CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.

Non-conferencePrather Coliseum, Natchitoches, LA

West Florida

Efficiency #352

Record unknown

N'Western St

Efficiency #299

2025-26: 10-22 · 8-15 conf

Wed, Nov 25 · TBD

67.1

win 23%

Projected

75.9

win 77%

No line posted yet.

Model: NWST −8.7 · total 143.0 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3

Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one

Projected total

Average D-I game

148.2

PaceAdjusted tempo: N'Western St 66.6, West Florida 68.3 → 66.6 possessions

−3.7

N'Western St offense vs West Florida defense

+1.7

West Florida offense vs N'Western St defense

−3.2

Projected total

143.0

Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Projected margin

Even game

0.0

N'Western St offense vs West Florida defense

+1.7

West Florida offense vs N'Western St defense

+3.2

Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors

+3.8

N'Western St by 8.7

8.7

West Florida side ◂▸ N'Western St side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help N'Western St.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 66.6, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo.

Projected possessions

66.6

per team, 40 min

Projected total

143.0

model

Projected team totals

67.1 / 75.9

West Florida / N'Western St

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

68.3#183

West Florida

66.6#314

N'Western St

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers

N'Western St

−1.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#266 of 365

Off reb %

26.1%

#321

Def reb %

67.4%

#286

Turnover %

18.3%

#288

Forced TO %

16.9%

#163

FT rate

40.1%

#58

FT allowed

36.3%

#218

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding−1.4

Defensive rebounding−0.6

Ball security−1.0

Forcing turnovers+0.1

Foul shots drawn+1.3

Foul shots allowed−0.3

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

West Florida2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted West Florida's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	eFG%	3P%	FT%	Usage
—	Team	ATH	—	—	0-0	—	—	—	—
14	Brandon Burford	PG	So	6'2"	0-0	—	—	—	—
34	Conor Flanagan	G	So	6'8"	0-0	—	—	—	—
1	Darrin Jenkins	G	Sr	6'4"	0-0	—	—	—	—
11	David Petit-Homme	F	Jr	6'7"	0-0	—	—	—	—
42	Jackson Henningfield	G	Sr	6'9"	0-0	—	—	—	—
2	Kendall Bynum	PG	Fr	6'1"	0-0	—	—	—	—
3	LaTrell Tate	G	So	6'0"	0-0	—	—	—	—
5	Michael Maumbe	F	Fr	6'8"	0-0	—	—	—	—
10	Rodney Bryant	PG	Fr	6'0"	0-0	—	—	—	—
—	Rodney Bryant Jr	ATH	—	—	0-0	—	—	—	—
4	Wendell Matthews	F	Jr	6'6"	0-0	—	—	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

N'Western St2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted N'Western St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
5	Micah Thomas	G	Sr	6'0"	32-31	30.2	16.8	2.0	2.7	2.3	48.3%	37.0%	4.2	92.0%	35.1%
11	Chris Mubiru	G	Jr	6'5"	32-28	26.8	6.8	3.9	1.9	1.0	50.6%	27.7%	2.9	84.9%	16.2%
0	Izzy Miles	G	Jr	6'2"	32-19	24.4	10.5	2.5	1.3	1.6	49.6%	39.7%	2.3	72.7%	27.8%
23	Willie Williams	F	Sr	6'6"	26-26	29.8	9.8	8.5	1.5	1.4	62.0%	50.0%	0.2	44.4%	19.8%
3	Landyn Jumawan	G	Sr	6'4"	30-20	20.0	4.6	2.0	0.8	0.6	39.6%	27.4%	3.9	77.1%	17.8%
4	CJ Larry	PG	Fr	6'3"	25-16	18.2	2.6	1.4	1.5	1.4	37.7%	46.7%	0.6	53.6%	15.5%
10	Kordrick Turner	F	Jr	6'6"	32-6	13.7	4.2	2.6	0.3	0.5	53.5%	0.0%	0.0	59.7%	18.9%
13	Justin Redmond	G	So	6'2"	23-2	17.1	6.9	1.6	1.3	0.9	44.8%	34.2%	3.3	85.3%	27.6%
1	Chip Brunt	G	Jr	6'5"	29-2	11.7	3.4	1.2	0.8	0.8	58.2%	53.8%	0.4	73.0%	18.3%
25	Omar Adegbola	G	So	6'4"	21-2	14.6	5.4	2.1	0.5	0.8	44.5%	28.1%	1.5	82.5%	24.4%
8	Moustapha Loum	F	So	6'10"	21-4	11.3	2.4	2.0	0.2	0.5	61.8%	—	0.0	36.4%	13.7%
21	J.C. Riley Jr.	C	Sr	6'10"	21-4	11.0	3.4	2.4	0.6	0.4	52.8%	50.0%	0.1	88.2%	18.2%
33	Quentin Bolton	G	Sr	6'6"	8-0	6.3	1.0	1.0	0.3	0.5	22.2%	15.4%	1.6	—	26.0%
15	Seth Ned	G	Fr	5'10"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

