CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceWilliams Arena at Minges Coliseum, Greenville, NC
Coastal
Efficiency #241
2025-26: 19-13 · 11-8 conf
@
East Carolina
Efficiency #272
2025-26: 11-20 · 6-12 conf
Wed, Dec 9 · 7:00 PM ET
70.6
win 42%
Projected
72.9
win 58%
No line posted yet.
Model: ECU −2.3 · total 143.5 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: East Carolina 69.1, Coastal 68.1 → 68.9 possessions
+1.3
East Carolina offense vs Coastal defense
−3.9
Coastal offense vs East Carolina defense
−2.2
Projected total
143.5
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
East Carolina offense vs Coastal defense
−3.9
Coastal offense vs East Carolina defense
+2.2
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
East Carolina by 2.3
2.3
Coastal side ◂▸ East Carolina side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 143.4 against a projected 143.5. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help East Carolina.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, East Carolina is the faster team (69.2, #135 of 365) and Coastal the slower (68.3, #189). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.9
per team, 40 min
Projected total
143.5
model
Projected team totals
70.6 / 72.9
Coastal / East Carolina
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.1#200
Coastal
69.1#110
East Carolina
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageEast Carolina
Where East Carolina struggles: shooting
East Carolina shoots an effective 46.4% (#346); Coastal allows 46.8% (#18). Expect about 46.2%, 5.1 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -7.3 points per 100 possessions.
ClashEast Carolina
Style match: ball movement
East Carolina creates off the dribble (assists on 47.3% of its baskets); Coastal breaks up passing offenses (assists on 37.7% allowed) (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 39.6% — both habits push the same way.
TurnoversEast Carolina
East Carolina protects the ball
Projected turnover rate of 14.1% is worth roughly +3.3 points per 100 possessions for East Carolina's offense.
ClashEast Carolina
Style match: 3-point volume
East Carolina rarely shoots threes (31.1% of its shots); Coastal runs teams off the line (35.7% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 30.4% — both habits push the same way.
AdvantageCoastal
Where Coastal struggles: shooting
Coastal shoots an effective 47.9% (#314); East Carolina allows 52.3% (#229). Expect about 49.8%, 1.5 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.1 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (East Carolina) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Coastal at about 41.9% of its shots from three, East Carolina about 30.4%.
Coastal has the ball
OffenseEast Carolina allowsvs D1 avg
47.9% #314
52.3% #229
-2.1 pt/100
15.2% #82
16.2% #206
+1.5 pt/100
26.9% #296
32.5% #282
-0.8 pt/100
32.3% #254
32.2% #110
-0.4 pt/100
73.1% #165
—
+0.1 pt/100
Coastal net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -1.7 pts/100
East Carolina has the ball
OffenseCoastal allowsvs D1 avg
46.4% #346
46.8% #18
-7.3 pt/100
17.1% #212
12.3% #364
+3.3 pt/100
33.4% #79
27.6% #52
+0.4 pt/100
39.2% #75
34.9% #174
+0.2 pt/100
70.0% #274
—
-0.2 pt/100
East Carolina net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -3.5 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersCoastaloffense vsEast Carolinadefense
Share of shots by zone
Coastal shoots
30.7
5.3
21.1
42.9
East Carolina allows
37.5
4.9
18.6
39.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 53.7%#324 | 58.9%#185 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.3%#215 | 44.4%#279 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.6%#245 | 39.9%#238 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.5%#196 | 34.9%#245 | 33.7% |
