CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceWorthen Arena, Muncie, IN
Evansville
Efficiency #327
2025-26: 7-25 · 3-18 conf
@
Ball State
Efficiency #295
2025-26: 12-19 · 7-11 conf
Wed, Dec 9 · TBD
65.5
win 31%
Projected
71.2
win 69%
No line posted yet.
Model: BALL −5.6 · total 136.7 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Ball State 65.9, Evansville 68.1 → 65.6 possessions
−5.8
Ball State offense vs Evansville defense
−2.0
Evansville offense vs Ball State defense
−3.8
Projected total
136.7
Axis starts at 130 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Ball State offense vs Evansville defense
−2.0
Evansville offense vs Ball State defense
+3.8
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.8
Ball State by 5.6
5.6
Evansville side ◂▸ Ball State side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 136.6 against a projected 136.7. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Ball State.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 65.6, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Evansville is the faster team (67.4, #228 of 365) and Ball State the slower (65.3, #321). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
65.6
per team, 40 min
Projected total
136.7
model
Projected team totals
65.5 / 71.2
Evansville / Ball State
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.1#206
Evansville
65.9#344
Ball State
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageEvansville
Where Evansville struggles: the offensive glass
Evansville rebounds 22.0% of its own misses (#355); Ball State lets opponents grab 31.0% of their own misses (#204). Expect about 24.9%, 5.5 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.4 points per 100 possessions.
TurnoversEvansville
Evansville turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 19.3% is worth roughly -3.1 points per 100 possessions against Evansville's offense.
Pace
Half-court grind
Ball State averages 65.3 possessions per 40, Evansville 67.4. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 65 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Evansville's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Evansville at about 43.5% of its shots from three, Ball State about 41.8%.
Evansville has the ball
OffenseBall State allowsvs D1 avg
49.3% #280
52.7% #253
-0.6 pt/100
19.1% #323
18.7% #63
-3.1 pt/100
22.0% #355
31.0% #204
-3.4 pt/100
29.8% #315
32.1% #106
-0.5 pt/100
73.6% #149
—
+0.1 pt/100
Evansville net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -7.6 pts/100
Ball State has the ball
OffenseEvansville allowsvs D1 avg
47.0% #336
55.1% #332
-0.7 pt/100
16.2% #152
15.4% #259
+1.5 pt/100
27.1% #290
30.2% #170
-1.4 pt/100
31.6% #263
31.4% #93
-0.5 pt/100
71.0% #240
—
-0.1 pt/100
Ball State net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -1.3 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersEvansvilleoffense vsBall Statedefense
Share of shots by zone
Evansville shoots
29.0
9.9
17.9
43.1
Ball State allows
36.4
7.1
15.8
40.7
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.7%#170 | 61.4%#280 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.5%#208 | 42.3%#235 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.8%#191 | 37.9%#158 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.2%#268 | 34.8%#239 | 33.7% |
Ball Stateoffense vsEvansvilledefense
Share of shots by zone
Ball State shoots
42.3
5.0
14.3
38.4
Evansville allows
33.7
8.5
15.0
42.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 52.7%#344 | 61.4%#282 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.2%#218 | 39.6%#178 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 30.6%#350 | 42.2%#311 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.4%#312 | 37.6%#351 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersEvansville
−5.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#349 of 365
Off reb %
22.0%
#355
Def reb %
