CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceNeutral siteKirby Sports Center, Easton, PALafayette Classic
Maine
Efficiency #335
2025-26: 8-24 · 6-11 conf
vs
Le Moyne
Efficiency #270
2025-26: 15-17 · 10-9 conf
Fri, Nov 27 · 2:00 PM ET
67.7
win 38%
Projected
71.3
win 62%
No line posted yet.
Model: LEM −3.6 · total 139.0 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Le Moyne 69.6, Maine 66.6 → 67.9 possessions
−0.9
Le Moyne offense vs Maine defense
−2.4
Maine offense vs Le Moyne defense
−6.0
Projected total
139.0
Axis starts at 135 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Le Moyne offense vs Maine defense
−2.4
Maine offense vs Le Moyne defense
+6.0
Le Moyne by 3.6
3.6
Maine side ◂▸ Le Moyne side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 138.9 against a projected 139.0. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Le Moyne.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 67.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Le Moyne is the faster team (69.2, #133 of 365) and Maine the slower (64.9, #332). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
67.9
per team, 40 min
Projected total
139.0
model
Projected team totals
67.7 / 71.3
Maine / Le Moyne
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
66.6#315
Maine
69.6#76
Le Moyne
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageMaine
Where Maine struggles: the offensive glass
Maine rebounds 19.7% of its own misses (#364); Le Moyne lets opponents grab 29.1% of their own misses (#107). Expect about 22.3%, 8.1 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -5.0 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageLe Moyne
Where Le Moyne struggles: ball control
Le Moyne turns it over on 19.1% of possessions (#327); Maine forces turnovers on 19.4% of opponent possessions (#36). Expect about 19.8%, 3.0 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.7 points per 100 possessions.
DefenseMaine
Maine's ball-hawking
Maine ranks #25 nationally in steal rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 11.7% of Le Moyne's possessions to end in a steal against this defense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Maine's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Maine at about 37.6% of its shots from three, Le Moyne about 38.8%.
Maine has the ball
OffenseLe Moyne allowsvs D1 avg
49.6% #263
49.3% #75
-2.9 pt/100
19.1% #325
15.0% #289
-0.2 pt/100
19.7% #364
29.1% #107
-5.0 pt/100
38.4% #93
32.7% #121
+0.0 pt/100
64.3% #363
—
-0.7 pt/100
Maine net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -8.7 pts/100
Le Moyne has the ball
OffenseMaine allowsvs D1 avg
52.7% #118
50.6% #136
+0.7 pt/100
19.1% #327
19.4% #36
-3.7 pt/100
25.2% #337
34.3% #322
-1.1 pt/100
39.5% #68
33.9% #148
+0.2 pt/100
71.8% #214
—
-0.1 pt/100
Le Moyne net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -4.0 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersMaineoffense vsLe Moynedefense
Share of shots by zone
Maine shoots
41.9
3.7
17.1
37.3
Le Moyne allows
36.2
7.4
16.5
39.9
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.2%#263 | 56.5%#100 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 43.1%#101 | 37.7%#131 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.9%#148 | 27.3%#1 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.2%#314 | 36.0%#303 | 33.7% |
Le Moyneoffense vsMainedefense
Share of shots by zone
Le Moyne shoots
42.6
4.8
12.5
40.1
Maine allows
41.6
5.6
16.3
