CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceNeutral siteResorts World Event Center, Las Vegas, NVResorts World Classic
Pacific
Efficiency #126
2025-26: 18-15 · 9-11 conf
vs
UC Davis
Efficiency #185
2025-26: 19-14 · 12-10 conf
Fri, Nov 27 · TBD
72.9
win 57%
Projected
70.8
win 43%
No line posted yet.
Model: PAC −2.1 · total 143.7 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: UC Davis 69.3, Pacific 66.4 → 67.4 possessions
−2.0
UC Davis offense vs Pacific defense
−2.3
Pacific offense vs UC Davis defense
−0.2
Projected total
143.7
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
UC Davis offense vs Pacific defense
−2.3
Pacific offense vs UC Davis defense
+0.2
Pacific by 2.1
2.1
Pacific side ◂▸ UC Davis side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help UC Davis.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 67.4, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, UC Davis is the faster team (71.3, #41 of 365) and Pacific the slower (65.8, #300). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
67.4
per team, 40 min
Projected total
143.7
model
Projected team totals
72.9 / 70.8
Pacific / UC Davis
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
66.4#325
Pacific
69.3#99
UC Davis
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantagePacific
Where Pacific struggles: ball control
Pacific turns it over on 20.1% of possessions (#349); UC Davis forces turnovers on 19.8% of opponent possessions (#30). Expect about 20.5%, 3.8 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -4.6 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageUC Davis
Where UC Davis struggles: the offensive glass
UC Davis rebounds 25.2% of its own misses (#334); Pacific lets opponents grab 25.0% of their own misses (#8). Expect about 24.1%, 6.3 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.8 points per 100 possessions.
Pace
Tempo tug-of-war
UC Davis averages 71.3 possessions per 40, Pacific 65.8. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 68 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
GlassPacific
Pacific owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 33.9% is worth roughly +2.1 points per 100 possessions for Pacific's offense.
ClashUC Davis
Style match: 3-point volume
UC Davis takes 43.5% of its shots from three; Pacific lets opponents take 42.8% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 44.9% — both habits push the same way.
ClashUC Davis
Style match: paint scoring
UC Davis gets only 37.0% of its points in the paint; Pacific protects the paint (36.2% of opponents' points) (D1 average 42.8%). Expect about 39.1% — both habits push the same way.
Pacific has the ball
OffenseUC Davis allowsvs D1 avg
52.2% #140
51.7% #197
+1.1 pt/100
20.1% #349
19.8% #30
-4.6 pt/100
35.3% #42
30.5% #182
+2.1 pt/100
30.5% #297
39.1% #290
+0.0 pt/100
75.5% #66
—
+0.3 pt/100
Pacific net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -1.2 pts/100
UC Davis has the ball
OffensePacific allowsvs D1 avg
51.8% #157
50.0% #101
-0.5 pt/100
17.9% #266
15.1% #273
+0.5 pt/100
25.2% #334
25.0% #8
-3.8 pt/100
40.5% #53
36.3% #219
+0.4 pt/100
75.3% #74
—
+0.3 pt/100
UC Davis net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -3.2 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersPacificoffense vsUC Davisdefense
Share of shots by zone
Pacific shoots
41.8
8.8
14.6
34.7
UC Davis allows
44.1
5.0
12.7
38.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 54.6%#311 | 58.4%#164 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 45.4%#57 | 41.2%#213 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 44.9%#16 | 33.6%#42 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.8%#65 | 33.8%#172 | 33.7% |
UC Davisoffense vsPacificdefense
