CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.

Non-conferenceThomas Assembly Center, Ruston, LA

Tulane

Efficiency #239

2025-26: 18-15 · 9-11 conf

Louisiana Tech

Efficiency #211

2025-26: 20-14 · 13-10 conf

Thu, Nov 19 · TBD

66.8

win 34%

Projected

71.7

win 66%

No line posted yet.

Model: LT −4.9 · total 138.5 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3

Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one

Projected total

Average D-I game

148.2

PaceAdjusted tempo: Louisiana Tech 66.1, Tulane 68.0 → 65.7 possessions

−5.6

Louisiana Tech offense vs Tulane defense

−1.5

Tulane offense vs Louisiana Tech defense

−2.7

Projected total

138.5

Axis starts at 130 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Projected margin

Even game

0.0

Louisiana Tech offense vs Tulane defense

−1.5

Tulane offense vs Louisiana Tech defense

+2.7

Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors

+3.8

Louisiana Tech by 4.9

4.9

Tulane side ◂▸ Louisiana Tech side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 138.4 against a projected 138.5, and the margin steps add to +5.0 against +4.9. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Louisiana Tech.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 65.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Tulane is the faster team (67.9, #203 of 365) and Louisiana Tech the slower (64.7, #337). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions

65.7

per team, 40 min

Projected total

138.5

model

Projected team totals

66.8 / 71.7

Tulane / Louisiana Tech

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

68.0#212

Tulane

66.1#339

Louisiana Tech

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet

DefenseLouisiana Tech

Louisiana Tech's shot-blocking

Louisiana Tech ranks #5 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 14.3% of Tulane's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.

AdvantageLouisiana Tech

Where Louisiana Tech scores: the offensive glass

Louisiana Tech rebounds 36.4% of its own misses (#21); Tulane lets opponents grab 35.8% of their own misses (#352). Expect about 37.2%, 6.8 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +4.1 points per 100 possessions.

AdvantageTulane

Where Tulane struggles: shooting

Tulane shoots an effective 49.4% (#275); Louisiana Tech allows 48.7% (#51). Expect about 48.9%, 2.4 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.4 points per 100 possessions.

Pace

Half-court grind

Louisiana Tech averages 64.7 possessions per 40, Tulane 67.9. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 65 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.

GlassTulane

Tulane gets out-rebounded

Projected offensive rebound rate of 25.6% is worth roughly -2.9 points per 100 possessions against Tulane's offense.

ClashTulane

Style match: 3-point volume

Tulane takes 45.0% of its shots from three; Louisiana Tech lets opponents take 46.8% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 48.6% — both habits push the same way.

Tulane has the ball

OffenseLouisiana Tech allowsvs D1 avg

49.4% #275

48.7% #51

-3.4 pt/100

15.4% #97

17.8% #105

+0.1 pt/100

22.8% #352

31.6% #232

-2.9 pt/100

43.5% #14

36.3% #222

+0.6 pt/100

76.7% #40

—

+0.4 pt/100

Tulane net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -5.3 pts/100

Louisiana Tech has the ball

OffenseTulane allowsvs D1 avg

47.4% #329

50.7% #140

-3.6 pt/100

18.3% #286

17.1% #140

-1.3 pt/100

36.4% #21

35.8% #352

+4.1 pt/100

33.1% #234

38.1% #262

+0.1 pt/100

67.2% #341

—

-0.5 pt/100

Louisiana Tech net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -1.1 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers

Tulaneoffense vsLouisiana Techdefense

Share of shots by zone

Tulane shoots

37.2

4.0

14.5

44.4

Louisiana Tech allows

36.2

3.9

13.8

46.1

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	59.0%#162	52.2%#17	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	27.0%#362	38.7%#153	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	32.6%#335	34.4%#58	38.0%
Three	32.0%#279	33.9%#178	33.7%

Louisiana Techoffense vsTulanedefense

Share of shots by zone

Louisiana Tech shoots

42.5

5.7

18.8

32.9

Tulane allows

40.6

6.9

12.8

39.7

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	55.3%#293	54.5%#49	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	40.6%#158	42.4%#236	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	39.7%#122	36.8%#124	38.0%
Three	28.5%#359	34.5%#216	33.7%

RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers

Tulane

−1.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#255 of 365

Off reb %

22.8%

#352

Def reb %

64.2%

#352

Turnover %

15.4%

#97

Forced TO %

17.1%

#140

FT rate

43.5%

#14

FT allowed

38.1%

#262

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding−2.5

Defensive rebounding−1.7

Ball security+0.9

Forcing turnovers+0.3

Foul shots drawn+2.2

Foul shots allowed−0.7

Louisiana Tech

+0.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#155 of 365

Off reb %

36.4%

#21

Def reb %

68.4%

#232

Turnover %

18.3%

#286

Forced TO %

17.8%

#105

FT rate

33.1%

#234

FT allowed

36.3%

#222

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding+1.9

Defensive rebounding−0.3

Ball security−1.0

Forcing turnovers+0.8

Foul shots drawn−0.5

Foul shots allowed−0.3

Louisiana Tech has more extra scoring chances per game: +0.6 (#155 of 365) to Tulane’s −1.5 (#255).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Tulane2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted Tulane's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
7	Rowan Brumbaugh	G	Jr	6'4"	33-33	36.1	19.2	4.9	3.5	2.3	52.8%	36.0%	5.3	80.4%	29.9%
99	Curtis Williams Jr.	G	Jr	6'6"	33-32	32.1	12.4	4.8	1.2	1.5	49.4%	33.5%	6.2	82.5%	24.4%
22	Asher Woods	G	Sr	6'3"	33-31	30.9	12.8	3.2	2.0	1.8	45.7%	27.2%	3.5	85.0%	25.5%
5	Scotty Middleton	F	Jr	6'6"	33-19	25.7	6.9	4.0	1.2	0.8	52.7%	36.9%	4.3	73.9%	16.5%
0	Tyler Ringgold	F	So	6'8"	32-32	24.8	9.4	3.9	1.4	1.5	49.3%	29.9%	2.4	62.8%	24.4%
23	Percy Daniels	C	Sr	6'10"	32-4	16.5	2.3	2.2	0.7	0.5	62.8%	0.0%	0.0	72.4%	8.0%
9	KJ Greene	G	So	6'3"	32-1	15.1	4.4	1.3	1.6	0.9	40.1%	22.5%	1.3	78.9%	20.6%
1	Josiah Moore	G	So	6'4"	32-2	12.6	3.7	1.9	0.9	0.7	48.4%	15.8%	0.6	67.5%	19.3%
11	Luke Rasmussen	G	So	6'8"	17-11	15.1	2.6	1.8	0.6	0.6	46.6%	23.3%	1.8	27.3%	13.6%
55	Davion Bradford	C	Sr	7'0"	11-0	4.0	0.3	0.5	0.0	0.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.2	75.0%	11.7%
15	Robert Moore	G	Fr	6'6"	5-0	2.6	1.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	44.4%	25.0%	1.6	—	40.0%
34	Jake Shapiro	G	Jr	6'1"	5-0	1.2	1.8	0.2	0.0	0.0	112.5%	75.0%	0.8	—	38.9%
32	Luke Cronin	F	Jr	6'8"	2-0	1.5	0.0	0.5	0.0	0.5	—	—	0.0	—	19.9%
77	Vasilije Kuridza	F	Fr	6'9"	2-0	1.5	0.0	0.5	1.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	0.0%
13	Joseph Teich	G	So	5'10"	2-0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	0.0%

