CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceUniversity Credit Union Pavilion, Moraga, CA
Hofstra
Efficiency #69
2025-26: 24-11 · 15-6 conf
@
Saint Mary's
Efficiency #23
2025-26: 27-6 · 16-3 conf
Tue, Dec 1 · TBD
66.2
win 24%
Projected
74.4
win 76%
No line posted yet.
Model: SMC −8.3 · total 140.6 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Saint Mary's 66.7, Hofstra 66.5 → 65.0 possessions
−7.3
Saint Mary's offense vs Hofstra defense
+2.1
Hofstra offense vs Saint Mary's defense
−2.4
Projected total
140.6
Axis starts at 135 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Saint Mary's offense vs Hofstra defense
+2.1
Hofstra offense vs Saint Mary's defense
+2.4
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.7
Saint Mary's by 8.3
8.3
Hofstra side ◂▸ Saint Mary's side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +8.2 against +8.3. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Saint Mary's.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 65.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Saint Mary's is the faster team (66.2, #288 of 365) and Hofstra the slower (65.4, #319). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
65.0
per team, 40 min
Projected total
140.6
model
Projected team totals
66.2 / 74.4
Hofstra / Saint Mary's
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
66.5#318
Hofstra
66.7#305
Saint Mary's
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Half-court grind
Saint Mary's averages 66.2 possessions per 40, Hofstra 65.4. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 65 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageSaint Mary's
Where Saint Mary's scores: the offensive glass
Saint Mary's rebounds 37.5% of its own misses (#11); Hofstra lets opponents grab 31.0% of their own misses (#201). Expect about 35.6%, 5.2 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.2 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageHofstra
Where Hofstra struggles: shooting
Hofstra shoots an effective 51.4% (#178); Saint Mary's allows 46.8% (#19). Expect about 49.1%, 2.2 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.2 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Saint Mary's, Hofstra, Saint Mary's's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Hofstra at about 40.6% of its shots from three, Saint Mary's about 38.0%.
TurnoversHofstra
Hofstra protects the ball
Projected turnover rate of 15.4% is worth roughly +1.7 points per 100 possessions for Hofstra's offense.
ClashHofstra
Strength vs strength: 3-point shooting
Hofstra (#25 in 3-point shooting) against Saint Mary's (#40 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 34.2%. Historically Hofstra's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.25 vs 0.16).
Hofstra has the ball
OffenseSaint Mary's allowsvs D1 avg
51.4% #178
46.8% #19
-3.2 pt/100
16.1% #149
15.2% #270
+1.7 pt/100
34.7% #54
23.9% #4
-0.1 pt/100
31.6% #264
25.7% #12
-0.9 pt/100
75.8% #56
—
+0.3 pt/100
Hofstra net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -2.2 pts/100
Saint Mary's has the ball
OffenseHofstra allowsvs D1 avg
52.8% #109
46.3% #14
-2.4 pt/100
16.8% #189
14.9% #292
+1.4 pt/100
37.5% #11
31.0% #201
+3.2 pt/100
35.5% #162
35.1% #182
+0.0 pt/100
80.3% #2
—
+0.7 pt/100
Saint Mary's net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.0 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersHofstraoffense vsSaint Mary'sdefense
Share of shots by zone
Hofstra shoots
31.3
6.5
19.6
42.6
Saint Mary's allows
36.6
7.7
18.7
37.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.2%#267 | 54.4%#47 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 39.5%#186 | 46.4%#324 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.9%#226 | 33.7%#43 | 38.0% |
