CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceProvident Credit Union Event Center, San Jose, CA
Alabama St
Efficiency #324
2025-26: 10-22 · 7-12 conf
@
San José St
Efficiency #282
2025-26: 9-24 · 4-18 conf
Sun, Nov 15 · TBD
72.1
win 30%
Projected
78.2
win 70%
No line posted yet.
Model: SJSU −6.1 · total 150.3 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: San José St 66.7, Alabama St 69.6 → 68.1 possessions
−0.6
San José St offense vs Alabama St defense
+2.4
Alabama St offense vs San José St defense
+0.2
Projected total
150.3
Axis starts at 146 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
San José St offense vs Alabama St defense
+2.4
Alabama St offense vs San José St defense
−0.2
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
San José St by 6.1
6.1
Alabama St side ◂▸ San José St side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 150.2 against a projected 150.3. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help San José St.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Alabama St is the faster team (71.3, #42 of 365) and San José St the slower (65.7, #305). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.1
per team, 40 min
Projected total
150.3
model
Projected team totals
72.1 / 78.2
Alabama St / San José St
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.6#75
Alabama St
66.7#306
San José St
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Tempo tug-of-war
San José St averages 65.7 possessions per 40, Alabama St 71.3. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 68 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageAlabama St
Where Alabama St scores: the offensive glass
Alabama St rebounds 31.9% of its own misses (#128); San José St lets opponents grab 36.5% of their own misses (#354). Expect about 34.4%, 4.0 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.4 points per 100 possessions.
TurnoversAlabama St
Alabama St turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 18.1% is worth roughly -1.6 points per 100 possessions against Alabama St's offense.
ClashAlabama St
Style clash: ball movement
Alabama St creates off the dribble (assists on 47.6% of its baskets); San José St allows assists on 57.7% of opponents' baskets (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 52.7% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.65 vs 0.65).
Alabama St has the ball
OffenseSan José St allowsvs D1 avg
47.1% #335
57.1% #359
+0.8 pt/100
18.3% #287
17.4% #122
-1.6 pt/100
31.9% #128
36.5% #354
+2.4 pt/100
34.9% #185
35.3% #189
+0.0 pt/100
70.5% #254
—
-0.2 pt/100
Alabama St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.5 pts/100
San José St has the ball
OffenseAlabama St allowsvs D1 avg
49.7% #255
52.2% #222
-0.7 pt/100
15.1% #77
18.7% #60
-0.4 pt/100
29.3% #225
31.5% #230
-0.1 pt/100
33.4% #225
42.3% #328
+0.4 pt/100
73.8% #140
—
+0.1 pt/100
San José St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -0.7 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersAlabama Stoffense vsSan José Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Alabama St shoots
38.1
5.0
17.4
39.4
San José St allows
43.3
7.2
10.9
38.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.4%#291 | 66.2%#360 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 32.9%#317 | 39.7%#181 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 34.3%#307 | 42.4%#314 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.8%#288 | 36.0%#305 | 33.7% |
San José Stoffense vsAlabama Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
San José St shoots
30.9
8.5
22.5
38.1
Alabama St allows
40.3
5.4
14.9
