CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneSteps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 145.2 against a projected 145.3. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Saint Joseph's.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesProjected possessions: 66.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Saint Joseph's is the faster team (68.2, #192 of 365) and Boston U the slower (63.5, #361). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetShot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 62.0%#73 | 52.6%#21 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 54.8%#1 | 41.5%#226 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 44.4%#20 | 38.3%#168 | 38.0% |
| Three | 38.8%#5 | 31.7%#51 | 33.7% |
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.2%#189 | 54.3%#44 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 35.7%#273 | 53.8%#364 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 34.0%#312 | 45.4%#352 | 38.0% |
| Three | 30.8%#325 | 36.6%#330 | 33.7% |
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersSaint Joseph's has more extra scoring chances per game: 0.0 (#181 of 365) to Boston U’s −2.8 (#298).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Michael McNair | G | Jr | 6'5" | 34-34 | 36.1 | 16.9 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 61.4% | 44.4% | 7.3 | 73.8% | 25.5% | |
| 2 | Chance Gladden | G | Fr | 6'4" | 33-31 | 33.4 | 14.4 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 2.7 | 52.7% | 34.7% | 3.0 | 86.7% | 27.9% | |
| 6 | Sam Hughes | F | Fr | 6'6" | 34-26 | 30.1 | 9.0 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 52.9% | 37.2% | 5.4 | 80.6% | 19.5% | |
| 7 | Azmar Abdullah | G | So | 6'3" | 34-22 | 29.6 | 8.3 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 53.7% | 39.4% | 4.7 | 85.0% | 18.3% | |
| 14 | Ben Defty | F | So | 7'0" | 33-33 | 29.4 | 15.1 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 69.4% | — | 0.0 | 67.1% | 28.1% | |
| 21 | Donte Tisinger Jr. | G | Fr | 6'3" | 28-0 | 20.1 | 6.4 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 57.6% | 36.9% | 2.3 | 62.1% | 19.9% | |
| 30 | Ben Roy | G | Sr | 6'0" | 12-12 | 26.8 | 6.6 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 64.5% | 45.8% | 2.0 | 53.3% | 14.6% | |
| 3 | Malcolm Chimezie | F | Sr | 6'8" | 14-9 | 21.4 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 63.3% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 14.7% | |
| 32 | Quinn Nielsen | F | Jr | 6'11" | 29-0 | 8.3 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 57.1% | — | 0.0 | 48.1% | 12.1% | |
| 1 | Ethan Okwuosa | G | Sr | 6'3" | 8-2 | 19.3 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 39.3% | 25.0% | 2.5 | 66.7% | 19.0% | |
| 15 | Andrew Bhesania | F | Fr | 6'9" | 3-0 | 10.3 | 7.7 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 71.4% | 44.4% | 3.0 | 100.0% | 27.7% | |
| 8 | Peter Carr | G | So | 6'5" | 4-0 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.8 | 0.0% | 21.3% | |
| 5 | Kyrone Alexander | G | Jr | 6'5" | 1-1 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 21.7% | |
| 0 | Matai Baptiste | G | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 41 | Otto Landrum | F | Sr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 25 | Spencer Joyner | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Derek Simpson | G | Sr | 6'3" | 36-36 | 33.9 | 13.8 | 5.3 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 49.1% | 31.5% | 5.0 | 91.7% | 25.5% | |
| 11 | Jaiden Glover-Toscano | G | So | 6'6" | 34-34 | 31.4 | 15.7 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 52.2% | 34.6% | 7.6 | 72.8% | 29.4% | |
| 7 | Dasear Haskins | G | So | 6'8" | 36-36 | 27.7 | 11.1 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 53.8% | 29.9% | 3.5 | 67.6% | 23.6% | |
| 13 | Austin Williford | G | Fr | 6'4" | 36-19 | 26.2 | 7.8 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 47.5% | 33.6% | 4.0 | 69.8% | 20.4% | |
| 22 | Justice Ajogbor | C | Sr | 6'10" | 36-33 | 26.0 | 6.5 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 66.4% | — | 0.0 | 60.0% | 13.0% | |
| 5 | Anthony Finkley | F | Jr | 6'7" | 35-13 | 19.0 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 38.2% | 28.8% | 3.2 | 80.8% | 22.2% | |
| 3 | Khaafiq Myers | G | Fr | 5'10" | 34-0 | 15.8 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 42.8% | 25.0% | 1.8 | 60.6% | 25.4% | |
| 23 | Mekai Johnson | G | So | 6'5" | 17-0 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 52.9% | 18.2% | 0.6 | 100.0% | 15.8% | |
| 21 | Al Amadou | F | So | 6'9" | 11-0 | 6.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 54.5% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 42.9% | 15.9% | |
| 15 | Steven Solano | C | So | 7'0" | 8-0 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 77.8% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 23.8% | |
