | W 76–70 OT | −2.0 | W+4.0 | 150.0 | U146 | 95.7 | 88.2 | 79.4 |
| Feb 26 | Hawai'i | H | L 73–77 | +2.0 | L−2.0 | 147.0 | O150 | 106.2 | 112.0 | 68.8 |
| Feb 21 | UC Riverside | A | W 78–73 | −3.0 | W+2.0 | 150.0 | O151 | 104.9 | 98.2 | 74.4 |
| Feb 19 | Fullerton | A | L 92–93 | +1.0 | P0.0 | 157.0 | O185 | 138.1 | 139.6 | 66.6 |
| Feb 14 | Long Beach St | H | W 71–54 | −5.0 | W+12.0 | 149.5 | U125 | 100.8 | 76.6 | 70.5 |
| Feb 12 | UC San Diego | A | L 51–68 | +6.0 | L−11.0 | 150.5 | U119 | 72.5 | 96.7 | 70.3 |
| Feb 7 | Cal Poly | H | W 67–58 | −6.0 | W+3.0 | 169.0 | U125 | 96.6 | 83.6 | 69.4 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homePortlandUC Davis
Efficiency
104.9
107.2
109.9
107.8
69.1
69.3
—
—
Shooting
51.2%
51.8%
54.7%
51.9%
29.9%
34.4%
74.0%
75.3%
34.4%
40.5%
Ball control & glass
19.7%
17.9%
17.0%
19.8%
28.1%
25.2%
32.5%
30.5%
10.7%
9.2%
6.4%
10.3%
Style
35.4%
43.5%
49.2%
37.0%
10.6%
13.1%
61.6%
59.9%
31.8%
34.0%
Roster
2.28
2.51
6'6.7"
6'4.5"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputPortland
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Portland's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
UC Davis
Returning minutes: 99.7%Returning production: 100.1%
ESPN hasn't posted UC Davis's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sun, Nov 9 | 2025-26 | UC Davis 63 – 67 Portland |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.