CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceFirst Bank & Trust Arena, Brookings, SD
Abilene Chrstn
Efficiency #263
2025-26: 14-19 · 6-14 conf
@
S Dakota St
Efficiency #197
2025-26: 14-18 · 7-10 conf
Wed, Nov 25 · TBD
68.7
win 28%
Projected
75.4
win 72%
No line posted yet.
Model: SDST −6.7 · total 144.1 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: S Dakota St 68.0, Abilene Chrstn 68.4 → 68.1 possessions
−0.4
S Dakota St offense vs Abilene Chrstn defense
−0.5
Abilene Chrstn offense vs S Dakota St defense
−3.2
Projected total
144.1
Axis starts at 142 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
S Dakota St offense vs Abilene Chrstn defense
−0.5
Abilene Chrstn offense vs S Dakota St defense
+3.2
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
S Dakota St by 6.7
6.7
Abilene Chrstn side ◂▸ S Dakota St side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +6.6 against +6.7. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help S Dakota St.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Abilene Chrstn is the faster team (68.9, #153 of 365) and S Dakota St the slower (67.9, #207). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.1
per team, 40 min
Projected total
144.1
model
Projected team totals
68.7 / 75.4
Abilene Chrstn / S Dakota St
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.4#177
Abilene Chrstn
68.0#207
S Dakota St
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageS Dakota St
Where S Dakota St struggles: ball control
S Dakota St turns it over on 16.1% of possessions (#148); Abilene Chrstn forces turnovers on 23.4% of opponent possessions (#2). Expect about 20.6%, 3.9 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -4.7 points per 100 possessions.
DefenseAbilene Chrstn
Abilene Chrstn's ball-hawking
Abilene Chrstn ranks #3 nationally in steal rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 12.3% of S Dakota St's possessions to end in a steal against this defense.
AdvantageAbilene Chrstn
Where Abilene Chrstn struggles: shooting
Abilene Chrstn shoots an effective 47.5% (#326); S Dakota St allows 51.8% (#204). Expect about 49.4%, 1.9 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.7 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Abilene Chrstn, Abilene Chrstn's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Abilene Chrstn at about 39.0% of its shots from three, S Dakota St about 32.8%.
ClashAbilene Chrstn
Style clash: 3-point volume
Abilene Chrstn rarely shoots threes (32.8% of its shots); S Dakota St lets opponents take 47.0% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 39.0% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).
Abilene Chrstn has the ball
OffenseS Dakota St allowsvs D1 avg
47.5% #326
51.8% #204
-2.7 pt/100
20.8% #356
14.5% #322
-1.1 pt/100
31.0% #164
25.1% #9
-1.3 pt/100
41.7% #34
34.5% #164
+0.4 pt/100
70.4% #258
—
-0.2 pt/100
Abilene Chrstn net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -4.9 pts/100
S Dakota St has the ball
OffenseAbilene Chrstn allowsvs D1 avg
52.0% #143
56.5% #352
+4.4 pt/100
16.1% #148
23.4% #2
-4.7 pt/100
30.3% #186
29.1% #113
-0.4 pt/100
29.7% #317
53.5% #365
+1.0 pt/100
72.0% #209
—
-0.0 pt/100
S Dakota St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +0.2 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersAbilene Chrstnoffense vsS Dakota Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Abilene Chrstn shoots
40.0
8.0
18.8
33.2
S Dakota St allows
35.7
5.6
12.6
46.1
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.7%#280 | 58.3%#157 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 34.2%#300 | 36.8%#106 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.1%#108 | 41.5%#290 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.0%#319 | 34.1%#191 | 33.7% |
S Dakota Stoffense vsAbilene Chrstndefense
Share of shots by zone
S Dakota St shoots
38.9
8.7
14.4
38.0
Abilene Chrstn allows
49.0
8.0
13.4
29.5
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.5%#144 | 60.3%#243 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.6%#161 | 39.3%#163 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.8%#156 | 39.3%#214 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.0%#174 | 40.9%#365 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersAbilene Chrstn
−0.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#199 of 365
Off reb %
31.0%
#164
Def reb %
70.9%
#113
Turnover %
20.8%
#356
Forced TO %
23.4%
#2
FT rate
41.7%
#34
FT allowed
53.5%
#365
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.2
Defensive rebounding+0.5
Ball security−2.8
Forcing turnovers+4.6
Foul shots drawn+1.7
Foul shots allowed−4.7
S Dakota St
−0.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#197 of 365
Off reb %
30.3%
#186
Def reb %
74.9%
#9
Turnover %
16.1%
#148
Forced TO %
14.5%
#322
FT rate
29.7%
#317
FT allowed
34.5%
#164
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding0.0
Defensive rebounding+1.8
Ball security+0.4
Forcing turnovers−1.5
Foul shots drawn−1.4
Foul shots allowed+0.2
Both teams carry the same grade, −0.5 extra scoring chances per game.
