CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceRedhawk Center, Seattle, WA
Norfolk St
Efficiency #305
2025-26: 15-17 · 8-7 conf
@
Seattle U
Efficiency #125
2025-26: 21-14 · 9-11 conf
Tue, Dec 1 · TBD
65.0
win 17%
Projected
76.0
win 83%
No line posted yet.
Model: SEA −11.0 · total 140.9 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Seattle U 68.7, Norfolk St 68.8 → 69.2 possessions
+1.9
Seattle U offense vs Norfolk St defense
−1.1
Norfolk St offense vs Seattle U defense
−8.1
Projected total
140.9
Axis starts at 135 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Seattle U offense vs Norfolk St defense
−1.1
Norfolk St offense vs Seattle U defense
+8.1
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Seattle U by 11.0
11.0
Norfolk St side ◂▸ Seattle U side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Seattle U.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.2, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Norfolk St is the faster team (69.1, #140 of 365) and Seattle U the slower (68.8, #160). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.2
per team, 40 min
Projected total
140.9
model
Projected team totals
65.0 / 76.0
Norfolk St / Seattle U
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.8#132
Norfolk St
68.7#150
Seattle U
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageNorfolk St
Where Norfolk St struggles: ball control
Norfolk St turns it over on 18.7% of possessions (#310); Seattle U forces turnovers on 21.1% of opponent possessions (#9). Expect about 20.7%, 3.9 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -4.8 points per 100 possessions.
DefenseSeattle U
Seattle U's shot-blocking
Seattle U ranks #14 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 13.1% of Norfolk St's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.
AdvantageSeattle U
Where Seattle U struggles: the offensive glass
Seattle U rebounds 23.7% of its own misses (#347); Norfolk St lets opponents grab 32.3% of their own misses (#270). Expect about 26.6%, 3.8 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.3 points per 100 possessions.
TurnoversSeattle U
Seattle U turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 18.1% is worth roughly -1.6 points per 100 possessions against Seattle U's offense.
Norfolk St has the ball
OffenseSeattle U allowsvs D1 avg
49.3% #277
48.4% #46
-3.7 pt/100
18.7% #310
21.1% #9
-4.8 pt/100
32.5% #108
31.8% #249
+1.3 pt/100
43.5% #13
33.0% #131
+0.4 pt/100
68.1% #323
—
-0.4 pt/100
Norfolk St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -7.2 pts/100
Seattle U has the ball
OffenseNorfolk St allowsvs D1 avg
49.8% #249
51.7% #196
-0.9 pt/100
16.8% #183
18.8% #56
-1.6 pt/100
23.7% #347
32.3% #270
-2.3 pt/100
34.2% #201
45.3% #351
+0.7 pt/100
70.6% #252
—
-0.2 pt/100
Seattle U net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -4.2 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersNorfolk Stoffense vsSeattle Udefense
Share of shots by zone
Norfolk St shoots
43.1
5.2
21.8
30.0
Seattle U allows
38.4
8.8
15.3
37.5
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.3%#292 | 53.2%#26 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 36.1%#268 | 39.6%#180 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.5%#249 | 40.7%#267 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.2%#157 | 32.1%#69 | 33.7% |
Seattle Uoffense vsNorfolk Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Seattle U shoots
39.2
7.3
14.0
39.5
Norfolk St allows
38.8
3.6
14.7
42.9
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.3%#262 | 61.1%#273 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.8%#151 | 41.2%#213 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.0%#263 | 42.7%#327 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.7%#186 | 32.0%#61 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersNorfolk St
