CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceMcAlister Field House, Charleston, SC
SC Upstate
Efficiency #284
2025-26: 13-19 · 5-12 conf
@
The Citadel
Efficiency #348
2025-26: 11-22 · 8-12 conf
Wed, Nov 25 · TBD
71.4
win 53%
Projected
70.5
win 47%
No line posted yet.
Model: UPST −0.9 · total 141.9 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: The Citadel 66.2, SC Upstate 68.5 → 66.4 possessions
−4.2
The Citadel offense vs SC Upstate defense
−3.4
SC Upstate offense vs The Citadel defense
+1.3
Projected total
141.9
Axis starts at 135 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
The Citadel offense vs SC Upstate defense
−3.4
SC Upstate offense vs The Citadel defense
−1.3
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.8
SC Upstate by 0.9
0.9
SC Upstate side ◂▸ The Citadel side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help The Citadel.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 66.4, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, SC Upstate is the faster team (69.3, #128 of 365) and The Citadel the slower (64.7, #335). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
66.4
per team, 40 min
Projected total
141.9
model
Projected team totals
71.4 / 70.5
SC Upstate / The Citadel
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.5#171
SC Upstate
66.2#333
The Citadel
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetDefenseSC Upstate
SC Upstate's shot-blocking
SC Upstate ranks #39 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 12.0% of The Citadel's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.
AdvantageSC Upstate
Where SC Upstate scores: shooting
SC Upstate shoots an effective 48.3% (#307); The Citadel allows 57.5% (#361). Expect about 52.8%, 1.5 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.1 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (The Citadel's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect SC Upstate at about 39.4% of its shots from three, The Citadel about 44.0%.
AdvantageThe Citadel
Where The Citadel struggles: shooting
The Citadel shoots an effective 49.5% (#265); SC Upstate allows 51.0% (#156). Expect about 50.1%, 1.2 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -1.7 points per 100 possessions.
ClashThe Citadel
Style clash: 3-point volume
The Citadel takes 47.8% of its shots from three; SC Upstate runs teams off the line (36.1% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 44.0% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).
ClashSC Upstate
Style clash: 3-point volume
SC Upstate rarely shoots threes (35.6% of its shots); The Citadel lets opponents take 44.1% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 39.4% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).
SC Upstate has the ball
OffenseThe Citadel allowsvs D1 avg
48.3% #307
57.5% #361
+2.1 pt/100
18.2% #283
14.7% #307
+0.6 pt/100
29.2% #231
31.5% #227
-0.2 pt/100
32.8% #239
33.3% #136
-0.3 pt/100
68.1% #324
—
-0.4 pt/100
SC Upstate net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.8 pts/100
The Citadel has the ball
OffenseSC Upstate allowsvs D1 avg
49.5% #265
51.0% #156
-1.7 pt/100
16.3% #157
16.4% #194
+0.6 pt/100
27.9% #270
31.4% #224
-0.8 pt/100
30.0% #309
36.0% #211
-0.2 pt/100
66.5% #349
—
-0.5 pt/100
The Citadel net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -2.5 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersSC Upstateoffense vsThe Citadeldefense
Share of shots by zone
SC Upstate shoots
41.2
7.8
15.6
35.4
The Citadel allows
40.5
3.7
11.3
44.5
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 54.8%#303 | 65.8%#355 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 41.4%#136 | 42.1%#233 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.5%#202 | 43.4%#334 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.4%#308 | 36.6%#335 | 33.7% |
The Citadeloffense vsSC Upstatedefense