East Carolinaoffense vsCoastaldefense
Share of shots by zone
East Carolina shoots
39.5
5.2
24.9
30.4
Coastal allows
33.4
5.7
25.7
35.1
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 54.3%#318 | 48.8%#3 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.8%#198 | 45.2%#302 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.1%#184 | 38.9%#198 | 38.0% |
| Three | 29.3%#350 | 32.8%#105 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersCoastal
−2.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#291 of 365
Off reb %
26.9%
#296
Def reb %
72.4%
#52
Turnover %
15.2%
#82
Forced TO %
12.3%
#364
FT rate
32.3%
#254
FT allowed
34.9%
#174
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.1
Defensive rebounding+1.0
Ball security+1.1
Forcing turnovers−3.0
Foul shots drawn−0.7
Foul shots allowed+0.1
East Carolina
+1.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#114 of 365
Off reb %
33.4%
#79
Def reb %
67.5%
#282
Turnover %
17.1%
#212
Forced TO %
16.2%
#206
FT rate
39.2%
#75
FT allowed
32.2%
#110
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.0
Defensive rebounding−0.6
Ball security−0.2
Forcing turnovers−0.3
Foul shots drawn+1.1
Foul shots allowed+0.8
East Carolina has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.7 (#114 of 365) to Coastal’s −2.7 (#291).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Coastal2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Coastal's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rasheed Jones | G | Jr | 6'6" | 32-32 | 36.2 | 14.8 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 49.1% | 36.7% | 6.1 | 80.7% | 24.8% | |
| 0 | AJ Dancler | G | Jr | 6'2" | 32-32 | 33.2 | 15.6 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 49.6% | 39.3% | 6.3 | 75.7% | 28.5% | |
| 5 | Joshua Beadle | G | Sr | 6'3" | 32-32 | 32.2 | 17.8 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 46.2% | 26.3% | 3.7 | 79.7% | 35.8% | |
| 21 | Reggie Hill | F | Sr | 6'7" | 31-30 | 25.2 | 6.6 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 45.3% | 35.1% | 3.6 | 72.1% | 19.2% | |
| 4 | Nadjrick Peat | F | Sr | 6'10" | 32-32 | 23.1 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 68.6% | — | 0.0 | 63.5% | 10.6% | |
| 1 | Tristan Thompson | G | Fr | 6'5" | 32-0 | 19.5 | 4.0 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 43.2% | 16.1% | 1.0 | 65.1% | 14.9% | |
| 3 | DaJohn Craig | G | So | 6'1" | 32-0 | 12.6 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 53.5% | 37.2% | 2.9 | 88.9% | 20.9% | |
| 15 | Derrick Green | F | So | 6'9" | 31-0 | 10.6 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 65.7% | — | 0.0 | 43.2% | 12.4% | |
| 14 | Jerry Ngopot | F | Sr | 6'10" | 24-2 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 41.4% | 28.1% | 1.3 | 0.0% | 19.2% | |
| 13 | Braeden MacVicar | F | So | 6'11" | 23-0 | 7.5 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 43.3% | 29.6% | 2.3 | 68.8% | 25.1% | |
| 11 | Jackson Keil | G | Sr | 6'2" | 6-0 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 100.0% | 17.8% | |
| 30 | Charles Dunlap | G | Sr | 6'2" | 3-0 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 8.1% | |
| 20 | Connor Martin | F | Jr | 6'4" | 3-0 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.3 | — | 17.7% | |
| 7 | Andre Mulibea | G | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | Devin Brown | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
East Carolina2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Corey Caulker | G | Jr | 6'0" | 31-26 | 30.7 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 41.1% | 32.5% | 4.1 | 77.5% | 19.9% | |
