Bradley Braves vs Coppin State Eagles basketball preview & prediction

Thu, Nov 12 · 6:00 PM ET · McArthur Center, St. Petersburg, FL (neutral site)

Showdown in St. PeteNeutral siteNon-conferenceMcArthur Center, St. Petersburg, FL
Bradley
1-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #169
vs
Coppin St
1-2 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #360
Thu, Nov 12 · 6:00 PM ET
Our projected score shows once the market opens.
No line posted yet.

Our play

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 69.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Coppin St is the faster team (68.8, #241 of 365) and Bradley the slower (63.3, #343). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
69.1
per team, 40 min
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.1#279
Bradley
70.5#188
Coppin St

How this game plays

points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchup
From the four factors
Coppin St has the ball−14.8
Bradley has the ball−6.0
Coppin St has the ball
✗Coughs it upTO% 30.5% #356 · BRAD forces 23.7% #44 · ~20 turnovers−8.9
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 40.4% #322 · BRAD allows 48.1% #128−6.7
✓Wins second chancesOR% 30.2% #206 · BRAD allows 39.4% #310+1.2
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 38.4% #160 · BRAD allows 34.6% #161 · FT 65.8% #246−0.3
Bradley has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 34.7% #355 · COPP allows 55.0% #260−6.5
✓Wins second chancesOR% 37.8% #72 · COPP allows 40.3% #316+3.6
✗Coughs it upTO% 23.7% #320 · COPP forces 19.6% #119 · ~15 turnovers−3.4
✓Gets to the lineFTR 25.4% #305 · COPP allows 46.8% #281 · FT 73.3% #127+0.2

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot
Bradleyoffense vsCoppin Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Bradley shoots
Coppin St allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim62.5%#12155.6%#13758.0%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)12.5%#31450.0%#24338.2%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)12.5%#31535.7%#18734.7%
Three23.3%#32239.0%#29732.5%
Coppin Stoffense vsBradleydefense
Share of shots by zone
Coppin St shoots
Bradley allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim55.0%#22455.6%#13758.0%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)50.0%#7554.5%#28938.2%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)41.4%#11330.8%#13834.7%
Three22.2%#33333.3%#18532.5%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line
Bradley
−2.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#218 of 365
Off reb %
37.8%
#72
Def reb %
60.6%
#310
Turnover %
23.7%
#320
Forced TO %
23.7%
#44
FT rate
25.4%
#305
FT allowed
34.6%
#161
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.1
Defensive rebounding−2.6
Ball security−3.9
Forcing turnovers+4.0
Foul shots drawn−3.1
Foul shots allowed+0.9
Coppin St
−13.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#331 of 365
Off reb %
30.2%
#206
Def reb %
59.7%
#316
Turnover %
30.5%
#356
Forced TO %
19.6%
#119
FT rate
38.4%
#160
FT allowed
46.8%
#281
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.5
Defensive rebounding−2.9
Ball security−8.7
Forcing turnovers+1.1
Foul shots drawn+0.3
Foul shots allowed−2.3

Bradley has more extra scoring chances per game: −2.6 (#218 of 365) to Coppin St’s −13.0 (#331).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Who has been playing, and who has not
Bradley2026-27 numbers
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%UsageStatus
20GSr6'6"2-229.014.02.52.52.043.2%33.3%7.590.0%32.7%Active
19FJr6'10"2-228.011.57.51.01.573.3%57.1%3.533.3%21.4%Active
0FSo6'8"2-225.08.54.50.01.546.9%33.3%4.5100.0%24.5%Active
3FSo6'8"2-224.58.57.02.50.553.6%50.0%1.040.0%21.8%Active
4FJr6'8"2-022.010.54.51.50.062.5%33.3%3.033.3%24.3%Active
6GFr6'4"2-121.02.01.54.51.515.0%12.5%4.050.0%20.5%Active
2GSr6'6"2-016.03.52.01.00.022.2%0.0%2.075.0%20.9%Active
1GSo6'7"1-125.08.08.02.04.040.0%0.0%2.0—33.9%Missed last
5GFr6'5"2-012.56.03.01.50.050.0%33.3%4.533.3%30.5%Active
8GFr6'4"2-05.50.00.00.50.50.0%0.0%0.5—16.9%Active
17CFr6'11"1-06.00.02.01.01.0——0.0—10.1%Missed last
23GJr6'2"1-02.00.00.00.00.00.0%0.0%1.0—30.3%Missed last

Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.

Team comparison

national rank toned left for away, right for home
BradleyCoppin St
Efficiency
104.4
92.6
104.7
111.6
69.1
70.5
5.3
10.1
Shooting
34.7%
40.4%
34.5%
43.1%
23.3%
22.2%
73.3%
65.8%
25.4%
38.4%
Ball control & glass
23.7%
30.5%
23.7%
19.6%
37.8%
30.2%
39.4%
40.3%
11.1%
14.5%
3.4%
9.7%
Style
50.8%
27.3%
34.6%
32.4%
11.5%
13.3%
52.9%
29.7%
34.0%
50.8%
Roster
2.50
3.30
6'7.1"
6'5.3"
2.0%
39.3%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
Bradley
Returning minutes: 13.0%Returning production: 8.7%
Lost
  • Alex Huibregtse 31.2 mpg, 12.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Jaquan Johnson 30.4 mpg, 16.9 ppg · transferred to Iowa State
  • AJ Smith 25.7 mpg, 8.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Ahmet Jonovic 24.7 mpg, 8.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Montana Wheeler 22.3 mpg, 8.5 ppg · transferred to Kansas St
  • Corey Thomas 18.4 mpg, 5.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
  • Trevon Payton from AR-Pine Bluff · 33.8 mpg, 10.0 ppg last season
  • Xander Alarie from Northeastern · 9.8 mpg, 3.6 ppg last season
  • Josh Ibukunoluwa from High Point · 2.9 mpg, 1.3 ppg last season
  • Gustavo Guimares no D1 minutes last season
  • Noah Williams no D1 minutes last season
  • Dimitrije Pavlovic no D1 minutes last season

Returns 13% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Coppin St
Returning minutes: 52.2%Returning production: 49.4%
Lost
  • Hassan Perkins 22.6 mpg, 6.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Khali Horton 19.8 mpg, 7.4 ppg · transferred to Morgan St
  • Torrin Andrews 19.1 mpg, 5.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Demariontay Hall 15.6 mpg, 7.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Taj Thweatt 13.2 mpg, 4.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Chris Morgan 5.6 mpg, 1.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
  • Tafara Gapare from Villanova · 4.5 mpg, 0.8 ppg last season
  • Brendan Johnson from Merrimack · 1.1 mpg, 0.2 ppg last season
  • Sven Djopmo from Arizona · 0.9 mpg, 0.3 ppg last season
  • Allen Myers no D1 minutes last season
  • Levi Lawal no D1 minutes last season
  • Malik Shackleford no D1 minutes last season

Returns 52% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5 (1 transferred).

Head-to-head

this season and last
No meetings the last two seasons.

More games on Thu, Nov 12

← Wed, Nov 11 · Fri, Nov 13 → · Full season schedule

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.

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