69.8%
#170
Turnover %
19.1%
#323
Forced TO %
15.4%
#259
FT rate
29.8%
#315
FT allowed
31.4%
#93
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.7
Defensive rebounding+0.1
Ball security−1.6
Forcing turnovers−0.9
Foul shots drawn−1.3
Foul shots allowed+1.0
Ball State
+0.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#162 of 365
Off reb %
27.1%
#290
Def reb %
69.0%
#204
Turnover %
16.2%
#152
Forced TO %
18.7%
#63
FT rate
31.6%
#263
FT allowed
32.1%
#106
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.0
Defensive rebounding−0.1
Ball security+0.4
Forcing turnovers+1.4
Foul shots drawn−0.9
Foul shots allowed+0.8
Ball State has more extra scoring chances per game: +0.5 (#162 of 365) to Evansville’s −5.4 (#349).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Evansville2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Evansville's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Leif Moeller | G | Fr | 6'7" | 32-32 | 32.5 | 10.8 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 48.8% | 36.6% | 4.1 | 77.1% | 23.8% | |
| 23 | AJ Casey | F | Sr | 6'9" | 32-20 | 29.7 | 13.5 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 54.5% | 33.9% | 1.9 | 73.8% | 27.2% | |
| 11 | Joshua Hughes | F | Jr | 6'10" | 32-32 | 27.6 | 9.3 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 58.2% | 36.4% | 3.7 | 75.0% | 19.0% | |
| 0 | Bryce Quinet | G | Fr | 6'3" | 32-19 | 26.9 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 45.8% | 30.3% | 2.4 | 71.4% | 23.2% | |
| 12 | Alex Hemenway | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-32 | 25.9 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 45.4% | 31.7% | 5.1 | 81.8% | 17.3% | |
| 45 | Trent Hundley | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-1 | 17.6 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 54.6% | 37.1% | 3.3 | 89.3% | 16.9% | |
| 1 | Keishon Porter | G | Sr | 6'5" | 16-10 | 22.0 | 6.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 38.4% | 15.2% | 2.1 | 65.9% | 24.9% | |
| 9 | Kaia Berridge | G | So | 6'4" | 27-0 | 12.5 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 41.4% | 26.7% | 1.7 | 57.1% | 14.5% | |
| 22 | Connor Turnbull | F | Sr | 6'10" | 16-14 | 20.1 | 11.5 | 6.1 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 48.4% | 22.2% | 1.1 | 66.7% | 38.6% | |
| 2 | James Dyson-Merwe | F | Fr | 6'11" | 21-0 | 13.1 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 64.7% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 15.1% | |
| 40 | Weston Aigner | G | Jr | 6'3" | 5-0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | — | 23.4% | |
| 5 | Marlon Barnes Jr. | F | So | 6'6" | 3-0 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 37.5% | 33.3% | 2.0 | — | 42.3% | |
| 13 | Leo Amari IV | G | Jr | 6'2" | 5-0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 0.4 | — | 23.4% | |
| 33 | Aaron Gutman | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 32 | Dakota Candler | F | Jr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Ball State2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mason Jones | F | Sr | 6'7" | 31-30 | 30.9 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 48.0% | 36.9% | 2.1 | 40.9% | 10.1% | |
| 0 | Sean Blakeat Vermont | G | Jr | 6'2" | 34-27 | 28.6 | 9.9 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 50.4% | 35.2% | 1.6 | 69.3% | 25.0% | |
| 55 | Zaon Collinsat Fresno St | G | Sr | 6'1" | 26-24 | 30.7 | 11.6 | 3.4 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 49.8% | 30.9% | 2.1 | 71.3% | 25.6% | |
| 2 | Javion Guy-Kingat C Arkansas | G | Sr | 6'6" | 32-20 | 22.4 | 9.8 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 52.0% | 34.1% | 4.2 | 69.7% | 26.1% | |
| 5 | K'Jei Parkerat UMass | G | Sr | 6'2" | 33-6 | 20.8 | 10.7 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 56.7% | 40.8% | 4.8 | 90.0% | 27.3% | |