| 2 | Isaiah Mbeng | G | So | 6'1" | 31-7 | 23.1 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 42.1% | 25.5% | 3.2 | 65.4% | 17.2% | |
| 15 | Demitri Gardner | G | Sr | 6'4" | 18-14 | 27.9 | 11.1 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 53.2% | 42.6% | 3.4 | 86.5% | 23.6% | |
| 23 | Reid Cason | F | So | 6'10" | 31-12 | 15.2 | 3.9 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 56.7% | 11.1% | 0.3 | 67.5% | 15.5% | |
| 4 | Tybo Bailey | G | So | 6'2" | 20-15 | 23.4 | 7.1 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 39.1% | 27.8% | 4.0 | 72.4% | 21.9% | |
| 33 | Eli DeLaurier | F | So | 6'10" | 23-10 | 15.9 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 44.2% | 13.3% | 1.3 | 90.5% | 22.1% | |
| 43 | Luke Davis | F | Sr | 6'8" | 26-7 | 11.3 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 16.7% | 0.2 | 78.9% | 14.6% | |
| 10 | Paddy D'Arcy | G | Fr | 6'6" | 21-0 | 7.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 31.3% | 20.7% | 1.4 | 100.0% | 13.2% | |
| 11 | Vito Perkovic | F | Fr | 6'10" | 19-1 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 38.8% | 26.1% | 1.2 | 100.0% | 23.6% | |
| 0 | Jayshayne Woodard | G | Sr | 6'7" | 4-2 | 15.3 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 50.0% | 20.0% | 1.3 | 55.6% | 21.9% | |
| 6 | Ladontae Felton | G | Fr | 6'2" | 4-0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 100.0% | 18.4% | |
| 3 | Daithi Quinn | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 35 | Grant Smith | F | Sr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Jake Baker | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Trevion LaBeaux | G | Sr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Coastal2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Coastal's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rasheed Jones | G | Jr | 6'6" | 32-32 | 36.2 | 14.8 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 49.1% | 36.7% | 6.1 | 80.7% | 24.8% | |
| 0 | AJ Dancler | G | Jr | 6'2" | 32-32 | 33.2 | 15.6 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 49.6% | 39.3% | 6.3 | 75.7% | 28.5% | |
| 5 | Joshua Beadle | G | Sr | 6'3" | 32-32 | 32.2 | 17.8 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 46.2% | 26.3% | 3.7 | 79.7% | 35.8% | |
| 21 | Reggie Hill | F | Sr | 6'7" | 31-30 | 25.2 | 6.6 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 45.3% | 35.1% | 3.6 | 72.1% | 19.2% | |
| 4 | Nadjrick Peat | F | Sr | 6'10" | 32-32 | 23.1 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 68.6% | — | 0.0 | 63.5% | 10.6% | |
| 1 | Tristan Thompson | G | Fr | 6'5" | 32-0 | 19.5 | 4.0 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 43.2% | 16.1% | 1.0 | 65.1% | 14.9% | |
| 3 | DaJohn Craig | G | So | 6'1" | 32-0 | 12.6 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 53.5% | 37.2% | 2.9 | 88.9% | 20.9% | |
| 15 | Derrick Green | F | So | 6'9" | 31-0 | 10.6 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 65.7% | — | 0.0 | 43.2% | 12.4% | |
| 14 | Jerry Ngopot | F | Sr | 6'10" | 24-2 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 41.4% | 28.1% | 1.3 | 0.0% | 19.2% | |
| 13 | Braeden MacVicar | F | So | 6'11" | 23-0 | 7.5 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 43.3% | 29.6% | 2.3 | 68.8% | 25.1% | |
| 11 | Jackson Keil | G | Sr | 6'2" | 6-0 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 100.0% | 17.8% | |
| 30 | Charles Dunlap | G | Sr | 6'2" | 3-0 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 8.1% | |
| 20 | Connor Martin | F | Jr | 6'4" | 3-0 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.3 | — | 17.7% | |