Share of shots by zone
The Citadel shoots
34.0
7.3
11.4
47.3
SC Upstate allows
42.0
6.0
15.7
36.3
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.4%#147 | 54.7%#56 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.4%#167 | 45.5%#309 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.0%#186 | 35.7%#96 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.0%#283 | 35.6%#289 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersSC Upstate
−2.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#289 of 365
Off reb %
29.2%
#231
Def reb %
68.6%
#224
Turnover %
18.2%
#283
Forced TO %
16.4%
#194
FT rate
32.8%
#239
FT allowed
36.0%
#211
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.4
Defensive rebounding−0.3
Ball security−1.0
Forcing turnovers−0.2
Foul shots drawn−0.6
Foul shots allowed−0.2
The Citadel
−2.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#299 of 365
Off reb %
27.9%
#270
Def reb %
68.5%
#227
Turnover %
16.3%
#157
Forced TO %
14.7%
#307
FT rate
30.0%
#309
FT allowed
33.3%
#136
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.8
Defensive rebounding−0.3
Ball security+0.3
Forcing turnovers−1.3
Foul shots drawn−1.3
Foul shots allowed+0.5
SC Upstate has more extra scoring chances per game: −2.6 (#289 of 365) to The Citadel’s −2.9 (#299).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
SC Upstate2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted SC Upstate's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Carmelo Adkins | G | So | 6'4" | 32-15 | 29.9 | 13.5 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 47.2% | 33.0% | 5.9 | 80.7% | 28.5% | |
| 1 | Karmani Gregory | G | Jr | 6'1" | 31-30 | 30.5 | 15.6 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 49.0% | 32.8% | 5.9 | 74.6% | 31.8% | |
| 9 | Mason Bendinger | G | Jr | 6'4" | 32-31 | 29.4 | 14.4 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 47.0% | 31.1% | 2.3 | 53.8% | 32.3% | |
| 0 | Tyler Smith | G | Jr | 6'0" | 31-16 | 22.9 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 40.9% | 29.8% | 1.5 | 67.6% | 17.1% | |
| 2 | Isaiah Skinner | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-8 | 20.0 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 51.8% | 34.9% | 3.3 | 85.7% | 16.2% | |
| 11 | Learic Davis | F | Jr | 6'6" | 28-20 | 21.8 | 8.3 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 55.6% | 32.8% | 2.4 | 75.0% | 21.9% | |
| 12 | Jafeth Martinez | F | Jr | 6'9" | 31-20 | 18.3 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 67.6% | — | 0.0 | 65.6% | 12.6% | |
| 7 | Coen Collier | C | Jr | 7'1" | 30-9 | 14.1 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 43.1% | 22.2% | 0.3 | 37.5% | 10.3% | |
| 10 | Breylin Garcia | F | Sr | 6'6" | 21-7 | 14.8 | 6.7 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 60.6% | — | 0.0 | 55.6% | 25.4% | |
| 6 | Kanye Jones | G | Jr | 6'5" | 22-1 | 8.9 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 50.0% | 26.3% | 0.9 | 81.3% | 16.7% | |
| 24 | Chico Johnson | G | So | 6'2" | 10-0 | 8.2 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 47.7% | 42.9% | 0.7 | 50.0% | 18.4% | |
| 8 | Nic Book | F | So | 6'8" | 7-2 | 10.3 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 81.3% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 15.8% | |
| 21 | CJ Rich | G | Jr | 5'9" | 4-1 | 11.0 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 78.6% | 75.0% | 1.0 | 66.7% | 13.8% | |
| 5 | TJ Lewis | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
The Citadel2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted The Citadel's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Braxton Williams | F | Sr | 6'6" | 33-24 | 29.3 | 14.6 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 49.5% | 34.2% | 7.0 | 77.7% | 32.8% | |
| 8 | Sola Adebisi | F | Sr | 6'7" | 30-30 | 32.2 | 10.0 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 63.8% | 33.3% | 1.6 | 67.1% | 17.3% | |
