CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceJMA Wireless Dome, Syracuse, NY
Colgate
Efficiency #223
2025-26: 18-15 · 12-8 conf
@
Syracuse
Efficiency #85
2025-26: 15-17 · 6-13 conf
Tue, Dec 8 · TBD
70.2
win 22%
Projected
79.2
win 78%
No line posted yet.
Model: SYR −9.0 · total 149.4 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Syracuse 68.3, Colgate 68.0 → 68.0 possessions
−0.8
Syracuse offense vs Colgate defense
+3.5
Colgate offense vs Syracuse defense
−1.5
Projected total
149.4
Axis starts at 146 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Syracuse offense vs Colgate defense
+3.5
Colgate offense vs Syracuse defense
+1.5
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
Syracuse by 9.0
9.0
Colgate side ◂▸ Syracuse side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +8.9 against +9.0. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Syracuse.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Syracuse is the faster team (67.8, #212 of 365) and Colgate the slower (66.9, #246). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.0
per team, 40 min
Projected total
149.4
model
Projected team totals
70.2 / 79.2
Colgate / Syracuse
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.0#213
Colgate
68.3#185
Syracuse
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetClashColgate
Strength vs strength: shot-blocking exposure
Colgate (#6 in shot-blocking exposure) against Syracuse (#7 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 12.2%. Historically Syracuse's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.41 vs 0.68).
ClashColgate
Style match: 3-point volume
Colgate rarely shoots threes (35.0% of its shots); Syracuse runs teams off the line (35.9% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 33.6% — both habits push the same way.
AdvantageSyracuse
Where Syracuse scores: shooting
Syracuse shoots an effective 52.6% (#122); Colgate allows 52.2% (#224). Expect about 52.5%, 1.2 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.8 points per 100 possessions.
TurnoversSyracuse
Syracuse protects the ball
Projected turnover rate of 15.4% is worth roughly +1.7 points per 100 possessions for Syracuse's offense.
Colgate has the ball
OffenseSyracuse allowsvs D1 avg
53.3% #91
50.3% #116
+0.9 pt/100
14.6% #47
17.4% #124
+1.0 pt/100
26.6% #309
33.6% #310
-0.7 pt/100
29.7% #316
32.6% #117
-0.5 pt/100
74.7% #97
—
+0.2 pt/100
Colgate net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +0.9 pts/100
Syracuse has the ball
OffenseColgate allowsvs D1 avg
52.6% #122
52.2% #224
+1.8 pt/100
16.0% #136
15.3% #266
+1.7 pt/100
29.2% #228
29.3% #125
-0.8 pt/100
35.1% #171
33.8% #145
-0.1 pt/100
64.8% #361
—
-0.7 pt/100
Syracuse net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.9 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersColgateoffense vsSyracusedefense
Share of shots by zone
Colgate shoots
37.9
6.0
21.2
34.9
Syracuse allows
40.2
7.7
16.2
35.9
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.3%#155 | 60.1%#232 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 43.3%#98 | 38.1%#138 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 44.8%#18 | 31.0%#9 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.6%#81 | 34.1%#186 | 33.7% |
Syracuseoffense vsColgatedefense
Share of shots by zone
Syracuse shoots
39.0
7.0
16.7
37.4
Colgate allows
38.5
6.2
13.8
41.5
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 62.4%#64 | 59.1%#193 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 41.9%#126 | 39.3%#163 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.8%#233 | 38.5%#178 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.9%#239 | 34.8%#238 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersColgate
−1.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#247 of 365
Off reb %
26.6%