39.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.9%#278 | 61.2%#275 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 32.6%#321 | 35.3%#65 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 41.2%#76 | 35.0%#79 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.3%#97 | 34.2%#194 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersAlabama St
−1.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#246 of 365
Off reb %
31.9%
#128
Def reb %
68.5%
#230
Turnover %
18.3%
#287
Forced TO %
18.7%
#60
FT rate
34.9%
#185
FT allowed
42.3%
#328
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.5
Defensive rebounding−0.3
Ball security−1.0
Forcing turnovers+1.4
Foul shots drawn0.0
Foul shots allowed−1.8
San José St
−1.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#235 of 365
Off reb %
29.3%
#225
Def reb %
63.5%
#354
Turnover %
15.1%
#77
Forced TO %
17.4%
#122
FT rate
33.4%
#225
FT allowed
35.3%
#189
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.3
Defensive rebounding−1.9
Ball security+1.1
Forcing turnovers+0.5
Foul shots drawn−0.4
Foul shots allowed0.0
San José St has more extra scoring chances per game: −1.1 (#235 of 365) to Alabama St’s −1.3 (#246).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Alabama St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Alabama St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Micah Simpson | G | Sr | 6'2" | 32-32 | 32.7 | 13.9 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 43.8% | 33.2% | 6.9 | 76.5% | 29.6% | |
| 11 | Cameron Palesse | G | Jr | 6'5" | 32-31 | 27.7 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 42.2% | 37.5% | 1.3 | 64.0% | 14.2% | |
| 24 | Jerquarius Stanback | F | Fr | 6'9" | 32-32 | 24.6 | 8.8 | 5.8 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 52.9% | 14.3% | 0.7 | 67.8% | 21.2% | |
| 0 | Tyler Byrd | G | Jr | 6'3" | 31-12 | 24.1 | 10.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 51.4% | 30.0% | 2.6 | 77.4% | 24.8% | |
| 20 | Asjon Anderson | G | Sr | 6'2" | 28-20 | 26.6 | 14.2 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 42.8% | 31.2% | 6.1 | 83.0% | 36.0% | |
| 1 | Damarien Yates | G | Jr | 6'7" | 32-0 | 17.1 | 6.8 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 54.4% | 34.5% | 2.7 | 64.8% | 23.2% | |
| 23 | R'Chaun King | F | Fr | 6'6" | 29-17 | 12.8 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 59.5% | — | 0.0 | 72.1% | 20.1% | |
| 5 | Tyler Mack | G | Sr | 6'5" | 16-0 | 20.9 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 46.8% | 27.6% | 4.8 | 50.0% | 19.0% | |
| 4 | Mario Andrews | C | Sr | 6'6" | 31-1 | 9.2 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 50.0% | 20.0% | 0.2 | 38.9% | 12.3% | |
| 12 | Tyler Mason | F | Jr | 6'9" | 22-1 | 11.9 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 56.3% | 60.0% | 0.5 | 40.6% | 23.9% | |
| 25 | JaSteven Walker | F | Jr | 6'10" | 16-14 | 15.8 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 47.0% | 31.0% | 1.8 | 62.5% | 18.8% | |
| 3 | Trey Miller | G | Sr | 6'2" | 3-0 | 22.0 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 43.8% | 42.9% | 2.3 | 50.0% | 23.7% | |
| 22 | Kevin Alabi | F | So | 6'7" | 6-0 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 25.0% | — | 0.0 | 14.3% | 18.3% | |
| 13 | Jordon Marshall | G | Sr | 6'2" | 6-0 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 66.7% | 21.1% | |
| 7 | Damarion Bonds | G | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Damion Cox Jr. | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
San José St2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Melvin Bell Jr. | G | Fr | 6'4" | 33-24 | 33.4 | 8.7 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 44.9% | 27.0% | 1.9 | 62.4% | 18.0% | |
| 13 | Jermaine Washington | G | So | 6'1" | 25-24 | 34.7 | 11.5 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 51.0% | 36.7% | 5.9 | 62.3% | 22.0% | |
