CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceLee & Penny Anderson Arena, Saint Paul, MN
SE Missouri
Efficiency #209
2025-26: 20-13 · 15-7 conf
@
St Thomas
Efficiency #84
2025-26: 24-10 · 13-5 conf
Thu, Nov 19 · 8:00 PM ET
70.6
win 23%
Projected
79.3
win 77%
No line posted yet.
Model: STMN −8.6 · total 149.9 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: St Thomas 69.0, SE Missouri 69.4 → 70.1 possessions
+3.8
St Thomas offense vs SE Missouri defense
+1.2
SE Missouri offense vs St Thomas defense
−3.4
Projected total
149.9
Axis starts at 146 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
St Thomas offense vs SE Missouri defense
+1.2
SE Missouri offense vs St Thomas defense
+3.4
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
St Thomas by 8.6
8.6
SE Missouri side ◂▸ St Thomas side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 149.8 against a projected 149.9. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help St Thomas.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 70.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, SE Missouri is the faster team (69.9, #98 of 365) and St Thomas the slower (69.7, #104). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
70.1
per team, 40 min
Projected total
149.9
model
Projected team totals
70.6 / 79.3
SE Missouri / St Thomas
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.4#92
SE Missouri
69.0#122
St Thomas
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetClashSt Thomas
Strength vs strength: 2-point shooting
St Thomas (#1 in 2-point shooting) against SE Missouri (#48 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 56.8%. Historically St Thomas's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.61 vs 0.55).
AdvantageSt Thomas
Where St Thomas scores: shooting
St Thomas shoots an effective 58.9% (#5); SE Missouri allows 48.8% (#57). Expect about 54.4%, 3.1 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +4.5 points per 100 possessions.
GlassSt Thomas
St Thomas gets out-rebounded
Projected offensive rebound rate of 23.9% is worth roughly -4.0 points per 100 possessions against St Thomas's offense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (SE Missouri) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect SE Missouri at about 37.7% of its shots from three, St Thomas about 40.9%.
AdvantageSE Missouri
Where SE Missouri struggles: shooting
SE Missouri shoots an effective 49.8% (#244); St Thomas allows 50.7% (#139). Expect about 50.1%, 1.1 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -1.6 points per 100 possessions.
ClashSt Thomas
Style clash: ball movement
St Thomas assists on 56.7% of its made baskets; SE Missouri breaks up passing offenses (assists on 43.9% allowed) (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 49.7% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.65 vs 0.65).
SE Missouri has the ball
OffenseSt Thomas allowsvs D1 avg
49.8% #244
50.7% #139
-1.6 pt/100
16.9% #192
17.0% #149
-0.3 pt/100
29.6% #218
26.6% #25
-1.5 pt/100
38.8% #84
30.7% #78
-0.1 pt/100
69.5% #281
—
-0.3 pt/100
SE Missouri net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -3.7 pts/100
St Thomas has the ball
OffenseSE Missouri allowsvs D1 avg
58.9% #5
48.8% #57
+4.5 pt/100
14.3% #36
18.1% #91
+0.7 pt/100
22.6% #353
28.2% #76
-4.0 pt/100
33.8% #220
48.0% #361
+0.9 pt/100
68.7% #305
—
-0.3 pt/100
St Thomas net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.7 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersSE Missourioffense vsSt Thomasdefense
Share of shots by zone
SE Missouri shoots
43.5
6.5
14.5
35.5
St Thomas allows
39.8
4.7
14.0
41.5
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.7%#168 | 58.4%#158 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 34.7%#292 | 33.8%#41 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 34.8%#295 | 37.9%#156 | 38.0% |
