CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceWintrust Arena, Chicago, IL
Maine
Efficiency #335
2025-26: 8-24 · 6-11 conf
@
DePaul
Efficiency #113
2025-26: 16-16 · 8-13 conf
Tue, Dec 8 · TBD
59.5
win 14%
Projected
72.2
win 86%
No line posted yet.
Model: DEP −12.8 · total 131.7 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: DePaul 67.7, Maine 66.6 → 66.0 possessions
−5.1
DePaul offense vs Maine defense
−1.3
Maine offense vs DePaul defense
−10.2
Projected total
131.7
Axis starts at 120 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
DePaul offense vs Maine defense
−1.3
Maine offense vs DePaul defense
+10.2
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.8
DePaul by 12.8
12.8
Maine side ◂▸ DePaul side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 131.6 against a projected 131.7, and the margin steps add to +12.7 against +12.8. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help DePaul.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 66.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, DePaul is the faster team (67.7, #213 of 365) and Maine the slower (64.9, #332). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
66.0
per team, 40 min
Projected total
131.7
model
Projected team totals
59.5 / 72.2
Maine / DePaul
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
66.6#315
Maine
67.7#236
DePaul
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageMaine
Where Maine struggles: the offensive glass
Maine rebounds 19.7% of its own misses (#364); DePaul lets opponents grab 31.1% of their own misses (#205). Expect about 23.2%, 7.2 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -4.4 points per 100 possessions.
Pace
Half-court grind
DePaul averages 67.7 possessions per 40, Maine 64.9. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 65 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
TurnoversMaine
Maine turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 19.3% is worth roughly -3.1 points per 100 possessions against Maine's offense.
AdvantageDePaul
Where DePaul struggles: ball control
DePaul turns it over on 17.8% of possessions (#256); Maine forces turnovers on 19.4% of opponent possessions (#36). Expect about 19.0%, 2.2 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.7 points per 100 possessions.
DefenseMaine
Maine's ball-hawking
Maine ranks #25 nationally in steal rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 11.6% of DePaul's possessions to end in a steal against this defense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Maine's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Maine at about 33.9% of its shots from three, DePaul about 37.4%.
Maine has the ball
OffenseDePaul allowsvs D1 avg
49.6% #263
49.3% #77
-2.8 pt/100
19.1% #325
18.6% #67
-3.1 pt/100
19.7% #364
31.1% #205
-4.4 pt/100
38.4% #93
37.8% #257
+0.4 pt/100
64.3% #363
—
-0.7 pt/100
Maine net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -10.6 pts/100
DePaul has the ball
OffenseMaine allowsvs D1 avg
49.8% #243
50.6% #136
-1.6 pt/100
17.8% #256
19.4% #36
-2.7 pt/100
30.0% #197
34.3% #322
+1.0 pt/100
35.3% #169
33.9% #148
-0.1 pt/100
69.2% #295
—
-0.3 pt/100
DePaul net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -3.7 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersMaineoffense vsDePauldefense
Share of shots by zone
Maine shoots
41.9
3.7
17.1
37.3
DePaul allows
39.4
6.5
21.2
33.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.2%#263 | 53.6%#34 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 43.1%#101 | 35.3%#65 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.9%#148 | 36.2%#117 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.2%#314 | 35.4%#274 | 33.7% |