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Abilene Chrstn2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Abilene Chrstn's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rich Smith | G | Sr | 6'2" | 32-29 | 29.5 | 9.9 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 51.6% | 25.0% | 0.4 | 63.8% | 22.6% | |
| 15 | Bradyn Hubbard | F | Sr | 6'5" | 32-29 | 28.1 | 16.3 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 45.5% | 31.3% | 4.5 | 79.9% | 37.0% | |
| 23 | Joseph Venzant | G | Sr | 6'2" | 33-23 | 25.2 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 55.3% | 41.4% | 0.9 | 77.3% | 10.4% | |
| 5 | Cbo Newton | G | So | 6'3" | 30-24 | 25.8 | 10.1 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 52.5% | 30.6% | 3.3 | 69.0% | 23.9% | |
| 2 | Yaniel Rivera | G | Jr | 6'3" | 29-21 | 24.4 | 7.2 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 49.2% | 36.7% | 4.4 | 69.0% | 20.5% | |
| 0 | Zy Wright | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-6 | 17.4 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 51.7% | 30.8% | 2.0 | 85.0% | 21.0% | |
| 21 | Cade Hornecker | F | Jr | 7'0" | 33-19 | 15.9 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 46.6% | 15.0% | 0.6 | 69.8% | 23.4% | |
| 10 | Joseph Scott | F | Jr | 6'9" | 28-7 | 12.3 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 52.1% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 51.3% | 24.4% | |
| 7 | Christian Alston | G | So | 6'7" | 30-0 | 11.3 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 38.1% | 22.2% | 1.5 | 69.4% | 31.6% | |
| 11 | Ma'Shy Hill | F | Jr | 6'8" | 33-7 | 10.1 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 61.9% | — | 0.0 | 39.3% | 17.7% | |
| 24 | Isaac Dye | G | Fr | 6'2" | 23-0 | 8.2 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 2.3 | 75.0% | 22.3% | |
| 3 | Tylan Lewis | G | Fr | 6'0" | 24-0 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 30.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 25.0% | 14.1% | |
| 20 | Isaiah Carrillo | G | Fr | 5'10" | 9-0 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 45.0% | 25.0% | 0.4 | 50.0% | 15.6% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
S Dakota St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted S Dakota St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Joe Sayler | G | So | 6'3" | 32-32 | 32.5 | 14.5 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 52.3% | 41.2% | 5.2 | 83.0% | 26.8% | |
| 14 | Jaden Jackson | G | So | 6'0" | 32-32 | 32.1 | 12.3 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 47.3% | 32.2% | 6.6 | 78.3% | 24.9% | |
| 10 | Kalen Garry | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-32 | 29.0 | 10.7 | 5.2 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 51.9% | 36.7% | 4.9 | 64.9% | 23.5% | |
| 11 | Matthew Mors | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-32 | 27.7 | 8.4 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 57.2% | 30.8% | 2.4 | 79.6% | 17.1% | |
| 34 | Damon Wilkinson | C | So | 6'10" | 32-19 | 24.0 | 13.9 | 6.4 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 58.9% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 72.0% | 31.5% | |
| 35 | Alec Squires | C | Fr | 6'10" | 32-13 | 14.9 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 60.2% | — | 0.0 | 61.2% | 19.1% | |