36.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.4%#149 | 60.5%#251 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 36.0%#269 | 47.1%#334 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.8%#194 | 42.5%#318 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.3%#152 | 29.3%#4 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersMaine
−3.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#309 of 365
Off reb %
19.7%
#364
Def reb %
65.7%
#322
Turnover %
19.1%
#325
Forced TO %
19.4%
#36
FT rate
38.4%
#93
FT allowed
33.9%
#148
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−3.4
Defensive rebounding−1.2
Ball security−1.6
Forcing turnovers+1.8
Foul shots drawn+0.9
Foul shots allowed+0.3
Le Moyne
−2.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#276 of 365
Off reb %
25.2%
#337
Def reb %
70.9%
#107
Turnover %
19.1%
#327
Forced TO %
15.0%
#289
FT rate
39.5%
#68
FT allowed
32.7%
#121
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.7
Defensive rebounding+0.5
Ball security−1.6
Forcing turnovers−1.2
Foul shots drawn+1.1
Foul shots allowed+0.7
Le Moyne has more extra scoring chances per game: −2.2 (#276 of 365) to Maine’s −3.2 (#309).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Maine2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Maine's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TJ Biel | F | Sr | 6'9" | 30-30 | 32.5 | 11.7 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 50.5% | 33.0% | 3.6 | 68.7% | 23.1% | |
| 3 | Ryan Mabrey | G | Sr | 6'5" | 30-29 | 27.9 | 7.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 49.3% | 34.3% | 4.7 | 66.7% | 18.9% | |
| 0 | Logan Carey | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-27 | 25.4 | 9.7 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 54.0% | 35.6% | 1.8 | 64.8% | 25.0% | |
| 11 | Ace Flagg | F | Fr | 6'7" | 32-11 | 24.2 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 50.9% | 35.6% | 1.8 | 69.7% | 19.6% | |
| 24 | Mekhi Gray | G | Sr | 6'4" | 28-23 | 26.5 | 9.7 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 53.8% | 30.2% | 2.3 | 69.2% | 23.8% | |
| 4 | Caleb Crawford | G | So | 6'0" | 32-6 | 19.9 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 42.0% | 26.3% | 1.8 | 65.9% | 18.6% | |
| 25 | Keelan Steele | F | Sr | 6'10" | 24-23 | 20.6 | 8.1 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 60.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 56.3% | 26.0% | |
| 14 | Amare Allen | F | So | 6'7" | 24-5 | 13.8 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 42.9% | 28.1% | 1.3 | 55.9% | 21.9% | |
| 6 | Yanis Bamba | F | Jr | 6'6" | 25-2 | 11.5 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 39.5% | 18.8% | 1.3 | 60.0% | 20.4% | |
| 64 | Bashir N'Galang | G | Fr | 6'3" | 21-4 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 44.6% | 18.2% | 0.5 | 57.9% | 24.4% | |
| 5 | Isaac Bonilla | G | Jr | 6'1" | 22-0 | 8.8 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 60.0% | 40.0% | 1.6 | 0.0% | 16.1% | |
| 12 | Emmitt Byther | F | Fr | 6'6" | 11-0 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 1.7% | |
| 10 | Killian Gribben | F | Sr | 6'10" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 58.1% | |
| 8 | Darius Lopes | G | So | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | John Shea | F | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Joshua Ojuri | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Le Moyne2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Le Moyne's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trent Mosquera | G | Jr | 6'5" | 32-30 | 31.8 | 13.5 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 51.1% | 35.2% | 6.8 | 73.6% | 26.4% | |