| 14 | Carter Kingsbury | G | Jr | 6'5" | 31-30 | 29.1 | 8.0 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 50.2% | 29.0% | 3.0 | 74.4% | 19.1% | |
| 5 | Eze Wali | G | So | 6'1" | 33-32 | 25.3 | 5.7 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 42.1% | 28.7% | 2.4 | 67.8% | 18.1% | |
| 1 | Christian Moore | F | So | 6'6" | 31-23 | 25.0 | 11.2 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 54.1% | 38.7% | 5.3 | 67.2% | 27.1% | |
| 4 | Logan Applegate | G | Sr | 6'2" | 33-3 | 15.7 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 31.8% | 4.7 | 77.8% | 25.7% | |
| 22 | Keynan Davis | G | Jr | 6'5" | 32-8 | 12.7 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 44.7% | 26.5% | 2.6 | 60.3% | 26.2% | |
| 3 | Marcos Gonzales | G | Fr | 6'3" | 28-0 | 13.2 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 46.8% | 28.6% | 0.8 | 61.9% | 27.1% | |
| 11 | Dante Kearse | F | So | 6'4" | 33-0 | 10.9 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 58.4% | 41.5% | 1.6 | 60.0% | 19.3% | |
| 23 | Simeon German | F | Sr | 6'10" | 28-15 | 10.1 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 43.6% | — | 0.0 | 16.7% | 16.3% | |
| 7 | Gabe Hernandez | G | Jr | 5'11" | 18-0 | 8.1 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 40.5% | 18.2% | 0.6 | 80.0% | 20.5% | |
| 25 | Cassius Bonjasky | F | Jr | 6'7" | 18-0 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 60.7% | 33.3% | 0.3 | 70.0% | 19.5% | |
| 15 | Chase Williams | F | Fr | 6'8" | 8-0 | 3.9 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 33.3% | — | 0.0 | — | 8.6% | |
| 30 | Logan Menefee | F | Fr | 6'10" | 6-0 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 22.2% | — | 0.0 | — | 29.2% | |
| 24 | Rowan Irelan | G | So | 6'3" | 4-0 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 64.3% | 42.9% | 1.8 | — | 35.2% | |
| 2 | Jameson Heck | G | Fr | 5'7" | 4-0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 25.2% | |
| 12 | Aidan Alexander | F | Fr | 6'4" | 4-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 34.9% | |
| 13 | Jack Walter | G | Fr | 6'2" | 2-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | — | 29.1% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
SC Upstate2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted SC Upstate's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Carmelo Adkins | G | So | 6'4" | 32-15 | 29.9 | 13.5 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 47.2% | 33.0% | 5.9 | 80.7% | 28.5% | |
| 1 | Karmani Gregory | G | Jr | 6'1" | 31-30 | 30.5 | 15.6 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 49.0% | 32.8% | 5.9 | 74.6% | 31.8% | |
| 9 | Mason Bendinger | G | Jr | 6'4" | 32-31 | 29.4 | 14.4 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 47.0% | 31.1% | 2.3 | 53.8% | 32.3% | |
| 0 | Tyler Smith | G | Jr | 6'0" | 31-16 | 22.9 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 40.9% | 29.8% | 1.5 | 67.6% | 17.1% | |
| 2 | Isaiah Skinner | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-8 | 20.0 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 51.8% | 34.9% | 3.3 | 85.7% | 16.2% | |
| 11 | Learic Davis | F | Jr | 6'6" | 28-20 | 21.8 | 8.3 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 55.6% | 32.8% | 2.4 | 75.0% | 21.9% | |
| 12 | Jafeth Martinez | F | Jr | 6'9" | 31-20 | 18.3 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 67.6% | — | 0.0 | 65.6% | 12.6% | |
| 7 | Coen Collier | C | Jr | 7'1" | 30-9 | 14.1 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 43.1% | 22.2% | 0.3 | 37.5% | 10.3% | |
| 10 | Breylin Garcia | F | Sr | 6'6" | 21-7 | 14.8 | 6.7 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 60.6% | — | 0.0 | 55.6% | 25.4% | |
| 6 | Kanye Jones | G | Jr | 6'5" | 22-1 | 8.9 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 50.0% | 26.3% | 0.9 | 81.3% | 16.7% | |