| 2 | Luke Haertle | G | Jr | 6'3" | 30-0 | 14.9 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 41.2% | 23.1% | 1.3 | 60.0% | 21.0% | |
| 12 | Bubz Alvarez | G | So | 6'5" | 21-0 | 14.9 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 48.7% | 20.0% | 1.0 | 55.9% | 20.8% | |
| 5 | Caleb Delzell | F | Sr | 6'9" | 28-0 | 8.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 45.2% | 33.3% | 0.9 | 25.0% | 12.5% | |
| 6 | Jaden Rogers | G | Fr | 6'6" | 15-0 | 9.3 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 57.7% | 25.0% | 1.1 | 75.0% | 12.8% | |
| 0 | Trey Buchanan | G | Fr | 6'0" | 9-0 | 14.4 | 7.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 71.4% | 43.8% | 3.6 | 100.0% | 26.4% | |
| 23 | Andrell Burton Jr. | G | Fr | 6'7" | 4-0 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 75.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 33.3% | 37.0% | |
| 33 | Jadyn Cascio Jensen | G | Fr | 6'3" | 3-0 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.7 | — | 28.4% | |
| 22 | Davis Kern | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Abilene Chrstn2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Abilene Chrstn's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rich Smith | G | Sr | 6'2" | 32-29 | 29.5 | 9.9 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 51.6% | 25.0% | 0.4 | 63.8% | 22.6% | |
| 15 | Bradyn Hubbard | F | Sr | 6'5" | 32-29 | 28.1 | 16.3 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 45.5% | 31.3% | 4.5 | 79.9% | 37.0% | |
| 23 | Joseph Venzant | G | Sr | 6'2" | 33-23 | 25.2 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 55.3% | 41.4% | 0.9 | 77.3% | 10.4% | |
| 5 | Cbo Newton | G | So | 6'3" | 30-24 | 25.8 | 10.1 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 52.5% | 30.6% | 3.3 | 69.0% | 23.9% | |
| 2 | Yaniel Rivera | G | Jr | 6'3" | 29-21 | 24.4 | 7.2 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 49.2% | 36.7% | 4.4 | 69.0% | 20.5% | |
| 0 | Zy Wright | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-6 | 17.4 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 51.7% | 30.8% | 2.0 | 85.0% | 21.0% | |
| 21 | Cade Hornecker | F | Jr | 7'0" | 33-19 | 15.9 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 46.6% | 15.0% | 0.6 | 69.8% | 23.4% | |
| 10 | Joseph Scott | F | Jr | 6'9" | 28-7 | 12.3 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 52.1% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 51.3% | 24.4% | |
| 7 | Christian Alston | G | So | 6'7" | 30-0 | 11.3 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 38.1% | 22.2% | 1.5 | 69.4% | 31.6% | |
| 11 | Ma'Shy Hill | F | Jr | 6'8" | 33-7 | 10.1 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 61.9% | — | 0.0 | 39.3% | 17.7% | |
| 24 | Isaac Dye | G | Fr | 6'2" | 23-0 | 8.2 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 2.3 | 75.0% | 22.3% | |
| 3 | Tylan Lewis | G | Fr | 6'0" | 24-0 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 30.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 25.0% | 14.1% | |
| 20 | Isaiah Carrillo | G | Fr | 5'10" | 9-0 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 45.0% | 25.0% | 0.4 | 50.0% | 15.6% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Abilene Chrstn
Against the spread
Season
13-17
Home
4-7
Road
7-8
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −2.5
