CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.

Non-conferenceCHI Health Center Omaha, Omaha, NE

Oral Roberts

Efficiency #314

2025-26: 10-23 · 5-13 conf

Creighton

Efficiency #92

2025-26: 16-18 · 9-12 conf

Tue, Dec 1 · TBD

68.5

win 13%

Projected

81.3

win 87%

No line posted yet.

Model: CREI −12.9 · total 149.8 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3

Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one

Projected total

Average D-I game

148.2

PaceAdjusted tempo: Creighton 68.5, Oral Roberts 68.6 → 68.8 possessions

+1.0

Creighton offense vs Oral Roberts defense

+4.7

Oral Roberts offense vs Creighton defense

−4.2

Projected total

149.8

Axis starts at 145 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Projected margin

Even game

0.0

Creighton offense vs Oral Roberts defense

+4.7

Oral Roberts offense vs Creighton defense

+4.2

Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors

+4.0

Creighton by 12.9

12.9

Oral Roberts side ◂▸ Creighton side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 149.7 against a projected 149.8. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Creighton.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 68.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Oral Roberts is the faster team (69.2, #138 of 365) and Creighton the slower (68.6, #165). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions

68.8

per team, 40 min

Projected total

149.8

model

Projected team totals

68.5 / 81.3

Oral Roberts / Creighton

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

68.6#159

Oral Roberts

68.5#165

Creighton

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet

AdvantageCreighton

Where Creighton scores: shooting

Creighton shoots an effective 53.0% (#103); Oral Roberts allows 53.6% (#289). Expect about 53.5%, 2.2 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.1 points per 100 possessions.

Watch for noise

3-point caution

A notable season 3-point number here (Oral Roberts's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Oral Roberts at about 39.6% of its shots from three, Creighton about 44.6%.

TurnoversCreighton

Creighton protects the ball

Projected turnover rate of 15.2% is worth roughly +1.9 points per 100 possessions for Creighton's offense.

ClashOral Roberts

Style clash: paint scoring

Oral Roberts gets only 38.4% of its points in the paint; Creighton gives up 50.4% of opponents' points in the paint (D1 average 42.8%). Expect about 44.3% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.25 vs 0.34).

ClashCreighton

Style clash: ball movement

Creighton assists on 58.4% of its made baskets; Oral Roberts breaks up passing offenses (assists on 46.0% allowed) (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 52.2% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.65 vs 0.65).

ClashOral Roberts

Style clash: 3-point volume

Oral Roberts takes 45.6% of its shots from three; Creighton runs teams off the line (32.1% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 39.6% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).

Oral Roberts has the ball

OffenseCreighton allowsvs D1 avg

49.7% #256

51.1% #165

-1.5 pt/100

18.5% #297

13.7% #341

+1.2 pt/100

28.4% #249

29.5% #132

-1.1 pt/100

34.8% #187

24.8% #5

-0.8 pt/100

74.0% #136

—

+0.1 pt/100

Oral Roberts net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -2.1 pts/100

Creighton has the ball

OffenseOral Roberts allowsvs D1 avg

53.0% #103

53.6% #289

+3.1 pt/100

16.3% #161

14.7% #312

+1.9 pt/100

26.9% #301

31.8% #247

-1.1 pt/100

28.3% #340

39.1% #289

-0.1 pt/100

76.4% #44

—

+0.3 pt/100

Creighton net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +4.2 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers

Oral Robertsoffense vsCreightondefense

Share of shots by zone

Oral Roberts shoots

38.9

3.8

13.1

44.3

Creighton allows

40.7

6.1

21.8

31.4

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	55.5%#285	59.1%#197	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	39.3%#191	41.4%#220	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	41.5%#70	33.1%#31	38.0%
Three	32.0%#282	35.1%#256	33.7%

Creightonoffense vsOral Robertsdefense

Share of shots by zone

Creighton shoots

31.2

5.3

15.6

47.9

Oral Roberts allows

46.4

5.1

11.9

36.5

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	64.2%#33	55.4%#73	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	32.6%#322	41.3%#216	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	38.8%#152	43.6%#336	38.0%
Three	34.1%#167	37.4%#348	33.7%

RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers

Oral Roberts

−4.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#342 of 365

Off reb %

28.4%

#249

Def reb %

68.2%

#247

Turnover %

18.5%

#297

Forced TO %

14.7%

#312

FT rate

34.8%

#187

FT allowed

39.1%

#289

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding−0.6

Defensive rebounding−0.4

Ball security−1.2

Forcing turnovers−1.4

Foul shots drawn0.0

Foul shots allowed−1.0

Creighton

−1.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#257 of 365

Off reb %

26.9%

#301

Def reb %

70.5%

#132

Turnover %

16.3%

#161

Forced TO %

13.7%

#341

FT rate

28.3%

#340

FT allowed

24.8%

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding−1.1

Defensive rebounding+0.4

Ball security+0.3

Forcing turnovers−2.0

Foul shots drawn−1.7

Foul shots allowed+2.7

Creighton has more extra scoring chances per game: −1.6 (#257 of 365) to Oral Roberts’s −4.6 (#342).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Oral Roberts2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted Oral Roberts's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
5	Connor Dow	G	Jr	6'6"	33-33	31.8	12.5	4.0	1.8	1.9	53.9%	33.5%	7.3	81.5%	23.4%
9	Ofri Naveh	F	So	6'7"	32-32	28.9	11.2	6.0	1.8	2.0	49.8%	29.1%	1.7	67.4%	24.5%
1	Ty Harper	G	Sr	6'3"	32-29	28.8	17.8	2.9	2.4	2.8	48.4%	32.2%	5.6	84.7%	37.2%
6	Cal Furnish	G	Fr	5'10"	33-6	20.5	4.0	2.5	1.5	1.0	54.7%	33.9%	1.8	75.7%	12.4%
2	Chase Martin	G	Jr	6'4"	29-12	19.8	2.7	3.5	1.7	1.0	47.6%	44.4%	0.3	55.9%	10.8%
25	Luke Gray	F	So	6'6"	33-16	17.2	8.4	3.6	0.4	0.7	52.9%	32.4%	3.2	72.5%	26.9%
7	Martins Kilups	G	Fr	6'4"	32-0	17.5	3.7	2.1	0.7	0.5	57.6%	35.8%	2.1	35.7%	12.5%
0	Jack Turner	G	So	6'3"	24-18	23.0	6.8	2.3	1.6	2.0	49.3%	33.3%	3.8	84.2%	21.0%
27	Yuto Yamanouchi-Williams	F	Jr	6'10"	32-18	16.7	6.9	4.2	0.4	1.3	45.8%	24.4%	1.4	70.4%	27.9%
21	Baron Smith Jr.	F	So	6'9"	24-0	7.8	1.7	1.8	0.2	0.5	31.6%	—	0.0	63.0%	19.4%
10	Aaron Jacob	F	Sr	6'8"	16-1	5.3	2.6	1.1	0.3	0.2	37.5%	15.0%	1.3	93.8%	31.0%
20	Lane Sparks	G	Sr	6'3"	1-0	13.0	9.0	2.0	1.0	1.0	90.0%	50.0%	2.0	—	21.9%
8	Alex Couto	G	Fr	6'1"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—
4	Laymen McGrady	G	Fr	6'4"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Creighton2025-26 numbers

