CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceHart Center Arena, Worcester, MA
UAlbany
Efficiency #306
2025-26: 11-21 · 7-10 conf
@
Holy Cross
Efficiency #325
2025-26: 11-22 · 6-14 conf
Sun, Nov 15 · TBD
70.4
win 41%
Projected
73.2
win 59%
No line posted yet.
Model: HC −2.7 · total 143.6 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Holy Cross 67.1, UAlbany 67.0 → 65.7 possessions
−5.6
Holy Cross offense vs UAlbany defense
0.0
UAlbany offense vs Holy Cross defense
+1.0
Projected total
143.6
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Holy Cross offense vs UAlbany defense
0.0
UAlbany offense vs Holy Cross defense
−1.0
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.8
Holy Cross by 2.7
2.7
UAlbany side ◂▸ Holy Cross side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +2.8 against +2.7. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Holy Cross.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 65.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Holy Cross is the faster team (65.8, #302 of 365) and UAlbany the slower (65.6, #311). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
65.7
per team, 40 min
Projected total
143.6
model
Projected team totals
70.4 / 73.2
UAlbany / Holy Cross
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
67.0#291
UAlbany
67.1#280
Holy Cross
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Half-court grind
Holy Cross averages 65.8 possessions per 40, UAlbany 65.6. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 65 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageHoly Cross
Where Holy Cross struggles: the offensive glass
Holy Cross rebounds 21.9% of its own misses (#356); UAlbany lets opponents grab 32.4% of their own misses (#277). Expect about 25.4%, 5.0 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.0 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageUAlbany
Where UAlbany scores: shooting
UAlbany shoots an effective 51.3% (#182); Holy Cross allows 54.8% (#324). Expect about 53.1%, 1.8 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.6 points per 100 possessions.
TurnoversHoly Cross
Holy Cross protects the ball
Projected turnover rate of 15.3% is worth roughly +1.8 points per 100 possessions for Holy Cross's offense.
ClashUAlbany
Style match: paint scoring
UAlbany scores 49.5% of its points in the paint; Holy Cross gives up 47.9% of opponents' points in the paint (D1 average 42.8%). Expect about 46.2% — both habits push the same way.
UAlbany has the ball
OffenseHoly Cross allowsvs D1 avg
51.3% #182
54.8% #324
+2.6 pt/100
18.5% #300
14.1% #332
+0.9 pt/100
32.7% #99
27.0% #37
-0.0 pt/100
24.9% #364
27.6% #30
-1.2 pt/100
65.9% #354
—
-0.6 pt/100
UAlbany net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.7 pts/100
Holy Cross has the ball
OffenseUAlbany allowsvs D1 avg
49.8% #248
53.2% #275
+0.2 pt/100
15.3% #86
15.8% #230
+1.8 pt/100
21.9% #356
32.4% #277
-3.0 pt/100
31.5% #268
35.7% #202
-0.2 pt/100
77.2% #29
—
+0.4 pt/100
Holy Cross net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -0.8 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersUAlbanyoffense vsHoly Crossdefense
Share of shots by zone
UAlbany shoots
42.2
6.8
13.1
37.9
Holy Cross allows
41.5
6.4
13.3
38.9
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.1%#228 | 63.4%#333 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 49.0%#14 | 50.0%#354 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.9%#146 | 43.3%#332 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.6%#248 | 34.0%#181 | 33.7% |
Holy Crossoffense vsUAlbanydefense
Share of shots by zone
Holy Cross shoots
33.1
8.5
22.4
36.0
UAlbany allows
40.4
5.2
13.7
40.7