| Three | 30.9%#324 | 31.7%#52 | 33.7% |
St Thomasoffense vsSE Missouridefense
Share of shots by zone
St Thomas shoots
44.3
3.7
5.5
46.5
SE Missouri allows
40.5
9.7
17.0
32.7
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 68.5%#3 | 53.5%#30 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 46.6%#44 | 36.6%#104 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.8%#234 | 41.9%#299 | 38.0% |
| Three | 36.0%#57 | 33.1%#130 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersSE Missouri
−0.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#224 of 365
Off reb %
29.6%
#218
Def reb %
71.8%
#76
Turnover %
16.9%
#192
Forced TO %
18.1%
#91
FT rate
38.8%
#84
FT allowed
48.0%
#361
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.3
Defensive rebounding+0.8
Ball security−0.1
Forcing turnovers+1.0
Foul shots drawn+1.0
Foul shots allowed−3.3
St Thomas
+1.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#120 of 365
Off reb %
22.6%
#353
Def reb %
73.4%
#25
Turnover %
14.3%
#36
Forced TO %
17.0%
#149
FT rate
33.8%
#220
FT allowed
30.7%
#78
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.5
Defensive rebounding+1.3
Ball security+1.7
Forcing turnovers+0.2
Foul shots drawn−0.3
Foul shots allowed+1.2
St Thomas has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.5 (#120 of 365) to SE Missouri’s −0.9 (#224).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
SE Missouri2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted SE Missouri's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BJ Ward | G | Jr | 6'0" | 33-33 | 30.2 | 10.9 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 46.4% | 35.0% | 4.3 | 81.0% | 24.3% | |
| 44 | Braxton Stacker | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-33 | 28.2 | 11.8 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 48.7% | 31.9% | 4.4 | 80.3% | 24.6% | |
| 10 | Luke Almodovar | G | Jr | 6'3" | 33-23 | 27.0 | 14.1 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 51.5% | 31.6% | 6.3 | 76.0% | 28.8% | |
| 15 | Brendan Terry | F | Sr | 6'7" | 33-24 | 25.1 | 11.3 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 55.8% | 34.6% | 0.8 | 61.5% | 26.6% | |
| 55 | Marqueas Bell | G | Jr | 6'3" | 33-10 | 22.1 | 9.1 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 53.5% | 30.8% | 0.4 | 73.9% | 23.6% | |
| 7 | Landren Blocker | G | So | 6'5" | 33-28 | 17.8 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 54.5% | 41.7% | 0.7 | 48.2% | 18.1% | |
| 4 | Troy Cole Jr. | G | Sr | 6'4" | 33-4 | 13.5 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 43.4% | 7.0% | 1.3 | 68.3% | 21.6% | |
| 18 | David Idada | C | Sr | 7'0" | 33-10 | 10.7 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 54.8% | — | 0.0 | 54.3% | 10.8% | |
| 1 | PJ Farmer | G | Fr | 6'2" | 32-0 | 9.3 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 43.1% | 10.5% | 0.6 | 58.8% | 17.1% | |
| 9 | Blaize Sagna | G | Sr | 6'3" | 27-0 | 8.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 41.9% | 25.0% | 1.0 | 90.0% | 11.7% | |
| 30 | Elliot Lowndes | F | Sr | 7'0" | 32-0 | 7.1 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 58.5% | 34.3% | 1.1 | 50.0% | 19.3% | |
| 25 | Jay Reynolds | G | Fr | 6'3" | 10-0 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 28.9% | 20.0% | 1.5 | 50.0% | 22.8% | |
| 3 | Trace Sadler | F | Fr | 7'1" | 12-0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 85.7% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 10.7% | |
| 22 | Saxton Hoepker | F | Sr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
St Thomas2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted St Thomas's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nick Janowski | G | Fr | 6'4" | 34-34 | 31.5 | 16.1 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 57.0% | 33.9% | 5.4 | 64.1% | 27.6% | |