#309
Def reb %
70.7%
#125
Turnover %
14.6%
#47
Forced TO %
15.3%
#266
FT rate
29.7%
#316
FT allowed
33.8%
#145
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.2
Defensive rebounding+0.4
Ball security+1.5
Forcing turnovers−1.0
Foul shots drawn−1.4
Foul shots allowed+0.4
Syracuse
+0.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#165 of 365
Off reb %
29.2%
#228
Def reb %
66.4%
#310
Turnover %
16.0%
#136
Forced TO %
17.4%
#124
FT rate
35.1%
#171
FT allowed
32.6%
#117
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.4
Defensive rebounding−1.0
Ball security+0.6
Forcing turnovers+0.5
Foul shots drawn0.0
Foul shots allowed+0.7
Syracuse has more extra scoring chances per game: +0.4 (#165 of 365) to Colgate’s −1.3 (#247).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Colgate2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jalen Cox | G | Jr | 6'3" | 31-31 | 34.2 | 17.9 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 54.5% | 36.5% | 1.7 | 85.0% | 30.5% | |
| 22 | Andrew Alekseyenko | F | Fr | 6'8" | 33-33 | 29.7 | 14.8 | 6.7 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 55.4% | 38.3% | 3.2 | 78.1% | 30.2% | |
| 33 | Sam Wright | F | Jr | 6'9" | 33-33 | 25.6 | 12.3 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 55.9% | 31.2% | 3.8 | 60.2% | 27.7% | |
| 4 | Josh Ahayere | G | So | 6'3" | 32-24 | 25.3 | 7.8 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 55.1% | 36.9% | 2.0 | 74.0% | 17.5% | |
| 13 | Kyle Carlesimo | G | Sr | 6'2" | 33-2 | 24.5 | 7.8 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 51.7% | 36.0% | 5.0 | 84.6% | 19.9% | |
| 23 | Cooper Wright | F | Jr | 6'5" | 30-0 | 12.4 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 61.5% | — | 0.0 | 30.0% | 8.8% | |
| 15 | Ayomi Odetoyinbo | F | Fr | 6'10" | 33-0 | 10.9 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 57.4% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 54.5% | 12.1% | |
| 1 | Brady Cummins | G | Sr | 6'6" | 18-9 | 16.8 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 40.8% | 34.3% | 1.9 | 90.0% | 18.4% | |
| 0 | Ethan Brown | F | So | 6'10" | 17-0 | 7.6 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 31.6% | 25.0% | 0.5 | 82.4% | 15.4% | |
| 9 | Cameron Brennan | F | So | 7'0" | 13-0 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 31.3% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 100.0% | 23.5% | |
| 5 | Charlie Pugh | G | Fr | 6'4" | 8-0 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 66.7% | 50.0% | 0.5 | — | 15.6% | |
| 8 | Jonathan Niv | G | Fr | 6'5" | 8-0 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 81.3% | 60.0% | 0.6 | 100.0% | 26.5% | |
| 2 | Blake Forrest | G | So | 5'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Parker Jones | G | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Stevie Clark | G | So | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Syracuse2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gavin Dotyat Siena | G | Jr | 6'5" | 35-35 | 36.7 | 18.0 | 6.9 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 50.8% | 32.6% | 4.0 | 85.8% | 28.4% | |
| 25 | Aiden Tobiasonat Temple | G | Jr | 6'6" | 32-32 | 35.4 | 15.3 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 55.1% | 33.8% | 4.3 | 80.0% | 24.3% | |
| 23 | Luke Wilsonat App State | C | Jr | 6'10" | 32-30 | 28.2 | 10.7 | 8.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 64.2% | — | 0.0 | 56.7% | 21.2% | |
| 11 | Francis Folefacat Siena | F | So | 6'7" | 35-26 | 28.1 | 11.3 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 52.6% | 37.5% | 0.5 | 74.0% | 26.2% | |
| 3 | Garwey Dualat McNeese | G | Sr | 6'5" | 34-17 | 26.6 | 8.4 | 2.9 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 50.9% | 31.6% | 2.2 | 76.4% | 21.0% | |
