CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceAmica Mutual Pavilion, Providence, RI
Fairfield
Efficiency #230
2025-26: 21-13 · 13-10 conf
@
Providence
Efficiency #81
2025-26: 15-18 · 8-14 conf
Tue, Dec 8 · TBD
74.8
win 19%
Projected
85.0
win 81%
No line posted yet.
Model: PROV −10.2 · total 159.8 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Providence 70.9, Fairfield 68.1 → 70.7 possessions
+5.2
Providence offense vs Fairfield defense
+6.3
Fairfield offense vs Providence defense
+0.1
Projected total
159.8
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Providence offense vs Fairfield defense
+6.3
Fairfield offense vs Providence defense
−0.1
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.1
Providence by 10.2
10.2
Fairfield side ◂▸ Providence side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +10.3 against +10.2. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Providence.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 70.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Providence is the faster team (72.3, #21 of 365) and Fairfield the slower (67.1, #239). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
70.7
per team, 40 min
Projected total
159.8
model
Projected team totals
74.8 / 85.0
Fairfield / Providence
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.1#203
Fairfield
70.9#18
Providence
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageFairfield
Where Fairfield scores: ball control
Fairfield turns it over on 15.3% of possessions (#92); Providence forces turnovers on 13.1% of opponent possessions (#352). Expect about 13.6%, 3.1 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.9 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageProvidence
Where Providence scores: shooting
Providence shoots an effective 55.0% (#37); Fairfield allows 51.0% (#159). Expect about 53.3%, 2.0 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.8 points per 100 possessions.
Pace
Tempo tug-of-war
Providence averages 72.3 possessions per 40, Fairfield 67.1. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 70 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
GlassFairfield
Fairfield owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 34.4% is worth roughly +2.4 points per 100 possessions for Fairfield's offense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Providence) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Fairfield at about 35.6% of its shots from three, Providence about 38.0%.
Fairfield has the ball
OffenseProvidence allowsvs D1 avg
48.8% #294
51.4% #179
-2.0 pt/100
15.3% #92
13.1% #352
+3.9 pt/100
35.8% #29
30.8% #195
+2.4 pt/100
27.7% #346
32.7% #125
-0.6 pt/100
70.5% #255
—
-0.2 pt/100
Fairfield net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.5 pts/100
Providence has the ball
OffenseFairfield allowsvs D1 avg
55.0% #37
51.0% #159
+2.8 pt/100
16.7% #174
16.8% #165
+0.0 pt/100
31.7% #135
29.1% #116
+0.2 pt/100
36.7% #138
30.4% #69
-0.2 pt/100
75.7% #60
—
+0.3 pt/100
Providence net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.1 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersFairfieldoffense vsProvidencedefense
Share of shots by zone
Fairfield shoots
41.6
3.5
19.1
35.8
Providence allows
37.3
6.1
18.4
38.1
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 52.7%#343 | 57.2%#121 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 47.7%#29 | 46.7%#329 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.6%#165 | 37.9%#154 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.2%#216 | 35.3%#265 | 33.7% |
Providenceoffense vsFairfielddefense
Share of shots by zone
Providence shoots
40.7
4.6
14.1
40.5
Fairfield allows
46.9
3.4
14.3