| 11 | Babatunde Durodolaat Temple | F | Jr | 6'8" | 32-9 | 19.2 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 49.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 75.8% | 16.8% | |
| 1 | Trey Lewisat W Michigan | G | Sr | 6'6" | 31-11 | 17.6 | 7.7 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 55.2% | 38.5% | 4.4 | 74.3% | 24.5% | |
| 7 | Jaden Smithat Saint Joseph's | C | Jr | 6'11" | 36-1 | 9.1 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 47.1% | 18.2% | 0.3 | 69.4% | 21.1% | |
| 20 | Joey Hart | G | Sr | 6'5" | 4-3 | 19.3 | 9.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 63.6% | 40.0% | 2.5 | 100.0% | 20.5% | |
| 4 | Jazz Henderson Jr.at Texas Tech | G | Jr | 5'11" | 12-0 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 41.7% | 50.0% | 0.3 | 50.0% | 19.3% | |
| 3 | Aaron Fineat Purdue | G | Jr | 6'2" | 9-0 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 34.4% | |
| 25 | Kai Mcgrew | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 6 | Kamden McGilveary | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 33 | Kijani Wright | F | Sr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Zaon Collins (from Fresno St), Babatunde Durodola (from Temple), Aaron Fine (from Purdue), Javion Guy-King (from C Arkansas), Jazz Henderson Jr. (from Texas Tech), Trey Lewis (from W Michigan), K'Jei Parker (from UMass), Jaden Smith (from Saint Joseph's), Sean Blake (from Vermont)
Evansville2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Evansville's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Leif Moeller | G | Fr | 6'7" | 32-32 | 32.5 | 10.8 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 48.8% | 36.6% | 4.1 | 77.1% | 23.8% | |
| 23 | AJ Casey | F | Sr | 6'9" | 32-20 | 29.7 | 13.5 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 54.5% | 33.9% | 1.9 | 73.8% | 27.2% | |
| 11 | Joshua Hughes | F | Jr | 6'10" | 32-32 | 27.6 | 9.3 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 58.2% | 36.4% | 3.7 | 75.0% | 19.0% | |
| 0 | Bryce Quinet | G | Fr | 6'3" | 32-19 | 26.9 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 45.8% | 30.3% | 2.4 | 71.4% | 23.2% | |
| 12 | Alex Hemenway | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-32 | 25.9 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 45.4% | 31.7% | 5.1 | 81.8% | 17.3% | |
| 45 | Trent Hundley | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-1 | 17.6 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 54.6% | 37.1% | 3.3 | 89.3% | 16.9% | |
| 1 | Keishon Porter | G | Sr | 6'5" | 16-10 | 22.0 | 6.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 38.4% | 15.2% | 2.1 | 65.9% | 24.9% | |
| 9 | Kaia Berridge | G | So | 6'4" | 27-0 | 12.5 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 41.4% | 26.7% | 1.7 | 57.1% | 14.5% | |
| 22 | Connor Turnbull | F | Sr | 6'10" | 16-14 | 20.1 | 11.5 | 6.1 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 48.4% | 22.2% | 1.1 | 66.7% | 38.6% | |
| 2 | James Dyson-Merwe | F | Fr | 6'11" | 21-0 | 13.1 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 64.7% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 15.1% | |
| 40 | Weston Aigner | G | Jr | 6'3" | 5-0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | — | 23.4% | |
| 5 | Marlon Barnes Jr. | F | So | 6'6" | 3-0 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 37.5% | 33.3% | 2.0 | — | 42.3% | |
| 13 | Leo Amari IV | G | Jr | 6'2" | 5-0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 0.4 | — | 23.4% | |
| 33 | Aaron Gutman | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 32 | Dakota Candler | F | Jr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Evansville
Against the spread
Season
15-15
Home
6-7
Road
7-6
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −5.2
Covered the last gameCovered 5 of 10 as an underdogCovered 3 of 5 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
16-13-1
Home
8-5
Road
7-6
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +7.0
