CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceCase Gym, Boston, MA
Dartmouth
Efficiency #254
2025-26: 11-16 · 5-9 conf
@
Boston U
Efficiency #237
2025-26: 17-17 · 12-9 conf
Sun, Nov 15 · TBD
73.1
win 34%
Projected
77.8
win 66%
No line posted yet.
Model: BU −4.7 · total 150.9 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Boston U 65.5, Dartmouth 69.7 → 66.9 possessions
−3.1
Boston U offense vs Dartmouth defense
+3.4
Dartmouth offense vs Boston U defense
+2.5
Projected total
150.9
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Boston U offense vs Dartmouth defense
+3.4
Dartmouth offense vs Boston U defense
−2.5
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.8
Boston U by 4.7
4.7
Dartmouth side ◂▸ Boston U side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 151.0 against a projected 150.9. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Boston U.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 66.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Dartmouth is the faster team (69.2, #130 of 365) and Boston U the slower (63.5, #361). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
66.9
per team, 40 min
Projected total
150.9
model
Projected team totals
73.1 / 77.8
Dartmouth / Boston U
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.7#74
Dartmouth
65.5#357
Boston U
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageBoston U
Where Boston U scores: shooting
Boston U shoots an effective 57.5% (#11); Dartmouth allows 52.7% (#254). Expect about 55.6%, 4.3 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +6.2 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageDartmouth
Where Dartmouth struggles: the offensive glass
Dartmouth rebounds 23.7% of its own misses (#346); Boston U lets opponents grab 28.0% of their own misses (#65). Expect about 24.6%, 5.8 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.6 points per 100 possessions.
Pace
Tempo tug-of-war
Boston U averages 63.5 possessions per 40, Dartmouth 69.2. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 65 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
TurnoversDartmouth
Dartmouth protects the ball
Projected turnover rate of 14.9% is worth roughly +2.3 points per 100 possessions for Dartmouth's offense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Boston U, Boston U's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Dartmouth at about 47.6% of its shots from three, Boston U about 42.8%.
TurnoversBoston U
Boston U protects the ball
Projected turnover rate of 15.4% is worth roughly +1.6 points per 100 possessions for Boston U's offense.
Dartmouth has the ball
OffenseBoston U allowsvs D1 avg
51.8% #156
53.6% #288
+2.1 pt/100
17.6% #247
13.0% #353
+2.3 pt/100
23.7% #346
28.0% #65
-3.6 pt/100
38.0% #103
30.5% #73
-0.2 pt/100
74.2% #119
—
+0.2 pt/100
Dartmouth net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +0.9 pts/100
Boston U has the ball
OffenseDartmouth allowsvs D1 avg
57.5% #11
52.7% #254
+6.2 pt/100
17.8% #255
13.8% #340
+1.6 pt/100
28.0% #269
29.7% #148
-1.2 pt/100
31.4% #270
30.7% #80
-0.5 pt/100
73.4% #157
—
+0.1 pt/100
Boston U net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +6.1 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersDartmouthoffense vsBoston Udefense
Share of shots by zone
Dartmouth shoots
34.0
5.1
12.2
48.6
Boston U allows
39.1
5.1
15.2
40.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.0%#274 | 54.3%#44 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 33.3%#312 | 53.8%#364 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 39.7%#119 | 45.4%#352 | 38.0% |
| Three | 36.1%#51 | 36.6%#330 | 33.7% |
Boston Uoffense vsDartmouthdefense
Share of shots by zone
Boston U shoots
