CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceThomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas, NV
E Washington
Efficiency #189
2025-26: 14-19 · 12-8 conf
@
UNLV
Efficiency #124
2025-26: 18-17 · 12-10 conf
Mon, Nov 23 · TBD
76.0
win 29%
Projected
82.3
win 71%
No line posted yet.
Model: UNLV −6.3 · total 158.3 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: UNLV 69.9, E Washington 68.6 → 70.2 possessions
+4.0
UNLV offense vs E Washington defense
+4.1
E Washington offense vs UNLV defense
+1.9
Projected total
158.3
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
UNLV offense vs E Washington defense
+4.1
E Washington offense vs UNLV defense
−1.9
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
UNLV by 6.3
6.3
E Washington side ◂▸ UNLV side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 158.2 against a projected 158.3, and the margin steps add to +6.2 against +6.3. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help UNLV.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 70.2, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, UNLV is the faster team (70.5, #75 of 365) and E Washington the slower (68.9, #154). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
70.2
per team, 40 min
Projected total
158.3
model
Projected team totals
76.0 / 82.3
E Washington / UNLV
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.6#158
E Washington
69.9#55
UNLV
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageUNLV
Where UNLV scores: shooting
UNLV shoots an effective 53.6% (#81); E Washington allows 54.9% (#326). Expect about 54.5%, 3.2 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +4.5 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageE Washington
Where E Washington scores: shooting
E Washington shoots an effective 53.7% (#75); UNLV allows 52.3% (#231). Expect about 53.2%, 2.0 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.8 points per 100 possessions.
ClashE Washington
Strength vs strength: shot-blocking exposure
E Washington (#57 in shot-blocking exposure) against UNLV (#33 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 11.0%. Historically UNLV's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.41 vs 0.68).
E Washington has the ball
OffenseUNLV allowsvs D1 avg
53.7% #75
52.3% #231
+2.8 pt/100
17.7% #251
17.4% #126
-1.1 pt/100
31.3% #153
32.0% #256
+0.8 pt/100
36.1% #148
44.9% #349
+0.8 pt/100
74.3% #118
—
+0.2 pt/100
E Washington net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.5 pts/100
UNLV has the ball
OffenseE Washington allowsvs D1 avg
53.6% #81
54.9% #326
+4.5 pt/100
17.1% #209
16.2% #211
+0.2 pt/100
30.2% #189
30.8% #194
+0.1 pt/100
40.7% #51
37.3% #246
+0.5 pt/100
67.7% #331
—
-0.4 pt/100
UNLV net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +4.9 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersE Washingtonoffense vsUNLVdefense
Share of shots by zone
E Washington shoots
41.4
6.3
18.8
33.5
UNLV allows
40.9
7.0
15.9
36.3
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.7%#132 | 58.5%#165 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 42.9%#105 | 26.2%#2 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 44.4%#21 | 42.7%#323 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.9%#62 | 35.2%#259 | 33.7% |
UNLVoffense vsE Washingtondefense
Share of shots by zone
UNLV shoots
41.7
6.1
15.9
36.4
E Washington allows
41.1
5.9
13.4
39.5
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 60.3%#111 | 60.5%#252 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.0%#171 | 44.9%#294 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 42.0%#58 | 46.8%#358 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.2%#102 | 35.2%#261 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersE Washington