| 24 | Will Lange | G | Jr | 6'4" | 5-0 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 100.0% | 15.6% | |
| 20 | Billy Rayer | G | So | 5'11" | 6-0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 0.5 | — | 18.4% | |
| 6 | Owen Verna | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Michael McNair | G | Jr | 6'5" | 34-34 | 36.1 | 16.9 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 61.4% | 44.4% | 7.3 | 73.8% | 25.5% | |
| 2 | Chance Gladden | G | Fr | 6'4" | 33-31 | 33.4 | 14.4 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 2.7 | 52.7% | 34.7% | 3.0 | 86.7% | 27.9% | |
| 6 | Sam Hughes | F | Fr | 6'6" | 34-26 | 30.1 | 9.0 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 52.9% | 37.2% | 5.4 | 80.6% | 19.5% | |
| 7 | Azmar Abdullah | G | So | 6'3" | 34-22 | 29.6 | 8.3 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 53.7% | 39.4% | 4.7 | 85.0% | 18.3% | |
| 14 | Ben Defty | F | So | 7'0" | 33-33 | 29.4 | 15.1 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 69.4% | — | 0.0 | 67.1% | 28.1% | |
| 21 | Donte Tisinger Jr. | G | Fr | 6'3" | 28-0 | 20.1 | 6.4 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 57.6% | 36.9% | 2.3 | 62.1% | 19.9% | |
| 30 | Ben Roy | G | Sr | 6'0" | 12-12 | 26.8 | 6.6 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 64.5% | 45.8% | 2.0 | 53.3% | 14.6% | |
| 3 | Malcolm Chimezie | F | Sr | 6'8" | 14-9 | 21.4 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 63.3% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 14.7% | |
| 32 | Quinn Nielsen | F | Jr | 6'11" | 29-0 | 8.3 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 57.1% | — | 0.0 | 48.1% | 12.1% | |
| 1 | Ethan Okwuosa | G | Sr | 6'3" | 8-2 | 19.3 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 39.3% | 25.0% | 2.5 | 66.7% | 19.0% | |
| 15 | Andrew Bhesania | F | Fr | 6'9" | 3-0 | 10.3 | 7.7 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 71.4% | 44.4% | 3.0 | 100.0% | 27.7% | |
| 8 | Peter Carr | G | So | 6'5" | 4-0 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.8 | 0.0% | 21.3% | |
| 5 | Kyrone Alexander | G | Jr | 6'5" | 1-1 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 21.7% | |
| 0 | Matai Baptiste | G | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 41 | Otto Landrum | F | Sr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 25 | Spencer Joyner | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11 | Lehigh | A | L 60–74 | −2.0 | L−16.0 | 139.0 | U134 | 98.1 | 121.0 | 61.2 |
| Mar 8 | Navy | A | W 73–72 | +7.0 | W+8.0 | 136.5 | O145 | 119.1 | 117.4 | 61.3 |
| Mar 5 | American | H | W 75–73 | −2.0 | P0.0 | 142.5 | O148 | 124.8 | 121.4 | 60.1 |
| Feb 28 | American | A | W 68–65 | +3.5 | W+6.5 | 142.0 | U133 | 105.7 | 101.0 | 64.3 |
| Feb 25 | Holy Cross | H | W 78–63 | −8.5 | W+6.5 | 142.0 | U141 | 122.5 | 99.0 | 63.7 |
| Feb 22 | Lehigh | A | L 67–70 | −2.0 | L−5.0 | 141.0 | U137 | 114.0 | 119.1 | 58.8 |
| Feb 16 | Colgate | H | W 85–58 | +2.0 | W+29.0 | 146.0 | U143 | 148.4 | 101.3 | 57.3 |
| Feb 14 | Bucknell | H | W 82–69 | −5.5 | W+7.5 | 137.0 | O151 | 125.5 | 105.6 | 65.3 |
| Feb 11 | Army | A | W 85–68 | −3.0 | W+14.0 | 140.0 | O153 | 136.1 | 108.8 | 62.5 |
| Feb 7 | Loyola MD | H | W 78–69 | −5.0 | W+4.0 | 146.0 | O147 | 112.0 | 99.1 | 69.6 |
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24 | New Mexico | A | L 69–84 | +10.5 | L−4.5 | 155.0 | U153 | 93.5 | 113.9 | 73.8 |
| Mar 22 | California | A | W 76–75 | +5.5 | W+6.5 | 151.5 | U151 | 111.9 | 110.4 | 67.9 |
| Mar 18 | Colorado St | A | W 69–64 | +6.0 | W+11.0 | 145.5 | U133 | 103.0 | 95.5 | 67.0 |
| Mar 14 | VCU | N | L 64–77 | +6.5 | L−6.5 | 146.0 | U141 | 98.4 | 118.4 | 65.0 |
| Mar 13 | Davidson | N | W 70–58 | −2.0 | W+10.0 | 132.5 | U128 | 114.6 | 95.0 | 61.1 |
| Mar 7 | La Salle | H | W 88–76 | −10.5 | W+1.5 | 142.5 | O164 | 128.0 | 110.5 | 68.8 |
| Mar 4 | Davidson | A | W 70–67 | +2.5 | W+5.5 | 137.0 | P137 | 106.7 | 102.1 | 65.6 |
| Feb 28 | Rhode Island | A | W 61–55 | +2.0 | W+8.0 | 141.0 | U116 | 86.8 | 78.3 | 70.3 |
| Feb 25 | George Mason | H | W 81–63 | +1.0 | W+19.0 | 136.5 | O144 | 125.7 | 97.7 | 64.5 |
| Feb 21 | Loyola Chicago | H | W 75–61 | −9.5 | W+4.5 | 142.0 | U136 | 113.9 | 92.6 | 65.9 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeOffseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputReturns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
- Jaden Smith 9.1 mpg, 2.8 ppg · transferred to Ball State
- Deuce Jones 7.5 mpg, 4.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kevin Kearney 1.6 mpg, 0.3 ppg · transferred to Manhattan
- Owen Verna no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 91% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastThe CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.