DePauloffense vsMainedefense
Share of shots by zone
DePaul shoots
38.2
5.5
17.5
38.8
Maine allows
41.6
5.6
16.3
36.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.4%#287 | 60.5%#251 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 44.9%#66 | 47.1%#334 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.4%#255 | 42.5%#318 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.5%#253 | 29.3%#4 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersMaine
−3.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#309 of 365
Off reb %
19.7%
#364
Def reb %
65.7%
#322
Turnover %
19.1%
#325
Forced TO %
19.4%
#36
FT rate
38.4%
#93
FT allowed
33.9%
#148
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−3.4
Defensive rebounding−1.2
Ball security−1.6
Forcing turnovers+1.8
Foul shots drawn+0.9
Foul shots allowed+0.3
DePaul
−0.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#188 of 365
Off reb %
30.0%
#197
Def reb %
68.9%
#205
Turnover %
17.8%
#256
Forced TO %
18.6%
#67
FT rate
35.3%
#169
FT allowed
37.8%
#257
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.1
Defensive rebounding−0.1
Ball security−0.7
Forcing turnovers+1.3
Foul shots drawn+0.1
Foul shots allowed−0.7
DePaul has more extra scoring chances per game: −0.2 (#188 of 365) to Maine’s −3.2 (#309).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Maine2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Maine's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TJ Biel | F | Sr | 6'9" | 30-30 | 32.5 | 11.7 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 50.5% | 33.0% | 3.6 | 68.7% | 23.1% | |
| 3 | Ryan Mabrey | G | Sr | 6'5" | 30-29 | 27.9 | 7.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 49.3% | 34.3% | 4.7 | 66.7% | 18.9% | |
| 0 | Logan Carey | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-27 | 25.4 | 9.7 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 54.0% | 35.6% | 1.8 | 64.8% | 25.0% | |
| 11 | Ace Flagg | F | Fr | 6'7" | 32-11 | 24.2 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 50.9% | 35.6% | 1.8 | 69.7% | 19.6% | |
| 24 | Mekhi Gray | G | Sr | 6'4" | 28-23 | 26.5 | 9.7 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 53.8% | 30.2% | 2.3 | 69.2% | 23.8% | |
| 4 | Caleb Crawford | G | So | 6'0" | 32-6 | 19.9 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 42.0% | 26.3% | 1.8 | 65.9% | 18.6% | |
| 25 | Keelan Steele | F | Sr | 6'10" | 24-23 | 20.6 | 8.1 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 60.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 56.3% | 26.0% | |
| 14 | Amare Allen | F | So | 6'7" | 24-5 | 13.8 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 42.9% | 28.1% | 1.3 | 55.9% | 21.9% | |
| 6 | Yanis Bamba | F | Jr | 6'6" | 25-2 | 11.5 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 39.5% | 18.8% | 1.3 | 60.0% | 20.4% | |
| 64 | Bashir N'Galang | G | Fr | 6'3" | 21-4 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 44.6% | 18.2% | 0.5 | 57.9% | 24.4% | |
| 5 | Isaac Bonilla | G | Jr | 6'1" | 22-0 | 8.8 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 60.0% | 40.0% | 1.6 | 0.0% | 16.1% | |
| 12 | Emmitt Byther | F | Fr | 6'6" | 11-0 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 1.7% | |
| 10 | Killian Gribben | F | Sr | 6'10" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 58.1% | |
| 8 | Darius Lopes | G | So | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | John Shea | F | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Joshua Ojuri | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
DePaul2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted DePaul's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Layden Blocker | G | Jr | 6'2" | 32-29 | 29.1 | 11.1 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 41.7% | 31.8% | 3.4 | 82.8% | 27.3% | |