−1.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#231 of 365
Off reb %
31.3%
#153
Def reb %
69.2%
#194
Turnover %
17.7%
#251
Forced TO %
16.2%
#211
FT rate
36.1%
#148
FT allowed
37.3%
#246
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.3
Defensive rebounding−0.1
Ball security−0.6
Forcing turnovers−0.3
Foul shots drawn+0.3
Foul shots allowed−0.5
UNLV
−1.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#244 of 365
Off reb %
30.2%
#189
Def reb %
68.0%
#256
Turnover %
17.1%
#209
Forced TO %
17.4%
#126
FT rate
40.7%
#51
FT allowed
44.9%
#349
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.1
Defensive rebounding−0.4
Ball security−0.2
Forcing turnovers+0.5
Foul shots drawn+1.4
Foul shots allowed−2.5
E Washington has more extra scoring chances per game: −1.0 (#231 of 365) to UNLV’s −1.2 (#244).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
E Washington2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted E Washington's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Isaiah Moses | G | Sr | 6'0" | 33-33 | 33.4 | 17.8 | 3.0 | 4.2 | 2.9 | 53.1% | 41.3% | 4.8 | 93.4% | 30.8% | |
| 4 | Alton Hamilton IV | F | Jr | 6'8" | 33-23 | 28.1 | 13.5 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 60.1% | 36.4% | 1.3 | 75.9% | 25.8% | |
| 15 | Kiree Huie | F | Sr | 6'9" | 33-32 | 25.3 | 12.8 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 54.8% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 58.0% | 30.6% | |
| 12 | Straton Rogers | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-14 | 22.0 | 5.8 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 61.4% | 28.6% | 0.2 | 65.1% | 13.4% | |
| 22 | Jojo Anderson | G | Sr | 6'1" | 33-8 | 21.7 | 7.4 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 51.7% | 36.8% | 2.1 | 67.9% | 21.0% | |
| 21 | Johnny Radford | G | Sr | 6'1" | 33-11 | 18.8 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 49.2% | 37.7% | 3.9 | 82.6% | 20.9% | |
| 1 | Tyler Powell | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-17 | 16.5 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 55.8% | 36.8% | 2.6 | 72.7% | 16.9% | |
| 33 | Emmett Marquardt | F | So | 6'9" | 30-11 | 15.9 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 54.5% | 35.8% | 2.7 | 86.4% | 20.5% | |
| 5 | Elijah Thomas | G | Sr | 6'6" | 30-4 | 10.9 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 38.9% | 19.0% | 1.4 | 75.0% | 12.8% | |
| 11 | Cole Scherer | G | Fr | 6'2" | 29-12 | 7.8 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 41.9% | 24.3% | 1.3 | 71.4% | 20.7% | |
| 35 | Shaumba Ngoyi | F | So | 6'9" | 20-0 | 4.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 12.9% | |
| 10 | Maddox Monson | G | Sr | 6'2" | 11-0 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 42.3% | 30.0% | 0.9 | — | 19.6% | |
| 0 | Angelo Winkel | F | Sr | 6'8" | 4-0 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 66.7% | — | 0.0 | 75.0% | 22.2% | |
| 55 | Alan Gballou | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 9 | Andrew Cook | G | Sr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
UNLV2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted UNLV's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn | G | Jr | 6'1" | 35-35 | 34.2 | 20.7 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 59.5% | 41.4% | 7.0 | 83.8% | 31.7% | |
| 2 | Kimani Hamilton | F | Sr | 6'8" | 35-35 | 29.3 | 12.8 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 53.1% | 34.3% | 2.9 | 72.7% | 24.8% | |