35.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 61.2%#88 | 55.7%#78 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.7%#156 | 51.7%#358 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.2%#107 | 34.0%#49 | 38.0% |
| Three | 36.4%#45 | 34.3%#200 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersFairfield
+2.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#71 of 365
Off reb %
35.8%
#29
Def reb %
70.9%
#116
Turnover %
15.3%
#92
Forced TO %
16.8%
#165
FT rate
27.7%
#346
FT allowed
30.4%
#69
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.7
Defensive rebounding+0.5
Ball security+1.0
Forcing turnovers+0.1
Foul shots drawn−1.9
Foul shots allowed+1.2
Providence
−0.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#228 of 365
Off reb %
31.7%
#135
Def reb %
69.2%
#195
Turnover %
16.7%
#174
Forced TO %
13.1%
#352
FT rate
36.7%
#138
FT allowed
32.7%
#125
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.4
Defensive rebounding−0.1
Ball security+0.1
Forcing turnovers−2.4
Foul shots drawn+0.4
Foul shots allowed+0.6
Fairfield has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.6 (#71 of 365) to Providence’s −0.9 (#228).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Fairfield2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | Declan Wucherpfennig | G | So | 6'7" | 34-34 | 31.6 | 12.1 | 8.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 55.7% | 31.7% | 1.9 | 65.7% | 22.1% | |
| 12 | Qadir Martinat Mercyhurst | F | Jr | 6'5" | 34-33 | 31.4 | 11.6 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 58.9% | 22.2% | 0.5 | 58.1% | 21.2% | |
| 8 | Tony Williams | G | So | 6'1" | 33-23 | 20.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 47.4% | 32.0% | 3.7 | 68.0% | 22.6% | |
| 1 | Eric Mejia | G | Jr | 6'3" | 34-7 | 18.9 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 38.7% | 30.6% | 1.1 | 73.3% | 20.0% | |
| 4 | Halon Rawlins | G | So | 6'6" | 33-23 | 16.9 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 39.9% | 25.0% | 2.1 | 60.9% | 19.4% | |
| 15 | Isaac Munkadi | F | Jr | 6'10" | 34-3 | 9.4 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 57.3% | 25.0% | 0.1 | 51.2% | 17.1% | |
| 88 | Marko Radunovicat Boston College | F | So | 6'6" | 18-0 | 9.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 30.8% | 23.1% | 1.4 | 70.0% | 25.6% | |
| 5 | Nasir Rodriguez | G | So | 6'4" | 22-0 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 36.4% | 31.6% | 1.7 | 66.7% | 32.8% | |
| 24 | Joe Ganton | G | Sr | 6'4" | 3-0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 40.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 43.2% | |
| 9 | Tanner Ostop | G | Sr | 6'0" | 3-0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 33.9% | |
| 13 | Noah Best | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 33 | Peyton Smith | F | Sr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 25 | Brayden Jones | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Cole Edelen | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Jaden Brown | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Jah Hatchett | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 23 | Oesoemana Sacko | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Qadir Martin (from Mercyhurst), Marko Radunovic (from Boston College)
Providence2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Stefan Vaaks | G | Fr | 6'7" | 31-22 | 31.5 | 15.8 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 52.2% | 35.0% | 8.4 | 83.9% | 27.9% | |
| 11 | Ryan Mela | G | So | 6'7" | 33-22 | 25.9 | 9.9 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 53.9% | 32.1% | 1.7 | 80.5% | 21.6% | |
| 55 | Oswin Erhunmwunse | F | So | 6'10" | 33-31 | 25.0 | 6.9 | 8.3 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 67.3% | — | 0.0 | 52.5% | 15.0% | |
| 1 | Jason Edwards | G | Sr | 6'1" | 23-13 | 26.7 | 16.5 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 51.6% | 34.3% | 6.1 | 79.0% | 33.8% | |