−0.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#183 of 365
Off reb %
32.5%
#108
Def reb %
67.7%
#270
Turnover %
18.7%
#310
Forced TO %
18.8%
#56
FT rate
43.5%
#13
FT allowed
45.3%
#351
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.7
Defensive rebounding−0.5
Ball security−1.3
Forcing turnovers+1.4
Foul shots drawn+2.2
Foul shots allowed−2.6
Seattle U
+0.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#145 of 365
Off reb %
23.7%
#347
Def reb %
68.2%
#249
Turnover %
16.8%
#183
Forced TO %
21.1%
#9
FT rate
34.2%
#201
FT allowed
33.0%
#131
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.2
Defensive rebounding−0.4
Ball security0.0
Forcing turnovers+3.0
Foul shots drawn−0.2
Foul shots allowed+0.6
Seattle U has more extra scoring chances per game: +0.9 (#145 of 365) to Norfolk St’s −0.1 (#183).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Norfolk St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Norfolk St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Anthony McComb III | G | Sr | 6'3" | 32-32 | 34.2 | 17.1 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 49.6% | 38.1% | 5.3 | 79.0% | 28.4% | |
| 2 | Elijah Jamison | G | Sr | 6'3" | 32-12 | 27.4 | 14.6 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 47.8% | 29.2% | 3.0 | 81.2% | 32.9% | |
| 11 | Devon Ellis | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-32 | 27.3 | 11.1 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 59.1% | 38.9% | 1.7 | 68.3% | 21.7% | |
| 20 | Jordan Leaks | G | So | 6'3" | 32-28 | 23.5 | 5.4 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 42.5% | 27.0% | 3.5 | 44.7% | 18.1% | |
| 23 | Keyontae Lewis | F | Sr | 6'9" | 31-23 | 17.8 | 5.6 | 3.9 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 56.9% | — | 0.0 | 57.4% | 18.7% | |
| 3 | My'kel Jenkins | G | Fr | 6'5" | 27-0 | 18.9 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 44.1% | 32.8% | 2.3 | 71.1% | 21.0% | |
| 21 | Jaquel Morris | F | Sr | 6'8" | 32-7 | 13.7 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 70.0% | — | 0.0 | 58.6% | 17.4% | |
| 0 | Adrean Newton | G | Fr | 6'0" | 27-24 | 15.4 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 52.8% | 47.8% | 0.9 | 50.0% | 19.5% | |
| 1 | Dian Wright-Forde | G | Sr | 6'3" | 31-0 | 13.3 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 48.8% | 34.5% | 0.9 | 57.8% | 25.2% | |
| 6 | Melo Baines | F | So | 6'8" | 29-2 | 10.8 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 67.7% | 100.0% | 0.0 | 75.0% | 19.4% | |
| 14 | Yel Deeng | F | Jr | 6'8" | 13-0 | 6.5 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 35.3% | 20.0% | 0.8 | 0.0% | 14.2% | |
| 22 | Mekhi Reid | F | Jr | 6'4" | 10-0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 60.7% | 25.0% | 0.4 | 75.0% | 22.2% | |
| 13 | Ahmad Torrence | G | Fr | 6'5" | 3-0 | 8.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 75.0% | 13.9% | |
| 35 | Dramane Camara | G | Jr | 6'6" | 1-0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 8.3% | |
| 24 | Ryan Williams | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Seattle U2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Seattle U's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Junseok Yeo | F | Sr | 6'8" | 34-34 | 30.8 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 51.2% | 29.5% | 5.2 | 69.6% | 24.5% | |
| 15 | Will Heimbrodt | F | So | 6'7" | 34-33 | 30.8 | 12.3 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 44.9% | 29.7% | 1.9 | 59.3% | 28.7% | |