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Louisiana Tech2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted Louisiana Tech's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
3	AJ Bates	G	So	6'3"	34-34	33.4	12.1	2.8	5.9	2.4	41.8%	27.7%	3.8	78.3%	27.9%
0	DJ Dudley	G	Jr	6'3"	34-27	30.4	13.8	2.8	2.0	2.4	50.5%	36.2%	4.8	68.5%	31.3%
5	Avery Thomas II	F	So	6'8"	33-26	25.2	9.1	7.2	0.6	0.8	47.3%	30.0%	3.6	77.8%	23.4%
11	Kaden Cooper	G	Jr	6'6"	29-10	25.9	9.7	7.7	1.1	1.4	51.3%	29.2%	2.2	67.6%	24.1%
4	Jaylen Fenner	G	Fr	6'6"	32-24	21.5	5.5	2.8	1.0	1.0	45.2%	30.8%	1.6	65.2%	18.7%
8	Scooter Williams	G	Sr	6'4"	28-3	21.1	10.0	2.9	1.4	0.9	48.0%	24.4%	2.8	66.7%	30.4%
14	Will Allen	F	Sr	6'7"	33-10	15.9	3.3	3.6	0.3	0.9	54.4%	26.1%	0.7	55.0%	15.1%
21	Melian Martinez	C	Jr	7'0"	30-19	15.5	4.2	2.9	0.2	0.8	74.4%	—	0.0	31.3%	14.9%
7	Sir Issac Herron	F	Sr	6'10"	27-10	13.0	4.6	2.4	0.5	0.9	59.9%	33.3%	0.1	54.1%	22.1%
10	Kylan Howze	F	Jr	6'9"	24-4	11.1	2.2	2.3	0.3	0.5	55.6%	—	0.0	43.3%	14.3%
2	Will Jeffress	F	Sr	6'8"	10-3	13.6	2.3	3.4	0.1	0.3	25.7%	5.9%	1.7	66.7%	19.1%
1	Jermaurhiyun Anderson	G	So	6'4"	3-0	16.7	1.7	3.3	0.0	0.0	22.2%	0.0%	0.7	33.3%	12.0%
6	Keegan Rowell	G	So	6'3"	10-0	4.4	2.1	0.3	0.1	0.2	80.8%	55.6%	0.9	—	20.4%
23	Lachlan Thompson	G	So	6'4"	4-0	2.0	0.5	0.3	0.0	0.3	100.0%	—	0.0	—	14.4%
27	A'Meir Williams	F	Fr	6'8"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Tulane2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted Tulane's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
7	Rowan Brumbaugh	G	Jr	6'4"	33-33	36.1	19.2	4.9	3.5	2.3	52.8%	36.0%	5.3	80.4%	29.9%
99	Curtis Williams Jr.	G	Jr	6'6"	33-32	32.1	12.4	4.8	1.2	1.5	49.4%	33.5%	6.2	82.5%	24.4%
22	Asher Woods	G	Sr	6'3"	33-31	30.9	12.8	3.2	2.0	1.8	45.7%	27.2%	3.5	85.0%	25.5%
5	Scotty Middleton	F	Jr	6'6"	33-19	25.7	6.9	4.0	1.2	0.8	52.7%	36.9%	4.3	73.9%	16.5%
0	Tyler Ringgold	F	So	6'8"	32-32	24.8	9.4	3.9	1.4	1.5	49.3%	29.9%	2.4	62.8%	24.4%
23	Percy Daniels	C	Sr	6'10"	32-4	16.5	2.3	2.2	0.7	0.5	62.8%	0.0%	0.0	72.4%	8.0%
9	KJ Greene	G	So	6'3"	32-1	15.1	4.4	1.3	1.6	0.9	40.1%	22.5%	1.3	78.9%	20.6%
1	Josiah Moore	G	So	6'4"	32-2	12.6	3.7	1.9	0.9	0.7	48.4%	15.8%	0.6	67.5%	19.3%
11	Luke Rasmussen	G	So	6'8"	17-11	15.1	2.6	1.8	0.6	0.6	46.6%	23.3%	1.8	27.3%	13.6%
55	Davion Bradford	C	Sr	7'0"	11-0	4.0	0.3	0.5	0.0	0.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.2	75.0%	11.7%
15	Robert Moore	G	Fr	6'6"	5-0	2.6	1.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	44.4%	25.0%	1.6	—	40.0%
34	Jake Shapiro	G	Jr	6'1"	5-0	1.2	1.8	0.2	0.0	0.0	112.5%	75.0%	0.8	—	38.9%
32	Luke Cronin	F	Jr	6'8"	2-0	1.5	0.0	0.5	0.0	0.5	—	—	0.0	—	19.9%
77	Vasilije Kuridza	F	Fr	6'9"	2-0	1.5	0.0	0.5	1.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	0.0%
13	Joseph Teich	G	So	5'10"	2-0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	0.0%