Share of shots by zone
UC Davis shoots
35.7
3.8
16.7
43.8
Pacific allows
30.2
8.3
19.3
42.3
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.5%#141 | 57.0%#113 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 37.5%#236 | 39.7%#183 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.0%#189 | 37.7%#151 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.4%#149 | 34.7%#233 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersPacific
−1.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#252 of 365
Off reb %
35.3%
#42
Def reb %
75.0%
#8
Turnover %
20.1%
#349
Forced TO %
15.1%
#273
FT rate
30.5%
#297
FT allowed
36.3%
#219
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.6
Defensive rebounding+1.8
Ball security−2.2
Forcing turnovers−1.1
Foul shots drawn−1.2
Foul shots allowed−0.3
UC Davis
+0.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#176 of 365
Off reb %
25.2%
#334
Def reb %
69.5%
#182
Turnover %
17.9%
#266
Forced TO %
19.8%
#30
FT rate
40.5%
#53
FT allowed
39.1%
#290
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.7
Defensive rebounding0.0
Ball security−0.8
Forcing turnovers+2.1
Foul shots drawn+1.4
Foul shots allowed−1.0
UC Davis has more extra scoring chances per game: +0.1 (#176 of 365) to Pacific’s −1.4 (#252).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Pacific2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | TJ Wainwright | G | Sr | 6'3" | 33-33 | 31.9 | 13.0 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 52.0% | 38.8% | 5.5 | 92.0% | 24.9% | |
| 6 | Jaden Clayton | G | Sr | 6'1" | 33-24 | 30.4 | 7.9 | 3.3 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 44.0% | 30.2% | 3.5 | 75.0% | 21.7% | |
| 1 | Justin Rochelin | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-33 | 27.2 | 9.1 | 6.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 52.3% | 38.1% | 2.5 | 79.8% | 22.0% | |
| 14 | Isaac Jack | F | Sr | 6'11" | 33-33 | 21.6 | 9.1 | 5.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 67.4% | — | 0.0 | 59.7% | 21.5% | |
| 9 | Kajus Kublickas | G | Jr | 6'2" | 33-9 | 20.2 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 42.1% | 27.8% | 2.4 | 71.4% | 23.7% | |
| 15 | Jaion Pitt | F | Fr | 6'7" | 33-0 | 17.3 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 68.8% | 66.7% | 0.2 | 63.4% | 13.0% | |
| 24 | KC Ibekwe | C | Sr | 6'11" | 32-0 | 9.3 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 59.6% | — | 0.0 | 29.6% | 26.9% | |
| 0 | Alexis Marmolejos | G | Sr | 6'2" | 24-0 | 9.5 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 45.1% | 30.2% | 2.2 | 84.2% | 26.8% | |
| 11 | Emmanuel Manyuon | G | Jr | 6'2" | 13-0 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 58.3% | 33.3% | 0.2 | — | 11.6% | |
| 17 | Eyal Harel | G | Fr | 6'7" | 3-0 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 150.0% | 100.0% | 0.7 | — | 11.4% | |
| 3 | Carlsheon Young | G | Fr | 6'4" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 40.8% | |
| 13 | Kellen Hampton | F | Fr | 6'7" | 1-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 7 | Augustas Brazdeikis | F | Jr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Clayton Mpiana | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 4 | Dominic Capriotti | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Kris Keinys | F | Jr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | Noah Budu | G | So | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
UC Davis2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted UC Davis's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Connor Sevilla | G | Jr | 6'0" | 31-31 | 31.1 | 13.3 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 53.4% | 39.9% | 5.4 | 90.3% | 22.2% | |