| 1 | Maleek Arington | G | Sr | 6'3" | 35-35 | 29.6 | 4.7 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 36.3% | 32.1% | 1.5 | 75.6% | 12.5% | |
| 0 | Brayden Maldonado | G | Sr | 6'0" | 32-32 | 30.6 | 14.7 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 51.8% | 37.8% | 6.5 | 88.7% | 27.5% | |
| 34 | Austin Maurer | C | So | 7'0" | 35-25 | 17.9 | 7.2 | 4.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 55.0% | 25.6% | 1.1 | 72.4% | 22.6% | |
| 11 | John Christofilis | G | Sr | 6'3" | 35-2 | 16.5 | 6.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 53.4% | 38.7% | 3.5 | 83.3% | 21.3% | |
| 5 | Jojo Murphy | G | Sr | 6'2" | 35-4 | 15.5 | 5.9 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 48.9% | 34.5% | 2.5 | 79.5% | 23.7% | |
| 6 | Houran Dan | C | So | 6'10" | 35-10 | 15.0 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 58.8% | — | 0.0 | 64.5% | 22.3% | |
| 2 | Miles Amos | G | Jr | 6'2" | 30-0 | 11.0 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 55.0% | 46.2% | 0.4 | 50.0% | 13.2% | |
| 33 | Brock Felder | F | Jr | 6'8" | 28-0 | 7.3 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 79.6% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 50.0% | 19.0% | |
| 10 | Ray Adams | F | Fr | 6'8" | 5-0 | 10.2 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 38.2% | 25.0% | 0.8 | 60.0% | 22.3% | |
| 25 | Yuto Kawashima | F | Fr | 6'9" | 4-0 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 52.8% | 20.0% | 1.3 | 50.0% | 32.0% | |
| 9 | Stratos Papastavrou | F | Fr | 6'7" | 4-0 | 7.8 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 11.1% | 0.0% | 0.8 | 0.0% | 20.2% | |
| 19 | Eric Zheng | G | So | 5'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Jeremiah Harshman | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | JT White | G | Sr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Norfolk St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Norfolk St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Anthony McComb III | G | Sr | 6'3" | 32-32 | 34.2 | 17.1 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 49.6% | 38.1% | 5.3 | 79.0% | 28.4% | |
| 2 | Elijah Jamison | G | Sr | 6'3" | 32-12 | 27.4 | 14.6 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 47.8% | 29.2% | 3.0 | 81.2% | 32.9% | |
| 11 | Devon Ellis | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-32 | 27.3 | 11.1 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 59.1% | 38.9% | 1.7 | 68.3% | 21.7% | |
| 20 | Jordan Leaks | G | So | 6'3" | 32-28 | 23.5 | 5.4 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 42.5% | 27.0% | 3.5 | 44.7% | 18.1% | |
| 23 | Keyontae Lewis | F | Sr | 6'9" | 31-23 | 17.8 | 5.6 | 3.9 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 56.9% | — | 0.0 | 57.4% | 18.7% | |
| 3 | My'kel Jenkins | G | Fr | 6'5" | 27-0 | 18.9 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 44.1% | 32.8% | 2.3 | 71.1% | 21.0% | |
| 21 | Jaquel Morris | F | Sr | 6'8" | 32-7 | 13.7 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 70.0% | — | 0.0 | 58.6% | 17.4% | |
| 0 | Adrean Newton | G | Fr | 6'0" | 27-24 | 15.4 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 52.8% | 47.8% | 0.9 | 50.0% | 19.5% | |
| 1 | Dian Wright-Forde | G | Sr | 6'3" | 31-0 | 13.3 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 48.8% | 34.5% | 0.9 | 57.8% | 25.2% | |
| 6 | Melo Baines | F | So | 6'8" | 29-2 | 10.8 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 67.7% | 100.0% | 0.0 | 75.0% | 19.4% | |
| 14 | Yel Deeng | F | Jr | 6'8" | 13-0 | 6.5 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 35.3% | 20.0% | 0.8 | 0.0% | 14.2% | |