| 3 | Howie Fleming Jr. | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-27 | 29.1 | 9.0 | 6.3 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 50.0% | 31.3% | 2.6 | 80.2% | 19.5% | |
| 6 | Tyrin Jones | F | Fr | 6'9" | 32-15 | 27.0 | 11.9 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 59.8% | 25.0% | 0.3 | 48.8% | 23.9% | |
| 12 | Issac Williamson | G | Fr | 6'0" | 33-15 | 23.1 | 8.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 47.9% | 33.3% | 3.9 | 67.1% | 24.3% | |
| 22 | Walter Brown | F | Sr | 6'5" | 33-14 | 20.3 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 51.9% | 34.7% | 1.5 | 57.1% | 12.7% | |
| 10 | Jacob Bannarbie | F | So | 6'9" | 30-15 | 16.2 | 5.4 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 52.4% | 25.0% | 0.1 | 63.0% | 21.1% | |
| 34 | Emmanuel Stephen | C | So | 7'0" | 24-13 | 15.5 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 51.4% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 42.3% | 15.9% | |
| 7 | Al Green | G | Sr | 6'3" | 29-3 | 12.6 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 49.5% | 31.1% | 2.1 | 87.5% | 20.6% | |
| 24 | Naas Cunningham | F | Fr | 6'7" | 21-0 | 13.4 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 39.5% | 23.4% | 2.2 | 80.6% | 24.2% | |
| 1 | Ladji Dembele | F | Jr | 6'8" | 5-3 | 20.0 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 44.4% | 28.6% | 2.8 | 50.0% | 18.2% | |
| 13 | Jalen Cunningham | G | So | 6'2" | 6-0 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 30.0% | 20.0% | 0.8 | — | 14.3% | |
| 8 | Mason Abittan | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 77 | Myles Che | G | Jr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| — | Xavier Brumfield | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
E Washington2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted E Washington's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Isaiah Moses | G | Sr | 6'0" | 33-33 | 33.4 | 17.8 | 3.0 | 4.2 | 2.9 | 53.1% | 41.3% | 4.8 | 93.4% | 30.8% | |
| 4 | Alton Hamilton IV | F | Jr | 6'8" | 33-23 | 28.1 | 13.5 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 60.1% | 36.4% | 1.3 | 75.9% | 25.8% | |
| 15 | Kiree Huie | F | Sr | 6'9" | 33-32 | 25.3 | 12.8 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 54.8% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 58.0% | 30.6% | |
| 12 | Straton Rogers | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-14 | 22.0 | 5.8 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 61.4% | 28.6% | 0.2 | 65.1% | 13.4% | |
| 22 | Jojo Anderson | G | Sr | 6'1" | 33-8 | 21.7 | 7.4 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 51.7% | 36.8% | 2.1 | 67.9% | 21.0% | |
| 21 | Johnny Radford | G | Sr | 6'1" | 33-11 | 18.8 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 49.2% | 37.7% | 3.9 | 82.6% | 20.9% | |
| 1 | Tyler Powell | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-17 | 16.5 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 55.8% | 36.8% | 2.6 | 72.7% | 16.9% | |
| 33 | Emmett Marquardt | F | So | 6'9" | 30-11 | 15.9 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 54.5% | 35.8% | 2.7 | 86.4% | 20.5% | |
| 5 | Elijah Thomas | G | Sr | 6'6" | 30-4 | 10.9 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 38.9% | 19.0% | 1.4 | 75.0% | 12.8% | |
| 11 | Cole Scherer | G | Fr | 6'2" | 29-12 | 7.8 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 41.9% | 24.3% | 1.3 | 71.4% | 20.7% | |
| 35 | Shaumba Ngoyi | F | So | 6'9" | 20-0 | 4.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 12.9% | |