| Three | 37.1%#25 | 31.3%#40 | 33.7% |
Saint Mary'soffense vsHofstradefense
Share of shots by zone
Saint Mary's shoots
37.5
7.8
17.6
37.0
Hofstra allows
33.3
5.8
20.4
40.5
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.4%#215 | 51.9%#15 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 42.2%#117 | 22.3%#1 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.5%#253 | 39.7%#229 | 38.0% |
| Three | 38.7%#7 | 32.3%#78 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersHofstra
−0.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#191 of 365
Off reb %
34.7%
#54
Def reb %
69.0%
#201
Turnover %
16.1%
#149
Forced TO %
14.9%
#292
FT rate
31.6%
#264
FT allowed
35.1%
#182
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.4
Defensive rebounding−0.1
Ball security+0.4
Forcing turnovers−1.2
Foul shots drawn−0.9
Foul shots allowed0.0
Saint Mary's
+6.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#13 of 365
Off reb %
37.5%
#11
Def reb %
76.1%
#4
Turnover %
16.8%
#189
Forced TO %
15.2%
#270
FT rate
35.5%
#162
FT allowed
25.7%
#12
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.3
Defensive rebounding+2.2
Ball security0.0
Forcing turnovers−1.0
Foul shots drawn+0.1
Foul shots allowed+2.4
Saint Mary's has more extra scoring chances per game: +6.0 (#13 of 365) to Hofstra’s −0.3 (#191).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Hofstra2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Hofstra's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cruz Davis | G | Jr | 6'3" | 35-35 | 37.9 | 20.1 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 51.6% | 40.0% | 5.9 | 83.0% | 32.7% | |
| 1 | Preston Edmead | G | Fr | 6'1" | 35-35 | 33.9 | 16.1 | 3.5 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 51.7% | 38.7% | 7.1 | 83.3% | 29.2% | |
| 25 | German Plotnikov | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-33 | 32.3 | 9.4 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 54.9% | 38.1% | 4.7 | 85.1% | 16.7% | |
| 4 | Joshua DeCady | F | So | 6'8" | 33-23 | 24.1 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 46.2% | 28.1% | 1.7 | 57.7% | 18.2% | |
| 33 | Silas Sunday | F | Sr | 7'0" | 35-18 | 19.7 | 5.1 | 6.8 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 65.3% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 64.9% | 15.8% | |
| 0 | Biggie Patterson | G | Sr | 6'7" | 31-14 | 20.9 | 9.5 | 5.6 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 47.6% | 31.5% | 3.6 | 74.6% | 29.4% | |
| 6 | Victory Onuetu | F | Jr | 6'10" | 35-17 | 17.9 | 4.7 | 6.9 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 56.6% | — | 0.0 | 49.0% | 17.6% | |
| 15 | Joshua Aaron Reaves | G | Sr | 6'3" | 23-0 | 10.8 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 50.0% | 34.9% | 1.9 | 83.3% | 14.2% | |
| 7 | Jaeden Roberts | G | Fr | 6'3" | 23-0 | 8.3 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 56.3% | 41.2% | 2.2 | 50.0% | 28.5% | |
| 2 | A.J. Wills | G | Jr | 6'0" | 17-0 | 10.8 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 45.7% | 33.3% | 1.6 | 80.0% | 22.0% | |
| 17 | Alex Tsynkevich | C | Sr | 6'10" | 16-0 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 33.3% | 13.1% | |
| 11 | Amir Williams | G | So | 6'4" | 3-0 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.7 | — | 17.4% | |
| 55 | Brandon Morgan | G | Sr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Carlos Lopez | G | Jr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Trey Boyd III | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Saint Mary's2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Joshua Dent | G | So | 6'3" | 33-33 | 36.2 | 13.2 | 2.5 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 56.7% | 40.4% | 4.6 | 91.8% | 21.7% | |