| 11 | CJ Gunn | G | Sr | 6'7" | 32-23 | 27.7 | 13.1 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 47.3% | 32.7% | 5.3 | 72.5% | 32.1% | |
| 5 | RJ Smith | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-23 | 27.7 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 46.1% | 30.8% | 3.8 | 75.0% | 16.7% | |
| 35 | NJ Benson | F | Sr | 6'8" | 32-31 | 25.9 | 11.7 | 7.6 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 63.6% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.5% | 24.6% | |
| 0 | Brandon Maclin | G | Sr | 6'3" | 29-16 | 27.6 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 48.5% | 30.6% | 2.5 | 69.5% | 25.2% | |
| 22 | Kruz McClure | G | Fr | 6'6" | 28-4 | 18.6 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 41.6% | 29.9% | 2.8 | 74.1% | 20.7% | |
| 1 | Kaleb Banks | F | Sr | 6'8" | 31-11 | 16.2 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 54.0% | 35.5% | 2.0 | 74.1% | 19.5% | |
| 21 | Theo Pierre-Justin | F | So | 6'10" | 30-22 | 15.5 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 54.5% | 39.7% | 2.1 | 61.1% | 15.7% | |
| 15 | Fabian Flores | C | Fr | 7'2" | 28-1 | 10.5 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 68.1% | — | 0.0 | 64.0% | 13.8% | |
| 10 | Ilija Milijasevic | G | Jr | 6'2" | 15-0 | 7.9 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 53.6% | 35.7% | 1.9 | 75.0% | 16.4% | |
| 32 | Jeremy Lorenz | F | Jr | 6'8" | 9-0 | 10.4 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 15.4% | |
| 14 | Khaman Maker | C | So | 7'1" | 12-0 | 5.5 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 25.0% | 16.1% | |
| 3 | Nate Kasher | G | Fr | 6'1" | 5-0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 18.7% | |
| 52 | Amsal Delalic | G | So | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Isaiah Medina | F | Fr | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 6 | Jonas Johnson | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Maine2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Maine's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TJ Biel | F | Sr | 6'9" | 30-30 | 32.5 | 11.7 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 50.5% | 33.0% | 3.6 | 68.7% | 23.1% | |
| 3 | Ryan Mabrey | G | Sr | 6'5" | 30-29 | 27.9 | 7.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 49.3% | 34.3% | 4.7 | 66.7% | 18.9% | |
| 0 | Logan Carey | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-27 | 25.4 | 9.7 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 54.0% | 35.6% | 1.8 | 64.8% | 25.0% | |
| 11 | Ace Flagg | F | Fr | 6'7" | 32-11 | 24.2 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 50.9% | 35.6% | 1.8 | 69.7% | 19.6% | |
| 24 | Mekhi Gray | G | Sr | 6'4" | 28-23 | 26.5 | 9.7 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 53.8% | 30.2% | 2.3 | 69.2% | 23.8% | |
| 4 | Caleb Crawford | G | So | 6'0" | 32-6 | 19.9 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 42.0% | 26.3% | 1.8 | 65.9% | 18.6% | |
| 25 | Keelan Steele | F | Sr | 6'10" | 24-23 | 20.6 | 8.1 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 60.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 56.3% | 26.0% | |
| 14 | Amare Allen | F | So | 6'7" | 24-5 | 13.8 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 42.9% | 28.1% | 1.3 | 55.9% | 21.9% | |
| 6 | Yanis Bamba | F | Jr | 6'6" | 25-2 | 11.5 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 39.5% | 18.8% | 1.3 | 60.0% | 20.4% | |
| 64 | Bashir N'Galang | G | Fr | 6'3" | 21-4 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 44.6% | 18.2% | 0.5 | 57.9% | 24.4% | |