Under in the last gameOver in 7 of 10 as an underdogOver in 4 of 5 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5 | Northern Iowa | N | L 59–68 | +15.0 | W+6.0 | 128.5 | U127 | 94.0 | 108.3 | 62.8 |
| Mar 1 | S Illinois | H | L 67–81 | +9.0 | L−5.0 | 139.5 | O148 | 104.9 | 126.8 | 63.9 |
| Feb 28 | Valparaiso | H | W 80–79 | +5.0 | W+6.0 | 138.0 | O159 | 117.9 | 116.4 | 67.9 |
| Feb 25 | Belmont | A | L 64–98 | +18.5 | L−15.5 | 152.0 | O162 | 94.8 | 145.2 | 67.5 |
| Feb 21 | Murray St | A | L 75–88 | +14.0 | W+1.0 | 153.0 | O163 | 104.0 | 122.1 | 72.1 |
| Feb 18 | UIC | H | L 46–84 | +8.0 | L−30.0 | 140.0 | U130 | 71.2 | 130.1 | 64.6 |
| Feb 12 | S Illinois | A | L 60–86 | +12.0 | L−14.0 | 142.5 | O146 | 88.2 | 126.4 | 68.1 |
| Feb 9 | Illinois St | H | W 88–80 | +10.5 | W+18.5 | 138.0 | O168 | 132.7 | 120.6 | 66.3 |
| Feb 6 | Valparaiso | A | L 63–70 OT | +8.5 | W+1.5 | 136.5 | U133 | 91.1 | 101.2 | 69.2 |
| Feb 3 | Indiana St | H | L 63–84 | +1.0 | L−20.0 | 145.0 | O147 | 100.5 | 134.0 | 62.7 |
Ball State
Against the spread
Season
14-14-1
Home
7-5
Road
6-8-1
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +3.7
Covered 5 straightCovered 5 of 7 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
9-19-1
Home
3-8-1
Road
4-11
Last 10
3-6-1
avg vs total −4.2
Over 2 straightOver in 2 of 7 as an underdog, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6 | C Michigan | H | W 85–69 | −2.0 | W+14.0 | 135.0 | O154 | 125.8 | 102.1 | 67.6 |
| Mar 3 | W Michigan | A | W 74–71 OT | +2.0 | W+5.0 | 138.5 | O145 | 103.2 | 99.0 | 71.7 |
| Feb 28 | N Illinois | A | W 79–43 | +1.5 | W+37.5 | 133.5 | U122 | 125.7 | 68.4 | 62.8 |
| Feb 24 | UMass | H | W 74–73 OT | +4.5 | W+5.5 | 143.5 | O147 | 100.6 | 99.3 | 73.5 |
| Feb 20 | Akron | H | L 65–78 | +14.0 | W+1.0 | 147.5 | U143 | 96.7 | 116.1 | 67.2 |
| Feb 17 | Ohio | A | L 57–69 | +9.5 | L−2.5 | 144.5 | U126 | 95.3 | 115.4 | 59.8 |
| Feb 14 | Kent State | H | L 68–75 | +8.0 | W+1.0 | 143.0 | P143 | 93.7 | 103.3 | 72.6 |
| Feb 11 | Buffalo | H | L 53–63 | −1.0 | L−11.0 | 141.0 | U116 | 89.6 | 106.5 | 59.2 |
| Feb 7 | UL Monroe | A | W 73–68 | −4.5 | W+0.5 | 143.5 | U141 | 105.3 | 98.1 | 69.3 |
| Feb 3 | Bowling Green | A | L 52–77 | +11.0 | L−14.0 | 138.0 | U129 | 83.1 | 123.0 | 62.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeEvansvilleBall State
Efficiency
102.4
101.8
112.2
108.8
68.1
65.9
—
—
Shooting
49.3%
47.0%
49.9%
47.0%
32.2%
31.4%
73.6%
71.0%
29.8%
31.6%
Ball control & glass
19.1%
16.2%
15.4%
18.7%
22.0%
27.1%
30.2%
31.0%
11.1%
8.1%
7.1%
10.9%
Style
43.1%
39.4%
40.3%
45.4%
7.5%
10.8%
54.3%
53.6%
30.0%
34.8%
Roster
2.74
3.66
6'6.7"
6'4.7"
—
16.6%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputEvansville
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Evansville's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Ball State
Returning minutes: 16.6%Returning production: 13.1%
Lost
- Armoni Zeigler 32.4 mpg, 12.5 ppg · transferred to Boston College
- Davion Hill 26.9 mpg, 14.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Elmore James IV 23.9 mpg, 7.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Devon Barnes 20.9 mpg, 9.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Preston Copeland 18.1 mpg, 4.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Juwan Maxey 13.7 mpg, 4.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Sean Blake from Vermont · 28.6 mpg, 9.9 ppg last season
- Zaon Collins from Fresno St · 24.9 mpg, 9.4 ppg last season
- Javion Guy-King from C Arkansas · 21.1 mpg, 9.2 ppg last season
- K'Jei Parker from UMass · 20.8 mpg, 10.7 ppg last season
- Babatunde Durodola from Temple · 19.2 mpg, 4.8 ppg last season
- Trey Lewis from W Michigan · 17.6 mpg, 7.7 ppg last season
Returns 17% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Wed, Dec 3 | 2025-26 | Ball State 52 – 64 Evansville |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.