CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceWestern Hall, Macomb, IL
Bakersfield
Efficiency #339
2025-26: 8-24 · 2-18 conf
@
W Illinois
Efficiency #362
2025-26: 5-26 · 1-19 conf
Thu, Nov 12 · 6:00 PM ET
74.7
win 51%
Projected
74.3
win 49%
No line posted yet.
Model: CSUB −0.4 · total 149.0 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: W Illinois 67.7, Bakersfield 70.2 → 69.6 possessions
+2.7
W Illinois offense vs Bakersfield defense
−3.1
Bakersfield offense vs W Illinois defense
+1.3
Projected total
149.0
Axis starts at 146 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
W Illinois offense vs Bakersfield defense
−3.1
Bakersfield offense vs W Illinois defense
−1.3
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Bakersfield by 0.4
0.4
Bakersfield side ◂▸ W Illinois side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 149.1 against a projected 149.0. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help W Illinois.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.6, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Bakersfield is the faster team (72.6, #14 of 365) and W Illinois the slower (67.3, #230). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.6
per team, 40 min
Projected total
149.0
model
Projected team totals
74.7 / 74.3
Bakersfield / W Illinois
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.2#39
Bakersfield
67.7#231
W Illinois
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageW Illinois
Where W Illinois struggles: shooting
W Illinois shoots an effective 44.5% (#361); Bakersfield allows 54.0% (#301). Expect about 48.7%, 2.6 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.6 points per 100 possessions.
ClashBakersfield
Style match: 3-point volume
Bakersfield rarely shoots threes (28.9% of its shots); W Illinois runs teams off the line (34.6% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 27.9% — both habits push the same way.
DefenseBakersfield
Bakersfield's shot-blocking
Bakersfield ranks #18 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 12.9% of W Illinois's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.
Pace
Tempo tug-of-war
W Illinois averages 67.3 possessions per 40, Bakersfield 72.6. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 70 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageBakersfield
Where Bakersfield struggles: shooting
Bakersfield shoots an effective 45.7% (#355); W Illinois allows 54.2% (#303). Expect about 49.5%, 1.8 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.5 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (W Illinois, Bakersfield) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Bakersfield at about 27.9% of its shots from three, W Illinois about 34.2%.
Bakersfield has the ball
OffenseW Illinois allowsvs D1 avg
45.7% #355
54.2% #303
-2.5 pt/100
18.9% #316
14.9% #297
+0.0 pt/100
30.4% #181
34.8% #334
+1.3 pt/100
42.2% #27
34.8% #173
+0.4 pt/100
73.8% #142
—
+0.1 pt/100
Bakersfield net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -0.6 pts/100
W Illinois has the ball
OffenseBakersfield allowsvs D1 avg
44.5% #361
54.0% #301
-3.6 pt/100
17.5% #236
17.9% #100
-1.4 pt/100
27.0% #293
35.6% #349
+0.1 pt/100
37.7% #108
42.6% #334
+0.7 pt/100
66.2% #351
—
-0.5 pt/100
W Illinois net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -4.7 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersBakersfieldoffense vsW Illinoisdefense
Share of shots by zone
Bakersfield shoots
38.4
7.3
25.7
28.6
W Illinois allows
44.5
7.7
13.7
34.1
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.4%#289 | 62.3%#306 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 31.3%#339 | 40.5%#200 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.0%#222 | 33.7%#44 | 38.0% |