| 2 | Marcus Wilson | G | Fr | 6'3" | 33-33 | 26.4 | 12.5 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 48.1% | 32.4% | 3.1 | 78.5% | 29.1% | |
| 20 | Isaiah Chappell | F | So | 6'9" | 33-18 | 24.1 | 8.5 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 52.3% | 35.6% | 4.9 | 60.0% | 20.6% | |
| 0 | Brayden Fagbemi | G | Jr | 6'0" | 31-3 | 25.4 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 46.8% | 27.3% | 1.8 | 64.7% | 19.7% | |
| 7 | Niko Rocak | F | Sr | 6'9" | 32-32 | 24.2 | 9.4 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 59.7% | 36.1% | 2.6 | 68.1% | 21.8% | |
| 36 | Nils Cooper | G | Jr | 6'6" | 27-23 | 24.7 | 12.3 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 57.2% | 23.8% | 1.6 | 73.7% | 26.2% | |
| 1 | Carl Daughtery Jr. | G | Sr | 6'3" | 24-9 | 26.5 | 10.0 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 55.1% | 42.0% | 4.7 | 73.3% | 19.4% | |
| 21 | Omer Suljanovic | F | Fr | 6'8" | 32-9 | 14.7 | 5.6 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 46.6% | 24.6% | 1.8 | 68.3% | 25.5% | |
| 5 | Jalen Stokes | G | Fr | 6'5" | 27-7 | 13.9 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 48.9% | 33.3% | 0.8 | 87.8% | 19.7% | |
| 10 | Cyril Franklin Jr. | G | So | 6'5" | 19-0 | 7.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 52.2% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 33.3% | 13.6% | |
| 8 | Chase Rawlins | G | Fr | 6'5" | 19-0 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 54.8% | 42.9% | 0.4 | 77.8% | 17.8% | |
| 14 | Abdullah Amzil | F | Fr | 6'7" | 15-0 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 35.7% | 20.0% | 0.3 | 100.0% | 10.3% | |
| 11 | Ylan Esso-Essis | G | So | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Pacific2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | TJ Wainwright | G | Sr | 6'3" | 33-33 | 31.9 | 13.0 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 52.0% | 38.8% | 5.5 | 92.0% | 24.9% | |
| 6 | Jaden Clayton | G | Sr | 6'1" | 33-24 | 30.4 | 7.9 | 3.3 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 44.0% | 30.2% | 3.5 | 75.0% | 21.7% | |
| 1 | Justin Rochelin | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-33 | 27.2 | 9.1 | 6.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 52.3% | 38.1% | 2.5 | 79.8% | 22.0% | |
| 14 | Isaac Jack | F | Sr | 6'11" | 33-33 | 21.6 | 9.1 | 5.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 67.4% | — | 0.0 | 59.7% | 21.5% | |
| 9 | Kajus Kublickas | G | Jr | 6'2" | 33-9 | 20.2 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 42.1% | 27.8% | 2.4 | 71.4% | 23.7% | |
| 15 | Jaion Pitt | F | Fr | 6'7" | 33-0 | 17.3 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 68.8% | 66.7% | 0.2 | 63.4% | 13.0% | |
| 24 | KC Ibekwe | C | Sr | 6'11" | 32-0 | 9.3 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 59.6% | — | 0.0 | 29.6% | 26.9% | |
| 0 | Alexis Marmolejos | G | Sr | 6'2" | 24-0 | 9.5 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 45.1% | 30.2% | 2.2 | 84.2% | 26.8% | |
| 11 | Emmanuel Manyuon | G | Jr | 6'2" | 13-0 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 58.3% | 33.3% | 0.2 | — | 11.6% | |
| 17 | Eyal Harel | G | Fr | 6'7" | 3-0 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 150.0% | 100.0% | 0.7 | — | 11.4% | |
| 3 | Carlsheon Young | G | Fr | 6'4" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 40.8% | |
| 13 | Kellen Hampton | F | Fr | 6'7" | 1-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 7 | Augustas Brazdeikis | F | Jr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Clayton Mpiana | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 4 | Dominic Capriotti | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Kris Keinys | F | Jr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | Noah Budu | G | So | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Pacific