| 1 | Adrian Myers | F | So | 6'6" | 28-22 | 28.5 | 11.1 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 52.1% | 37.2% | 4.6 | 72.7% | 23.9% | |
| 99 | Sadraque NgaNga | F | Sr | 6'10" | 32-26 | 24.3 | 7.8 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 48.8% | 35.8% | 3.0 | 82.6% | 22.1% | |
| 7 | Pasha Goodarzi | G | So | 6'3" | 19-10 | 26.1 | 8.2 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 52.9% | 40.7% | 4.8 | 93.1% | 18.9% | |
| 32 | Yaphet Moundi | F | Sr | 6'8" | 13-11 | 26.7 | 12.5 | 7.6 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 52.6% | 20.0% | 0.4 | 73.8% | 27.1% | |
| 11 | Ben Roseborough | G | Fr | 6'4" | 11-9 | 27.6 | 12.0 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 50.0% | 41.1% | 5.1 | 82.1% | 26.3% | |
| 24 | Douglas Langford | F | Fr | 6'7" | 27-5 | 10.9 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 39.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 57.1% | 13.6% | |
| 33 | Marcus Overstreet | F | Jr | 6'9" | 26-4 | 10.5 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 54.2% | — | 0.0 | 52.6% | 18.1% | |
| 21 | Japhet Moupadele | F | Fr | 6'8" | 23-1 | 11.6 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 44.6% | 23.5% | 1.5 | 45.5% | 19.5% | |
| 2 | JaVaughn Hannah | G | Sr | 6'3" | 2-2 | 22.0 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 63.6% | 40.0% | 2.5 | 33.3% | 19.9% | |
| 14 | Eren Karakaya | C | Fr | 6'10" | 3-0 | 7.7 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 50.0% | 17.6% | |
| 17 | Jaden Goodall | F | Fr | 6'6" | 3-0 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 66.7% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 20.7% | |
| 20 | Christian Wise | F | So | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Damase Coly | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Alabama St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Alabama St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Micah Simpson | G | Sr | 6'2" | 32-32 | 32.7 | 13.9 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 43.8% | 33.2% | 6.9 | 76.5% | 29.6% | |
| 11 | Cameron Palesse | G | Jr | 6'5" | 32-31 | 27.7 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 42.2% | 37.5% | 1.3 | 64.0% | 14.2% | |
| 24 | Jerquarius Stanback | F | Fr | 6'9" | 32-32 | 24.6 | 8.8 | 5.8 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 52.9% | 14.3% | 0.7 | 67.8% | 21.2% | |
| 0 | Tyler Byrd | G | Jr | 6'3" | 31-12 | 24.1 | 10.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 51.4% | 30.0% | 2.6 | 77.4% | 24.8% | |
| 20 | Asjon Anderson | G | Sr | 6'2" | 28-20 | 26.6 | 14.2 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 42.8% | 31.2% | 6.1 | 83.0% | 36.0% | |
| 1 | Damarien Yates | G | Jr | 6'7" | 32-0 | 17.1 | 6.8 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 54.4% | 34.5% | 2.7 | 64.8% | 23.2% | |
| 23 | R'Chaun King | F | Fr | 6'6" | 29-17 | 12.8 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 59.5% | — | 0.0 | 72.1% | 20.1% | |
| 5 | Tyler Mack | G | Sr | 6'5" | 16-0 | 20.9 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 46.8% | 27.6% | 4.8 | 50.0% | 19.0% | |
| 4 | Mario Andrews | C | Sr | 6'6" | 31-1 | 9.2 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 50.0% | 20.0% | 0.2 | 38.9% | 12.3% | |
| 12 | Tyler Mason | F | Jr | 6'9" | 22-1 | 11.9 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 56.3% | 60.0% | 0.5 | 40.6% | 23.9% | |
| 25 | JaSteven Walker | F | Jr | 6'10" | 16-14 | 15.8 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 47.0% | 31.0% | 1.8 | 62.5% | 18.8% | |
| 3 | Trey Miller | G | Sr | 6'2" | 3-0 | 22.0 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 43.8% | 42.9% | 2.3 | 50.0% | 23.7% | |