| Three | 29.0%#353 | 35.6%#288 | 33.7% |
W Illinoisoffense vsBakersfielddefense
Share of shots by zone
W Illinois shoots
39.5
9.2
18.3
33.0
Bakersfield allows
39.9
6.4
14.1
39.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 51.3%#353 | 60.1%#228 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 29.0%#352 | 42.6%#240 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 35.0%#293 | 40.7%#269 | 38.0% |
| Three | 30.9%#322 | 36.0%#305 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersBakersfield
−2.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#277 of 365
Off reb %
30.4%
#181
Def reb %
64.4%
#349
Turnover %
18.9%
#316
Forced TO %
17.9%
#100
FT rate
42.2%
#27
FT allowed
42.6%
#334
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding0.0
Defensive rebounding−1.6
Ball security−1.4
Forcing turnovers+0.8
Foul shots drawn+1.8
Foul shots allowed−1.9
W Illinois
−3.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#311 of 365
Off reb %
27.0%
#293
Def reb %
65.2%
#334
Turnover %
17.5%
#236
Forced TO %
14.9%
#297
FT rate
37.7%
#108
FT allowed
34.8%
#173
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.1
Defensive rebounding−1.4
Ball security−0.5
Forcing turnovers−1.2
Foul shots drawn+0.7
Foul shots allowed+0.1
Bakersfield has more extra scoring chances per game: −2.3 (#277 of 365) to W Illinois’s −3.4 (#311).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Bakersfield2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Bakersfield's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Dailin Smith | G | Sr | 6'6" | 30-27 | 29.3 | 16.5 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 41.2% | 28.0% | 5.4 | 80.6% | 32.8% | |
| 10 | AJ George | G | Sr | 6'5" | 30-29 | 28.1 | 8.2 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 41.3% | 20.8% | 1.6 | 65.0% | 21.7% | |
| 21 | Ronald Jessamy | F | Jr | 6'8" | 31-23 | 26.0 | 13.5 | 6.6 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 52.8% | 20.0% | 0.5 | 67.6% | 31.0% | |
| 1 | Tom Mark | F | Sr | 6'7" | 27-19 | 25.0 | 6.7 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 51.7% | 32.7% | 2.0 | 68.1% | 15.4% | |
| 12 | Kadar Waller | G | Sr | 5'11" | 32-6 | 20.5 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 38.5% | 29.6% | 0.8 | 73.8% | 13.0% | |
| 0 | CJ Hardy | G | Sr | 6'3" | 22-21 | 28.1 | 12.4 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 50.0% | 31.3% | 3.0 | 83.2% | 25.7% | |
| 2 | Mike Price | G | Fr | 6'3" | 31-5 | 18.2 | 6.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 43.9% | 32.3% | 3.1 | 70.4% | 24.8% | |
| 7 | Pierre Geneste Jr. | C | Sr | 6'11" | 26-19 | 18.9 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 61.1% | — | 0.0 | 36.7% | 10.3% | |
| 25 | Jaden Alexander | G | Jr | 6'4" | 20-10 | 19.6 | 9.3 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 47.0% | 35.3% | 1.7 | 82.9% | 27.6% | |
| 5 | Bentley Waller | G | Fr | 6'4" | 22-1 | 11.1 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 49.3% | 36.8% | 0.9 | 87.5% | 22.5% | |
| 3 | Dylan Purnell | G | So | 6'5" | 16-0 | 8.6 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 39.3% | 10.0% | 0.6 | 42.9% | 23.4% | |
| 4 | Caleb McCarty | F | Sr | 6'8" | 6-0 | 8.7 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 61.5% | — | 0.0 | 75.0% | 16.6% | |
| 40 | TJ James Jr. | G | Fr | 6'1" | 10-0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 31.3% | 15.4% | 1.3 | 0.0% | 21.2% | |
| 11 | Colin Darby | F | So | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
W Illinois2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted W Illinois's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lucas Lorenzen | G | Jr | 6'4" | 31-30 | 32.9 | 14.7 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 48.0% | 31.5% | 6.9 | 80.2% | 28.5% | |