| 7 | Kiyan Anthony | G | So | 6'5" | 29-2 | 18.7 | 8.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 44.6% | 25.4% | 2.4 | 62.8% | 28.7% | |
| 1 | Sadiq White Jr. | F | So | 6'8" | 31-11 | 15.2 | 6.1 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 57.1% | 36.8% | 0.6 | 51.3% | 24.4% | |
| 5 | Tasman Goodrickat Siena | F | Sr | 6'10" | 9-9 | 23.4 | 9.7 | 7.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 64.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 58.3% | 22.4% | |
| 24 | Noah Lobdell | G | Jr | 6'0" | 4-0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | — | 23.7% | |
| 6 | Calvin Russell III | G | So | 6'5" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 33.3% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 126.8% | |
| 10 | Abdramane Siby | C | Fr | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 2 | Ethan Butler | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Iker Martinez | C | Fr | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | Mark Morano | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Ryan Moesch | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Gavin Doty (from Siena), Garwey Dual (from McNeese), Francis Folefac (from Siena), Tasman Goodrick (from Siena), Aiden Tobiason (from Temple), Luke Wilson (from App State)
Colgate2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jalen Cox | G | Jr | 6'3" | 31-31 | 34.2 | 17.9 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 54.5% | 36.5% | 1.7 | 85.0% | 30.5% | |
| 22 | Andrew Alekseyenko | F | Fr | 6'8" | 33-33 | 29.7 | 14.8 | 6.7 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 55.4% | 38.3% | 3.2 | 78.1% | 30.2% | |
| 33 | Sam Wright | F | Jr | 6'9" | 33-33 | 25.6 | 12.3 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 55.9% | 31.2% | 3.8 | 60.2% | 27.7% | |
| 4 | Josh Ahayere | G | So | 6'3" | 32-24 | 25.3 | 7.8 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 55.1% | 36.9% | 2.0 | 74.0% | 17.5% | |
| 13 | Kyle Carlesimo | G | Sr | 6'2" | 33-2 | 24.5 | 7.8 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 51.7% | 36.0% | 5.0 | 84.6% | 19.9% | |
| 23 | Cooper Wright | F | Jr | 6'5" | 30-0 | 12.4 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 61.5% | — | 0.0 | 30.0% | 8.8% | |
| 15 | Ayomi Odetoyinbo | F | Fr | 6'10" | 33-0 | 10.9 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 57.4% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 54.5% | 12.1% | |
| 1 | Brady Cummins | G | Sr | 6'6" | 18-9 | 16.8 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 40.8% | 34.3% | 1.9 | 90.0% | 18.4% | |
| 0 | Ethan Brown | F | So | 6'10" | 17-0 | 7.6 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 31.6% | 25.0% | 0.5 | 82.4% | 15.4% | |
| 9 | Cameron Brennan | F | So | 7'0" | 13-0 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 31.3% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 100.0% | 23.5% | |
| 5 | Charlie Pugh | G | Fr | 6'4" | 8-0 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 66.7% | 50.0% | 0.5 | — | 15.6% | |
| 8 | Jonathan Niv | G | Fr | 6'5" | 8-0 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 81.3% | 60.0% | 0.6 | 100.0% | 26.5% | |
| 2 | Blake Forrest | G | So | 5'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Parker Jones | G | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Stevie Clark | G | So | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Colgate
Against the spread
Season
12-19
Home
4-9
Road
7-9
Last 10
3-7
avg cover −4.3
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 8 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
17-14
Home
9-4
Road
8-8
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +5.8
Under in the last gameOver in 3 of 8 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | Lehigh | A | L 69–76 | −2.0 | L−9.0 | 146.0 | U145 | 100.7 | 110.9 | 68.5 |