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 1 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-13-1
Home
6-5
Road
7-7-1
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +6.5
Over 2 straightOver in 2 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 4 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | Utah Tech | N | L 74–80 | +1.5 | L−4.5 | 141.5 | O154 | 105.1 | 113.6 | 70.4 |
| Mar 11 | Tarleton St | N | W 84–78 | −1.0 | W+5.0 | 135.0 | O162 | 109.8 | 102.0 | 76.5 |
| Mar 7 | UT Arlington | H | L 57–64 | −1.0 | L−8.0 | 133.0 | U121 | 87.1 | 97.8 | 65.4 |
| Mar 5 | CA Baptist | A | L 48–87 | +10.0 | L−29.0 | 137.0 | U135 | 66.2 | 120.1 | 72.5 |
| Feb 28 | Utah Valley | A | L 67–74 | +15.0 | W+8.0 | 140.5 | O141 | 96.6 | 106.7 | 69.3 |
| Feb 26 | Utah Tech | A | L 81–85 | +2.0 | L−2.0 | 139.0 | O166 | 115.9 | 121.7 | 69.9 |
| Feb 21 | Southern Utah | H | W 87–83 | −8.0 | L−4.0 | 143.5 | O170 | 115.9 | 110.6 | 75.1 |
| Feb 16 | Tarleton St | A | L 62–65 OT | −1.0 | L−4.0 | 133.5 | U127 | 81.8 | 85.8 | 75.8 |
| Feb 14 | Tarleton St | H | W 73–59 | −3.0 | W+11.0 | 135.5 | U132 | 104.1 | 84.2 | 70.1 |
| Feb 12 | UT Arlington | H | W 67–63 | −1.5 | W+2.5 | 135.0 | U130 | 99.7 | 93.7 | 67.2 |
S Dakota St
Against the spread
Season
12-16-1
Home
4-5-1
Road
7-7
Last 10
3-6-1
avg cover −4.7
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 3 of 8 as a favorite, 1 push
Over / under
Season
13-16
Home
7-3
Road
5-9
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −4.5
Under 3 straightOver in 3 of 8 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5 | St Thomas | N | L 67–80 | +5.0 | L−8.0 | 150.0 | U147 | 104.3 | 124.5 | 64.3 |
| Feb 28 | South Dakota | A | L 70–75 | −3.0 | L−8.0 | 151.0 | U145 | 100.8 | 108.0 | 69.4 |
| Feb 26 | Kansas City | A | W 73–59 | −12.0 | W+2.0 | 151.0 | U132 | 113.8 | 92.0 | 64.1 |
| Feb 21 | North Dakota | H | W 91–83 | −8.0 | P0.0 | 151.5 | O174 | 138.3 | 126.2 | 65.8 |
| Feb 18 | N Dakota St | H | L 66–74 | +1.0 | L−7.0 | 147.0 | U140 | 100.8 | 113.0 | 65.5 |
| Feb 14 | Oral Roberts | A | W 87–69 | −5.5 | W+12.5 | 147.5 | O156 | 131.5 | 104.3 | 66.2 |
| Feb 12 | Denver | A | L 61–79 | −2.0 | L−20.0 | 160.5 | U140 | 96.2 | 124.5 | 63.4 |
| Feb 7 | South Dakota | H | L 67–68 | −11.5 | L−12.5 | 157.5 | U135 | 96.1 | 97.6 | 69.7 |
| Feb 4 | St Thomas | H | L 62–77 | −1.0 | L−16.0 | 157.0 | U139 | 99.3 | 123.4 | 62.4 |
| Jan 31 | Oral Roberts | H | W 95–72 | −13.0 | W+10.0 | 147.5 | O167 | 129.7 | 98.3 | 73.3 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeAbilene ChrstnS Dakota St
Efficiency
102.6
108.5
107.7
109.6
68.4
68.0
—
—
Shooting
47.5%
52.0%
48.0%
52.7%
31.0%
34.0%
70.4%
72.0%
41.7%
29.7%
Ball control & glass
20.8%
16.1%
23.4%
14.5%
31.0%
30.3%
29.1%
25.1%
12.3%
9.5%
12.6%
7.8%
Style
32.8%
38.8%
44.0%
46.0%
16.5%
9.7%
54.1%
51.3%
37.1%
28.6%
Roster
3.22
2.45
6'4.5"
6'4.8"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputAbilene Chrstn
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Abilene Chrstn's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
S Dakota St
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted S Dakota St's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sat, Dec 5 | 2026-27 | S Dakota St 0 – 0 Abilene Chrstn |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.