37.6
5.1
14.0
43.3
Dartmouth allows
44.0
4.8
11.8
39.3
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 62.0%#73 | 58.3%#156 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 54.8%#1 | 44.8%#291 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 44.4%#20 | 32.9%#27 | 38.0% |
| Three | 38.8%#5 | 34.6%#227 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersDartmouth
−2.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#285 of 365
Off reb %
23.7%
#346
Def reb %
70.3%
#148
Turnover %
17.6%
#247
Forced TO %
13.8%
#340
FT rate
38.0%
#103
FT allowed
30.7%
#80
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.1
Defensive rebounding+0.3
Ball security−0.6
Forcing turnovers−2.0
Foul shots drawn+0.8
Foul shots allowed+1.2
Boston U
−2.8extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#298 of 365
Off reb %
28.0%
#269
Def reb %
72.0%
#65
Turnover %
17.8%
#255
Forced TO %
13.0%
#353
FT rate
31.4%
#270
FT allowed
30.5%
#73
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.8
Defensive rebounding+0.9
Ball security−0.7
Forcing turnovers−2.5
Foul shots drawn−0.9
Foul shots allowed+1.2
Dartmouth has more extra scoring chances per game: −2.5 (#285 of 365) to Boston U’s −2.8 (#298).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Dartmouth2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Dartmouth's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kareem Thomas | G | So | 6'5" | 26-25 | 29.2 | 15.9 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 53.5% | 44.7% | 4.0 | 79.5% | 30.6% | |
| 30 | Connor Amundsen | PG | So | 5'11" | 26-25 | 29.1 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 48.0% | 33.3% | 4.5 | 74.6% | 20.2% | |
| 21 | Brandon Mitchell-Day | F | Sr | 6'8" | 27-27 | 28.0 | 12.1 | 9.0 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 53.7% | 35.8% | 2.5 | 75.0% | 27.0% | |
| 22 | Jayden Williams | F | Sr | 6'6" | 26-26 | 27.3 | 11.8 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 54.0% | 35.6% | 6.9 | 84.8% | 25.9% | |
| 33 | Jackson Munro | F | Sr | 6'8" | 27-27 | 24.7 | 7.8 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 59.3% | 37.3% | 3.1 | 80.6% | 16.7% | |
| 5 | Cameron McNamee | G | So | 6'6" | 27-1 | 20.3 | 6.0 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 53.8% | 38.1% | 3.1 | 66.0% | 17.3% | |
| 11 | Cam Hiatt | G | Fr | 6'4" | 23-1 | 17.3 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 44.0% | 31.7% | 2.6 | 84.6% | 15.7% | |
| 23 | Nikola Abusara | G | Jr | 6'5" | 23-0 | 17.2 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 45.0% | 17.6% | 0.7 | 73.9% | 20.4% | |
| 0 | Ben Brown | G | Jr | 6'2" | 16-2 | 9.3 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 34.5% | 1.8 | — | 14.7% | |
| 10 | Anton Strelnikov | C | Fr | 6'8" | 18-0 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 66.3% | 50.0% | 0.1 | 53.3% | 33.7% | |
| 7 | Patrick Tivnan Jr. | F | Jr | 6'8" | 13-0 | 6.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 14.3% | 10.2% | |
| 44 | Shanon Simango | F | So | 6'8" | 10-0 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 66.7% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 60.9% | 31.1% | |
| 50 | Tyler Garrett | F | Fr | 6'10" | 8-0 | 5.3 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 59.4% | 33.3% | 1.1 | 50.0% | 26.3% | |
| 3 | Khai Lockwood | G | So | 6'1" | 7-0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 9.2% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Boston U2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Boston U's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Michael McNair | G | Jr | 6'5" | 34-34 | 36.1 | 16.9 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 61.4% | 44.4% | 7.3 | 73.8% | 25.5% | |