| 4 | Nolan Minessale | G | So | 6'5" | 34-34 | 31.0 | 19.8 | 4.6 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 55.4% | 30.6% | 4.2 | 75.0% | 34.7% | |
| 32 | Carter Bjerke | F | Jr | 6'9" | 34-34 | 24.9 | 9.4 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 67.3% | 44.9% | 5.2 | 58.8% | 17.9% | |
| 34 | Ben Oosterbaan | F | So | 6'6" | 34-34 | 24.0 | 7.6 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 59.5% | 36.8% | 3.1 | 69.2% | 16.9% | |
| 0 | Isaiah Johnson-Arigu | F | So | 6'7" | 33-0 | 21.4 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 60.0% | 32.5% | 2.4 | 66.7% | 26.2% | |
| 11 | Austin Herro | G | So | 6'3" | 27-24 | 23.9 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 60.2% | 37.8% | 1.4 | 72.0% | 13.8% | |
| 12 | Ryan Dufault | G | Sr | 6'0" | 33-9 | 17.7 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 68.9% | 33.3% | 0.3 | 66.0% | 15.6% | |
| 2 | Jermaine Coleman | G | So | 6'7" | 34-0 | 13.9 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 54.7% | 34.0% | 3.0 | 64.7% | 17.7% | |
| 1 | Hayden Tibbits | G | So | 5'11" | 26-1 | 11.0 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 53.9% | 34.1% | 1.7 | 52.4% | 16.2% | |
| 3 | Ryan Lafferty | G | So | 6'5" | 11-0 | 13.5 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 45.8% | 20.0% | 0.5 | 0.0% | 9.5% | |
| 5 | Tim Franks | G | Fr | 6'5" | 16-0 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 0.6 | 71.4% | 22.6% | |
| 10 | Tommy Humphries Jr. | G | So | 6'5" | 9-0 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 34.6% | 25.0% | 0.4 | 33.3% | 20.4% | |
| 15 | Adam Tauer | G | So | 6'3" | 12-0 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 11.3% | |
| 20 | Jack Tauer | G | Sr | 6'2" | 11-0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 75.0% | 100.0% | 0.1 | 0.0% | 9.9% | |
| 24 | Kyle Counts | F | Fr | 6'7" | 5-0 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 83.3% | 50.0% | 0.4 | — | 12.3% | |
| 13 | Luka Momcilovic | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
SE Missouri2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted SE Missouri's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BJ Ward | G | Jr | 6'0" | 33-33 | 30.2 | 10.9 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 46.4% | 35.0% | 4.3 | 81.0% | 24.3% | |
| 44 | Braxton Stacker | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-33 | 28.2 | 11.8 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 48.7% | 31.9% | 4.4 | 80.3% | 24.6% | |
| 10 | Luke Almodovar | G | Jr | 6'3" | 33-23 | 27.0 | 14.1 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 51.5% | 31.6% | 6.3 | 76.0% | 28.8% | |
| 15 | Brendan Terry | F | Sr | 6'7" | 33-24 | 25.1 | 11.3 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 55.8% | 34.6% | 0.8 | 61.5% | 26.6% | |
| 55 | Marqueas Bell | G | Jr | 6'3" | 33-10 | 22.1 | 9.1 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 53.5% | 30.8% | 0.4 | 73.9% | 23.6% | |
| 7 | Landren Blocker | G | So | 6'5" | 33-28 | 17.8 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 54.5% | 41.7% | 0.7 | 48.2% | 18.1% | |
| 4 | Troy Cole Jr. | G | Sr | 6'4" | 33-4 | 13.5 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 43.4% | 7.0% | 1.3 | 68.3% | 21.6% | |
| 18 | David Idada | C | Sr | 7'0" | 33-10 | 10.7 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 54.8% | — | 0.0 | 54.3% | 10.8% | |
| 1 | PJ Farmer | G | Fr | 6'2" | 32-0 | 9.3 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 43.1% | 10.5% | 0.6 | 58.8% | 17.1% | |
| 9 | Blaize Sagna | G | Sr | 6'3" | 27-0 | 8.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 41.9% | 25.0% | 1.0 | 90.0% | 11.7% | |
| 30 | Elliot Lowndes | F | Sr | 7'0" | 32-0 | 7.1 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 58.5% | 34.3% | 1.1 | 50.0% | 19.3% | |
