CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceMemorial Hall (DE), Dover, DE
Binghamton
Efficiency #354
2025-26: 8-23 · 4-12 conf
@
Delaware St
Efficiency #358
2025-26: 8-23 · 3-13 conf
Tue, Dec 8 · TBD
66.5
win 41%
Projected
69.2
win 59%
No line posted yet.
Model: DSU −2.7 · total 135.7 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one
Projected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Delaware St 67.1, Binghamton 67.1 → 65.8 possessions
−5.4
Delaware St offense vs Binghamton defense
−4.1
Binghamton offense vs Delaware St defense
−3.0
Projected total
135.7
Axis starts at 130 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Delaware St offense vs Binghamton defense
−4.1
Binghamton offense vs Delaware St defense
+3.0
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.8
Delaware St by 2.7
2.7
Binghamton side ◂▸ Delaware St side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Delaware St.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 65.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Delaware St is the faster team (66.1, #293 of 365) and Binghamton the slower (65.1, #331). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
65.8
per team, 40 min
Projected total
135.7
model
Projected team totals
66.5 / 69.2
Binghamton / Delaware St
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
67.1#281
Binghamton
67.1#279
Delaware St

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet
AdvantageDelaware St
Where Delaware St struggles: shooting
Delaware St shoots an effective 42.9% (#364); Binghamton allows 54.3% (#309). Expect about 48.0%, 3.3 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -4.7 points per 100 possessions.
Pace
Half-court grind
Delaware St averages 66.1 possessions per 40, Binghamton 65.1. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 64 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageBinghamton
Where Binghamton struggles: the offensive glass
Binghamton rebounds 20.9% of its own misses (#361); Delaware St lets opponents grab 32.0% of their own misses (#257). Expect about 24.5%, 5.9 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.6 points per 100 possessions.
TurnoversBinghamton
Binghamton turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 19.7% is worth roughly -3.6 points per 100 possessions against Binghamton's offense.
ClashBinghamton
Style match: 3-point volume
Binghamton rarely shoots threes (30.9% of its shots); Delaware St runs teams off the line (34.7% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 29.5% — both habits push the same way.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Delaware St) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Binghamton at about 29.5% of its shots from three, Delaware St about 30.8%.
Binghamton has the ball
OffenseDelaware St allowsvs D1 avg
50.0% #234
52.9% #265
+0.2 pt/100
18.8% #312
19.5% #33
-3.6 pt/100
20.9% #361
32.0% #257
-3.6 pt/100
41.5% #37
40.5% #307
+0.8 pt/100
75.3% #75
—
+0.3 pt/100
Binghamton net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -5.9 pts/100
Delaware St has the ball
OffenseBinghamton allowsvs D1 avg
42.9% #364
54.3% #309
-4.7 pt/100
19.9% #347
13.3% #349
+0.6 pt/100
27.7% #277
29.4% #128
-1.4 pt/100
34.1% #204
34.6% #167
-0.1 pt/100
68.9% #301
—
-0.3 pt/100
Delaware St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -5.9 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers
Binghamtonoffense vsDelaware Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Binghamton shoots
Delaware St allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim55.9%#27563.0%#32558.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)37.7%#22835.4%#7139.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)41.0%#7832.4%#1938.0%
Three32.5%#25433.0%#12333.7%
Delaware Stoffense vsBinghamtondefense
Share of shots by zone
Delaware St shoots
Binghamton allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim50.7%#35558.7%#17458.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)32.0%#33245.5%#31439.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)35.5%#27542.0%#30038.0%
Three28.4%#36135.8%#29433.7%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers
Binghamton
−4.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#340 of 365
Off reb %
20.9%
#361
Def reb %
70.6%
#128
Turnover %
18.8%
#312
Forced TO %
13.3%
#349
FT rate
41.5%
#37
FT allowed
34.6%
#167
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−3.1
Defensive rebounding+0.4
Ball security−1.4
Forcing turnovers−2.3
Foul shots drawn+1.7
Foul shots allowed+0.2
Delaware St
−3.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#306 of 365
Off reb %
27.7%
#277
Def reb %
68.0%
#257
Turnover %
19.9%
#347
Forced TO %
19.5%
#33
FT rate
34.1%
#204
FT allowed
40.5%
#307
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.9
Defensive rebounding−0.4
Ball security−2.1
Forcing turnovers+1.9
Foul shots drawn−0.2
Foul shots allowed−1.4

Delaware St has more extra scoring chances per game: −3.1 (#306 of 365) to Binghamton’s −4.6 (#340).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Binghamton2025-26 numbers
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%UsageStatus
0Jeremiah QuigleyGJr5'11"30-3037.114.54.96.43.347.7%17.4%1.578.4%27.5%
5Wes Peterson Jr.GSr6'6"28-2635.710.74.41.41.847.3%39.8%3.077.5%21.0%
24Jackson BenigniGSr6'1"30-2131.510.12.80.80.962.0%40.1%5.189.2%16.4%
10Zyier BeverlyFJr6'9"29-1825.011.84.90.41.761.0%30.0%0.364.4%27.7%
4Ryan RichardsonGJr6'5"22-1225.24.22.11.61.439.8%31.0%3.235.3%16.2%
13Stephan SnaggFSo6'8"27-1419.94.02.90.40.461.6%—0.056.3%11.3%
14Demetrius LilleyCSr6'9"11-1133.514.69.40.92.744.3%14.3%2.580.8%29.5%
30Jake BlackburnGFr6'5"14-116.45.51.30.40.662.9%39.5%3.166.7%18.1%
2Jayden KelseyGFr6'7"2-017.50.51.52.50.00.0%0.0%2.550.0%9.9%
12Nevin IbrociGFr6'2"10-03.20.90.30.00.045.0%30.0%1.00.0%20.7%
3Evan AsheGJr6'3"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
1Jayden LemondGJr6'4"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
33Sayerr SenghoreFSr6'8"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home
BinghamtonDelaware St
Efficiency
101.6
94.5
116.3
110.7
67.1
67.1
—
—
Shooting
50.0%
42.9%
50.6%
43.1%
32.5%
28.4%
75.3%
68.9%
41.5%
34.1%
Ball control & glass
18.8%
19.9%
13.3%
19.5%
20.9%
27.7%
29.4%
32.0%
10.9%
9.7%
8.8%
11.0%
Style
30.9%
28.9%
47.2%
41.6%
9.5%
17.6%
48.7%
45.8%
21.1%
35.2%
Roster
3.21
3.20
6'4.4"
6'4.6"
87.5%
—

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
Binghamton
Returning minutes: 87.5%Returning production: 88.7%
Lost
  • Bryson Wilson 25.4 mpg, 8.9 ppg · transferred to Saint Peter's
Added
  • Evan Ashe no D1 minutes last season
  • Jayden Lemond no D1 minutes last season
  • Sayerr Senghore no D1 minutes last season

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 88% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Delaware St
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Delaware St's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Head-to-head

this season and last
No meetings the last two seasons.

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.