| 2 | Chance Gladden | G | Fr | 6'4" | 33-31 | 33.4 | 14.4 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 2.7 | 52.7% | 34.7% | 3.0 | 86.7% | 27.9% | |
| 6 | Sam Hughes | F | Fr | 6'6" | 34-26 | 30.1 | 9.0 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 52.9% | 37.2% | 5.4 | 80.6% | 19.5% | |
| 7 | Azmar Abdullah | G | So | 6'3" | 34-22 | 29.6 | 8.3 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 53.7% | 39.4% | 4.7 | 85.0% | 18.3% | |
| 14 | Ben Defty | F | So | 7'0" | 33-33 | 29.4 | 15.1 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 69.4% | — | 0.0 | 67.1% | 28.1% | |
| 21 | Donte Tisinger Jr. | G | Fr | 6'3" | 28-0 | 20.1 | 6.4 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 57.6% | 36.9% | 2.3 | 62.1% | 19.9% | |
| 30 | Ben Roy | G | Sr | 6'0" | 12-12 | 26.8 | 6.6 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 64.5% | 45.8% | 2.0 | 53.3% | 14.6% | |
| 3 | Malcolm Chimezie | F | Sr | 6'8" | 14-9 | 21.4 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 63.3% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 14.7% | |
| 32 | Quinn Nielsen | F | Jr | 6'11" | 29-0 | 8.3 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 57.1% | — | 0.0 | 48.1% | 12.1% | |
| 1 | Ethan Okwuosa | G | Sr | 6'3" | 8-2 | 19.3 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 39.3% | 25.0% | 2.5 | 66.7% | 19.0% | |
| 15 | Andrew Bhesania | F | Fr | 6'9" | 3-0 | 10.3 | 7.7 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 71.4% | 44.4% | 3.0 | 100.0% | 27.7% | |
| 8 | Peter Carr | G | So | 6'5" | 4-0 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.8 | 0.0% | 21.3% | |
| 5 | Kyrone Alexander | G | Jr | 6'5" | 1-1 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 21.7% | |
| 0 | Matai Baptiste | G | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 41 | Otto Landrum | F | Sr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 25 | Spencer Joyner | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Dartmouth2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Dartmouth's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kareem Thomas | G | So | 6'5" | 26-25 | 29.2 | 15.9 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 53.5% | 44.7% | 4.0 | 79.5% | 30.6% | |
| 30 | Connor Amundsen | PG | So | 5'11" | 26-25 | 29.1 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 48.0% | 33.3% | 4.5 | 74.6% | 20.2% | |
| 21 | Brandon Mitchell-Day | F | Sr | 6'8" | 27-27 | 28.0 | 12.1 | 9.0 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 53.7% | 35.8% | 2.5 | 75.0% | 27.0% | |
| 22 | Jayden Williams | F | Sr | 6'6" | 26-26 | 27.3 | 11.8 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 54.0% | 35.6% | 6.9 | 84.8% | 25.9% | |
| 33 | Jackson Munro | F | Sr | 6'8" | 27-27 | 24.7 | 7.8 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 59.3% | 37.3% | 3.1 | 80.6% | 16.7% | |
| 5 | Cameron McNamee | G | So | 6'6" | 27-1 | 20.3 | 6.0 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 53.8% | 38.1% | 3.1 | 66.0% | 17.3% | |
| 11 | Cam Hiatt | G | Fr | 6'4" | 23-1 | 17.3 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 44.0% | 31.7% | 2.6 | 84.6% | 15.7% | |
| 23 | Nikola Abusara | G | Jr | 6'5" | 23-0 | 17.2 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 45.0% | 17.6% | 0.7 | 73.9% | 20.4% | |
| 0 | Ben Brown | G | Jr | 6'2" | 16-2 | 9.3 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 34.5% | 1.8 | — | 14.7% | |
| 10 | Anton Strelnikov | C | Fr | 6'8" | 18-0 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 66.3% | 50.0% | 0.1 | 53.3% | 33.7% | |
| 7 | Patrick Tivnan Jr. | F | Jr | 6'8" | 13-0 | 6.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 14.3% | 10.2% | |
