Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Arkansas Razorbacks basketball final score
Tue, Nov 3 · 8:00 PM ET · Bud Walton Arena, Fayetteville, AR
Non-conferenceSECN+Bud Walton Arena, Fayetteville, AR
AR-Pine Bluff
2025-26: 13-19 · 10-9 conf
Efficiency #313
@
12Arkansas
2025-26: 28-9 · 16-5 conf
Efficiency #24
Final
61106
Final score
Projected 64.0 – 99.0
UAPB win 0%ARK win 100%
MarketClose
Spread
ARK −42.0
open ARK −40.0
Total
166.5
open 163.0
Our line
ARK −34.9
as of Tue, Nov 3 · 7:52 PM ET
Our play
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 74.3, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Arkansas is the faster team (72.8, #13 of 365) and AR-Pine Bluff the slower (71.2, #43). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
74.3
per team, 40 min
Market total
166.5
Market close · open 163.0
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
71.6#90
AR-Pine Bluff
72.9#30
Arkansas
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
ARK −34.9
Four factors 9.8Not in these stats 25.1
From the four factors
Arkansas has the ball+10.4
AR-Pine Bluff has the ball+0.6
Arkansas has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 56.4% #16 · UAPB allows 52.6% #249+4.7
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 12.2% #1 · UAPB forces 16.5% #188 · ~10 turnovers+4.1
✓Wins second chancesOR% 32.0% #121 · UAPB allows 34.2% #321+1.0
✓Gets to the lineFTR 35.9% #155 · UAPB allows 43.6% #342 · FT 75.1% #77+0.7
AR-Pine Bluff has the ball
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 18.7% #309 · ARK forces 15.6% #246 · ~12 turnovers+1.2
✗Few second chancesOR% 27.9% #271 · ARK allows 30.9% #197−1.1
✓Shoots it welleFG% 50.0% #233 · ARK allows 51.8% #201+0.3
✓Gets to the lineFTR 38.4% #91 · ARK allows 31.2% #87 · FT 75.5% #65+0.2
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersAR-Pine Bluffoffense vs#12Arkansasdefense
Share of shots by zone
AR-Pine Bluff shoots
38.1
4.9
20.4
36.6
Arkansas allows
40.1
6.9
15.3
37.7
D-I average
38.1
7.3
13.6
41.0
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.3%#153 | 62.6%#313 | 58.8% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 39.7%#180 | 45.4%#308 | 37.0% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 34.5%#299 | 34.7%#66 | 36.1% |
| Three | 33.6%#190 | 31.8%#54 | 32.7% |
#12Arkansasoffense vsAR-Pine Bluffdefense
Share of shots by zone
Arkansas shoots
41.8
6.3
19.1
32.8
AR-Pine Bluff allows
41.3
4.5
17.0
37.2
D-I average
38.1
7.3
13.6
41.0
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 66.7%#10 | 61.3%#276 | 58.8% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 32.3%#325 | 52.9%#360 | 37.0% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.3%#258 | 35.5%#89 | 36.1% |
| Three | 38.2%#16 | 33.2%#136 | 32.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersAR-Pine Bluff
−4.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#345 of 365
Off reb %
27.9%
#271
Def reb %
65.8%
#321
Turnover %
18.7%
#309
Forced TO %
16.5%
#188
FT rate
38.4%
#91
FT allowed
43.6%
#342
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.8
Defensive rebounding−1.2
Ball security−1.3
Forcing turnovers−0.2
Foul shots drawn+0.9
Foul shots allowed−2.1
#12Arkansas
+4.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#35 of 365
Off reb %
32.0%
#121
Def reb %
69.1%
#197
Turnover %
12.2%
#1
Forced TO %
15.6%
#246
FT rate
35.9%
#155
FT allowed
31.2%
#87
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.5
Defensive rebounding−0.1
Ball security+3.2
Forcing turnovers−0.8
Foul shots drawn+0.2
Foul shots allowed+1.0
Arkansas has more extra scoring chances per game: +4.1 (#35 of 365) to AR-Pine Bluff’s −4.7 (#345).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