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
0	Jasen Green	F	Jr	6'8"	33-30	28.4	10.5	6.3	2.4	1.4	58.5%	35.1%	1.7	66.7%	20.8%
5	Nik Graves	G	Sr	6'2"	34-22	26.7	10.9	3.0	4.4	1.6	45.4%	28.4%	3.9	84.4%	25.9%
1	Austin Swartz	G	So	6'4"	30-14	21.6	10.9	2.8	1.4	1.2	56.2%	38.3%	5.6	70.8%	29.1%
41	Isaac Traudt	F	Jr	6'10"	34-23	18.9	6.5	2.5	0.4	0.4	56.0%	37.5%	4.7	85.0%	18.6%
2	Blake Harper	G	So	6'7"	34-14	18.4	7.7	3.6	1.2	1.3	52.0%	36.4%	1.6	77.6%	25.2%
7	Fedor Zugic	G	Jr	6'6"	34-8	16.2	5.2	2.0	0.9	0.8	48.6%	30.5%	2.8	82.5%	20.2%
9	Ty Davis	G	So	6'4"	33-12	11.3	1.2	1.6	1.2	0.8	35.1%	20.0%	0.6	78.9%	11.4%
10	Hudson Greer	G	Fr	6'7"	22-0	13.7	4.7	2.0	0.4	0.8	56.0%	40.4%	2.1	62.5%	21.0%
17	Kerem Konan	F	Fr	6'9"	30-0	8.4	2.6	1.8	0.4	0.6	60.0%	—	0.0	65.5%	18.7%
23	Jackson McAndrew	F	So	6'10"	4-4	20.5	6.8	4.5	0.5	0.3	41.4%	28.6%	5.3	50.0%	23.1%
12	Shane Thomas	G	So	6'3"	18-0	3.4	0.8	0.7	0.2	0.2	46.2%	0.0%	0.2	37.5%	19.4%
53	Josh Townley-Thomas	F	Jr	6'10"	1-0	5.0	6.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	75.0%	—	0.0	—	54.6%
27	Aleksa Dimitrijevic	C	Fr	7'0"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Oral Roberts2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted Oral Roberts's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
5	Connor Dow	G	Jr	6'6"	33-33	31.8	12.5	4.0	1.8	1.9	53.9%	33.5%	7.3	81.5%	23.4%
9	Ofri Naveh	F	So	6'7"	32-32	28.9	11.2	6.0	1.8	2.0	49.8%	29.1%	1.7	67.4%	24.5%
1	Ty Harper	G	Sr	6'3"	32-29	28.8	17.8	2.9	2.4	2.8	48.4%	32.2%	5.6	84.7%	37.2%
6	Cal Furnish	G	Fr	5'10"	33-6	20.5	4.0	2.5	1.5	1.0	54.7%	33.9%	1.8	75.7%	12.4%
2	Chase Martin	G	Jr	6'4"	29-12	19.8	2.7	3.5	1.7	1.0	47.6%	44.4%	0.3	55.9%	10.8%
25	Luke Gray	F	So	6'6"	33-16	17.2	8.4	3.6	0.4	0.7	52.9%	32.4%	3.2	72.5%	26.9%
7	Martins Kilups	G	Fr	6'4"	32-0	17.5	3.7	2.1	0.7	0.5	57.6%	35.8%	2.1	35.7%	12.5%
0	Jack Turner	G	So	6'3"	24-18	23.0	6.8	2.3	1.6	2.0	49.3%	33.3%	3.8	84.2%	21.0%
27	Yuto Yamanouchi-Williams	F	Jr	6'10"	32-18	16.7	6.9	4.2	0.4	1.3	45.8%	24.4%	1.4	70.4%	27.9%
21	Baron Smith Jr.	F	So	6'9"	24-0	7.8	1.7	1.8	0.2	0.5	31.6%	—	0.0	63.0%	19.4%
10	Aaron Jacob	F	Sr	6'8"	16-1	5.3	2.6	1.1	0.3	0.2	37.5%	15.0%	1.3	93.8%	31.0%
20	Lane Sparks	G	Sr	6'3"	1-0	13.0	9.0	2.0	1.0	1.0	90.0%	50.0%	2.0	—	21.9%
8	Alex Couto	G	Fr	6'1"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—
4	Laymen McGrady	G	Fr	6'4"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Trends