| 25 | Jay Reynolds | G | Fr | 6'3" | 10-0 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 28.9% | 20.0% | 1.5 | 50.0% | 22.8% | |
| 3 | Trace Sadler | F | Fr | 7'1" | 12-0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 85.7% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 10.7% | |
| 22 | Saxton Hoepker | F | Sr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26SE Missouri
Against the spread
Season
13-16-1
Home
5-7
Road
7-7-1
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +0.8
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 4 of 8 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
13-17
Home
6-6
Road
7-8
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −5.5
Under 2 straightOver in 3 of 8 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6 | Morehead St | N | L 61–66 | −4.0 | L−9.0 | 139.5 | U127 | 94.4 | 102.1 | 64.6 |
| Mar 5 | Lindenwood | N | W 68–66 | −3.0 | L−1.0 | 149.0 | U134 | 100.1 | 97.2 | 67.9 |
| Feb 28 | Tennessee Tech | H | W 89–73 | −7.5 | W+8.5 | 142.0 | O162 | 130.8 | 107.3 | 68.1 |
| Feb 26 | Tennessee St | H | L 71–79 | −3.5 | L−11.5 | 152.0 | U150 | 96.4 | 107.3 | 73.6 |
| Feb 21 | Little Rock | A | W 70–65 | −2.5 | W+2.5 | 144.0 | U135 | 102.6 | 95.3 | 68.2 |
| Feb 17 | UT Martin | A | W 56–53 OT | +2.5 | W+5.5 | 138.5 | U109 | 78.4 | 74.2 | 71.5 |
| Feb 14 | Lindenwood | A | W 73–61 | +2.0 | W+14.0 | 156.5 | U134 | 100.8 | 84.2 | 72.4 |
| Feb 12 | SIUE | A | L 56–74 | −1.0 | L−19.0 | 137.5 | U130 | 85.4 | 112.8 | 65.6 |
| Feb 7 | S Indiana | H | W 90–65 | −11.0 | W+14.0 | 140.5 | O155 | 133.2 | 96.2 | 67.6 |
| Feb 5 | Morehead St | H | W 82–70 | −7.5 | W+4.5 | 144.0 | O152 | 117.1 | 99.9 | 70.1 |
St Thomas
Against the spread
Season
15-16
Home
6-6
Road
8-7
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +3.5
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 5 of 8 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
15-15-1
Home
7-5
Road
7-7-1
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −5.8
Under 6 straightOver in 3 of 8 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17 | Seattle U | A | L 52–67 | +2.0 | L−13.0 | 145.5 | U119 | 74.2 | 95.5 | 70.1 |
| Mar 7 | North Dakota | N | L 66–67 | −11.5 | L−12.5 | 153.5 | U133 | 102.4 | 104.0 | 64.4 |
| Mar 5 | S Dakota St | N | W 80–67 | −5.0 | W+8.0 | 150.0 | U147 | 124.5 | 104.3 | 64.3 |
| Feb 28 | Omaha | H | W 68–53 | −11.5 | W+3.5 | 159.5 | U121 | 104.3 | 81.3 | 65.2 |
| Feb 26 | N Dakota St | H | W 84–62 | −3.0 | W+19.0 | 155.5 | U146 | 128.8 | 95.1 | 65.2 |
| Feb 21 | Denver | A | L 80–82 | −4.0 | L−6.0 | 168.5 | U162 | 116.8 | 119.7 | 68.5 |
| Feb 14 | Kansas City | A | W 104–64 | −13.0 | W+27.0 | 153.5 | O168 | 142.9 | 87.9 | 72.8 |
| Feb 12 | Omaha | A | L 94–98 | −4.5 | L−8.5 | 156.5 | O192 | 127.1 | 132.5 | 74.0 |
| Feb 7 | Oral Roberts | H | W 92–75 | −15.5 | W+1.5 | 152.0 | O167 | 122.6 | 99.9 | 75.1 |
| Feb 4 | S Dakota St | A | W 77–62 | +1.0 | W+16.0 | 157.0 | U139 | 123.4 | 99.3 | 62.4 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeSE MissouriSt Thomas
Efficiency
105.2
111.9
106.8
107.0
69.4
69.0
—
—
Shooting
49.8%
58.9%
51.8%
63.0%
30.9%
36.0%
69.5%
68.7%
38.8%
33.8%
Ball control & glass
16.9%
14.3%
18.1%
17.0%
29.6%
22.6%
28.2%
26.6%
9.9%
7.7%
9.5%
8.3%
Style
36.0%
46.3%
46.3%
46.5%
14.1%
12.6%
45.7%
56.7%
37.9%
32.7%
Roster
3.25
2.13
6'4.4"
6'4.9"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputSE Missouri
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted SE Missouri's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
St Thomas
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted St Thomas's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 15 | 2025-26 | St Thomas 84 – 72 SE Missouri |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.