| 14 | Corey Floyd Jr. | G | Sr | 6'4" | 24-18 | 25.4 | 7.6 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 49.3% | 37.3% | 2.1 | 79.5% | 18.5% | |
| 13 | Cole Hargrove | F | Sr | 6'8" | 29-1 | 13.1 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 51.4% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 66.7% | 8.8% | |
| 31 | Duncan Powell | F | Sr | 6'8" | 22-5 | 16.6 | 4.6 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 47.7% | 30.8% | 3.0 | 60.7% | 17.6% | |
| 20 | Nilavan Daniels | G | So | 6'3" | 20-1 | 9.8 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 69.6% | 47.6% | 1.1 | 77.8% | 8.8% | |
| 17 | Peteris Pinnis | F | Fr | 7'0" | 18-0 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 53.8% | — | 0.0 | 33.3% | 16.9% | |
| 4 | Jaylen Harrell | G | Fr | 6'5" | 6-0 | 8.8 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 59.4% | 27.3% | 1.8 | 100.0% | 17.8% | |
| 3 | Daquan Davis | G | So | 6'1" | 3-0 | 9.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.7 | 0.0% | 9.9% | |
| 8 | Jack Williams | G | Sr | 6'4" | 7-0 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 0.4 | — | 12.8% | |
| 10 | Rich Barron | F | Jr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Fairfield2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | Declan Wucherpfennig | G | So | 6'7" | 34-34 | 31.6 | 12.1 | 8.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 55.7% | 31.7% | 1.9 | 65.7% | 22.1% | |
| 12 | Qadir Martinat Mercyhurst | F | Jr | 6'5" | 34-33 | 31.4 | 11.6 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 58.9% | 22.2% | 0.5 | 58.1% | 21.2% | |
| 8 | Tony Williams | G | So | 6'1" | 33-23 | 20.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 47.4% | 32.0% | 3.7 | 68.0% | 22.6% | |
| 1 | Eric Mejia | G | Jr | 6'3" | 34-7 | 18.9 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 38.7% | 30.6% | 1.1 | 73.3% | 20.0% | |
| 4 | Halon Rawlins | G | So | 6'6" | 33-23 | 16.9 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 39.9% | 25.0% | 2.1 | 60.9% | 19.4% | |
| 15 | Isaac Munkadi | F | Jr | 6'10" | 34-3 | 9.4 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 57.3% | 25.0% | 0.1 | 51.2% | 17.1% | |
| 88 | Marko Radunovicat Boston College | F | So | 6'6" | 18-0 | 9.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 30.8% | 23.1% | 1.4 | 70.0% | 25.6% | |
| 5 | Nasir Rodriguez | G | So | 6'4" | 22-0 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 36.4% | 31.6% | 1.7 | 66.7% | 32.8% | |
| 24 | Joe Ganton | G | Sr | 6'4" | 3-0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 40.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 43.2% | |
| 9 | Tanner Ostop | G | Sr | 6'0" | 3-0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 33.9% | |
| 13 | Noah Best | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 33 | Peyton Smith | F | Sr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 25 | Brayden Jones | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Cole Edelen | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Jaden Brown | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Jah Hatchett | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 23 | Oesoemana Sacko | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Qadir Martin (from Mercyhurst), Marko Radunovic (from Boston College)
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Fairfield
Against the spread
Season
15-18
Home
5-10
Road
8-7
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +2.5
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 4 of 6 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
13-20
Home
3-12
Road
10-5
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −4.4
Under 5 straightOver in 1 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | Siena | N | L 61–76 | +1.5 | L−13.5 | 138.0 | U137 | 95.5 | 119.0 | 63.9 |