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 54.6%#310 | 56.9%#110 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 46.2%#49 | 41.3%#219 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 46.0%#7 | 39.6%#225 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.5%#252 | 36.0%#302 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersUAlbany
−4.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#336 of 365
Off reb %
32.7%
#99
Def reb %
67.6%
#277
Turnover %
18.5%
#300
Forced TO %
15.8%
#230
FT rate
24.9%
#364
FT allowed
35.7%
#202
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.7
Defensive rebounding−0.6
Ball security−1.2
Forcing turnovers−0.6
Foul shots drawn−2.6
Foul shots allowed−0.1
Holy Cross
−1.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#248 of 365
Off reb %
21.9%
#356
Def reb %
73.0%
#37
Turnover %
15.3%
#86
Forced TO %
14.1%
#332
FT rate
31.5%
#268
FT allowed
27.6%
#30
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.8
Defensive rebounding+1.2
Ball security+1.0
Forcing turnovers−1.8
Foul shots drawn−0.9
Foul shots allowed+2.0
Holy Cross has more extra scoring chances per game: −1.3 (#248 of 365) to UAlbany’s −4.3 (#336).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
UAlbany2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted UAlbany's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Amir Lindsey | G | So | 5'11" | 31-31 | 37.6 | 17.9 | 3.3 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 51.7% | 34.9% | 5.6 | 79.2% | 29.2% | |
| 00 | Okechukwu Okeke | F | Sr | 6'10" | 32-25 | 29.8 | 10.8 | 7.3 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 69.3% | 100.0% | 0.0 | 56.5% | 20.5% | |
| 5 | Isaac Abidde | F | Sr | 6'9" | 32-29 | 25.3 | 9.4 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 56.1% | 36.2% | 4.0 | 65.0% | 22.9% | |
| 11 | Jaden Kempson | G | Jr | 6'3" | 24-20 | 31.0 | 10.2 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 43.1% | 29.5% | 3.3 | 62.2% | 24.9% | |
| 14 | Zacharie Matulu | G | So | 6'4" | 21-18 | 28.4 | 9.9 | 5.7 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 57.0% | 36.0% | 4.1 | 75.0% | 21.0% | |
| 4 | Miles Rose | G | So | 6'4" | 29-6 | 15.7 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 41.0% | 33.3% | 0.6 | 36.7% | 19.6% | |
| 24 | Tarique Foster | F | Jr | 6'8" | 22-8 | 20.3 | 5.9 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 48.8% | 33.3% | 4.1 | 64.7% | 20.3% | |
| 13 | Ma'Kye Taylor | F | So | 6'7" | 31-4 | 13.7 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 47.5% | 9.1% | 0.7 | 45.0% | 19.0% | |
| 8 | Nas Muhammad | G | Jr | 6'1" | 15-5 | 20.5 | 9.1 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 47.6% | 34.2% | 5.3 | 75.0% | 27.0% | |
| 22 | Abdoulaye Fall | G | Jr | 6'10" | 7-7 | 30.7 | 9.6 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 51.9% | 31.8% | 3.1 | 85.7% | 20.8% | |
| 7 | Ife West-Ingram | F | Jr | 6'7" | 9-1 | 14.3 | 6.9 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 72.6% | 25.0% | 0.4 | 50.0% | 21.2% | |
| 25 | Yaya Keita | C | Jr | 6'9" | 13-4 | 8.6 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 51.6% | — | 0.0 | 78.6% | 21.7% | |
| 10 | Bautista Giralt | C | So | 7'0" | 15-2 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 62.5% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 20.4% | |
| 33 | Sully Adewale | F | So | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Wilkin Paulino | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Will Richardson | G | Jr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Holy Cross2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Gabe Warren | G | Jr | 6'6" | 33-33 | 31.6 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 52.4% | 33.7% | 2.6 | 73.1% | 23.5% | |
