CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceJerry Richardson Indoor Stadium, Spartanburg, SC
GA Southern
Efficiency #231
2025-26: 21-16 · 13-11 conf
@
Wofford
Efficiency #235
2025-26: 19-13 · 11-8 conf
Wed, Dec 9 · TBD
77.8
win 37%
Projected
81.8
win 63%
No line posted yet.
Model: WOF −3.9 · total 159.6 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one
Projected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Wofford 68.6, GA Southern 70.1 → 70.4 possessions
+4.6
Wofford offense vs GA Southern defense
+3.3
GA Southern offense vs Wofford defense
+3.5
Projected total
159.6
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Wofford offense vs GA Southern defense
+3.3
GA Southern offense vs Wofford defense
−3.5
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.1
Wofford by 3.9
3.9
GA Southern side ◂▸ Wofford side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Wofford.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 70.4, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, GA Southern is the faster team (71.0, #50 of 365) and Wofford the slower (68.4, #178). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
70.4
per team, 40 min
Projected total
159.6
model
Projected team totals
77.8 / 81.8
GA Southern / Wofford
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.1#40
GA Southern
68.6#156
Wofford

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet
AdvantageGA Southern
Where GA Southern scores: ball control
GA Southern turns it over on 14.6% of possessions (#48); Wofford forces turnovers on 14.9% of opponent possessions (#293). Expect about 14.4%, 2.4 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.9 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Wofford's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect GA Southern at about 46.1% of its shots from three, Wofford about 42.4%.
AdvantageWofford
Where Wofford scores: shooting
Wofford shoots an effective 52.5% (#127); GA Southern allows 52.3% (#230). Expect about 52.5%, 1.3 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.8 points per 100 possessions.
ClashWofford
Strength vs strength: live-ball turnovers
Wofford (#43 in live-ball turnovers) against GA Southern (#51 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 10.1%. Historically GA Southern's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.40 vs 0.65).
GA Southern has the ball
OffenseWofford allowsvs D1 avg
51.4% #176
53.8% #294
+2.0 pt/100
14.6% #48
14.9% #293
+2.9 pt/100
28.8% #238
29.0% #101
-1.1 pt/100
39.6% #62
36.8% #232
+0.4 pt/100
74.3% #111
—
+0.2 pt/100
GA Southern net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +4.3 pts/100
Wofford has the ball
OffenseGA Southern allowsvs D1 avg
52.5% #127
52.3% #230
+1.8 pt/100
13.4% #13
18.7% #61
+0.8 pt/100
29.8% #212
35.2% #342
+1.2 pt/100
36.2% #144
41.4% #316
+0.5 pt/100
70.9% #243
—
-0.1 pt/100
Wofford net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +4.2 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers
GA Southernoffense vsWofforddefense
Share of shots by zone
GA Southern shoots
Wofford allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim56.2%#26456.2%#9158.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)45.7%#5448.3%#34239.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)40.4%#10040.8%#27138.0%
Three33.4%#20736.4%#32133.7%
Woffordoffense vsGA Southerndefense
Share of shots by zone
Wofford shoots
GA Southern allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim57.1%#23359.2%#20158.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)42.1%#11839.3%#16739.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)35.8%#26635.9%#10338.0%
Three35.0%#11934.3%#20833.7%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers
GA Southern
+0.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#163 of 365
Off reb %
28.8%
#238
Def reb %
64.8%
#342
Turnover %
14.6%
#48
Forced TO %
18.7%
#61
FT rate
39.6%
#62
FT allowed
41.4%
#316
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.5
Defensive rebounding−1.5
Ball security+1.5
Forcing turnovers+1.4
Foul shots drawn+1.2
Foul shots allowed−1.6
Wofford
+1.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#124 of 365
Off reb %
29.8%
#212
Def reb %
71.0%
#101
Turnover %
13.4%
#13
Forced TO %
14.9%
#293
FT rate
36.2%
#144
FT allowed
36.8%
#232
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.2
Defensive rebounding+0.5
Ball security+2.3
Forcing turnovers−1.2
Foul shots drawn+0.3
Foul shots allowed−0.4

Wofford has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.4 (#124 of 365) to GA Southern’s +0.5 (#163).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

GA Southern2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted GA Southern's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%UsageStatus
21Spudd WebbGSr6'4"37-3732.415.54.62.51.656.6%31.9%3.681.8%24.6%
13Alden ApplewhiteFSr6'7"36-3531.314.15.91.21.256.5%37.4%4.179.3%22.5%
12Tyren MooreGSr5'11"37-3729.416.12.92.61.856.1%38.7%8.483.0%29.6%
5Nakavieon WhiteFSr6'7"37-620.19.73.12.31.644.1%32.5%3.267.1%32.0%
3Khayri DunnGSo6'1"36-017.57.41.70.91.450.2%34.3%3.981.8%27.0%
11Shainen CarterFSr6'9"34-2217.54.03.30.20.953.5%16.7%0.264.3%13.9%
24Andres BurneyFSr6'9"35-1515.74.73.70.30.666.1%—0.054.5%15.4%
9Jefferson KoulibalyGSr6'3"25-1621.14.42.80.70.638.8%24.1%2.257.9%15.3%
1Dwayne Williams JrGFr6'6"34-313.04.51.70.40.346.0%30.2%2.893.8%21.0%
7Tsvet SotirovFSo6'9"35-311.32.71.60.40.343.0%25.3%2.360.0%16.5%
0Jayden WilliamsGFr6'6"17-119.01.21.20.40.126.0%12.5%0.547.1%12.6%
10Sean Van Dorn JrGFr6'6"5-05.03.00.40.20.050.0%40.0%1.075.0%30.1%
4Cade LomasGFr6'3"3-01.70.00.00.00.00.0%0.0%0.7—23.3%
6Amare NealGFr5'9"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
8Cullen SchreinerFFr6'7"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
2Dallas GardnerGJr6'3"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
34Pavle RidesicFFr6'8"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home
GA SouthernWofford
Efficiency
109.5
109.2
112.5
112.4
70.1
68.6
—
—
Shooting
51.4%
52.5%
52.7%
52.5%
33.4%
35.0%
74.3%
70.9%
39.6%
36.2%
Ball control & glass
14.6%
13.4%
18.7%
14.9%
28.8%
29.8%
35.2%
29.0%
9.0%
8.1%
9.2%
9.5%
Style
48.9%
43.1%
38.2%
42.9%
12.4%
10.7%
41.1%
51.2%
36.5%
26.7%
Roster
3.48
2.15
6'4.9"
6'3.8"
—
—

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
GA Southern
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted GA Southern's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Wofford
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Wofford's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Head-to-head

this season and last
No meetings the last two seasons.

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.