Last 10 games of 2025-26

Oral Roberts

Against the spread

Season

14-16

Home

5-7

Road

6-8

Last 10

6-4

avg cover +4.2

Covered 5 straightCovered 3 of 7 as an underdog

Over / under

Season

12-16-2

Home

4-7-1

Road

7-6-1

Last 10

5-5

avg vs total +3.0

Under 2 straightOver in 4 of 7 as an underdog

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 5	N Dakota StAdjEM #90	N	L 65–76	+12.0	W+1.0	147.5	U141	96.9	113.3	67.1
Mar 4	Kansas CityAdjEM #359	N	W 84–62	−8.5	W+13.5	149.0	U146	120.5	88.9	69.7
Feb 28	Kansas CityAdjEM #359	A	W 94–70	−3.5	W+20.5	149.5	O164	127.7	95.1	73.6
Feb 26	DenverAdjEM #243	H	W 102–80	+2.5	W+24.5	156.5	O182	142.7	111.9	71.5
Feb 21	South DakotaAdjEM #292	H	W 67–62	+1.0	W+6.0	151.5	U129	92.2	85.4	72.6
Feb 18	OmahaAdjEM #257	A	L 71–80	+6.5	L−2.5	152.0	U151	107.6	121.2	66.0
Feb 14	S Dakota StAdjEM #197	H	L 69–87	+5.5	L−12.5	147.5	O156	104.3	131.5	66.2
Feb 12	Kansas CityAdjEM #359	H	W 69–60	−6.0	W+3.0	149.5	U129	106.0	92.2	65.1
Feb 7	St ThomasAdjEM #84	A	L 75–92	+15.5	L−1.5	152.0	O167	99.9	122.6	75.1
Jan 31	S Dakota StAdjEM #197	A	L 72–95	+13.0	L−10.0	147.5	O167	98.3	129.7	73.3

Creighton

Against the spread

Season

11-23

Home

4-12

Road

5-7

Last 10

3-7

avg cover −1.3

Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 1 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 6 as an underdog

Over / under

Season

16-18

Home

9-7

Road

5-7

Last 10

5-5

avg vs total −0.1

Over in the last gameOver in 2 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 6 as an underdog

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Apr 4	West VirginiaAdjEM #58	N	L 70–87	+1.5	L−15.5	137.0	O157	103.6	128.7	67.6
Apr 2	RutgersAdjEM #192	N	W 82–69	−5.0	W+8.0	151.5	U151	110.3	92.8	74.4
Mar 12	Seton HallAdjEM #56	N	L 61–72	+3.0	L−8.0	135.5	U133	88.5	104.4	68.9
Mar 4	ButlerAdjEM #87	A	W 76–59	+2.5	W+19.5	155.5	U135	107.4	83.4	70.8
Feb 28	ProvidenceAdjEM #81	H	L 76–79	−4.0	L−7.0	167.0	U155	111.9	116.3	67.9
Feb 25	DePaulAdjEM #113	H	L 71–72	−4.5	L−5.5	142.5	O143	109.3	110.8	65.0
Feb 21	#17St John'sAdjEM #16	A	L 52–81	+12.5	L−16.5	155.5	U133	69.6	108.4	74.7
Feb 18	#5UConnAdjEM #10	A	W 91–84	+15.5	W+22.5	143.0	O175	120.7	111.4	75.4
Feb 14	VillanovaAdjEM #40	H	L 69–80	+2.5	L−8.5	146.0	O149	99.5	115.3	69.4
Feb 11	DePaulAdjEM #113	A	L 71–72	−1.0	L−2.0	141.0	O143	114.8	116.4	61.9

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home

Oral RobertsCreighton

Efficiency

103.7

111.6

112.2

107.2

68.6

68.5

—

Shooting

49.7%

53.0%

51.1%

54.7%

32.0%

34.1%

74.0%

76.4%

34.8%

28.3%

Ball control & glass

18.5%

16.3%

14.7%

13.7%

28.4%

26.9%

31.8%

29.5%

10.8%

9.9%

9.8%

10.4%

Style

45.6%

48.2%

38.4%

39.3%

14.8%

15.1%

47.1%

58.4%

32.2%

35.3%

Roster

2.45

2.63

6'4.7"

6'6.1"

—

79.0%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

Oral Roberts

Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%

ESPN hasn't posted Oral Roberts's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Creighton

Returning minutes: 79.0%Returning production: 76.2%

Lost

Josh Dix 32.9 mpg, 13.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Owen Freeman 9.0 mpg, 3.8 ppg · transferred to Auburn
Liam McChesney 0.2 mpg, 0.1 ppg · transferred to Manhattan

Added

Aleksa Dimitrijevic no D1 minutes last season

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 79% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Head-to-head

this season and last

No meetings the last two seasons.

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.