| 22 | Mekhi Reid | F | Jr | 6'4" | 10-0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 60.7% | 25.0% | 0.4 | 75.0% | 22.2% | |
| 13 | Ahmad Torrence | G | Fr | 6'5" | 3-0 | 8.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 75.0% | 13.9% | |
| 35 | Dramane Camara | G | Jr | 6'6" | 1-0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 8.3% | |
| 24 | Ryan Williams | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Norfolk St
Against the spread
Season
12-15-1
Home
4-4-1
Road
7-8
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −3.6
Missed the spread 4 straightCovered 4 of 8 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
18-10
Home
6-3
Road
8-7
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +7.5
Over 5 straightOver in 5 of 8 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | SC State | N | L 82–88 | −8.5 | L−14.5 | 144.5 | O170 | 108.6 | 116.6 | 75.5 |
| Mar 5 | Howard | H | L 76–84 | +6.5 | L−1.5 | 148.5 | O160 | 109.8 | 121.4 | 69.2 |
| Mar 2 | Morgan St | A | L 84–90 | −3.5 | L−9.5 | 157.0 | O174 | 111.4 | 119.4 | 75.4 |
| Feb 28 | Coppin St | A | W 75–69 | −8.0 | L−2.0 | 141.5 | O144 | 113.6 | 104.5 | 66.0 |
| Feb 21 | SC State | H | W 90–71 | −10.0 | W+9.0 | 140.5 | O161 | 126.1 | 99.5 | 71.4 |
| Feb 16 | MD Eastern | A | W 70–66 | −2.0 | W+2.0 | 136.5 | U136 | 118.5 | 111.7 | 59.1 |
| Feb 14 | Delaware St | H | W 75–58 | −9.0 | W+8.0 | 134.0 | U133 | 119.1 | 92.1 | 63.0 |
| Feb 7 | NC Central | H | W 75–68 | −4.5 | W+2.5 | 148.5 | U143 | 104.5 | 94.8 | 71.7 |
| Jan 31 | Howard | A | L 60–88 | +7.0 | L−21.0 | 146.5 | O148 | 85.6 | 125.5 | 70.1 |
| Jan 26 | Morgan St | H | L 78–79 | −8.0 | L−9.0 | 153.5 | O157 | 102.5 | 103.8 | 76.1 |
Seattle U
Against the spread
Season
15-17-1
Home
9-7
Road
5-7-1
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +3.5
Covered 2 straightCovered 3 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 4 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
13-20
Home
6-10
Road
6-7
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −2.8
Over in the last gameOver in 1 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 4 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22 | Auburn | A | L 85–91 | +14.0 | W+8.0 | 146.0 | O176 | 116.9 | 125.2 | 72.7 |
| Mar 17 | St Thomas | H | W 67–52 | −2.0 | W+13.0 | 145.5 | U119 | 95.5 | 74.2 | 70.1 |
| Mar 7 | Pacific | N | L 58–61 | +1.0 | L−2.0 | 129.5 | U119 | 89.9 | 94.5 | 64.6 |
| Mar 6 | San Diego | N | W 58–56 | −8.0 | L−6.0 | 139.0 | U114 | 94.9 | 91.6 | 61.1 |
| Feb 28 | LMU | A | W 71–66 | +1.0 | W+6.0 | 136.0 | O137 | 112.8 | 104.8 | 63.0 |
| Feb 25 | Pepperdine | A | W 87–80 | −7.5 | L−0.5 | 145.5 | O167 | 124.1 | 114.1 | 70.1 |
| Feb 21 | Portland | H | W 71–59 | −6.5 | W+5.5 | 140.0 | U130 | 103.5 | 86.0 | 68.6 |
| Feb 18 | Saint Mary's | H | L 70–72 | +9.5 | W+7.5 | 133.0 | O142 | 95.7 | 98.4 | 73.1 |
| Feb 15 | Oregon St | H | W 60–50 | −7.0 | W+3.0 | 136.0 | U110 | 93.6 | 78.0 | 64.1 |
| Feb 11 | Santa Clara | A | L 72–84 | +12.5 | W+0.5 | 147.0 | O156 | 105.2 | 122.8 | 68.4 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeNorfolk StSeattle U
Efficiency
103.9
103.7
111.7
101.3
68.8
68.7
—
—
Shooting
49.3%
49.8%
48.4%
49.3%
34.2%
33.7%
68.1%
70.6%
43.5%
34.2%
Ball control & glass
18.7%
16.8%
18.8%
21.1%
32.5%
23.7%
32.3%
31.8%
10.7%
9.6%
10.8%
9.4%
Style
30.6%
39.4%
45.2%
43.9%
18.4%
9.9%
45.9%
53.8%
38.5%
30.5%
Roster
3.20
3.25
6'4.7"
6'5.4"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputNorfolk St
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Norfolk St's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Seattle U
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Seattle U's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.