West Florida2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted West Florida's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	eFG%	3P%	FT%	Usage
—	Team	ATH	—	—	0-0	—	—	—	—
14	Brandon Burford	PG	So	6'2"	0-0	—	—	—	—
34	Conor Flanagan	G	So	6'8"	0-0	—	—	—	—
1	Darrin Jenkins	G	Sr	6'4"	0-0	—	—	—	—
11	David Petit-Homme	F	Jr	6'7"	0-0	—	—	—	—
42	Jackson Henningfield	G	Sr	6'9"	0-0	—	—	—	—
2	Kendall Bynum	PG	Fr	6'1"	0-0	—	—	—	—
3	LaTrell Tate	G	So	6'0"	0-0	—	—	—	—
5	Michael Maumbe	F	Fr	6'8"	0-0	—	—	—	—
10	Rodney Bryant	PG	Fr	6'0"	0-0	—	—	—	—
—	Rodney Bryant Jr	ATH	—	—	0-0	—	—	—	—
4	Wendell Matthews	F	Jr	6'6"	0-0	—	—	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Trends

Last 10 games of 2025-26

West Florida

No completed games yet.

N'Western St

Against the spread

Season

17-13

Home

8-4

Road

9-8

Last 10

5-5

avg cover +0.1

Missed the spread 3 straightCovered 3 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 6 as an underdog

Over / under

Season

15-15

Home

4-8

Road

11-6

Last 10

3-7

avg vs total −11.8

Under 5 straightOver in 1 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 6 as an underdog

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 8	NichollsAdjEM #250	N	L 47–61	+2.0	L−12.0	139.0	U108	79.8	103.5	58.9
Mar 2	UT Rio GrandeAdjEM #109	A	L 62–74	+9.0	L−3.0	139.0	U136	96.0	114.6	64.6
Feb 28	Texas A&M-CCAdjEM #181	A	L 59–71	+6.0	L−6.0	134.0	U130	97.5	117.4	60.5
Feb 23	Incarnate WordAdjEM #264	H	W 54–49	−2.5	W+2.5	138.0	U103	89.9	81.6	60.1
Feb 21	Hou ChristianAdjEM #297	H	W 71–53	−2.5	W+15.5	133.5	U124	112.1	83.6	63.4
Feb 16	McNeeseAdjEM #49	H	L 64–75	+14.0	W+3.0	137.5	O139	100.9	118.2	63.5
Feb 14	SE LouisianaAdjEM #296	H	W 69–66	−1.0	W+2.0	131.0	O135	110.4	105.6	62.5
Feb 9	LamarAdjEM #236	A	W 70–68	+7.5	W+9.5	136.5	O138	106.1	103.1	66.0
Feb 7	East Texas A&MAdjEM #311	A	L 48–52	+2.0	L−2.0	141.5	U100	72.1	78.1	66.5
Feb 4	East Texas A&MAdjEM #311	H	L 68–74	−3.0	L−9.0	143.0	U142	107.6	117.1	63.2

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home

West FloridaN'Western St

Efficiency

100.8

104.1

115.4

111.3

68.3

66.6

—

Shooting

—

48.6%

—

48.0%

—

33.2%

—

74.0%

—

40.1%

Ball control & glass

—

18.3%

—

16.9%

—

26.1%

—

32.6%

—

10.6%

—

9.6%

Style

—

33.9%

—

40.8%

—

12.4%

—

50.7%

—

36.8%

Roster

—

3.12

—

6'4"

—

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

West Florida

Returning minutes: —Returning production: —

ESPN hasn't posted West Florida's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

New to Division I this season -- no returning-minutes baseline.

N'Western St

Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%

ESPN hasn't posted N'Western St's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Head-to-head

this season and last

No meetings the last two seasons.

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.