CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceArena-Auditorium, Laramie, WY
E Washington
Efficiency #189
2025-26: 14-19 · 12-8 conf
@
Wyoming
Efficiency #98
2025-26: 18-15 · 9-12 conf
Sun, Nov 29 · TBD
72.8
win 27%
Projected
80.0
win 73%
No line posted yet.
Model: WYO −7.2 · total 152.8 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one
Projected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Wyoming 67.7, E Washington 68.6 → 68.0 possessions
−0.8
Wyoming offense vs E Washington defense
+4.4
E Washington offense vs Wyoming defense
+1.0
Projected total
152.8
Axis starts at 144 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Wyoming offense vs E Washington defense
+4.4
E Washington offense vs Wyoming defense
−1.0
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
Wyoming by 7.2
7.2
E Washington side ◂▸ Wyoming side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +7.3 against +7.2. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Wyoming.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 68.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, E Washington is the faster team (68.9, #154 of 365) and Wyoming the slower (67.6, #221). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
68.0
per team, 40 min
Projected total
152.8
model
Projected team totals
72.8 / 80.0
E Washington / Wyoming
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.6#158
E Washington
67.7#237
Wyoming

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet
AdvantageWyoming
Where Wyoming scores: shooting
Wyoming shoots an effective 51.8% (#154); E Washington allows 54.9% (#326). Expect about 53.4%, 2.2 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.1 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageE Washington
Where E Washington scores: shooting
E Washington shoots an effective 53.7% (#75); Wyoming allows 52.0% (#211). Expect about 53.1%, 1.8 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.5 points per 100 possessions.
ClashE Washington
Style match: 3-point volume
E Washington rarely shoots threes (34.7% of its shots); Wyoming runs teams off the line (35.9% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 33.4% — both habits push the same way.
GlassWyoming
Wyoming owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 33.2% is worth roughly +1.7 points per 100 possessions for Wyoming's offense.
E Washington has the ball
OffenseWyoming allowsvs D1 avg
53.7% #75
52.0% #211
+2.5 pt/100
17.7% #251
16.8% #171
-0.7 pt/100
31.3% #153
28.0% #66
-0.3 pt/100
36.1% #148
47.9% #360
+1.0 pt/100
74.3% #118
—
+0.2 pt/100
E Washington net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.7 pts/100
Wyoming has the ball
OffenseE Washington allowsvs D1 avg
51.8% #154
54.9% #326
+3.1 pt/100
16.3% #155
16.2% #211
+0.8 pt/100
34.1% #66
30.8% #194
+1.7 pt/100
35.4% #166
37.3% #246
+0.2 pt/100
74.3% #115
—
+0.2 pt/100
Wyoming net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +5.9 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers
E Washingtonoffense vsWyomingdefense
Share of shots by zone
E Washington shoots
Wyoming allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim59.7%#13261.7%#29258.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)42.9%#10544.2%#27339.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)44.4%#2136.1%#11138.0%
Three35.9%#6232.8%#10833.7%
Wyomingoffense vsE Washingtondefense
Share of shots by zone
Wyoming shoots
E Washington allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim56.9%#24260.5%#25258.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)44.4%#7244.9%#29439.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)40.3%#10246.8%#35838.0%
Three33.0%#23435.2%#26133.7%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers
E Washington
−1.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#231 of 365
Off reb %
31.3%
#153
Def reb %
69.2%
#194
Turnover %
17.7%
#251
Forced TO %
16.2%
#211
FT rate
36.1%
#148
FT allowed
37.3%
#246
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.3
Defensive rebounding−0.1
Ball security−0.6
Forcing turnovers−0.3
Foul shots drawn+0.3
Foul shots allowed−0.5
Wyoming
−0.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#213 of 365
Off reb %
34.1%
#66
Def reb %
72.0%
#66
Turnover %
16.3%
#155
Forced TO %
16.8%
#171
FT rate
35.4%
#166
FT allowed
47.9%
#360
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.2
Defensive rebounding+0.8
Ball security+0.3
Forcing turnovers+0.1
Foul shots drawn+0.1
Foul shots allowed−3.3

Wyoming has more extra scoring chances per game: −0.7 (#213 of 365) to E Washington’s −1.0 (#231).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

E Washington2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted E Washington's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%UsageStatus
2Isaiah MosesGSr6'0"33-3333.417.83.04.22.953.1%41.3%4.893.4%30.8%
4Alton Hamilton IVFJr6'8"33-2328.113.55.72.22.160.1%36.4%1.375.9%25.8%
15Kiree HuieFSr6'9"33-3225.312.85.20.82.054.8%0.0%0.058.0%30.6%
12Straton RogersGSr6'5"33-1422.05.84.61.10.561.4%28.6%0.265.1%13.4%
22Jojo AndersonGSr6'1"33-821.77.41.82.21.251.7%36.8%2.167.9%21.0%
21Johnny RadfordGSr6'1"33-1118.86.52.00.90.749.2%37.7%3.982.6%20.9%
1Tyler PowellGSr6'5"33-1716.54.82.00.60.655.8%36.8%2.672.7%16.9%
33Emmett MarquardtFSo6'9"30-1115.95.52.80.80.954.5%35.8%2.786.4%20.5%
5Elijah ThomasGSr6'6"30-410.91.91.40.30.338.9%19.0%1.475.0%12.8%
11Cole SchererGFr6'2"29-127.82.11.00.40.341.9%24.3%1.371.4%20.7%
35Shaumba NgoyiFSo6'9"20-04.30.60.90.10.350.0%—0.00.0%12.9%
10Maddox MonsonGSr6'2"11-03.91.00.50.10.242.3%30.0%0.9—19.6%
0Angelo WinkelFSr6'8"4-05.01.80.50.30.866.7%—0.075.0%22.2%
55Alan GballouFFr6'7"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
9Andrew CookGSr6'4"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home
E WashingtonWyoming
Efficiency
110.8
111.8
111.6
107.6
68.6
67.7
—
—
Shooting
53.7%
51.8%
53.6%
53.6%
35.9%
33.0%
74.3%
74.3%
36.1%
35.4%
Ball control & glass
17.7%
16.3%
16.2%
16.8%
31.3%
34.1%
30.8%
28.0%
10.6%
8.3%
7.9%
10.9%
Style
34.7%
43.0%
44.2%
43.0%
9.8%
9.6%
49.0%
53.8%
37.4%
37.3%
Roster
3.59
2.57
6'4.6"
6'5"
—
—

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
E Washington
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted E Washington's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Wyoming
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Wyoming's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Head-to-head

this season and last
No meetings the last two seasons.

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.