CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceThe Barn by Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN
Southern
Efficiency #286
2025-26: 17-17 · 13-8 conf
@
Minnesota
Efficiency #94
2025-26: 15-18 · 8-13 conf
Thu, Nov 12 · TBD
66.5
win 17%
Projected
77.6
win 83%
No line posted yet.
Model: MINN −11.0 · total 144.1 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Minnesota 65.1, Southern 70.0 → 66.7 possessions
−3.4
Minnesota offense vs Southern defense
+3.2
Southern offense vs Minnesota defense
−4.0
Projected total
144.1
Axis starts at 142 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Minnesota offense vs Southern defense
+3.2
Southern offense vs Minnesota defense
+4.0
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.8
Minnesota by 11.0
11.0
Southern side ◂▸ Minnesota side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 144.0 against a projected 144.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Minnesota.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 66.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Southern is the faster team (71.5, #31 of 365) and Minnesota the slower (62.9, #364). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
66.7
per team, 40 min
Projected total
144.1
model
Projected team totals
66.5 / 77.6
Southern / Minnesota
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.0#52
Southern
65.1#362
Minnesota
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Tempo tug-of-war
Minnesota averages 62.9 possessions per 40, Southern 71.5. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 66 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageMinnesota
Where Minnesota scores: shooting
Minnesota shoots an effective 53.9% (#69); Southern allows 53.2% (#274). Expect about 53.7%, 2.5 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.5 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Southern's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Southern at about 34.8% of its shots from three, Minnesota about 44.3%.
DefenseSouthern
Southern's ball-hawking
Southern ranks #36 nationally in steal rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 10.5% of Minnesota's possessions to end in a steal against this defense.
Southern has the ball
OffenseMinnesota allowsvs D1 avg
49.1% #287
51.9% #207
-1.3 pt/100
16.5% #170
16.9% #162
+0.1 pt/100
31.4% #144
29.5% #137
+0.2 pt/100
39.8% #61
26.9% #21
-0.3 pt/100
69.5% #284
—
-0.3 pt/100
Southern net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -1.6 pts/100
Minnesota has the ball
OffenseSouthern allowsvs D1 avg
53.9% #69
53.2% #274
+3.5 pt/100
16.5% #167
18.6% #66
-1.3 pt/100
26.8% #304
31.3% #217
-1.3 pt/100
35.8% #159
42.9% #338
+0.6 pt/100
69.4% #286
—
-0.3 pt/100
Minnesota net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.3 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersSouthernoffense vsMinnesotadefense
Share of shots by zone
Southern shoots
41.1
6.8
19.9
32.2
Minnesota allows
32.6
6.5
19.6
41.3
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.5%#255 | 60.9%#268 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 34.8%#291 | 48.6%#345 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 31.5%#343 | 37.6%#150 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.8%#129 | 34.7%#229 | 33.7% |
Minnesotaoffense vsSoutherndefense
Share of shots by zone
Minnesota shoots
34.7
4.9
12.5
47.9
Southern allows
38.3
7.1
18.3
36.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 63.5%#45 | 59.7%#215 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 44.7%#69 | 38.6%#149 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.5%#202 | 35.9%#106 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.2%#164 | 36.7%#339 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersSouthern
+0.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#143 of 365