| Mar 5 | Loyola MD | H | W 90–77 | −5.5 | W+7.5 | 154.0 | O167 | 139.5 | 119.4 | 64.5 |
| Feb 28 | Navy | A | L 69–85 | +6.5 | L−9.5 | 142.0 | O154 | 103.7 | 127.8 | 66.5 |
| Feb 25 | Lafayette | H | L 69–70 | −8.5 | L−9.5 | 147.5 | U139 | 110.6 | 112.2 | 62.4 |
| Feb 21 | Loyola MD | H | W 101–98 OT | −8.5 | L−5.5 | 149.5 | O199 | 115.7 | 112.3 | 87.3 |
| Feb 16 | Boston U | A | L 58–85 | −2.0 | L−29.0 | 146.0 | U143 | 101.3 | 148.4 | 57.3 |
| Feb 14 | Navy | H | L 80–84 OT | +2.0 | L−2.0 | 139.0 | O164 | 111.8 | 117.4 | 71.6 |
| Feb 11 | Holy Cross | A | W 74–70 | −8.0 | L−4.0 | 143.0 | O144 | 108.1 | 102.3 | 68.5 |
| Feb 7 | Bucknell | A | W 78–59 | −5.0 | W+14.0 | 141.5 | U137 | 106.3 | 80.4 | 73.4 |
| Feb 4 | Army | H | W 69–55 | −10.0 | W+4.0 | 149.5 | U124 | 107.3 | 85.6 | 64.3 |
Syracuse
Against the spread
Season
14-17-1
Home
8-10
Road
4-4-1
Last 10
4-5-1
avg cover −4.8
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 3 of 7 as an underdog, 1 pushCovered 2 of 4 with a line of 10+, 1 push
Over / under
Season
16-15-1
Home
7-11
Road
7-2
Last 10
4-5-1
avg vs total +5.0
Over in 3 of 7 as an underdog, 1 pushOver in 2 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10 | SMU | N | L 69–86 | +4.0 | L−13.0 | 155.0 | P155 | 104.4 | 130.2 | 66.1 |
| Mar 7 | Pitt | H | L 69–71 OT | −6.5 | L−8.5 | 142.0 | U140 | 101.0 | 104.0 | 68.3 |
| Mar 3 | Louisville | A | L 62–77 | +15.0 | P0.0 | 160.0 | U139 | 91.6 | 113.8 | 67.7 |
| Feb 28 | Wake Forest | A | L 83–88 | +4.0 | L−1.0 | 152.0 | O171 | 127.5 | 135.2 | 65.1 |
| Feb 21 | #16North Carolina | H | L 64–77 | −1.5 | L−14.5 | 154.5 | U141 | 94.2 | 113.3 | 67.9 |
| Feb 16 | #3Duke | A | L 64–101 | +20.5 | L−16.5 | 145.0 | O165 | 99.8 | 157.4 | 64.2 |
| Feb 14 | SMU | H | W 79–78 | +2.0 | W+3.0 | 158.0 | U157 | 121.0 | 119.4 | 65.3 |
| Feb 11 | California | H | W 107–100 2OT | −6.5 | W+0.5 | 149.0 | O207 | 118.3 | 110.6 | 90.4 |
| Feb 7 | #18Virginia | A | L 59–72 | +14.0 | W+1.0 | 147.0 | U131 | 95.2 | 116.2 | 62.0 |
| Feb 2 | #14North Carolina | A | L 77–87 | +11.5 | W+1.5 | 158.0 | O164 | 106.5 | 120.3 | 72.3 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeColgateSyracuse
Efficiency
108.6
111.0
111.2
106.1
68.0
68.3
—
—
Shooting
53.3%
52.6%
53.2%
54.5%
35.6%
32.9%
74.7%
64.8%
29.7%
35.1%
Ball control & glass
14.6%
16.0%
15.3%
17.4%
26.6%
29.2%
29.3%
33.6%
8.4%
9.9%
6.3%
7.9%
Style
35.0%
37.2%
44.4%
47.6%
12.6%
15.5%
51.4%
47.1%
29.0%
27.2%
Roster
2.54
2.86
6'5.6"
6'6.6"
85.6%
15.6%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputColgate
Returning minutes: 85.6%Returning production: 88.2%
Lost
- Ben Tweedy 29.4 mpg, 9.4 ppg · transferred to Manhattan
Added
- Parker Jones no D1 minutes last season
- Stevie Clark no D1 minutes last season
- Blake Forrest no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 86% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Syracuse
Returning minutes: 15.6%Returning production: 13.6%
Lost
- Naithan George 32.2 mpg, 10.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Nate Kingz 31.3 mpg, 12.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- William Kyle III 28.1 mpg, 8.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- J.J. Starling 27.2 mpg, 10.3 ppg · transferred to Buffalo
- Donnie Freeman 22.5 mpg, 11.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tyler Betsey 17.5 mpg, 6.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Gavin Doty from Siena · 36.7 mpg, 18.0 ppg last season
- Aiden Tobiason from Temple · 35.4 mpg, 15.3 ppg last season
- Luke Wilson from App State · 28.2 mpg, 10.7 ppg last season
- Francis Folefac from Siena · 28.1 mpg, 11.3 ppg last season
- Garwey Dual from McNeese · 26.6 mpg, 8.4 ppg last season
- Tasman Goodrick from Siena · 6.0 mpg, 2.5 ppg last season
Returns 16% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.