CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneSteps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +1.4 against +1.3. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Iona.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesProjected possessions: 68.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Iona is the faster team (68.4, #177 of 365) and Marist the slower (66.5, #271). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetShot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.4%#181 | 57.4%#126 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.7%#152 | 39.5%#174 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.5%#92 | 35.9%#107 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.2%#272 | 30.6%#25 | 33.7% |
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.7%#281 | 54.0%#40 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 37.2%#241 | 36.7%#105 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 39.8%#117 | 34.9%#72 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.1%#105 | 28.6%#2 | 33.7% |
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersMarist has more extra scoring chances per game: −0.8 (#218 of 365) to Iona’s −1.2 (#242).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Jadin Collins-Roberts | G | Sr | 6'1" | 31-31 | 30.3 | 7.2 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 47.2% | 23.8% | 1.4 | 80.4% | 18.4% | |
| 1 | Jack Grahamat New Hampshire | G | Sr | 6'3" | 30-23 | 28.0 | 11.2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 50.7% | 32.2% | 5.8 | 66.7% | 25.2% | |
| 5 | Myles Parker | F | So | 6'8" | 31-0 | 14.5 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 59.1% | 38.5% | 2.5 | 78.6% | 19.4% | |
| 21 | Jordan Gabriel | C | So | 6'9" | 25-0 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 53.3% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 45.5% | 21.5% | |
| 25 | Tarik Watson | C | Jr | 6'8" | 10-0 | 11.2 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 44.8% | — | 0.0 | 75.0% | 35.1% | |
| 23 | Brady MacAdams | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Brandon Arnold | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 2 | Cameron Sweeney | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 31 | Drew Diaz | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Dywane Chess | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Edward Onyia | F | So | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 33 | Josh Williams | G | Jr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | Logan Franz | C | Fr | 6'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Logan Rodriguez | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kevon Vanderhorstat Drexel | G | Sr | 6'2" | 33-33 | 29.9 | 9.3 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 50.0% | 26.3% | 2.9 | 76.1% | 20.8% | |
| 95 | Martin Kheilat Idaho St | G | Jr | 6'5" | 31-27 | 29.6 | 9.1 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 51.7% | 35.3% | 6.1 | 78.8% | 18.6% | |
| 8 | Aiden Disuat Holy Cross | F | So | 6'7" | 29-29 | 27.4 | 10.8 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 50.0% | 29.6% | 2.4 | 79.7% | 25.4% | |
| 3 | Kosy Akametu | G | Sr | 6'5" | 29-28 | 24.3 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 47.2% | 30.1% | 3.2 | 76.7% | 29.1% | |
| 44 | Alliou Fall | F | So | 6'10" | 31-13 | 18.9 | 2.7 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 43.9% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 13.2% | |
| 7 | Luke Jungers | F | Sr | 6'9" | 30-1 | 16.2 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 65.7% | 43.9% | 3.3 | 78.1% | 18.2% | |
| 11 | Sadiku Ibine Ayoat St John's | F | Sr | 6'6" | 30-1 | 7.7 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 49.1% | 31.6% | 0.6 | 100.0% | 14.7% | |
| 22 | Keyshawn Mitchellat VCU | F | Sr | 6'11" | 20-2 | 10.6 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 45.7% | 20.8% | 1.2 | 65.6% | 19.2% | |
| 12 | Oscar Hourruitiner Jr. | G | So | 6'0" | 6-0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | — | 17.7% | |
| 00 | Ore Odutayo | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Abram Williams | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 2 | Daniel Doyle | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Max Moshinski | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 4 | Micah Tannenbaum | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Nathan Kirk | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Oliver Sassella | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Panagiotis Lefas | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Jadin Collins-Roberts | G | Sr | 6'1" | 31-31 | 30.3 | 7.2 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 47.2% | 23.8% | 1.4 | 80.4% | 18.4% | |
| 1 | Jack Grahamat New Hampshire | G | Sr | 6'3" | 30-23 | 28.0 | 11.2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 50.7% | 32.2% | 5.8 | 66.7% | 25.2% | |