Off reb %
31.4%
#144
Def reb %
68.7%
#217
Turnover %
16.5%
#170
Forced TO %
18.6%
#66
FT rate
39.8%
#61
FT allowed
42.9%
#338
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.3
Defensive rebounding−0.2
Ball security+0.2
Forcing turnovers+1.3
Foul shots drawn+1.2
Foul shots allowed−2.0
Minnesota
+1.8extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#111 of 365
Off reb %
26.8%
#304
Def reb %
70.5%
#137
Turnover %
16.5%
#167
Forced TO %
16.9%
#162
FT rate
35.8%
#159
FT allowed
26.9%
#21
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.2
Defensive rebounding+0.3
Ball security+0.2
Forcing turnovers+0.1
Foul shots drawn+0.2
Foul shots allowed+2.1
Minnesota has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.8 (#111 of 365) to Southern’s +0.9 (#143).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Southern2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Michael Jacobs | G | Sr | 6'2" | 32-25 | 32.1 | 17.3 | 3.6 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 44.9% | 33.9% | 3.9 | 66.2% | 34.7% | |
| 1 | DaMariee Jones | F | Sr | 6'5" | 30-22 | 25.4 | 9.9 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 58.9% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 66.7% | 19.8% | |
| 3 | Cam Amboree | G | Sr | 6'3" | 28-18 | 27.0 | 9.6 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 45.5% | 37.5% | 4.3 | 80.3% | 23.6% | |
| 23 | Terrance Dixon Jr. | F | Sr | 6'8" | 34-30 | 20.5 | 9.0 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 69.3% | — | 0.0 | 62.3% | 20.3% | |
| 14 | Fazl Oshodi | G | So | 6'3" | 34-18 | 20.3 | 8.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 52.9% | 34.9% | 5.1 | 93.5% | 23.2% | |
| 4 | Brandon Hardy | G | Jr | 6'3" | 33-10 | 19.0 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 53.4% | 35.8% | 1.6 | 75.0% | 12.4% | |
| 12 | AJ Barnes | F | Sr | 6'6" | 28-20 | 22.0 | 8.3 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 45.7% | 36.5% | 2.6 | 74.6% | 23.6% | |
| 8 | Malek Abdelgowad | F | Sr | 6'10" | 28-5 | 17.1 | 10.6 | 6.2 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 62.3% | 50.0% | 0.4 | 72.8% | 30.9% | |
| 2 | Joe Manning | G | Sr | 6'2" | 30-6 | 11.6 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 42.4% | 32.7% | 1.7 | 87.0% | 19.8% | |
| 35 | Puoch Dobuol | F | Sr | 6'8" | 19-8 | 8.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 31.7% | 33.3% | 0.3 | 100.0% | 17.6% | |
| 11 | Keith Lamar | F | Sr | 6'6" | 7-2 | 15.7 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 29.6% | 19.0% | 3.0 | — | 15.6% | |
| 13 | Lionel Bell | F | Fr | 6'9" | 18-1 | 5.8 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 52.4% | — | 0.0 | 40.0% | 17.1% | |
| 0 | Rondae Hill | G | So | 6'0" | 6-4 | 14.7 | 7.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 57.1% | 43.5% | 3.8 | 50.0% | 25.4% | |
| 5 | Jayce Depron | G | So | 6'3" | 5-0 | 7.6 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 52.9% | 30.8% | 2.6 | — | 22.5% | |
| 30 | D'Mari Wiltz | G | Sr | — | 3-0 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 12.9% | |
| 9 | Andre Nunley | G | Sr | 5'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Femi Olaniyan | F | Jr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 6 | Trey Shephard | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Minnesota2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Minnesota's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cade Tyson | G | Sr | 6'7" | 32-32 | 36.7 | 19.6 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 59.3% | 41.3% | 5.4 | 82.2% | 29.1% | |
| 1 | Isaac Asuma | G | So | 6'3" | 33-33 | 34.3 | 10.9 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 48.9% | 30.4% | 5.8 | 74.2% | 23.8% | |
| 6 | Langston Reynolds | G | Sr | 6'4" | 33-26 | 33.2 | 11.6 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 2.6 | 55.9% | 25.6% | 1.3 | 59.2% | 24.5% | |