| Mar 6 | Saint Peter's | N | W 74–55 | +2.5 | W+21.5 | 137.5 | U129 | 114.7 | 85.3 | 64.5 |
| Mar 5 | Manhattan | N | W 71–60 | −4.5 | W+6.5 | 148.0 | U131 | 104.5 | 88.3 | 67.9 |
| Mar 1 | Mount St Marys | H | L 47–69 | −3.5 | L−25.5 | 146.5 | U116 | 70.3 | 103.2 | 66.8 |
| Feb 27 | Siena | H | W 72–58 | +1.0 | W+15.0 | 142.5 | U130 | 102.9 | 82.9 | 69.9 |
| Feb 22 | Quinnipiac | A | W 85–79 | +6.5 | W+12.5 | 150.5 | O164 | 124.3 | 115.5 | 68.4 |
| Feb 20 | Sacred Heart | H | W 78–68 | −5.0 | W+5.0 | 158.0 | U146 | 113.2 | 98.7 | 68.9 |
| Feb 15 | Saint Peter's | A | L 74–83 | +4.0 | L−5.0 | 142.0 | O157 | 107.6 | 120.7 | 68.8 |
| Feb 7 | Marist | H | W 63–60 | +1.0 | W+4.0 | 138.0 | U123 | 103.0 | 98.1 | 61.2 |
| Feb 5 | Sacred Heart | A | W 92–87 | −1.0 | W+4.0 | 155.0 | O179 | 129.1 | 122.1 | 71.2 |
Providence
Against the spread
Season
18-14-1
Home
9-7
Road
6-5-1
Last 10
5-4-1
avg cover +0.7
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 6 as an underdog, 1 push
Over / under
Season
22-11
Home
11-5
Road
8-4
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −3.0
Under in the last gameOver in 3 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | #13St John's | A | L 72–85 | +12.0 | L−1.0 | 159.5 | U157 | 95.4 | 112.6 | 75.5 |
| Mar 11 | Butler | N | W 91–81 | −2.0 | W+8.0 | 162.5 | O172 | 125.4 | 111.6 | 72.6 |
| Mar 7 | Georgetown | A | L 79–80 | +1.0 | P0.0 | 157.0 | O159 | 108.5 | 109.8 | 72.8 |
| Mar 4 | Marquette | H | L 56–78 | −4.5 | L−26.5 | 162.0 | U134 | 78.9 | 109.9 | 71.0 |
| Feb 28 | Creighton | A | W 79–76 | +4.0 | W+7.0 | 167.0 | U155 | 116.3 | 111.9 | 67.9 |
| Feb 25 | Xavier | H | W 94–84 | −5.5 | W+4.5 | 170.0 | O178 | 135.3 | 120.9 | 69.5 |
| Feb 21 | DePaul | A | W 71–68 | +3.0 | W+6.0 | 152.5 | U139 | 105.7 | 101.2 | 67.2 |
| Feb 14 | #17St John's | H | L 69–79 | +7.5 | L−2.5 | 167.0 | U148 | 91.6 | 104.9 | 75.3 |
| Feb 11 | Seton Hall | A | L 80–87 | +5.0 | L−2.0 | 150.5 | O167 | 116.8 | 127.1 | 68.5 |
| Feb 7 | DePaul | H | W 90–72 | −5.0 | W+13.0 | 153.5 | O162 | 125.8 | 100.6 | 71.5 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeFairfieldProvidence
Efficiency
107.4
115.4
110.4
109.8
68.1
70.9
—
—
Shooting
48.8%
55.0%
48.2%
55.3%
33.2%
36.4%
70.5%
75.7%
27.7%
36.7%
Ball control & glass
15.3%
16.7%
16.8%
13.1%
35.8%
31.7%
29.1%
30.8%
8.7%
10.4%
10.5%
8.6%
Style
35.4%
40.5%
44.5%
43.4%
12.8%
14.3%
45.2%
47.5%
31.1%
30.8%
Roster
2.44
2.57
6'5.1"
6'6.4"
50.2%
73.6%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputFairfield
Returning minutes: 50.2%Returning production: 45.6%
Lost
- Braden Sparks 33.3 mpg, 17.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Brandon Benjamin 29.5 mpg, 13.4 ppg · transferred to Boston College
- Deuce Turner 20.0 mpg, 8.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Ryan Zan 7.0 mpg, 0.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Cam Estevez 6.8 mpg, 2.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Michael Rogan 3.2 mpg, 0.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Qadir Martin from Mercyhurst · 31.4 mpg, 11.6 ppg last season
- Marko Radunovic from Boston College · 5.4 mpg, 1.3 ppg last season
- Cole Edelen no D1 minutes last season
- Jaden Brown no D1 minutes last season
- Jah Hatchett no D1 minutes last season
- Noah Best no D1 minutes last season
Returns 50% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5 (1 transferred).
Providence
Returning minutes: 73.6%Returning production: 69.1%
Lost
- Jaylin Sellers 30.0 mpg, 18.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jamier Jones 24.2 mpg, 11.2 ppg · transferred to Missouri
Added
- Rich Barron no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 74% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.