| 5 | Myles Parker | F | So | 6'8" | 31-0 | 14.5 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 59.1% | 38.5% | 2.5 | 78.6% | 19.4% | |
| 21 | Jordan Gabriel | C | So | 6'9" | 25-0 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 53.3% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 45.5% | 21.5% | |
| 25 | Tarik Watson | C | Jr | 6'8" | 10-0 | 11.2 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 44.8% | — | 0.0 | 75.0% | 35.1% | |
| 23 | Brady MacAdams | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Brandon Arnold | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 2 | Cameron Sweeney | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 31 | Drew Diaz | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Dywane Chess | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Edward Onyia | F | So | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 33 | Josh Williams | G | Jr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | Logan Franz | C | Fr | 6'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Logan Rodriguez | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | Merrimack | N | L 57–58 | +3.0 | W+2.0 | 128.5 | U115 | 89.2 | 90.7 | 63.9 |
| Mar 7 | Quinnipiac | N | W 77–75 | +2.0 | W+4.0 | 134.5 | O152 | 105.4 | 102.6 | 73.1 |
| Mar 1 | Saint Peter's | H | L 56–63 | −4.0 | L−11.0 | 132.0 | U119 | 87.6 | 98.6 | 63.9 |
| Feb 22 | Sacred Heart | H | W 65–63 | −7.5 | L−5.5 | 146.5 | U128 | 96.0 | 93.1 | 67.7 |
| Feb 20 | Manhattan | A | W 84–70 | −5.0 | W+9.0 | 142.0 | O154 | 131.2 | 109.3 | 64.0 |
| Feb 15 | Siena | H | L 63–67 | −2.0 | L−6.0 | 134.0 | U130 | 96.5 | 102.7 | 65.3 |
| Feb 12 | Merrimack | A | L 56–81 | +2.5 | L−22.5 | 129.5 | O137 | 84.5 | 122.2 | 66.3 |
| Feb 7 | Fairfield | A | L 60–63 | −1.0 | L−4.0 | 138.0 | U123 | 98.1 | 103.0 | 61.2 |
| Feb 5 | Rider | H | W 81–52 | −14.0 | W+15.0 | 135.5 | U133 | 137.2 | 88.1 | 59.0 |
| Feb 1 | Niagara | A | W 58–46 | −9.5 | W+2.5 | 130.0 | U104 | 94.8 | 75.2 | 61.2 |
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5 | Sacred Heart | N | L 80–91 | −3.5 | L−14.5 | 149.5 | O171 | 116.8 | 132.9 | 68.5 |
| Mar 1 | Manhattan | A | W 69–65 | −2.0 | W+2.0 | 151.5 | U134 | 92.0 | 86.7 | 75.0 |
| Feb 27 | Rider | H | W 80–58 | −11.5 | W+10.5 | 141.0 | U138 | 111.5 | 80.9 | 71.7 |
| Feb 22 | Merrimack | A | L 86–88 2OT | +6.5 | W+4.5 | 137.0 | O174 | 116.3 | 119.0 | 73.9 |
| Feb 20 | Saint Peter's | H | W 72–64 OT | −1.0 | W+7.0 | 140.5 | U136 | 94.9 | 84.4 | 75.9 |
| Feb 15 | Niagara | A | L 68–70 | −4.5 | L−6.5 | 132.0 | O138 | 121.2 | 124.8 | 56.1 |
| Feb 13 | Canisius | A | W 69–63 | −4.5 | W+1.5 | 138.0 | U132 | 107.3 | 98.0 | 64.3 |
| Feb 7 | Mount St Marys | H | L 76–83 | −4.0 | L−11.0 | 141.0 | O159 | 120.0 | 131.1 | 63.3 |
| Feb 5 | Siena | A | L 72–79 | +8.0 | W+1.0 | 140.5 | O151 | 109.0 | 119.6 | 66.1 |
| Jan 30 | Fairfield | H | L 70–71 | −2.0 | L−3.0 | 146.5 | U141 | 112.2 | 113.9 | 62.4 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeOffseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input- Rhyjon Blackwell 30.1 mpg, 12.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Justin Menard 29.3 mpg, 12.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Elijah Lewis 22.9 mpg, 9.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jaden Daughtry 21.0 mpg, 5.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Parby Kabamba 16.8 mpg, 5.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jason Schofield 14.0 mpg, 6.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jack Graham from New Hampshire · 28.0 mpg, 11.2 ppg last season
- Cameron Sweeney no D1 minutes last season
- Josh Williams no D1 minutes last season
- Edward Onyia no D1 minutes last season
- Logan Franz no D1 minutes last season
- Logan Rodriguez no D1 minutes last season
Returns 27% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
- CJ Anthony 30.8 mpg, 13.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Lamin Sabally 29.4 mpg, 11.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Denver Anglin 27.2 mpg, 9.0 ppg · transferred to Merrimack
- Toby Harris 26.2 mpg, 11.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Keshawn Williams 11.5 mpg, 4.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Khalil Badru 9.8 mpg, 3.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kevon Vanderhorst from Drexel · 29.9 mpg, 9.3 ppg last season
- Martin Kheil from Idaho St · 27.8 mpg, 8.5 ppg last season
- Aiden Disu from Holy Cross · 24.1 mpg, 9.5 ppg last season
- Sadiku Ibine Ayo from St John's · 6.2 mpg, 1.4 ppg last season
- Keyshawn Mitchell from VCU · 5.9 mpg, 1.8 ppg last season
- Ore Odutayo no D1 minutes last season
Returns 27% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sun, Jan 4 | 2025-26 | Iona 38 – 83 Marist |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.