| 3 | Bobby Durkin | F | Jr | 6'7" | 33-25 | 32.8 | 10.2 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 58.8% | 39.2% | 6.2 | 87.5% | 17.9% | |
| 5 | Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | F | Jr | 6'8" | 24-24 | 31.5 | 13.4 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 49.3% | 32.3% | 5.4 | 71.8% | 28.9% | |
| 2 | Grayson Grove | F | Fr | 6'9" | 32-12 | 20.6 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 62.0% | 26.3% | 0.6 | 25.0% | 12.6% | |
| 9 | Kai Shinholster | G | Fr | 6'5" | 31-0 | 13.1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 37.5% | 22.5% | 1.3 | 75.0% | 13.1% | |
| 0 | Chansey Willis Jr. | G | Jr | 6'2" | 7-7 | 26.6 | 6.3 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 43.6% | 18.2% | 1.6 | 45.5% | 21.6% | |
| 22 | Robert Vaihola | F | Sr | 6'8" | 5-5 | 21.4 | 5.0 | 7.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 70.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 14.6% | |
| 4 | Nehemiah Turner | F | So | 6'10" | 7-1 | 5.9 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 18.8% | |
| 11 | Maximus Gizzi | G | Sr | 6'1" | 10-0 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 0.0% | 10.3% | |
| 12 | RJ Spencer | G | Sr | 6'3" | 5-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | — | 23.7% | |
| 20 | BJ Omot | F | Jr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Chance Stephens | G | Jr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Max Lorenson | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Southern2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Michael Jacobs | G | Sr | 6'2" | 32-25 | 32.1 | 17.3 | 3.6 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 44.9% | 33.9% | 3.9 | 66.2% | 34.7% | |
| 1 | DaMariee Jones | F | Sr | 6'5" | 30-22 | 25.4 | 9.9 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 58.9% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 66.7% | 19.8% | |
| 3 | Cam Amboree | G | Sr | 6'3" | 28-18 | 27.0 | 9.6 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 45.5% | 37.5% | 4.3 | 80.3% | 23.6% | |
| 23 | Terrance Dixon Jr. | F | Sr | 6'8" | 34-30 | 20.5 | 9.0 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 69.3% | — | 0.0 | 62.3% | 20.3% | |
| 14 | Fazl Oshodi | G | So | 6'3" | 34-18 | 20.3 | 8.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 52.9% | 34.9% | 5.1 | 93.5% | 23.2% | |
| 4 | Brandon Hardy | G | Jr | 6'3" | 33-10 | 19.0 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 53.4% | 35.8% | 1.6 | 75.0% | 12.4% | |
| 12 | AJ Barnes | F | Sr | 6'6" | 28-20 | 22.0 | 8.3 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 45.7% | 36.5% | 2.6 | 74.6% | 23.6% | |
| 8 | Malek Abdelgowad | F | Sr | 6'10" | 28-5 | 17.1 | 10.6 | 6.2 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 62.3% | 50.0% | 0.4 | 72.8% | 30.9% | |
| 2 | Joe Manning | G | Sr | 6'2" | 30-6 | 11.6 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 42.4% | 32.7% | 1.7 | 87.0% | 19.8% | |
| 35 | Puoch Dobuol | F | Sr | 6'8" | 19-8 | 8.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 31.7% | 33.3% | 0.3 | 100.0% | 17.6% | |
| 11 | Keith Lamar | F | Sr | 6'6" | 7-2 | 15.7 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 29.6% | 19.0% | 3.0 | — | 15.6% | |
| 13 | Lionel Bell | F | Fr | 6'9" | 18-1 | 5.8 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 52.4% | — | 0.0 | 40.0% | 17.1% | |
| 0 | Rondae Hill | G | So | 6'0" | 6-4 | 14.7 | 7.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 57.1% | 43.5% | 3.8 | 50.0% | 25.4% | |
| 5 | Jayce Depron | G | So | 6'3" | 5-0 | 7.6 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 52.9% | 30.8% | 2.6 | — | 22.5% | |
| 30 | D'Mari Wiltz | G | Sr | — | 3-0 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 12.9% | |
