CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceEvent Center, Huntsville, AL
West Florida
Efficiency #352
Record unknown
@
Alabama A&M
Efficiency #312
2025-26: 18-15 · 11-9 conf
Thu, Nov 12 · TBD
68.5
win 24%
Projected
76.6
win 76%
No line posted yet.
Model: AAMU −8.1 · total 145.1 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one
Projected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Alabama A&M 66.9, West Florida 68.3 → 66.9 possessions
−3.1
Alabama A&M offense vs West Florida defense
+2.1
West Florida offense vs Alabama A&M defense
−2.1
Projected total
145.1
Axis starts at 142 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Alabama A&M offense vs West Florida defense
+2.1
West Florida offense vs Alabama A&M defense
+2.1
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.8
Alabama A&M by 8.1
8.1
West Florida side ◂▸ Alabama A&M side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +8.0 against +8.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Alabama A&M.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 66.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo.

Projected possessions
66.9
per team, 40 min
Projected total
145.1
model
Projected team totals
68.5 / 76.6
West Florida / Alabama A&M
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.3#183
West Florida
66.9#296
Alabama A&M

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers
Alabama A&M
+1.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#126 of 365
Off reb %
27.5%
#283
Def reb %
70.5%
#137
Turnover %
16.5%
#165
Forced TO %
16.6%
#177
FT rate
45.4%
#3
FT allowed
38.6%
#275
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.9
Defensive rebounding+0.3
Ball security+0.2
Forcing turnovers−0.1
Foul shots drawn+2.7
Foul shots allowed−0.9

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

West Florida2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted West Florida's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%UsageStatus
— TeamATH——0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
14Brandon BurfordPGSo6'2"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
34Conor FlanaganGSo6'8"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
1Darrin JenkinsGSr6'4"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
11David Petit-HommeFJr6'7"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
42Jackson HenningfieldGSr6'9"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
2Kendall BynumPGFr6'1"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
3LaTrell TateGSo6'0"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
5Michael MaumbeFFr6'8"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
10Rodney BryantPGFr6'0"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
—Rodney Bryant JrATH——0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
4Wendell MatthewsFJr6'6"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home
West FloridaAlabama A&M
Efficiency
100.8
104.6
115.4
112.9
68.3
66.9
—
—
Shooting
—
49.2%
—
47.5%
—
35.0%
—
73.8%
—
45.4%
Ball control & glass
—
16.5%
—
16.6%
—
27.5%
—
29.5%
—
8.9%
—
8.5%
Style
—
34.0%
—
39.1%
—
14.9%
—
48.0%
—
29.7%
Roster
—
3.39
—
6'5.6"
—
—

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
West Florida
Returning minutes: —Returning production: —
ESPN hasn't posted West Florida's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

New to Division I this season -- no returning-minutes baseline.

Alabama A&M
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Alabama A&M's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Head-to-head

this season and last
No meetings the last two seasons.

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.