| 10 | Maddox Monson | G | Sr | 6'2" | 11-0 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 42.3% | 30.0% | 0.9 | — | 19.6% | |
| 0 | Angelo Winkel | F | Sr | 6'8" | 4-0 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 66.7% | — | 0.0 | 75.0% | 22.2% | |
| 55 | Alan Gballou | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 9 | Andrew Cook | G | Sr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26E Washington
Against the spread
Season
19-13
Home
6-5
Road
12-6
Last 10
8-2
avg cover +7.0
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
19-13
Home
4-7
Road
13-5
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +3.5
Over 3 straightOver in 4 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 1 of 4 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10 | Idaho | N | L 68–81 | +2.5 | L−10.5 | 148.0 | O149 | 95.1 | 113.2 | 71.5 |
| Mar 9 | Weber St | N | W 84–79 | −3.5 | W+1.5 | 154.5 | O163 | 121.1 | 113.9 | 69.3 |
| Mar 2 | Idaho | H | L 81–85 | −3.0 | L−7.0 | 150.5 | O166 | 121.0 | 127.0 | 66.9 |
| Feb 28 | N Arizona | H | W 88–57 | −9.5 | W+21.5 | 147.0 | U145 | 138.6 | 89.7 | 63.5 |
| Feb 26 | N Colorado | H | W 82–72 | +1.0 | W+11.0 | 157.0 | U154 | 122.8 | 107.8 | 66.8 |
| Feb 21 | Portland St | A | W 67–55 | +6.0 | W+18.0 | 146.5 | U122 | 101.1 | 83.0 | 66.3 |
| Feb 19 | Sacramento St | A | W 102–94 | −3.0 | W+5.0 | 161.5 | O196 | 140.2 | 129.2 | 72.8 |
| Feb 14 | Weber St | H | W 84–66 | −3.0 | W+15.0 | 155.0 | U150 | 122.3 | 96.1 | 68.7 |
| Feb 12 | Idaho St | H | W 88–75 | −3.5 | W+9.5 | 147.5 | O163 | 133.7 | 114.0 | 65.8 |
| Feb 7 | Montana St | A | W 72–71 | +5.0 | W+6.0 | 148.0 | U143 | 111.0 | 109.5 | 64.9 |
UNLV
Against the spread
Season
16-18
Home
8-7
Road
8-6
Last 10
5-5
avg cover +2.5
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 7 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
20-14
Home
11-4
Road
8-6
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +1.8
Under 4 straightOver in 3 of 7 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22 | Tulsa | A | L 66–77 | +5.0 | L−6.0 | 161.5 | U143 | 100.3 | 117.0 | 65.8 |
| Mar 17 | UC Irvine | A | W 75–72 | +1.0 | W+4.0 | 152.5 | U147 | 101.3 | 97.3 | 74.0 |
| Mar 12 | Utah State | N | L 60–80 | +8.5 | L−11.5 | 156.5 | U140 | 86.0 | 114.6 | 69.8 |
| Mar 11 | Wyoming | N | W 73–70 | −3.5 | L−0.5 | 153.0 | U143 | 111.3 | 106.7 | 65.6 |
| Mar 6 | San Diego St | A | L 86–89 | +9.0 | W+6.0 | 153.5 | O175 | 116.6 | 120.7 | 73.7 |
| Mar 3 | Utah State | H | W 92–65 | +7.5 | W+34.5 | 156.5 | O157 | 130.9 | 92.5 | 70.3 |
| Feb 28 | Nevada | H | W 85–83 OT | +1.0 | W+3.0 | 151.5 | O168 | 112.7 | 110.0 | 75.4 |
| Feb 25 | Grand Canyon | A | L 67–80 | +7.5 | L−5.5 | 150.5 | U147 | 96.4 | 115.1 | 69.5 |
| Feb 21 | Air Force | A | W 91–66 | −16.5 | W+8.5 | 153.0 | O157 | 132.0 | 95.7 | 69.0 |
| Feb 18 | Colorado St | H | L 86–91 | −2.5 | L−7.5 | 148.0 | O177 | 131.5 | 139.2 | 65.4 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeE WashingtonUNLV
Efficiency
110.8
111.3
111.6
108.8
68.6
69.9
—
—
Shooting
53.7%
53.6%
53.6%
54.0%
35.9%
35.2%
74.3%
67.7%
36.1%
40.7%
Ball control & glass
17.7%
17.1%
16.2%
17.4%
31.3%
30.2%
30.8%
32.0%
10.6%
9.2%
7.9%
7.8%
Style
34.7%
36.4%
44.2%
46.9%
9.8%
13.8%
49.0%
51.3%
37.4%
29.1%
Roster
3.59
2.76
6'4.6"
6'5.4"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputE Washington
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted E Washington's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
UNLV
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted UNLV's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.