CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Conference gameLBS Financial Credit Union Pyramid, Long Beach, CA
Utah Valley
Efficiency #75
2025-26: 25-9 · 15-5 conf
@
Long Beach St
Efficiency #267
2025-26: 10-22 · 6-14 conf
Thu, Dec 3 · 10:00 PM ET
76.7
win 64%
Projected
72.5
win 36%
No line posted yet.
Model: UVU −4.2 · total 149.3 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Long Beach St 69.1, Utah Valley 69.1 → 69.8 possessions
+3.3
Long Beach St offense vs Utah Valley defense
−5.2
Utah Valley offense vs Long Beach St defense
+3.0
Projected total
149.3
Axis starts at 144 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Long Beach St offense vs Utah Valley defense
−5.2
Utah Valley offense vs Long Beach St defense
−3.0
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Utah Valley by 4.2
4.2
Utah Valley side ◂▸ Long Beach St side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Long Beach St.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Long Beach St is the faster team (70.8, #60 of 365) and Utah Valley the slower (69.4, #122). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.8
per team, 40 min
Projected total
149.3
model
Projected team totals
76.7 / 72.5
Utah Valley / Long Beach St
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.1#116
Utah Valley
69.1#118
Long Beach St
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageUtah Valley
Where Utah Valley scores: shooting
Utah Valley shoots an effective 54.9% (#38); Long Beach St allows 53.7% (#290). Expect about 54.6%, 3.4 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +4.8 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageLong Beach St
Where Long Beach St struggles: ball control
Long Beach St turns it over on 18.0% of possessions (#270); Utah Valley forces turnovers on 21.3% of opponent possessions (#7). Expect about 20.4%, 3.6 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -4.4 points per 100 possessions.
TurnoversUtah Valley
Utah Valley turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 19.2% is worth roughly -2.9 points per 100 possessions against Utah Valley's offense.
Pace
Track meet
Long Beach St averages 70.8 possessions per 40, Utah Valley 69.4. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 71 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
DefenseUtah Valley
Utah Valley's ball-hawking
Utah Valley ranks #6 nationally in steal rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 11.9% of Long Beach St's possessions to end in a steal against this defense.
ClashUtah Valley
Style match: 3-point volume
Utah Valley rarely shoots threes (32.9% of its shots); Long Beach St runs teams off the line (35.3% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 31.5% — both habits push the same way.
Utah Valley has the ball
OffenseLong Beach St allowsvs D1 avg
54.9% #38
53.7% #290
+4.8 pt/100
20.1% #350
17.5% #120
-2.9 pt/100
34.8% #51
27.8% #60
+1.1 pt/100
38.2% #98
42.3% #327
+0.7 pt/100
68.6% #308
—
-0.3 pt/100
Utah Valley net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.3 pts/100
Long Beach St has the ball
OffenseUtah Valley allowsvs D1 avg
50.6% #207
49.4% #78
-1.9 pt/100
18.0% #270
21.3% #7
-4.4 pt/100
26.2% #315
31.4% #221
-1.5 pt/100
30.7% #287
39.2% #291
+0.0 pt/100
72.5% #185
—
+0.0 pt/100
Long Beach St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -7.8 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersUtah Valleyoffense vsLong Beach Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Utah Valley shoots
47.2
8.8
11.3
32.6
Long Beach St allows
42.3
6.9
15.6
35.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 63.7%#43 | 63.4%#334 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.2%#217 | 40.0%#191 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.6%#247 | 39.7%#230 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.0%#170 | 34.4%#212 | 33.7% |
