NFL Week 10 Predictions & Odds, 2026
The market-implied score, win probability, spread and total for all 14 Week 10 games (Nov 12–16), from the devigged cross-book consensus. Each game links to its full page. · Updated
Week 10 at a glance
| Game | Prediction | Win % | Spread | Total | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders @ Giants | Giants 22-19 | Giants 55% | NYG -2.5 | 41 | Thu, 11/12 · 8:15 PM ET |
| Patriots @ Lions | Lions 27-24 | Lions 58% | DET -3 | 51 | Sun, 11/15 · 9:30 AM ET |
| Bills @ Jets | Bills 30-22 | Bills 78% | BUF -8 | 51 | Sun, 11/15 · 1:00 PM ET |
| Jaguars @ Titans | Jaguars 29-18 | Jaguars 82% | JAX -10.5 | 46.5 | Sun, 11/15 · 1:00 PM ET |
| Vikings @ Packers | Packers 23-19 | Packers 62% | GB -3.5 | 41.5 | Sun, 11/15 · 1:00 PM ET |
| Dolphins @ Colts | Colts 21-18 | Colts 63% | IND -3.5 | 38.5 | Sun, 11/15 · 1:00 PM ET |
| Texans @ Browns | Texans 23-18 | Texans 67% | HOU -5 | 40 | Sun, 11/15 · 1:00 PM ET |
| Panthers @ Saints | Saints 26-23 | Saints 55% | NO -2.5 | 48.75 | Sun, 11/15 · 1:00 PM ET |
| Chiefs @ Falcons | Chiefs 24-21 | Chiefs 62% | KC -3.5 | 45.25 | Sun, 11/15 · 1:00 PM ET |
| Seahawks @ Raiders | Seahawks 24-17 | Seahawks 71% | SEA -6.5 | 40.5 | Sun, 11/15 · 4:05 PM ET |
| Rams @ Cardinals | Rams 25-15 | Rams 78% | LA -9.5 | 39.5 | Sun, 11/15 · 4:05 PM ET |
| 49ers @ Cowboys | 49ers 30-26 | 49ers 65% | SF -4 | 55.5 | Sun, 11/15 · 4:25 PM ET |
| Steelers @ Bengals | Bengals 27-23 | Bengals 63% | CIN -3.5 | 49.5 | Sun, 11/15 · 8:20 PM ET |
| Chargers @ Ravens | Ravens 22-17 | Ravens 66% | BAL -4.5 | 38.5 | Mon, 11/16 · 8:15 PM ET |
Game by game
Washington Commanders vs New York Giants prediction
Thu, 11/12 · 8:15 PM ET · MetLife Stadium. Giants 22, Commanders 19 (market-implied). The market gives the New York Giants a 55% chance to win. Consensus spread NYG -2.5, total 41.
New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions prediction
Sun, 11/15 · 9:30 AM ET · FC Bayern Munich Stadium. Lions 27, Patriots 24 (market-implied). The market gives the Detroit Lions a 58% chance to win. Consensus spread DET -3, total 51.
Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets prediction
Sun, 11/15 · 1:00 PM ET · MetLife Stadium. Bills 30, Jets 22 (market-implied). The market gives the Buffalo Bills a 78% chance to win. Consensus spread BUF -8, total 51.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans prediction
Sun, 11/15 · 1:00 PM ET · Nissan Stadium. Jaguars 29, Titans 18 (market-implied). The market gives the Jacksonville Jaguars an 82% chance to win. Consensus spread JAX -10.5, total 46.5.
Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers prediction
Sun, 11/15 · 1:00 PM ET · Lambeau Field. Packers 23, Vikings 19 (market-implied). The market gives the Green Bay Packers a 62% chance to win. Consensus spread GB -3.5, total 41.5.
Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts prediction
Sun, 11/15 · 1:00 PM ET · Lucas Oil Stadium. Colts 21, Dolphins 18 (market-implied). The market gives the Indianapolis Colts a 63% chance to win. Consensus spread IND -3.5, total 38.5.
Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns prediction
Sun, 11/15 · 1:00 PM ET · Huntington Bank Field. Texans 23, Browns 18 (market-implied). The market gives the Houston Texans a 67% chance to win. Consensus spread HOU -5, total 40.
Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints prediction
Sun, 11/15 · 1:00 PM ET · Caesars Superdome. Saints 26, Panthers 23 (market-implied). The market gives the New Orleans Saints a 55% chance to win. Consensus spread NO -2.5, total 48.75.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons prediction
Sun, 11/15 · 1:00 PM ET · Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Chiefs 24, Falcons 21 (market-implied). The market gives the Kansas City Chiefs a 62% chance to win. Consensus spread KC -3.5, total 45.25.
Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders prediction
Sun, 11/15 · 4:05 PM ET · Allegiant Stadium. Seahawks 24, Raiders 17 (market-implied). The market gives the Seattle Seahawks a 71% chance to win. Consensus spread SEA -6.5, total 40.5.
Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals prediction
Sun, 11/15 · 4:05 PM ET · State Farm Stadium. Rams 25, Cardinals 15 (market-implied). The market gives the Los Angeles Rams a 78% chance to win. Consensus spread LA -9.5, total 39.5.
San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys prediction
Sun, 11/15 · 4:25 PM ET · AT&T Stadium. 49ers 30, Cowboys 26 (market-implied). The market gives the San Francisco 49ers a 65% chance to win. Consensus spread SF -4, total 55.5.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals prediction
Sun, 11/15 · 8:20 PM ET · Paycor Stadium. Bengals 27, Steelers 23 (market-implied). The market gives the Cincinnati Bengals a 63% chance to win. Consensus spread CIN -3.5, total 49.5.
Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens prediction
Mon, 11/16 · 8:15 PM ET · M&T Bank Stadium. Ravens 22, Chargers 17 (market-implied). The market gives the Baltimore Ravens a 66% chance to win. Consensus spread BAL -4.5, total 38.5.
About these numbers
They are the betting market's, not ours: the median line across major books with the vig removed, turned into a score and a win probability. Our staked plays are graded in public on the Track Record. How odds become a probability, what devigging does, and how sportsbooks set these lines.
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From the blog: NFL Week 10 Preview: Who's Hot, Who's Fading and Where I'm Leaning.