| 23 | Paulius Murauskas | F | Jr | 6'8" | 33-32 | 32.2 | 18.4 | 7.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 52.5% | 33.3% | 3.3 | 84.0% | 32.7% | |
| 11 | Dillan Shaw | G | Fr | 6'7" | 33-22 | 27.5 | 7.5 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 55.7% | 41.6% | 3.8 | 69.7% | 17.0% | |
| 0 | Mikey Lewis | G | So | 6'3" | 33-33 | 26.8 | 13.9 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 48.6% | 36.8% | 5.6 | 88.2% | 33.0% | |
| 45 | Andrew McKeever | C | So | 7'2" | 33-10 | 23.1 | 8.2 | 9.2 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 62.8% | 24.8% | |
| 33 | Liam Campbell | G | Fr | 6'4" | 33-0 | 14.7 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 63.7% | 52.0% | 1.5 | 80.0% | 16.9% | |
| 8 | Rory Hawke | G | Fr | 6'5" | 31-4 | 11.0 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 54.7% | 22.2% | 0.6 | 78.3% | 14.3% | |
| 6 | Mantas Juzenas | G | Fr | 6'6" | 26-1 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 66.2% | 48.4% | 1.2 | 55.6% | 19.5% | |
| 2 | Tony Duckett | G | So | 6'4" | 20-0 | 7.3 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 45.1% | 30.8% | 0.7 | 92.0% | 29.4% | |
| 24 | Kevin Gad | F | Jr | 6'6" | 7-7 | 10.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 45.5% | 33.3% | 0.9 | — | 10.0% | |
| 22 | Cade Bennett | G | Jr | 6'0" | 8-0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 60.0% | 40.0% | 0.6 | 50.0% | 12.9% | |
| 14 | Oliver Faubert | F | Fr | 6'8" | 11-0 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 33.3% | — | 0.0 | — | 11.5% | |
| 32 | Jazz Gardner | C | Jr | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 42 | Trent MacLean | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Hofstra2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Hofstra's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cruz Davis | G | Jr | 6'3" | 35-35 | 37.9 | 20.1 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 51.6% | 40.0% | 5.9 | 83.0% | 32.7% | |
| 1 | Preston Edmead | G | Fr | 6'1" | 35-35 | 33.9 | 16.1 | 3.5 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 51.7% | 38.7% | 7.1 | 83.3% | 29.2% | |
| 25 | German Plotnikov | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-33 | 32.3 | 9.4 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 54.9% | 38.1% | 4.7 | 85.1% | 16.7% | |
| 4 | Joshua DeCady | F | So | 6'8" | 33-23 | 24.1 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 46.2% | 28.1% | 1.7 | 57.7% | 18.2% | |
| 33 | Silas Sunday | F | Sr | 7'0" | 35-18 | 19.7 | 5.1 | 6.8 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 65.3% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 64.9% | 15.8% | |
| 0 | Biggie Patterson | G | Sr | 6'7" | 31-14 | 20.9 | 9.5 | 5.6 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 47.6% | 31.5% | 3.6 | 74.6% | 29.4% | |
| 6 | Victory Onuetu | F | Jr | 6'10" | 35-17 | 17.9 | 4.7 | 6.9 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 56.6% | — | 0.0 | 49.0% | 17.6% | |
| 15 | Joshua Aaron Reaves | G | Sr | 6'3" | 23-0 | 10.8 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 50.0% | 34.9% | 1.9 | 83.3% | 14.2% | |
| 7 | Jaeden Roberts | G | Fr | 6'3" | 23-0 | 8.3 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 56.3% | 41.2% | 2.2 | 50.0% | 28.5% | |
| 2 | A.J. Wills | G | Jr | 6'0" | 17-0 | 10.8 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 45.7% | 33.3% | 1.6 | 80.0% | 22.0% | |
| 17 | Alex Tsynkevich | C | Sr | 6'10" | 16-0 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 33.3% | 13.1% | |