Long Beach Stoffense vsUtah Valleydefense
Share of shots by zone
Long Beach St shoots
33.1
8.7
23.2
35.1
Utah Valley allows
42.9
7.3
16.6
33.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 64.6%#27 | 52.1%#16 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.7%#201 | 39.5%#171 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.4%#209 | 38.8%#197 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.7%#245 | 35.2%#260 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersUtah Valley
+1.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#107 of 365
Off reb %
34.8%
#51
Def reb %
68.6%
#221
Turnover %
20.1%
#350
Forced TO %
21.3%
#7
FT rate
38.2%
#98
FT allowed
39.2%
#291
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.4
Defensive rebounding−0.2
Ball security−2.3
Forcing turnovers+3.2
Foul shots drawn+0.8
Foul shots allowed−1.0
Long Beach St
−3.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#318 of 365
Off reb %
26.2%
#315
Def reb %
72.2%
#60
Turnover %
18.0%
#270
Forced TO %
17.5%
#120
FT rate
30.7%
#287
FT allowed
42.3%
#327
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.3
Defensive rebounding+0.9
Ball security−0.8
Forcing turnovers+0.6
Foul shots drawn−1.1
Foul shots allowed−1.8
Utah Valley has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.9 (#107 of 365) to Long Beach St’s −3.6 (#318).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Utah Valley2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trevan Leonhardt | G | Jr | 6'4" | 34-34 | 34.5 | 11.9 | 5.4 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 57.7% | 36.8% | 3.4 | 75.6% | 20.9% | |
| 2 | Jackson Holcombe | G | So | 6'7" | 34-34 | 30.1 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 53.8% | 16.2% | 1.1 | 68.2% | 31.0% | |
| 9 | Braden Housley | G | So | 6'4" | 28-19 | 26.1 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 47.4% | 29.4% | 1.8 | 57.8% | 15.5% | |
| 1 | Isaac Davis | F | So | 6'8" | 34-34 | 19.1 | 10.9 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 63.8% | 33.3% | 0.6 | 67.0% | 30.8% | |
| 7 | Noah Taitz | G | Sr | 6'4" | 30-15 | 19.6 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 47.7% | 34.5% | 2.9 | 71.4% | 16.8% | |
| 8 | Hayden Welling | F | Sr | 6'9" | 34-1 | 16.5 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 45.8% | 20.3% | 2.0 | 68.5% | 30.3% | |
| 4 | Sherman Weatherspoon IV | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-5 | 16.1 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 55.4% | 38.0% | 3.1 | 72.7% | 18.2% | |
| 23 | Isaac Hawkins | F | Jr | 6'10" | 34-0 | 14.0 | 7.2 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 67.2% | 27.3% | 0.3 | 76.1% | 24.2% | |
| 11 | Tyler Weaver | F | Fr | 6'7" | 20-0 | 8.2 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 49.0% | 34.5% | 1.4 | 75.0% | 23.9% | |
| 12 | Tyler Medaris | F | Fr | 6'7" | 15-0 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 52.9% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 57.1% | 18.2% | |
| 99 | Joul Karram | C | So | 6'11" | 9-0 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 61.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 20.5% | |
| 5 | AJ Riggs | G | So | 6'3" | 11-0 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 57.7% | 33.3% | 0.8 | — | 21.8% | |
| 24 | AJ Dixon | G | Jr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Jaxson Roberts | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Long Beach St2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Petar Majstorovic | F | So | 6'8" | 32-32 | 31.1 | 14.4 | 6.4 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 56.7% | 28.6% | 3.1 | 77.5% | 25.7% | |