| 13 | Deng Garang | G | So | 6'6" | 32-32 | 30.1 | 10.8 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 53.2% | 33.9% | 4.0 | 71.4% | 21.4% | |
| 2 | Jakai Sanders | G | So | 6'3" | 29-21 | 29.9 | 10.7 | 3.4 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 46.0% | 36.5% | 2.6 | 74.5% | 24.0% | |
| 4 | Shilo Jackson | F | Sr | 6'9" | 27-26 | 30.8 | 15.8 | 8.0 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 63.3% | 50.0% | 0.1 | 72.7% | 27.0% | |
| 1 | Tennessee Rainwater | G | Jr | 6'6" | 32-7 | 24.5 | 9.8 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 63.9% | 50.0% | 1.3 | 67.2% | 21.7% | |
| 10 | Jakob Blakley | G | So | 6'0" | 32-28 | 16.1 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 45.9% | 31.4% | 2.7 | 87.5% | 16.5% | |
| 12 | Samuel Hincapie | G | Jr | 6'5" | 30-0 | 15.6 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 48.9% | 26.9% | 1.7 | 57.1% | 20.6% | |
| 3 | Eli Greenberg | G | Fr | 6'4" | 31-8 | 14.0 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 42.0% | 28.9% | 1.5 | 78.3% | 15.7% | |
| 32 | Isaac Nyakundi | F | So | 6'9" | 24-6 | 9.8 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 51.1% | 25.0% | 0.5 | 54.5% | 14.9% | |
| 5 | Trevor Roe | F | So | 6'9" | 17-0 | 7.3 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 52.3% | 32.3% | 1.8 | 100.0% | 23.0% | |
| 11 | Josiah Lee | G | Fr | 6'2" | 15-0 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 58.3% | 33.3% | 1.0 | 100.0% | 14.5% | |
| 0 | Ametri Moss | G | Sr | 6'0" | 2-2 | 27.5 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 1.5 | 100.0% | 18.5% | |
| 33 | Sam Donnelly | G | Sr | 6'2" | 5-0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 50.0% | 22.6% | |
| 22 | Kaelin Thomas | G | Jr | 6'2" | 3-0 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 25.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 27.7% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Maine2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Maine's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TJ Biel | F | Sr | 6'9" | 30-30 | 32.5 | 11.7 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 50.5% | 33.0% | 3.6 | 68.7% | 23.1% | |
| 3 | Ryan Mabrey | G | Sr | 6'5" | 30-29 | 27.9 | 7.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 49.3% | 34.3% | 4.7 | 66.7% | 18.9% | |
| 0 | Logan Carey | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-27 | 25.4 | 9.7 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 54.0% | 35.6% | 1.8 | 64.8% | 25.0% | |
| 11 | Ace Flagg | F | Fr | 6'7" | 32-11 | 24.2 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 50.9% | 35.6% | 1.8 | 69.7% | 19.6% | |
| 24 | Mekhi Gray | G | Sr | 6'4" | 28-23 | 26.5 | 9.7 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 53.8% | 30.2% | 2.3 | 69.2% | 23.8% | |
| 4 | Caleb Crawford | G | So | 6'0" | 32-6 | 19.9 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 42.0% | 26.3% | 1.8 | 65.9% | 18.6% | |
| 25 | Keelan Steele | F | Sr | 6'10" | 24-23 | 20.6 | 8.1 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 60.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 56.3% | 26.0% | |
| 14 | Amare Allen | F | So | 6'7" | 24-5 | 13.8 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 42.9% | 28.1% | 1.3 | 55.9% | 21.9% | |
| 6 | Yanis Bamba | F | Jr | 6'6" | 25-2 | 11.5 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 39.5% | 18.8% | 1.3 | 60.0% | 20.4% | |
| 64 | Bashir N'Galang | G | Fr | 6'3" | 21-4 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 44.6% | 18.2% | 0.5 | 57.9% | 24.4% | |
| 5 | Isaac Bonilla | G | Jr | 6'1" | 22-0 | 8.8 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 60.0% | 40.0% | 1.6 | 0.0% | 16.1% | |