| 22 | Kevin Alabi | F | So | 6'7" | 6-0 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 25.0% | — | 0.0 | 14.3% | 18.3% | |
| 13 | Jordon Marshall | G | Sr | 6'2" | 6-0 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 66.7% | 21.1% | |
| 7 | Damarion Bonds | G | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Damion Cox Jr. | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Alabama St
Against the spread
Season
13-18
Home
4-4
Road
8-11
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −1.2
Missed the spread 3 straightCovered 2 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
13-17-1
Home
2-6
Road
10-9
Last 10
3-6-1
avg vs total −6.2
Over in 1 of 5 as a favorite, 1 pushOver in 2 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9 | Alcorn St | N | L 65–77 | −7.5 | L−19.5 | 142.0 | P142 | 92.4 | 109.4 | 70.4 |
| Mar 5 | Grambling | H | L 63–65 | −2.5 | L−4.5 | 145.5 | U128 | 89.0 | 91.9 | 70.8 |
| Mar 3 | Southern | H | L 64–71 | +1.0 | L−6.0 | 153.0 | U135 | 90.2 | 100.0 | 71.0 |
| Feb 28 | Alabama A&M | A | W 89–88 | +1.0 | W+2.0 | 143.0 | O177 | 132.5 | 131.0 | 67.2 |
| Feb 21 | Florida A&M | A | L 63–76 | −1.5 | L−14.5 | 144.5 | U139 | 90.2 | 108.8 | 69.8 |
| Feb 19 | Bethune | A | L 71–82 | +5.5 | L−5.5 | 148.0 | O153 | 99.4 | 114.8 | 71.4 |
| Feb 16 | Miss Valley St | H | W 92–55 | −16.5 | W+20.5 | 143.0 | O147 | 127.3 | 76.1 | 72.3 |
| Feb 14 | AR-Pine Bluff | H | W 79–61 | −3.5 | W+14.5 | 150.0 | U140 | 109.1 | 84.2 | 72.4 |
| Feb 9 | Southern | A | L 68–69 | +7.0 | W+6.0 | 150.5 | U137 | 103.2 | 104.7 | 65.9 |
| Feb 7 | Grambling | A | L 47–57 | +5.0 | L−5.0 | 144.5 | U104 | 74.4 | 90.3 | 63.1 |
San José St
Against the spread
Season
15-16-1
Home
6-9
Road
7-5-1
Last 10
4-5-1
avg cover +4.1
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 9 as an underdogCovered 4 of 6 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
21-10-1
Home
11-4
Road
8-4-1
Last 10
10-0
avg vs total +14.4
Over 10 straightOver in 9 of 9 as an underdogOver in 6 of 6 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | New Mexico | N | L 77–93 | +15.5 | L−0.5 | 154.5 | O170 | 111.9 | 135.2 | 68.8 |
| Mar 11 | Boise St | N | W 84–74 | +14.5 | W+24.5 | 146.0 | O158 | 120.3 | 106.0 | 69.8 |
| Mar 7 | Wyoming | H | L 78–88 | +5.5 | L−4.5 | 148.0 | O166 | 129.4 | 146.0 | 60.3 |
| Mar 3 | Fresno St | A | L 68–82 | +7.5 | L−6.5 | 149.5 | O150 | 99.7 | 120.2 | 68.2 |
| Feb 28 | Colorado St | H | L 73–85 | +8.0 | L−4.0 | 145.5 | O158 | 114.7 | 133.6 | 63.6 |
| Feb 24 | Air Force | A | W 86–80 | −6.0 | P0.0 | 145.0 | O166 | 129.8 | 120.8 | 66.2 |
| Feb 21 | Boise St | A | L 69–84 | +17.5 | W+2.5 | 146.0 | O153 | 105.0 | 127.9 | 65.7 |
| Feb 17 | Nevada | H | W 87–71 | +11.0 | W+27.0 | 141.5 | O158 | 122.3 | 99.8 | 71.1 |
| Feb 14 | Grand Canyon | H | L 79–94 | +11.5 | L−3.5 | 139.0 | O173 | 121.6 | 144.7 | 65.0 |
| Feb 10 | UNLV | A | L 75–82 | +13.0 | W+6.0 | 150.0 | O157 | 110.7 | 121.1 | 67.7 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeAlabama StSan José St
Efficiency
102.1
109.0
111.6
115.1
69.6
66.7
—
—
Shooting
47.1%
49.7%
46.8%
47.6%
31.8%
35.3%
70.5%
73.8%
34.9%
33.4%
Ball control & glass
18.3%
15.1%
18.7%
17.4%
31.9%
29.3%
31.5%
36.5%
10.5%
8.2%
11.0%
8.3%
Style
38.5%
38.3%
41.5%
38.6%
17.7%
10.6%
47.6%
42.2%
35.4%
22.5%
Roster
3.02
2.11
6'5"
6'5.4"
—
84.6%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputAlabama St
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Alabama St's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
San José St
Returning minutes: 84.6%Returning production: 73.6%
Lost
- Colby Garland 30.9 mpg, 17.8 ppg · transferred to Georgia Tech
Added
- Damase Coly no D1 minutes last season
- Christian Wise no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 85% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.