| 12 | Isaiah Griffin | F | Sr | 6'6" | 31-20 | 28.4 | 10.6 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 42.0% | 33.0% | 2.8 | 72.0% | 26.6% | |
| 13 | Makai Kvamme | G | Fr | 6'2" | 31-24 | 25.3 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 37.0% | 17.2% | 0.9 | 48.0% | 18.1% | |
| 15 | Francis Okwuosah | F | Sr | 6'6" | 31-19 | 22.0 | 7.4 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 53.0% | 37.8% | 3.8 | 70.8% | 20.8% | |
| 45 | Antwaun Massey | F | Sr | 6'8" | 26-23 | 22.6 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 49.7% | 66.7% | 0.1 | 48.2% | 26.0% | |
| 22 | Goanar Biliew | F | Sr | 6'8" | 31-18 | 17.3 | 4.1 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 44.6% | 38.9% | 0.6 | 56.5% | 17.7% | |
| 5 | Karyiek Dixon | F | Sr | 6'5" | 20-14 | 25.3 | 8.3 | 7.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 53.3% | 9.1% | 0.6 | 72.0% | 19.3% | |
| 0 | Tyran Cook | G | So | 6'2" | 27-5 | 15.8 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 40.6% | 16.7% | 0.7 | 84.6% | 20.2% | |
| 23 | Danny Stephens | G | Fr | 6'5" | 15-1 | 17.2 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 42.8% | 26.8% | 2.7 | 73.9% | 23.9% | |
| 2 | Marcus Pigram | G | Jr | 6'4" | 17-0 | 12.2 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 40.2% | 27.3% | 1.9 | 70.0% | 21.9% | |
| 11 | Ifiok Peter | F | So | 6'6" | 23-0 | 6.7 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 40.0% | — | 0.0 | 52.8% | 24.3% | |
| 50 | Nick Hittle | F | Sr | 6'10" | 18-1 | 5.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 39.5% | 100.0% | 0.1 | 68.8% | 18.7% | |
| 14 | Steven Tipton | G | Sr | 6'2" | 14-0 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 46.7% | 40.0% | 0.4 | 100.0% | 22.5% | |
| 10 | Jake Edwards | G | Fr | 6'5" | 11-0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | — | 5.0% | |
| 1 | Jack Riley | F | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Bakersfield2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Bakersfield's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Dailin Smith | G | Sr | 6'6" | 30-27 | 29.3 | 16.5 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 41.2% | 28.0% | 5.4 | 80.6% | 32.8% | |
| 10 | AJ George | G | Sr | 6'5" | 30-29 | 28.1 | 8.2 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 41.3% | 20.8% | 1.6 | 65.0% | 21.7% | |
| 21 | Ronald Jessamy | F | Jr | 6'8" | 31-23 | 26.0 | 13.5 | 6.6 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 52.8% | 20.0% | 0.5 | 67.6% | 31.0% | |
| 1 | Tom Mark | F | Sr | 6'7" | 27-19 | 25.0 | 6.7 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 51.7% | 32.7% | 2.0 | 68.1% | 15.4% | |
| 12 | Kadar Waller | G | Sr | 5'11" | 32-6 | 20.5 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 38.5% | 29.6% | 0.8 | 73.8% | 13.0% | |
| 0 | CJ Hardy | G | Sr | 6'3" | 22-21 | 28.1 | 12.4 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 50.0% | 31.3% | 3.0 | 83.2% | 25.7% | |
| 2 | Mike Price | G | Fr | 6'3" | 31-5 | 18.2 | 6.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 43.9% | 32.3% | 3.1 | 70.4% | 24.8% | |
| 7 | Pierre Geneste Jr. | C | Sr | 6'11" | 26-19 | 18.9 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 61.1% | — | 0.0 | 36.7% | 10.3% | |
| 25 | Jaden Alexander | G | Jr | 6'4" | 20-10 | 19.6 | 9.3 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 47.0% | 35.3% | 1.7 | 82.9% | 27.6% | |
| 5 | Bentley Waller | G | Fr | 6'4" | 22-1 | 11.1 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 49.3% | 36.8% | 0.9 | 87.5% | 22.5% | |
| 3 | Dylan Purnell | G | So | 6'5" | 16-0 | 8.6 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 39.3% | 10.0% | 0.6 | 42.9% | 23.4% | |