| 12 | Emmitt Byther | F | Fr | 6'6" | 11-0 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 1.7% | |
| 10 | Killian Gribben | F | Sr | 6'10" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 58.1% | |
| 8 | Darius Lopes | G | So | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | John Shea | F | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Joshua Ojuri | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Maine
Against the spread
Season
13-17-1
Home
3-8
Road
8-9-1
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −1.1
Covered the last gameCovered 4 of 10 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
11-18-2
Home
3-8
Road
8-8-2
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +0.6
Under 2 straightOver in 5 of 10 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | NJIT | A | L 58–60 | +3.5 | W+1.5 | 133.5 | U118 | 89.5 | 92.5 | 64.8 |
| Mar 3 | UMass Lowell | H | L 56–67 | +1.0 | L−10.0 | 140.5 | U123 | 85.2 | 102.0 | 65.7 |
| Feb 28 | Binghamton | A | L 67–74 | +1.0 | L−6.0 | 134.0 | O141 | 101.8 | 112.4 | 65.8 |
| Feb 26 | UAlbany | A | W 70–59 | +5.5 | W+16.5 | 131.5 | U129 | 116.3 | 98.0 | 60.2 |
| Feb 21 | New Hampshire | A | W 61–58 | +3.5 | W+6.5 | 136.0 | U119 | 93.8 | 89.2 | 65.0 |
| Feb 14 | NJIT | H | L 58–67 | +2.0 | L−7.0 | 137.0 | U125 | 85.7 | 98.9 | 67.7 |
| Feb 12 | UMBC | H | L 62–78 | +3.5 | L−12.5 | 135.5 | O140 | 91.6 | 115.3 | 67.7 |
| Feb 7 | Bryant | A | L 67–73 | +2.5 | L−3.5 | 128.0 | O140 | 98.8 | 107.7 | 67.8 |
| Feb 5 | Vermont | H | W 76–70 | +7.5 | W+13.5 | 130.0 | O146 | 120.7 | 111.2 | 63.0 |
| Jan 31 | UMass Lowell | A | L 77–91 | +4.5 | L−9.5 | 137.5 | O168 | 108.3 | 128.0 | 71.1 |
Le Moyne
Against the spread
Season
16-14-1
Home
5-7
Road
10-6-1
Last 10
3-6-1
avg cover −3.2
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 2 of 8 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
13-18
Home
5-7
Road
6-11
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −0.1
Over in the last gameOver in 3 of 8 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4 | Stonehill | H | L 71–81 | −4.5 | L−14.5 | 140.0 | O152 | 100.6 | 114.8 | 70.5 |
| Feb 28 | New Haven | A | L 59–66 | −2.0 | L−9.0 | 136.0 | U125 | 86.5 | 96.8 | 68.2 |
| Feb 26 | FDU | H | W 76–59 | −4.5 | W+12.5 | 139.5 | U135 | 118.7 | 92.2 | 64.0 |
| Feb 21 | Stonehill | A | L 68–77 | −2.0 | L−11.0 | 137.0 | O145 | 96.6 | 109.4 | 70.4 |
| Feb 19 | C Connecticut | A | L 77–78 | +3.5 | W+2.5 | 146.5 | O155 | 108.8 | 110.2 | 70.8 |
| Feb 14 | Chicago St | H | W 81–63 | −7.0 | W+11.0 | 146.0 | U144 | 117.6 | 91.5 | 68.9 |
| Feb 12 | Mercyhurst | H | W 58–57 | −2.5 | L−1.5 | 138.5 | U115 | 84.2 | 82.7 | 68.9 |
| Feb 7 | Saint Francis Red Wolves | H | W 86–84 | −8.5 | L−6.5 | 154.0 | O170 | 112.0 | 109.4 | 76.8 |
| Feb 5 | Wagner | A | L 78–79 | +1.0 | P0.0 | 140.0 | O157 | 113.9 | 115.3 | 68.5 |
| Jan 31 | Stonehill | H | L 54–65 | −4.5 | L−15.5 | 140.5 | U119 | 75.7 | 91.1 | 71.4 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeMaineLe Moyne
Efficiency
98.0
104.7
108.8
110.2
66.6
69.6
—
—
Shooting
49.6%
52.7%
51.2%
53.5%
31.2%
34.3%
64.3%
71.8%
38.4%
39.5%
Ball control & glass
19.1%
19.1%
19.4%
15.0%
19.7%
25.2%
34.3%
29.1%
9.5%
11.1%
9.0%
9.5%
Style
37.0%
40.8%
45.1%
42.6%
13.6%
14.2%
54.4%
56.5%
32.9%
31.9%
Roster
2.99
2.56
6'5.3"
6'5.2"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputMaine
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Maine's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Le Moyne
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Le Moyne's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.