| 44 | Shanon Simango | F | So | 6'8" | 10-0 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 66.7% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 60.9% | 31.1% | |
| 50 | Tyler Garrett | F | Fr | 6'10" | 8-0 | 5.3 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 59.4% | 33.3% | 1.1 | 50.0% | 26.3% | |
| 3 | Khai Lockwood | G | So | 6'1" | 7-0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 9.2% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Dartmouth
Against the spread
Season
11-14
Home
2-9
Road
9-5
Last 10
3-7
avg cover −5.0
Missed the spread 3 straightCovered 3 of 9 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
12-13
Home
4-7
Road
8-6
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +0.6
Over 2 straightOver in 4 of 9 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | Cornell | H | L 90–111 | +4.5 | L−16.5 | 166.0 | O201 | 115.5 | 142.5 | 77.9 |
| Feb 28 | Princeton | A | L 61–82 | +2.0 | L−19.0 | 141.5 | O143 | 94.4 | 126.9 | 64.6 |
| Feb 27 | Penn | A | L 71–80 | +6.5 | L−2.5 | 153.5 | U151 | 102.6 | 115.6 | 69.2 |
| Feb 21 | Columbia | A | W 64–63 | +7.0 | W+8.0 | 151.5 | U127 | 95.3 | 93.8 | 67.2 |
| Feb 14 | Brown | H | L 76–79 | −3.0 | L−6.0 | 139.5 | O155 | 106.4 | 110.6 | 71.5 |
| Feb 13 | Yale | H | L 70–83 | +10.0 | L−3.0 | 151.5 | O153 | 102.5 | 121.5 | 68.3 |
| Feb 7 | Harvard | H | L 58–71 | +1.0 | L−12.0 | 140.5 | U129 | 90.1 | 110.3 | 64.4 |
| Jan 31 | Brown | A | W 77–70 OT | +2.0 | W+9.0 | 143.0 | O147 | 103.1 | 93.7 | 74.7 |
| Jan 30 | Yale | A | L 68–83 | +15.5 | W+0.5 | 155.0 | U151 | 105.8 | 129.1 | 64.3 |
| Jan 24 | Columbia | H | L 69–79 | +2.0 | L−8.0 | 157.0 | U148 | 96.6 | 110.6 | 71.4 |
Boston U
Against the spread
Season
17-14-2
Home
7-6-1
Road
9-8-1
Last 10
7-2-1
avg cover +5.5
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 7 as a favorite, 1 push
Over / under
Season
19-13-1
Home
9-4-1
Road
9-9
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +2.0
Under in the last gameOver in 4 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11 | Lehigh | A | L 60–74 | −2.0 | L−16.0 | 139.0 | U134 | 98.1 | 121.0 | 61.2 |
| Mar 8 | Navy | A | W 73–72 | +7.0 | W+8.0 | 136.5 | O145 | 119.1 | 117.4 | 61.3 |
| Mar 5 | American | H | W 75–73 | −2.0 | P0.0 | 142.5 | O148 | 124.8 | 121.4 | 60.1 |
| Feb 28 | American | A | W 68–65 | +3.5 | W+6.5 | 142.0 | U133 | 105.7 | 101.0 | 64.3 |
| Feb 25 | Holy Cross | H | W 78–63 | −8.5 | W+6.5 | 142.0 | U141 | 122.5 | 99.0 | 63.7 |
| Feb 22 | Lehigh | A | L 67–70 | −2.0 | L−5.0 | 141.0 | U137 | 114.0 | 119.1 | 58.8 |
| Feb 16 | Colgate | H | W 85–58 | +2.0 | W+29.0 | 146.0 | U143 | 148.4 | 101.3 | 57.3 |
| Feb 14 | Bucknell | H | W 82–69 | −5.5 | W+7.5 | 137.0 | O151 | 125.5 | 105.6 | 65.3 |
| Feb 11 | Army | A | W 85–68 | −3.0 | W+14.0 | 140.0 | O153 | 136.1 | 108.8 | 62.5 |
| Feb 7 | Loyola MD | H | W 78–69 | −5.0 | W+4.0 | 146.0 | O147 | 112.0 | 99.1 | 69.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeDartmouthBoston U
Efficiency
106.2
111.2
110.8
114.5
69.7
65.5
—
—
Shooting
51.8%
57.5%
49.4%
56.9%
36.1%
38.8%
74.2%
73.4%
38.0%
31.4%
Ball control & glass
17.6%
17.8%
13.8%
13.0%
23.7%
28.0%
29.7%
28.0%
10.5%
10.8%
10.4%
8.9%
Style
48.7%
43.8%
34.2%
40.7%
9.5%
7.0%
53.9%
53.6%
32.1%
23.5%
Roster
2.80
2.04
6'5.2"
6'5.6"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputDartmouth
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Dartmouth's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Boston U
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Boston U's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sat, Dec 13 | 2025-26 | Boston U 64 – 77 Dartmouth |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.