| 11 | Gavin Sykes | G | Fr | 6'4" | 28-26 | 32.9 | 19.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 55.6% | 38.7% | 6.0 | 79.5% | 29.9% | |
| 12 | Isaiah Lewis | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-13 | 22.1 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 42.2% | 31.8% | 2.1 | 76.9% | 20.5% | |
| 0 | Rob Diaz III | G | Jr | 6'2" | 32-14 | 21.9 | 8.1 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 50.0% | 32.9% | 2.2 | 80.7% | 21.8% | |
| 2 | Shaquil Bender | G | Sr | 6'2" | 31-9 | 21.8 | 10.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 49.5% | 36.6% | 4.3 | 75.0% | 31.8% | |
| 4 | Leopold Levillain | F | Fr | 6'9" | 30-24 | 19.3 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 57.0% | — | 0.0 | 61.9% | 16.0% | |
| 33 | Shay Johnson Jr. | F | Sr | 6'10" | 31-8 | 16.0 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 70.8% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 41.7% | 8.4% | |
| 3 | Dallas Washington | F | Fr | 6'10" | 23-1 | 11.0 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 36.6% | 18.2% | 1.4 | 44.4% | 21.9% | |
| 24 | Christian Jones | G | So | 6'4" | 18-1 | 10.3 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 55.0% | 35.5% | 1.7 | 77.8% | 18.8% | |
| 1 | Derrick Michael Xzavierro | F | Jr | 6'10" | 18-0 | 8.2 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 70.0% | 19.9% | |
| 15 | JJ Chaikovsky | F | So | 6'7" | 19-0 | 7.4 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | — | 7.5% | |
| 14 | Immanuel Lewis | G | Sr | 6'3" | 1-0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0% | 100.0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 22.1% | |
| 8 | Grant Gondrezick II | G | So | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Jayden Alexander | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Utah Valley2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trevan Leonhardt | G | Jr | 6'4" | 34-34 | 34.5 | 11.9 | 5.4 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 57.7% | 36.8% | 3.4 | 75.6% | 20.9% | |
| 2 | Jackson Holcombe | G | So | 6'7" | 34-34 | 30.1 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 53.8% | 16.2% | 1.1 | 68.2% | 31.0% | |
| 9 | Braden Housley | G | So | 6'4" | 28-19 | 26.1 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 47.4% | 29.4% | 1.8 | 57.8% | 15.5% | |
| 1 | Isaac Davis | F | So | 6'8" | 34-34 | 19.1 | 10.9 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 63.8% | 33.3% | 0.6 | 67.0% | 30.8% | |
| 7 | Noah Taitz | G | Sr | 6'4" | 30-15 | 19.6 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 47.7% | 34.5% | 2.9 | 71.4% | 16.8% | |
| 8 | Hayden Welling | F | Sr | 6'9" | 34-1 | 16.5 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 45.8% | 20.3% | 2.0 | 68.5% | 30.3% | |
| 4 | Sherman Weatherspoon IV | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-5 | 16.1 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 55.4% | 38.0% | 3.1 | 72.7% | 18.2% | |
| 23 | Isaac Hawkins | F | Jr | 6'10" | 34-0 | 14.0 | 7.2 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 67.2% | 27.3% | 0.3 | 76.1% | 24.2% | |
| 11 | Tyler Weaver | F | Fr | 6'7" | 20-0 | 8.2 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 49.0% | 34.5% | 1.4 | 75.0% | 23.9% | |
| 12 | Tyler Medaris | F | Fr | 6'7" | 15-0 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 52.9% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 57.1% | 18.2% | |
| 99 | Joul Karram | C | So | 6'11" | 9-0 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 61.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 20.5% | |
| 5 | AJ Riggs | G | So | 6'3" | 11-0 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 57.7% | 33.3% | 0.8 | — | 21.8% | |