| 11 | Amir Williams | G | So | 6'4" | 3-0 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.7 | — | 17.4% | |
| 55 | Brandon Morgan | G | Sr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Carlos Lopez | G | Jr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Trey Boyd III | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Hofstra
Against the spread
Season
21-12
Home
6-4
Road
11-6
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +5.6
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
16-15-2
Home
2-8
Road
11-6
Last 10
4-5-1
avg vs total −4.9
Over 3 straightOver in 3 of 7 as a favorite, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20 | #4Alabama | N | L 70–90 | +11.5 | L−8.5 | 159.0 | O160 | 100.4 | 129.1 | 69.7 |
| Mar 10 | Monmouth | N | W 75–69 | −4.0 | W+2.0 | 135.0 | O144 | 113.0 | 103.9 | 66.4 |
| Mar 9 | Towson | N | W 68–65 OT | −4.0 | L−1.0 | 131.5 | O133 | 111.7 | 106.8 | 60.9 |
| Mar 8 | William & Mary | N | W 92–61 | −2.5 | W+28.5 | 153.0 | P153 | 140.0 | 92.8 | 65.7 |
| Mar 3 | Drexel | H | W 62–51 | −8.5 | W+2.5 | 133.0 | U113 | 109.3 | 89.9 | 56.7 |
| Feb 28 | Stony Brook | H | W 67–58 | −11.5 | L−2.5 | 139.5 | U125 | 96.8 | 83.8 | 69.2 |
| Feb 21 | Northeastern | A | W 82–68 | −7.5 | W+6.5 | 145.0 | O150 | 128.0 | 106.1 | 64.1 |
| Feb 19 | Hampton | H | W 79–43 | −11.0 | W+25.0 | 133.5 | U122 | 129.5 | 70.5 | 61.0 |
| Feb 14 | UNC Wilmington | A | L 66–70 | +2.5 | L−1.5 | 137.5 | U136 | 108.2 | 114.7 | 61.0 |
| Feb 12 | Charleston | A | W 66–62 | +1.0 | W+5.0 | 146.0 | U128 | 94.0 | 88.3 | 70.2 |
Saint Mary's
Against the spread
Season
19-13
Home
12-4
Road
6-4
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +3.0
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 6 of 9 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
12-18-2
Home
7-7-2
Road
4-6
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −5.3
Under 4 straightOver in 3 of 9 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19 | #10Texas A&M | N | L 50–63 | −2.5 | L−15.5 | 148.5 | U113 | 84.5 | 106.4 | 59.2 |
| Mar 9 | Santa Clara | N | L 71–76 | −4.5 | L−9.5 | 150.0 | U147 | 114.8 | 122.9 | 61.8 |
| Feb 28 | #9Gonzaga | H | W 70–59 | +2.5 | W+13.5 | 143.0 | U129 | 109.4 | 92.2 | 64.0 |
| Feb 25 | Santa Clara | H | W 86–67 | −5.5 | W+13.5 | 154.0 | U153 | 131.5 | 102.4 | 65.4 |
| Feb 21 | Washington St | A | W 83–67 | −8.5 | W+7.5 | 148.5 | O150 | 131.9 | 106.5 | 62.9 |
| Feb 18 | Seattle U | A | W 72–70 | −9.5 | L−7.5 | 133.0 | O142 | 98.4 | 95.7 | 73.1 |
| Feb 14 | Pacific | A | W 72–61 | −7.0 | W+4.0 | 135.5 | U133 | 113.5 | 96.2 | 63.4 |
| Feb 11 | Pepperdine | H | W 88–60 | −24.5 | W+3.5 | 144.0 | O148 | 122.9 | 83.8 | 71.6 |
| Feb 7 | San Francisco | H | W 79–54 | −11.5 | W+13.5 | 143.0 | U133 | 123.1 | 84.1 | 64.2 |
| Feb 4 | San Diego | H | W 87–60 | −19.5 | W+7.5 | 149.0 | U147 | 136.3 | 94.0 | 63.8 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeHofstraSaint Mary's
Efficiency
112.4
114.9
105.3
100.8
66.5
66.7
—
—
Shooting
51.4%
52.8%
48.1%
49.8%
37.1%
38.7%
75.8%
80.3%
31.6%
35.5%
Ball control & glass
16.1%
16.8%
14.9%
15.2%
34.7%
37.5%
31.0%
23.9%
7.7%
8.4%
10.7%
8.8%
Style
42.8%
36.4%
35.9%
40.9%
9.0%
10.5%
48.3%
57.8%
25.2%
29.3%
Roster
2.88
1.88
6'5.4"
6'6.2"
—
91.9%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputHofstra
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Hofstra's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Saint Mary's
Returning minutes: 91.9%Returning production: 91.8%
Lost
- Harry Wessels 16.2 mpg, 4.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Trent MacLean no D1 minutes last season
- Jazz Gardner no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 92% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.