| 4 | Caleb McCarty | F | Sr | 6'8" | 6-0 | 8.7 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 61.5% | — | 0.0 | 75.0% | 16.6% | |
| 40 | TJ James Jr. | G | Fr | 6'1" | 10-0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 31.3% | 15.4% | 1.3 | 0.0% | 21.2% | |
| 11 | Colin Darby | F | So | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Bakersfield
Against the spread
Season
12-18
Home
6-9
Road
5-9
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −4.5
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 10 as an underdogCovered 2 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
16-13-1
Home
7-8
Road
9-4-1
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +5.5
Over 7 straightOver in 7 of 10 as an underdogOver in 2 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | Cal Poly | A | L 76–108 | +9.0 | L−23.0 | 173.0 | O184 | 92.2 | 131.0 | 82.5 |
| Mar 5 | CSU Northridge | H | L 84–86 | +8.0 | W+6.0 | 165.0 | O170 | 105.7 | 108.2 | 79.5 |
| Feb 28 | Long Beach St | H | L 87–88 | +3.0 | W+2.0 | 153.5 | O175 | 117.3 | 118.6 | 74.2 |
| Feb 26 | UC San Diego | A | L 72–84 | +14.5 | W+2.5 | 149.0 | O156 | 100.8 | 117.6 | 71.4 |
| Feb 21 | Fullerton | H | L 80–88 | +6.0 | L−2.0 | 161.0 | O168 | 108.9 | 119.8 | 73.4 |
| Feb 19 | UC Riverside | A | L 65–93 | +7.0 | L−21.0 | 151.5 | O158 | 84.3 | 120.6 | 77.1 |
| Feb 12 | Hawai'i | H | L 74–89 | +13.5 | L−1.5 | 151.5 | O163 | 102.3 | 123.0 | 72.3 |
| Feb 7 | Fullerton | A | L 66–82 | +10.0 | L−6.0 | 158.0 | U148 | 89.0 | 110.6 | 74.2 |
| Feb 5 | UC Irvine | A | L 62–78 | +17.0 | W+1.0 | 144.5 | U140 | 84.7 | 106.6 | 73.2 |
| Jan 31 | UC Davis | H | L 72–80 | +5.5 | L−2.5 | 152.5 | U152 | 103.4 | 114.9 | 69.6 |
W Illinois
Against the spread
Season
11-17
Home
3-9
Road
8-8
Last 10
2-8
avg cover −8.5
Missed the spread 5 straightCovered 2 of 10 as an underdogCovered 1 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
12-15-1
Home
6-5-1
Road
6-10
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +1.2
Over in the last gameOver in 5 of 10 as an underdogOver in 2 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28 | Lindenwood | H | L 69–91 | +11.5 | L−10.5 | 150.5 | O160 | 97.8 | 129.0 | 70.5 |
| Feb 26 | SIUE | A | L 47–67 | +14.0 | L−6.0 | 135.5 | U114 | 69.8 | 99.6 | 67.3 |
| Feb 21 | Morehead St | H | L 59–81 | +8.0 | L−14.0 | 144.0 | U140 | 92.9 | 127.6 | 63.5 |
| Feb 19 | S Indiana | H | L 70–77 | +2.5 | L−4.5 | 140.0 | O147 | 106.1 | 116.7 | 66.0 |
| Feb 12 | Little Rock | H | L 58–77 | +7.5 | L−11.5 | 142.0 | U135 | 81.8 | 108.7 | 70.9 |
| Feb 10 | E Illinois | H | W 79–70 | +4.5 | W+13.5 | 133.0 | O149 | 109.7 | 97.2 | 72.0 |
| Feb 7 | Tennessee St | A | L 56–83 | +14.5 | L−12.5 | 151.0 | U139 | 82.3 | 121.9 | 68.1 |
| Feb 5 | Tennessee Tech | A | L 72–97 | +9.5 | L−15.5 | 144.0 | O169 | 116.4 | 156.9 | 61.8 |
| Jan 31 | UT Martin | H | L 44–84 | +9.0 | L−31.0 | 138.0 | U128 | 67.9 | 129.6 | 64.8 |
| Jan 29 | SE Missouri | H | L 74–78 | +11.0 | W+7.0 | 142.5 | O152 | 106.9 | 112.7 | 69.2 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeBakersfieldW Illinois
Efficiency
102.7
98.4
114.0
116.1
70.2
67.7
—
—
Shooting
45.7%
44.5%
46.6%
43.5%
29.0%
30.9%
73.8%
66.2%
42.2%
37.7%
Ball control & glass
18.9%
17.5%
17.9%
14.9%
30.4%
27.0%
35.6%
34.8%
10.4%
10.0%
9.1%
11.1%
Style
28.9%
33.3%
41.8%
43.2%
16.0%
11.9%
44.6%
37.0%
32.3%
30.1%
Roster
3.37
3.10
6'5.1"
6'5.1"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputBakersfield
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Bakersfield's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
W Illinois
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted W Illinois's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Tue, Nov 11 | 2025-26 | W Illinois 58 – 74 Bakersfield |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.