CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceTed Grant Court, Syracuse, NY
Binghamton
Efficiency #354
2025-26: 8-23 · 4-12 conf
@
Le Moyne
Efficiency #270
2025-26: 15-17 · 10-9 conf
Thu, Dec 3 · 7:00 PM ET
68.7
win 19%
Projected
78.9
win 81%
No line posted yet.
Model: LEM −10.2 · total 147.6 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one
Projected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Le Moyne 69.6, Binghamton 67.1 → 68.4 possessions
+0.1
Le Moyne offense vs Binghamton defense
+2.8
Binghamton offense vs Le Moyne defense
−3.5
Projected total
147.6
Axis starts at 146 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Le Moyne offense vs Binghamton defense
+2.8
Binghamton offense vs Le Moyne defense
+3.5
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
Le Moyne by 10.2
10.2
Binghamton side ◂▸ Le Moyne side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Le Moyne.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 68.4, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Le Moyne is the faster team (69.2, #133 of 365) and Binghamton the slower (65.1, #331). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
68.4
per team, 40 min
Projected total
147.6
model
Projected team totals
68.7 / 78.9
Binghamton / Le Moyne
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
67.1#281
Binghamton
69.6#76
Le Moyne

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet
AdvantageBinghamton
Where Binghamton struggles: the offensive glass
Binghamton rebounds 20.9% of its own misses (#361); Le Moyne lets opponents grab 29.1% of their own misses (#107). Expect about 23.1%, 7.3 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -4.4 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageLe Moyne
Where Le Moyne scores: shooting
Le Moyne shoots an effective 52.7% (#118); Binghamton allows 54.3% (#309). Expect about 53.6%, 2.4 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.4 points per 100 possessions.
GlassLe Moyne
Le Moyne gets out-rebounded
Projected offensive rebound rate of 26.3% is worth roughly -2.5 points per 100 possessions against Le Moyne's offense.
Binghamton has the ball
OffenseLe Moyne allowsvs D1 avg
50.0% #234
49.3% #75
-2.5 pt/100
18.8% #312
15.0% #289
+0.0 pt/100
20.9% #361
29.1% #107
-4.4 pt/100
41.5% #37
32.7% #121
+0.2 pt/100
75.3% #75
—
+0.3 pt/100
Binghamton net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -6.5 pts/100
Le Moyne has the ball
OffenseBinghamton allowsvs D1 avg
52.7% #118
54.3% #309
+3.4 pt/100
19.1% #327
13.3% #349
+1.1 pt/100
25.2% #337
29.4% #128
-2.5 pt/100
39.5% #68
34.6% #167
+0.2 pt/100
71.8% #214
—
-0.1 pt/100
Le Moyne net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.1 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers
Binghamtonoffense vsLe Moynedefense
Share of shots by zone
Binghamton shoots
Le Moyne allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim55.9%#27556.5%#10058.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)37.7%#22837.7%#13139.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)41.0%#7827.3%#138.0%
Three32.5%#25436.0%#30333.7%
Le Moyneoffense vsBinghamtondefense
Share of shots by zone
Le Moyne shoots
Binghamton allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim59.4%#14958.7%#17458.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)36.0%#26945.5%#31439.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)37.8%#19442.0%#30038.0%
Three34.3%#15235.8%#29433.7%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers
Binghamton
−4.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#340 of 365
Off reb %
20.9%
#361
Def reb %
70.6%
#128
Turnover %
18.8%
#312
Forced TO %
13.3%
#349
FT rate
41.5%
#37
FT allowed
34.6%
#167
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−3.1
Defensive rebounding+0.4
Ball security−1.4
Forcing turnovers−2.3
Foul shots drawn+1.7
Foul shots allowed+0.2
Le Moyne
−2.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#276 of 365
Off reb %
25.2%
#337
Def reb %
70.9%
#107
Turnover %
19.1%
#327
Forced TO %
15.0%
#289
FT rate
39.5%
#68
FT allowed
32.7%
#121
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.7
Defensive rebounding+0.5
Ball security−1.6
Forcing turnovers−1.2
Foul shots drawn+1.1
Foul shots allowed+0.7

Le Moyne has more extra scoring chances per game: −2.2 (#276 of 365) to Binghamton’s −4.6 (#340).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Binghamton2025-26 numbers
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%UsageStatus
0Jeremiah QuigleyGJr5'11"30-3037.114.54.96.43.347.7%17.4%1.578.4%27.5%
5Wes Peterson Jr.GSr6'6"28-2635.710.74.41.41.847.3%39.8%3.077.5%21.0%
24Jackson BenigniGSr6'1"30-2131.510.12.80.80.962.0%40.1%5.189.2%16.4%
10Zyier BeverlyFJr6'9"29-1825.011.84.90.41.761.0%30.0%0.364.4%27.7%
4Ryan RichardsonGJr6'5"22-1225.24.22.11.61.439.8%31.0%3.235.3%16.2%
13Stephan SnaggFSo6'8"27-1419.94.02.90.40.461.6%—0.056.3%11.3%
14Demetrius LilleyCSr6'9"11-1133.514.69.40.92.744.3%14.3%2.580.8%29.5%
30Jake BlackburnGFr6'5"14-116.45.51.30.40.662.9%39.5%3.166.7%18.1%
2Jayden KelseyGFr6'7"2-017.50.51.52.50.00.0%0.0%2.550.0%9.9%
12Nevin IbrociGFr6'2"10-03.20.90.30.00.045.0%30.0%1.00.0%20.7%
3Evan AsheGJr6'3"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
1Jayden LemondGJr6'4"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
33Sayerr SenghoreFSr6'8"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home
BinghamtonLe Moyne
Efficiency
101.6
104.7
116.3
110.2
67.1
69.6
—
—
Shooting
50.0%
52.7%
50.6%
53.5%
32.5%
34.3%
75.3%
71.8%
41.5%
39.5%
Ball control & glass
18.8%
19.1%
13.3%
15.0%
20.9%
25.2%
29.4%
29.1%
10.9%
11.1%
8.8%
9.5%
Style
30.9%
40.8%
47.2%
42.6%
9.5%
14.2%
48.7%
56.5%
21.1%
31.9%
Roster
3.21
2.56
6'4.4"
6'5.2"
87.5%
—

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
Binghamton
Returning minutes: 87.5%Returning production: 88.7%
Lost
  • Bryson Wilson 25.4 mpg, 8.9 ppg · transferred to Saint Peter's
Added
  • Evan Ashe no D1 minutes last season
  • Jayden Lemond no D1 minutes last season
  • Sayerr Senghore no D1 minutes last season

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 88% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Le Moyne
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Le Moyne's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Head-to-head

this season and last
DateSeasonResult
Sat, Dec 62025-26Le Moyne 78 – 63 Binghamton

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.