| 5 | Isaac Bonilla | G | Jr | 6'1" | 22-0 | 8.8 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 60.0% | 40.0% | 1.6 | 0.0% | 16.1% | |
| 12 | Emmitt Byther | F | Fr | 6'6" | 11-0 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 1.7% | |
| 10 | Killian Gribben | F | Sr | 6'10" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 58.1% | |
| 8 | Darius Lopes | G | So | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | John Shea | F | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Joshua Ojuri | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Maine
Against the spread
Season
13-17-1
Home
3-8
Road
8-9-1
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −1.1
Covered the last gameCovered 4 of 10 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
11-18-2
Home
3-8
Road
8-8-2
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +0.6
Under 2 straightOver in 5 of 10 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | NJIT | A | L 58–60 | +3.5 | W+1.5 | 133.5 | U118 | 89.5 | 92.5 | 64.8 |
| Mar 3 | UMass Lowell | H | L 56–67 | +1.0 | L−10.0 | 140.5 | U123 | 85.2 | 102.0 | 65.7 |
| Feb 28 | Binghamton | A | L 67–74 | +1.0 | L−6.0 | 134.0 | O141 | 101.8 | 112.4 | 65.8 |
| Feb 26 | UAlbany | A | W 70–59 | +5.5 | W+16.5 | 131.5 | U129 | 116.3 | 98.0 | 60.2 |
| Feb 21 | New Hampshire | A | W 61–58 | +3.5 | W+6.5 | 136.0 | U119 | 93.8 | 89.2 | 65.0 |
| Feb 14 | NJIT | H | L 58–67 | +2.0 | L−7.0 | 137.0 | U125 | 85.7 | 98.9 | 67.7 |
| Feb 12 | UMBC | H | L 62–78 | +3.5 | L−12.5 | 135.5 | O140 | 91.6 | 115.3 | 67.7 |
| Feb 7 | Bryant | A | L 67–73 | +2.5 | L−3.5 | 128.0 | O140 | 98.8 | 107.7 | 67.8 |
| Feb 5 | Vermont | H | W 76–70 | +7.5 | W+13.5 | 130.0 | O146 | 120.7 | 111.2 | 63.0 |
| Jan 31 | UMass Lowell | A | L 77–91 | +4.5 | L−9.5 | 137.5 | O168 | 108.3 | 128.0 | 71.1 |
DePaul
Against the spread
Season
18-13-1
Home
9-9
Road
8-2-1
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −2.2
Missed the spread 3 straightCovered 4 of 7 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
11-20-1
Home
7-10-1
Road
3-8
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total −5.8
Under in the last gameOver in 3 of 7 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11 | Georgetown | N | L 56–63 | −5.0 | L−12.0 | 130.0 | U119 | 89.0 | 100.2 | 62.9 |
| Mar 7 | Butler | H | L 71–81 | −4.0 | L−14.0 | 142.5 | O152 | 96.8 | 110.4 | 73.4 |
| Mar 4 | Villanova | H | L 57–76 | +2.0 | L−17.0 | 136.5 | U133 | 81.1 | 108.2 | 70.3 |
| Mar 1 | Marquette | A | W 62–51 | +4.5 | W+15.5 | 139.5 | U113 | 98.0 | 80.6 | 63.2 |
| Feb 25 | Creighton | A | W 72–71 | +4.5 | W+5.5 | 142.5 | O143 | 110.8 | 109.3 | 65.0 |
| Feb 21 | Providence | H | L 68–71 | −3.0 | L−6.0 | 152.5 | U139 | 101.2 | 105.7 | 67.2 |
| Feb 18 | Seton Hall | A | W 69–57 | +7.0 | W+19.0 | 129.0 | U126 | 106.6 | 88.0 | 64.7 |
| Feb 11 | Creighton | H | W 72–71 | +1.0 | W+2.0 | 141.0 | O143 | 116.4 | 114.8 | 61.9 |
| Feb 7 | Providence | A | L 72–90 | +5.0 | L−13.0 | 153.5 | O162 | 100.6 | 125.8 | 71.5 |
| Feb 3 | #22St John's | H | L 56–68 | +9.5 | L−2.5 | 145.0 | U124 | 85.3 | 103.6 | 65.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeMaineDePaul
Efficiency
98.0
106.3
108.8
103.5
66.6
67.7
—
—
Shooting
49.6%
49.8%
51.2%
50.5%
31.2%
32.5%
64.3%
69.2%
38.4%
35.3%
Ball control & glass
19.1%
17.8%
19.4%
18.6%
19.7%
30.0%
34.3%
31.1%
9.5%
10.8%
9.0%
10.7%
Style
37.0%
39.0%
45.1%
42.9%
13.6%
13.1%
54.4%
60.9%
32.9%
35.0%
Roster
2.99
3.13
6'5.3"
6'5.9"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputMaine
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Maine's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
DePaul
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted DePaul's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.