Against the spread
Season
15-14-2
Home
4-6-2
Road
7-8
Last 10
4-5-1
avg cover −0.2
Covered 2 straightCovered 2 of 4 as a favorite, 1 pushCovered 2 of 6 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
11-20
Home
2-10
Road
9-6
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −2.7
Under 4 straightOver in 1 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | Santa Clara | N | L 68–76 | +9.5 | W+1.5 | 148.0 | U144 | 114.9 | 128.4 | 59.2 |
| Mar 7 | Seattle U | N | W 61–58 | −1.0 | W+2.0 | 129.5 | U119 | 94.5 | 89.9 | 64.6 |
| Feb 28 | San Francisco | H | L 61–72 | −4.5 | L−15.5 | 143.5 | U133 | 94.6 | 111.7 | 64.5 |
| Feb 21 | #11Gonzaga | A | L 62–71 | +21.5 | W+12.5 | 143.5 | U133 | 101.3 | 116.0 | 61.2 |
| Feb 18 | Washington St | A | L 70–87 | +2.5 | L−14.5 | 143.5 | O157 | 106.8 | 132.8 | 65.5 |
| Feb 14 | Saint Mary's | H | L 61–72 | +7.0 | L−4.0 | 135.5 | U133 | 96.2 | 113.5 | 63.4 |
| Feb 11 | LMU | H | W 65–59 | −6.0 | P0.0 | 141.5 | U124 | 103.2 | 93.7 | 63.0 |
| Feb 7 | Pepperdine | A | W 92–59 | −7.5 | W+25.5 | 142.5 | O151 | 126.8 | 81.3 | 72.5 |
| Feb 4 | Santa Clara | H | L 56–71 | +6.0 | L−9.0 | 151.5 | U127 | 87.4 | 110.9 | 64.1 |
| Jan 31 | San Francisco | A | L 82–87 | +4.0 | L−1.0 | 138.0 | O169 | 121.1 | 128.4 | 67.7 |
UC Davis
Against the spread
Season
17-13-1
Home
9-5
Road
7-7-1
Last 10
5-4-1
avg cover +0.6
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 1 of 6 as an underdog, 1 push
Over / under
Season
17-14
Home
7-7
Road
9-6
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −6.0
Under in the last gameOver in 1 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 4 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | Fullerton | N | L 70–82 | +1.0 | L−11.0 | 155.0 | U152 | 84.4 | 98.9 | 82.9 |
| Mar 11 | Santa Barbara | N | W 79–73 | +4.5 | W+10.5 | 139.5 | O152 | 107.2 | 99.1 | 73.7 |
| Mar 7 | UC Irvine | A | L 69–79 OT | +8.5 | L−1.5 | 145.0 | O148 | 92.6 | 106.0 | 74.6 |
| Mar 5 | Long Beach St | A | W 76–70 OT | −2.0 | W+4.0 | 150.0 | U146 | 95.7 | 88.2 | 79.4 |
| Feb 26 | Hawai'i | H | L 73–77 | +2.0 | L−2.0 | 147.0 | O150 | 106.2 | 112.0 | 68.8 |
| Feb 21 | UC Riverside | A | W 78–73 | −3.0 | W+2.0 | 150.0 | O151 | 104.9 | 98.2 | 74.4 |
| Feb 19 | Fullerton | A | L 92–93 | +1.0 | P0.0 | 157.0 | O185 | 138.1 | 139.6 | 66.6 |
| Feb 14 | Long Beach St | H | W 71–54 | −5.0 | W+12.0 | 149.5 | U125 | 100.8 | 76.6 | 70.5 |
| Feb 12 | UC San Diego | A | L 51–68 | +6.0 | L−11.0 | 150.5 | U119 | 72.5 | 96.7 | 70.3 |
| Feb 7 | Cal Poly | H | W 67–58 | −6.0 | W+3.0 | 169.0 | U125 | 96.6 | 83.6 | 69.4 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homePacificUC Davis
Efficiency
108.8
107.2
106.4
107.8
66.4
69.3
—
—
Shooting
52.2%
51.8%
51.3%
51.9%
35.8%
34.4%
75.5%
75.3%
30.5%
40.5%
Ball control & glass
20.1%
17.9%
15.1%
19.8%
35.3%
25.2%
25.0%
30.5%
9.9%
9.2%
10.6%
10.3%
Style
35.3%
43.5%
45.9%
37.0%
9.7%
13.1%
58.0%
59.9%
27.8%
34.0%
Roster
3.55
2.51
6'4.7"
6'4.5"
82.8%
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputPacific
Returning minutes: 82.8%Returning production: 78.1%
Lost
- Elias Ralph 34.6 mpg, 16.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Kris Keinys no D1 minutes last season
- Noah Budu no D1 minutes last season
- Dominic Capriotti no D1 minutes last season
- Augustas Brazdeikis no D1 minutes last season
- Clayton Mpiana no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 83% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
UC Davis
Returning minutes: 99.7%Returning production: 100.1%
ESPN hasn't posted UC Davis's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.