| 9 | Andre Nunley | G | Sr | 5'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Femi Olaniyan | F | Jr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 6 | Trey Shephard | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Southern
Against the spread
Season
13-18
Home
3-6
Road
9-10
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −2.4
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 10 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
20-11
Home
7-2
Road
11-8
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +5.7
Under in the last gameOver in 7 of 10 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14 | Prairie View | N | L 66–72 | −3.5 | L−9.5 | 145.0 | U138 | 100.2 | 109.3 | 65.9 |
| Mar 13 | Florida A&M | N | W 73–70 | −2.0 | W+1.0 | 140.5 | O143 | 101.9 | 97.7 | 71.6 |
| Mar 12 | AR-Pine Bluff | N | W 84–81 | −5.0 | L−2.0 | 150.5 | O165 | 128.4 | 123.9 | 65.4 |
| Mar 5 | Alabama A&M | A | W 88–85 | −1.0 | W+2.0 | 145.0 | O173 | 121.1 | 117.0 | 72.7 |
| Mar 3 | Alabama St | A | W 71–64 | −1.0 | W+6.0 | 153.0 | U135 | 100.0 | 90.2 | 71.0 |
| Feb 28 | Bethune | H | L 79–82 | −2.0 | L−5.0 | 153.0 | O161 | 106.6 | 110.6 | 74.1 |
| Feb 26 | Florida A&M | H | L 71–82 | −9.0 | L−20.0 | 146.5 | O153 | 100.9 | 116.6 | 70.3 |
| Feb 21 | Grambling | H | W 87–73 | −5.5 | W+8.5 | 143.0 | O160 | 116.6 | 97.8 | 74.6 |
| Feb 16 | Texas Southern | A | L 73–74 | −5.0 | L−6.0 | 152.0 | U147 | 100.2 | 101.6 | 72.8 |
| Feb 14 | Prairie View | A | W 87–82 | −4.0 | W+1.0 | 159.0 | O169 | 113.1 | 106.6 | 76.9 |
Minnesota
Against the spread
Season
14-18-1
Home
9-8
Road
5-5-1
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −2.3
Missed the spread 4 straightCovered 1 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 6 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
13-20
Home
6-11
Road
4-7
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −7.5
Under in the last gameOver in 2 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 1 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1 | Baylor | N | L 48–67 | +3.5 | L−15.5 | 146.5 | U115 | 80.7 | 112.7 | 59.5 |
| Mar 11 | Rutgers | N | L 67–72 | −6.0 | L−11.0 | 136.0 | O139 | 104.9 | 112.7 | 63.9 |
| Mar 7 | Northwestern | H | W 67–66 | −4.0 | L−3.0 | 133.5 | U133 | 121.5 | 119.7 | 55.1 |
| Mar 4 | Indiana | A | L 47–77 | +6.5 | L−23.5 | 138.5 | U124 | 76.7 | 125.7 | 61.3 |
| Feb 28 | UCLA | H | W 78–73 | +1.5 | W+6.5 | 135.5 | O151 | 140.4 | 131.4 | 55.6 |
| Feb 24 | #3Michigan | A | L 67–77 | +22.5 | W+12.5 | 146.0 | U144 | 103.7 | 119.2 | 64.6 |
| Feb 21 | Rutgers | H | W 80–61 | −8.5 | W+10.5 | 133.5 | O141 | 136.6 | 104.2 | 58.6 |
| Feb 17 | Oregon | A | W 61–44 | +3.5 | W+20.5 | 134.5 | U105 | 101.9 | 73.5 | 59.9 |
| Feb 14 | Washington | A | L 57–69 | +7.0 | L−5.0 | 138.5 | U126 | 95.1 | 115.1 | 59.9 |
| Feb 8 | Maryland | H | L 62–67 | −10.0 | L−15.0 | 139.0 | U129 | 113.0 | 122.1 | 54.9 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeSouthernMinnesota
Efficiency
105.6
109.8
112.0
105.4
70.0
65.1
—
—
Shooting
49.1%
53.9%
47.7%
56.2%
34.8%
34.2%
69.5%
69.4%
39.8%
35.8%
Ball control & glass
16.5%
16.5%
18.6%
16.9%
31.4%
26.8%
31.3%
29.5%
8.8%
8.8%
10.0%
12.2%
Style
32.1%
47.1%
44.5%
41.6%
16.3%
11.1%
52.6%
71.0%
40.6%
16.4%
Roster
3.61
2.87
6'4.6"
6'5.9"
94.9%
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputSouthern
Returning minutes: 94.9%Returning production: 97.0%
Lost
- Ashton Magee 10.3 mpg, 2.7 ppg · transferred to Mississippi St
Added
- Femi Olaniyan no D1 minutes last season
- Andre Nunley no D1 minutes last season
- Trey Shephard no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 95% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Minnesota
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Minnesota's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.