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Trends

Last 10 games of 2025-26

Tulane

Against the spread

Season

15-17

Home

7-10

Road

6-4

Last 10

6-4

avg cover −3.0

Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 8 as an underdog

Over / under

Season

14-18

Home

6-11

Road

5-5

Last 10

4-6

avg vs total −0.9

Under 2 straightOver in 3 of 8 as an underdog

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 12	CharlotteAdjEM #193	N	L 60–74	+1.0	L−13.0	144.5	U134	98.3	121.3	61.0
Mar 11	MemphisAdjEM #152	N	W 81–69	+4.5	W+16.5	150.5	U150	114.8	97.8	70.5
Mar 8	MemphisAdjEM #152	H	L 95–96 OT	+2.5	W+1.5	154.0	O191	122.9	124.2	77.3
Mar 5	TempleAdjEM #168	A	L 60–89	+5.0	L−24.0	145.0	O149	89.1	132.2	67.3
Mar 1	South FloridaAdjEM #36	A	L 62–90	+15.0	L−13.0	154.5	U152	85.1	123.5	72.8
Feb 25	TulsaAdjEM #46	H	L 56–90	+5.5	L−28.5	156.5	U146	84.4	135.6	66.4
Feb 22	RiceAdjEM #255	H	W 81–75	−5.0	W+1.0	147.5	O156	118.1	109.3	68.6
Feb 19	North TexasAdjEM #151	A	W 77–71	+6.5	W+12.5	137.5	O148	117.4	108.3	65.6
Feb 15	UABAdjEM #111	A	W 55–54	+7.0	W+8.0	152.5	U109	87.7	86.1	62.7
Feb 11	TempleAdjEM #168	H	W 77–66	−2.0	W+9.0	145.0	U143	113.4	97.2	67.9

Louisiana Tech

Against the spread

Season

17-14

Home

8-6

Road

7-7

Last 10

6-4

avg cover +4.6

Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 2 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 4 of 5 as an underdog

Over / under

Season

14-16-1

Home

9-5

Road

4-10

Last 10

5-4-1

avg vs total −0.7

Under in the last gameOver in 3 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 5 as an underdog, 1 push

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 14	Kennesaw StAdjEM #154	N	L 60–71	−1.0	L−12.0	142.0	U131	93.1	110.1	64.5
Mar 13	Missouri StAdjEM #212	N	W 69–66	+1.0	W+4.0	135.0	P135	121.4	116.1	56.8
Mar 12	MTSUAdjEM #167	N	W 80–69	+2.0	W+13.0	133.5	O149	120.6	104.0	66.3
Mar 7	DelawareAdjEM #302	A	W 81–38	−2.0	W+41.0	132.5	U119	128.5	60.3	63.0
Mar 5	LibertyAdjEM #103	A	W 76–71	+8.5	W+13.5	139.0	O147	127.1	118.8	59.8
Feb 28	FIUAdjEM #200	H	L 76–84	−2.0	L−10.0	146.0	O160	109.2	120.7	69.6
Feb 26	Missouri StAdjEM #212	H	W 72–70	−2.5	L−0.5	137.0	O142	108.4	105.4	66.4
Feb 21	Kennesaw StAdjEM #154	A	L 55–58	+6.0	W+3.0	147.5	U113	81.1	85.6	67.8
Feb 18	Jax StateAdjEM #215	H	W 77–71	−2.0	W+4.0	133.0	O148	109.6	101.1	70.2
Feb 14	FIUAdjEM #200	A	L 64–77	+3.0	L−10.0	146.5	U141	94.7	113.9	67.6

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home

TulaneLouisiana Tech

Efficiency

106.8

104.4

110.2

106.1

68.0

66.1

—

Shooting

49.4%

47.4%

50.5%

49.7%

32.0%

28.5%

76.7%

67.2%

43.5%

33.1%

Ball control & glass

15.4%

18.3%

17.1%

17.8%

22.8%

36.4%

35.8%

31.6%

8.7%

10.1%

10.9%

10.2%

Style

45.0%

33.4%

37.1%

47.1%

10.8%

13.0%

54.8%

48.0%

26.0%

36.6%

Roster

2.94

2.73

6'5.5"

6'5.9"

—

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

Tulane

Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%

ESPN hasn't posted Tulane's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Louisiana Tech

Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%

ESPN hasn't posted Louisiana Tech's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Head-to-head

this season and last

Date	Season	Result
Wed, Dec 17	2025-26	Louisiana Tech 53 – 61 Tulane

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.