| 7 | Andre Mulibea | G | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | Devin Brown | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Coastal
Against the spread
Season
17-13-1
Home
6-5-1
Road
10-7
Last 10
6-4
avg cover −0.6
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 2 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 4 of 6 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
18-13
Home
6-6
Road
11-6
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +1.1
Over in the last gameOver in 4 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | GA Southern | N | L 72–96 | −1.0 | L−25.0 | 150.5 | O168 | 105.7 | 140.9 | 68.1 |
| Feb 27 | James Madison | A | W 69–68 | +6.0 | W+7.0 | 142.0 | U137 | 108.6 | 107.0 | 63.5 |
| Feb 24 | Georgia St | A | W 76–71 | −1.0 | W+4.0 | 141.0 | O147 | 113.3 | 105.9 | 67.1 |
| Feb 21 | Marshall | H | W 79–75 | +2.5 | W+6.5 | 153.5 | O154 | 104.8 | 99.5 | 75.3 |
| Feb 18 | James Madison | H | L 65–67 | +1.0 | L−1.0 | 141.5 | U132 | 99.1 | 102.2 | 65.6 |
| Feb 12 | Louisiana | A | W 69–65 | −1.0 | W+3.0 | 132.0 | O134 | 98.7 | 93.0 | 69.9 |
| Feb 7 | UMass | H | W 94–91 3OT | +2.5 | W+5.5 | 148.5 | O185 | 112.2 | 108.6 | 83.8 |
| Feb 4 | Arkansas St | H | L 66–70 | +5.0 | W+1.0 | 151.5 | U136 | 94.3 | 100.0 | 70.0 |
| Feb 1 | UL Monroe | A | W 83–79 | −9.0 | L−5.0 | 145.0 | O162 | 124.4 | 118.4 | 66.7 |
| Jan 29 | South Alabama | A | L 48–53 | +3.5 | L−1.5 | 140.0 | U101 | 80.0 | 88.3 | 60.0 |
East Carolina
Against the spread
Season
13-17
Home
6-10
Road
6-6
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +2.5
Covered the last gameCovered 5 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-14
Home
10-6
Road
5-7
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +8.0
Over 2 straightOver in 5 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | UAB | A | L 83–90 | +10.0 | W+3.0 | 150.5 | O173 | 108.9 | 118.1 | 76.2 |
| Mar 5 | Tulsa | H | L 66–93 | +8.5 | L−18.5 | 156.0 | O159 | 99.0 | 139.5 | 66.7 |
| Mar 1 | Memphis | H | W 84–68 | +4.0 | W+20.0 | 153.5 | U152 | 114.3 | 92.5 | 73.5 |
| Feb 25 | UTSA | A | W 82–81 | −4.5 | L−3.5 | 153.5 | O163 | 121.4 | 119.9 | 67.5 |
| Feb 21 | Charlotte | A | L 56–68 | +4.5 | L−7.5 | 146.0 | U124 | 85.8 | 104.2 | 65.3 |
| Feb 18 | Wichita St | H | L 89–92 2OT | +8.0 | W+5.0 | 149.5 | O181 | 101.0 | 104.4 | 88.1 |
| Feb 14 | Rice | A | W 85–75 | +4.5 | W+14.5 | 145.5 | O160 | 127.9 | 112.8 | 66.5 |
| Feb 11 | UTSA | H | W 88–72 | −10.5 | W+5.5 | 149.5 | O160 | 123.9 | 101.3 | 71.0 |
| Feb 7 | Temple | H | L 73–81 | +2.5 | L−5.5 | 139.5 | O154 | 114.7 | 127.2 | 63.7 |
| Feb 1 | FAU | A | W 76–75 | +10.5 | W+11.5 | 153.5 | U151 | 113.3 | 111.8 | 67.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeCoastalEast Carolina
Efficiency
103.8
104.1
107.3
110.0
68.1
69.1
—
—
Shooting
47.9%
46.4%
46.1%
47.5%
33.5%
29.3%
73.1%
70.0%
32.3%
39.2%
Ball control & glass
15.2%
17.1%
12.3%
16.2%
26.9%
33.4%
27.6%
32.5%
7.9%
9.8%
7.6%
8.1%
Style
43.1%
31.1%
34.5%
43.4%
10.3%
12.0%
40.4%
47.3%
26.8%
27.1%
Roster
3.10
2.58
6'5.4"
6'4.1"
—
65.8%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputCoastal
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Coastal's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
East Carolina
Returning minutes: 65.8%Returning production: 50.3%
Lost
- Jordan Riley 36.6 mpg, 22.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Giovanni Emejuru 32.7 mpg, 12.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Daithi Quinn no D1 minutes last season
- Jake Baker no D1 minutes last season
- Grant Smith no D1 minutes last season
- Trevion LaBeaux no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 66% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.