| 0 | Tyler Boston | G | So | 6'0" | 32-32 | 32.0 | 14.2 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 49.7% | 35.9% | 4.0 | 82.3% | 27.2% | |
| 2 | DeAndre Williams | G | Jr | 6'3" | 33-18 | 25.5 | 7.9 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 48.1% | 31.1% | 2.7 | 81.0% | 21.7% | |
| 23 | Aidan Richard | F | So | 6'6" | 30-24 | 27.2 | 5.2 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 38.9% | 22.3% | 3.7 | 51.4% | 16.1% | |
| 30 | Joe Nugent | G | Jr | 6'6" | 21-21 | 29.7 | 11.8 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 59.1% | 40.7% | 5.6 | 87.2% | 21.2% | |
| 4 | John St. Germain III | G | Jr | 6'1" | 31-0 | 15.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 48.6% | 36.0% | 0.8 | 78.7% | 18.8% | |
| 34 | Declan Ryan | F | Jr | 6'8" | 26-4 | 13.5 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 55.2% | 25.0% | 0.5 | 62.5% | 24.9% | |
| 1 | Will Aljancic | F | Jr | 6'6" | 17-0 | 11.8 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 46.2% | 25.0% | 0.7 | 30.0% | 21.7% | |
| 22 | Chuck Hare | F | So | 6'10" | 24-3 | 7.7 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 46.7% | — | 0.0 | 62.5% | 19.7% | |
| 5 | Jaden Kirkwood | G | Sr | 6'5" | 16-1 | 6.5 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 34.6% | 16.7% | 0.4 | — | 9.2% | |
| 11 | Jude Haigh | G | Fr | 6'5" | 13-0 | 6.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 37.0% | 27.3% | 1.7 | 100.0% | 20.8% | |
| 15 | Tim Finau | F | Fr | 6'11" | 8-0 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 33.3% | 28.7% | |
| 33 | Austin Mejia | G | So | 6'3" | 7-0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 4.8% | |
| 25 | Ethan Clark | F | Fr | 6'7" | 7-0 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 5.9% | |
| 3 | Ben Capron | G | Sr | 6'0" | 3-0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
UAlbany2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted UAlbany's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Amir Lindsey | G | So | 5'11" | 31-31 | 37.6 | 17.9 | 3.3 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 51.7% | 34.9% | 5.6 | 79.2% | 29.2% | |
| 00 | Okechukwu Okeke | F | Sr | 6'10" | 32-25 | 29.8 | 10.8 | 7.3 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 69.3% | 100.0% | 0.0 | 56.5% | 20.5% | |
| 5 | Isaac Abidde | F | Sr | 6'9" | 32-29 | 25.3 | 9.4 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 56.1% | 36.2% | 4.0 | 65.0% | 22.9% | |
| 11 | Jaden Kempson | G | Jr | 6'3" | 24-20 | 31.0 | 10.2 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 43.1% | 29.5% | 3.3 | 62.2% | 24.9% | |
| 14 | Zacharie Matulu | G | So | 6'4" | 21-18 | 28.4 | 9.9 | 5.7 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 57.0% | 36.0% | 4.1 | 75.0% | 21.0% | |
| 4 | Miles Rose | G | So | 6'4" | 29-6 | 15.7 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 41.0% | 33.3% | 0.6 | 36.7% | 19.6% | |
| 24 | Tarique Foster | F | Jr | 6'8" | 22-8 | 20.3 | 5.9 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 48.8% | 33.3% | 4.1 | 64.7% | 20.3% | |
| 13 | Ma'Kye Taylor | F | So | 6'7" | 31-4 | 13.7 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 47.5% | 9.1% | 0.7 | 45.0% | 19.0% | |
| 8 | Nas Muhammad | G | Jr | 6'1" | 15-5 | 20.5 | 9.1 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 47.6% | 34.2% | 5.3 | 75.0% | 27.0% | |
| 22 | Abdoulaye Fall | G | Jr | 6'10" | 7-7 | 30.7 | 9.6 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 51.9% | 31.8% | 3.1 | 85.7% | 20.8% | |
| 7 | Ife West-Ingram | F | Jr | 6'7" | 9-1 | 14.3 | 6.9 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 72.6% | 25.0% | 0.4 | 50.0% | 21.2% | |
| 25 | Yaya Keita | C | Jr | 6'9" | 13-4 | 8.6 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 51.6% | — | 0.0 | 78.6% | 21.7% | |