| 24 | AJ Dixon | G | Jr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Jaxson Roberts | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Utah Valley
Against the spread
Season
13-18
Home
6-7
Road
4-9
Last 10
2-8
avg cover −4.0
Missed the spread 7 straightCovered 2 of 10 as a favoriteCovered 0 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
17-14
Home
9-4
Road
8-5
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +4.2
Over in the last gameOver in 6 of 10 as a favoriteOver in 4 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18 | G Washington | H | L 78–79 | −1.5 | L−2.5 | 153.0 | O157 | 113.1 | 114.5 | 69.0 |
| Mar 14 | CA Baptist | N | L 61–63 | −2.5 | L−4.5 | 138.5 | U124 | 92.0 | 95.0 | 66.3 |
| Mar 13 | UT Arlington | N | W 67–65 | −8.0 | L−6.0 | 136.0 | U132 | 107.4 | 104.2 | 62.4 |
| Mar 7 | Utah Tech | A | W 104–101 2OT | −9.0 | L−6.0 | 148.0 | O205 | 122.1 | 118.6 | 85.2 |
| Mar 5 | Southern Utah | A | W 92–88 | −10.0 | L−6.0 | 150.0 | O180 | 129.1 | 123.5 | 71.3 |
| Feb 28 | Abilene Chrstn | H | W 74–67 | −15.0 | L−8.0 | 140.5 | O141 | 106.7 | 96.6 | 69.3 |
| Feb 26 | Tarleton St | H | W 79–72 | −17.0 | L−10.0 | 141.5 | O151 | 113.8 | 103.7 | 69.4 |
| Feb 21 | UT Arlington | A | W 66–54 | −5.5 | W+6.5 | 137.5 | U120 | 99.0 | 81.0 | 66.6 |
| Feb 19 | CA Baptist | H | W 65–46 | −8.5 | W+10.5 | 143.0 | U111 | 99.3 | 70.3 | 65.4 |
| Feb 12 | Utah Tech | A | L 77–81 | −10.0 | L−14.0 | 149.0 | O158 | 113.9 | 119.8 | 67.6 |
Long Beach St
Against the spread
Season
15-14-1
Home
8-6
Road
7-8-1
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −0.1
Covered the last gameCovered 4 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
19-10-1
Home
9-4-1
Road
10-6
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +5.8
Over in the last gameOver in 4 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | Hawai'i | A | W 84–75 | +14.0 | W+23.0 | 150.0 | O159 | 109.6 | 97.9 | 76.6 |
| Mar 5 | UC Davis | H | L 70–76 OT | +2.0 | L−4.0 | 150.0 | U146 | 88.2 | 95.7 | 79.4 |
| Feb 28 | Bakersfield | A | W 88–87 | −3.0 | L−2.0 | 153.5 | O175 | 118.6 | 117.3 | 74.2 |
| Feb 26 | Cal Poly | A | L 92–102 | +5.5 | L−4.5 | 161.5 | O194 | 114.6 | 127.1 | 80.3 |
| Feb 21 | CSU Northridge | H | L 76–78 | +3.5 | W+1.5 | 157.5 | U154 | 105.9 | 108.7 | 71.8 |
| Feb 19 | UC Irvine | H | L 58–69 | +5.0 | L−6.0 | 143.0 | U127 | 78.7 | 93.6 | 73.7 |
| Feb 14 | UC Davis | A | L 54–71 | +5.0 | L−12.0 | 149.5 | U125 | 76.6 | 100.8 | 70.5 |
| Feb 12 | Fullerton | H | L 82–86 | −1.5 | L−5.5 | 156.5 | O168 | 110.5 | 115.9 | 74.2 |
| Feb 5 | UC San Diego | A | L 74–77 | +10.5 | W+7.5 | 146.5 | O151 | 99.1 | 103.2 | 74.6 |
| Jan 31 | Hawai'i | H | L 82–89 | +8.0 | W+1.0 | 144.5 | O171 | 113.7 | 123.4 | 72.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeUtah ValleyLong Beach St
Efficiency
110.9
105.0
104.5
110.3
69.1
69.1
—
—
Shooting
54.9%
50.6%
56.9%
51.5%
34.0%
32.7%
68.6%
72.5%
38.2%
30.7%
Ball control & glass
20.1%
18.0%
21.3%
17.5%
34.8%
26.2%
31.4%
27.8%
12.1%
9.5%
8.1%
7.2%
Style
32.9%
34.8%
53.2%
44.4%
15.2%
11.7%
62.1%
46.2%
31.0%
35.9%
Roster
2.70
2.37
6'6"
6'5.6"
87.9%
89.8%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputUtah Valley
Returning minutes: 87.9%Returning production: 88.1%
Lost
- Tyler Hendricks 24.5 mpg, 9.7 ppg · transferred to Oklahoma
Added
- AJ Dixon no D1 minutes last season
- Jaxson Roberts no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 88% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Long Beach St
Returning minutes: 89.8%Returning production: 93.5%
Lost
- Cole Farrell 20.7 mpg, 6.4 ppg · transferred to Niagara
Added
- Jayden Alexander no D1 minutes last season
- Grant Gondrezick II no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 90% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.