| 24 | Chico Johnson | G | So | 6'2" | 10-0 | 8.2 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 47.7% | 42.9% | 0.7 | 50.0% | 18.4% | |
| 8 | Nic Book | F | So | 6'8" | 7-2 | 10.3 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 81.3% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 15.8% | |
| 21 | CJ Rich | G | Jr | 5'9" | 4-1 | 11.0 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 78.6% | 75.0% | 1.0 | 66.7% | 13.8% | |
| 5 | TJ Lewis | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26SC Upstate
Against the spread
Season
13-16
Home
6-6
Road
7-9
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −0.8
Missed the spread 3 straightCovered 4 of 8 as an underdogCovered 1 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
13-15-1
Home
6-5-1
Road
7-9
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −2.4
Under 3 straightOver in 5 of 8 as an underdogOver in 1 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4 | Gardner-Webb | N | L 64–65 | −11.0 | L−12.0 | 144.0 | U129 | 99.1 | 100.7 | 64.6 |
| Feb 28 | Gardner-Webb | H | W 71–61 | −13.5 | L−3.5 | 146.5 | U132 | 101.0 | 86.8 | 70.3 |
| Feb 26 | Radford | A | L 59–71 | +8.0 | L−4.0 | 153.0 | U130 | 87.6 | 105.4 | 67.4 |
| Feb 21 | Presbyterian | H | W 76–74 | +1.0 | W+3.0 | 141.5 | O150 | 118.0 | 114.9 | 64.4 |
| Feb 19 | Winthrop | A | L 64–68 | +13.0 | W+9.0 | 155.0 | U132 | 95.3 | 101.2 | 67.2 |
| Feb 14 | Longwood | A | L 75–82 OT | +6.0 | L−1.0 | 146.5 | O157 | 89.6 | 98.0 | 83.7 |
| Feb 12 | High Point | H | L 70–95 | +14.0 | L−11.0 | 154.5 | O165 | 93.3 | 126.6 | 75.1 |
| Feb 7 | Charleston So | H | W 100–94 OT | +1.0 | W+7.0 | 151.5 | O194 | 129.9 | 122.1 | 77.0 |
| Feb 4 | UNC Asheville | A | L 67–76 | +6.5 | L−2.5 | 140.5 | O143 | 99.2 | 112.5 | 67.6 |
| Jan 29 | Longwood | H | W 65–60 | +1.5 | W+6.5 | 147.5 | U125 | 92.3 | 85.2 | 70.4 |
The Citadel
Against the spread
Season
15-15
Home
6-6
Road
7-8
Last 10
5-5
avg cover +0.2
Covered 3 straightCovered 5 of 10 as an underdogCovered 3 of 6 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
15-14-1
Home
6-5-1
Road
7-8
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +6.0
Over 3 straightOver in 6 of 10 as an underdogOver in 3 of 6 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | ETSU | N | L 76–83 | +15.0 | W+8.0 | 139.0 | O159 | 116.9 | 127.7 | 65.0 |
| Mar 6 | Chattanooga | N | W 88–85 | +7.5 | W+10.5 | 147.5 | O173 | 138.7 | 133.9 | 63.5 |
| Feb 28 | Wofford | A | W 93–90 OT | +12.0 | W+15.0 | 148.0 | O183 | 126.1 | 122.1 | 73.7 |
| Feb 25 | Furman | A | L 51–72 | +15.5 | L−5.5 | 143.5 | U123 | 85.2 | 120.3 | 59.8 |
| Feb 21 | Chattanooga | H | L 72–93 | +4.0 | L−17.0 | 144.0 | O165 | 99.8 | 128.9 | 72.1 |
| Feb 19 | Samford | H | L 75–78 | +10.5 | W+7.5 | 144.0 | O153 | 105.8 | 110.0 | 70.9 |
| Feb 14 | Mercer | H | L 54–70 | +12.0 | L−4.0 | 147.5 | U124 | 87.6 | 113.6 | 61.6 |
| Feb 11 | W Carolina | A | L 49–87 | +9.5 | L−28.5 | 146.5 | U136 | 78.5 | 139.3 | 62.4 |
| Feb 7 | Chattanooga | A | W 78–71 | +9.5 | W+16.5 | 141.0 | O149 | 114.7 | 104.4 | 68.0 |
| Feb 5 | Samford | A | L 64–78 | +13.5 | L−0.5 | 146.0 | U142 | 98.9 | 120.5 | 64.7 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeSC UpstateThe Citadel
Efficiency
102.8
102.8
109.0
116.1
68.5
66.2
—
—
Shooting
48.3%
49.5%
48.9%
51.0%
31.4%
32.0%
68.1%
66.5%
32.8%
30.0%
Ball control & glass
18.2%
16.3%
16.4%
14.7%
29.2%
27.9%
31.4%
31.5%
10.6%
9.6%
11.0%
10.7%
Style
35.6%
47.8%
46.2%
40.6%
14.5%
10.3%
46.0%
50.6%
35.4%
33.7%
Roster
2.98
2.98
6'4.5"
6'4.8"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputSC Upstate
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted SC Upstate's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
The Citadel
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted The Citadel's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.