| 10 | Bautista Giralt | C | So | 7'0" | 15-2 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 62.5% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 20.4% | |
| 33 | Sully Adewale | F | So | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Wilkin Paulino | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Will Richardson | G | Jr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26UAlbany
Against the spread
Season
11-18
Home
4-5
Road
5-12
Last 10
4-6
avg cover +0.6
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 1 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
14-15
Home
4-5
Road
8-9
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +0.8
Over in the last gameOver in 3 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | UMass Lowell | A | L 76–81 | +3.0 | L−2.0 | 147.5 | O157 | 112.7 | 120.1 | 67.5 |
| Mar 3 | Vermont | A | L 56–69 | +9.0 | L−4.0 | 137.0 | U125 | 91.7 | 112.9 | 61.1 |
| Feb 28 | New Hampshire | H | W 84–61 | −3.0 | W+20.0 | 139.0 | O145 | 125.3 | 91.0 | 67.0 |
| Feb 26 | Maine | H | L 59–70 | −5.5 | L−16.5 | 131.5 | U129 | 98.0 | 116.3 | 60.2 |
| Feb 21 | UMBC | A | L 62–66 | +6.0 | W+2.0 | 145.0 | U128 | 104.1 | 110.9 | 59.5 |
| Feb 19 | NJIT | A | W 81–63 | +4.0 | W+22.0 | 143.0 | O144 | 136.0 | 105.7 | 59.6 |
| Feb 14 | Binghamton | A | W 77–74 | −4.5 | L−1.5 | 137.0 | O151 | 112.4 | 108.0 | 68.5 |
| Feb 7 | UMass Lowell | H | L 79–89 | −3.5 | L−13.5 | 145.0 | O168 | 113.6 | 128.0 | 69.5 |
| Feb 5 | Bryant | A | W 65–63 | +1.0 | W+3.0 | 134.0 | U128 | 107.7 | 104.3 | 60.4 |
| Jan 31 | UMBC | H | L 65–68 | −1.0 | L−4.0 | 140.5 | U133 | 102.7 | 107.4 | 63.3 |
Holy Cross
Against the spread
Season
16-15
Home
6-6
Road
9-9
Last 10
5-5
avg cover 0.0
Covered 2 straightCovered 5 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
15-16
Home
7-5
Road
8-10
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +3.2
Under in the last gameOver in 4 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5 | Lehigh | A | L 66–69 | +5.5 | W+2.5 | 142.5 | U135 | 99.1 | 103.6 | 66.6 |
| Mar 3 | Lafayette | A | W 82–77 | +4.5 | W+9.5 | 141.5 | O159 | 121.4 | 114.0 | 67.5 |
| Feb 28 | Loyola MD | H | L 62–76 | −1.0 | L−15.0 | 151.0 | U138 | 97.9 | 120.0 | 63.3 |
| Feb 25 | Boston U | A | L 63–78 | +8.5 | L−6.5 | 142.0 | U141 | 99.0 | 122.5 | 63.7 |
| Feb 22 | Bucknell | A | W 72–63 | +2.5 | W+11.5 | 141.5 | U135 | 109.4 | 95.7 | 65.8 |
| Feb 18 | Lafayette | H | L 83–86 | −2.0 | L−5.0 | 139.5 | O169 | 116.1 | 120.3 | 71.5 |
| Feb 15 | Loyola MD | A | L 73–83 | +4.5 | L−5.5 | 145.5 | O156 | 112.2 | 127.5 | 65.1 |
| Feb 11 | Colgate | H | L 70–74 | +8.0 | W+4.0 | 143.0 | O144 | 102.3 | 108.1 | 68.5 |
| Feb 7 | Lehigh | H | W 76–67 | +1.5 | W+10.5 | 137.0 | O143 | 117.2 | 103.3 | 64.8 |
| Feb 2 | Boston U | H | L 64–72 | +2.0 | L−6.0 | 140.0 | U136 | 110.1 | 123.9 | 58.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeUAlbanyHoly Cross
Efficiency
105.5
103.6
113.4
113.1
67.0
67.1
—
—
Shooting
51.3%
49.8%
52.8%
50.4%
32.6%
32.5%
65.9%
77.2%
24.9%
31.5%
Ball control & glass
18.5%
15.3%
15.8%
14.1%
32.7%
21.9%
32.4%
27.0%
10.4%
9.7%
9.4%
8.3%
Style
37.6%
37.3%
49.5%
41.4%
13.7%
10.3%
48.9%
44.7%
26.3%
27.9%
Roster
2.86
2.63
6'5.2"
6'4.3"
—
87.9%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputUAlbany
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted UAlbany's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Holy Cross
Returning minutes: 87.9%Returning production: 86.0%
Lost
- Aiden Disu 24.1 mpg, 9.5 ppg · transferred to Iona
Added
Nobody of note.
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 88% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.