AR-Pine Bluff2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G | Sr | 6'4" | 2-2 | 34.0 | 13.5 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 50.0% | 20.0% | 2.5 | 66.7% | 26.4% | |
| 22 | F | Sr | 6'8" | 2-1 | 26.0 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 54.2% | 100.0% | 0.5 | 66.7% | 20.3% | |
| 5 | F | Jr | 6'7" | 2-1 | 23.5 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 46.9% | 30.0% | 5.0 | — | 20.1% | |
| 23 | G | Fr | 6'3" | 2-1 | 22.5 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 41.7% | 28.6% | 3.5 | 50.0% | 22.2% | |
| 10 | G | Fr | 6'4" | 2-0 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 22.2% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 66.7% | 20.8% | |
| 3 | G | So | 6'7" | 2-1 | 17.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 15.0% | 20.0% | 2.5 | 50.0% | 24.1% | |
| 9 | F | Sr | 6'7" | 1-1 | 29.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 38.5% | 0.0% | 3.0 | 100.0% | 33.9% | |
| 0 | G | Jr | 6'7" | 2-1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 12.4% | |
| 4 | F | Fr | 6'8" | 2-1 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 70.0% | 50.0% | 1.0 | 60.0% | 25.8% | |
| 7 | G | Sr | 6'7" | 2-0 | 9.5 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 55.6% | 28.6% | 3.5 | 50.0% | 28.5% | |
| 8 | G | Jr | 6'7" | 2-1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 6 | G | Sr | 6'4" | 2-0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 11 | G | Jr | 6'3" | 1-0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% |
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameAR-Pine Bluff
Against the spread
Season
13-16-1
Home
3-5-1
Road
9-11
Last 10
3-6-1
avg cover −1.3
Covered 2 straightCovered 2 of 7 as a favorite, 1 push
Over / under
Season
14-16
Home
5-4
Road
8-12
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +0.6
Over in the last gameOver in 3 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | Southern | N | L 81–84 | +5.0 | W+2.0 | 150.5 | O165 | 123.9 | 128.4 | 65.4 |
| Mar 5 | Alcorn St | A | W 83–48 | −1.0 | W+34.0 | 144.0 | U131 | 111.6 | 64.5 | 74.4 |
| Mar 3 | Jackson St | A | L 78–81 | −1.0 | L−4.0 | 153.0 | O159 | 112.5 | 116.8 | 69.3 |
| Feb 28 | Miss Valley St | H | L 69–70 | −14.0 | L−15.0 | 147.5 | U139 | 99.0 | 100.4 | 69.7 |
| Feb 21 | Prairie View | H | W 84–82 | −3.5 | L−1.5 | 158.0 | O166 | 123.7 | 120.8 | 67.9 |
| Feb 19 | Texas Southern | H | L 64–83 | −1.0 | L−20.0 | 152.5 | U147 | 93.7 | 121.5 | 68.3 |
| Feb 16 | Alabama A&M | A | L 70–82 | +3.5 | L−8.5 | 144.0 | O152 | 110.4 | 129.3 | 63.4 |
| Feb 14 | Alabama St | A | L 61–79 | +3.5 | L−14.5 | 150.0 | U140 | 84.2 | 109.1 | 72.4 |
| Feb 9 | Jackson St | H | W 84–63 | −6.5 | W+14.5 | 156.5 | U147 | 128.1 | 96.1 | 65.5 |
| Feb 7 | Alcorn St | H | W 84–77 | −7.0 | P0.0 | 145.5 | O161 | 126.7 | 116.2 | 66.3 |
#12Arkansas
Against the spread
Season
23-14
Home
13-5
Road
6-4
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −0.7
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 3 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
21-15-1
Home
11-6-1
Road
4-6
Last 10
8-2
avg vs total +14.2
Over 3 straightOver in 5 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 4 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26 | #1Arizona | N | L 88–109 | +8.0 | L−13.0 | 165.5 | O197 | 110.1 | 136.4 | 79.9 |
| Mar 21 | #12High Point | N | W 94–88 | −12.0 | L−6.0 | 170.5 | O182 | 121.5 | 113.8 | 77.4 |
| Mar 19 | #13Hawai'i | N | W 97–78 | −15.0 | W+4.0 | 158.0 | O175 | 126.5 | 101.8 | 76.7 |
| Mar 15 | #22Vanderbilt | N | W 86–75 | +2.0 | W+13.0 | 164.5 | U161 | 122.6 | 107.0 | 70.1 |
| Mar 14 | Ole Miss | N | W 93–90 OT | −8.5 | L−5.5 | 158.5 | O183 | 119.7 | 115.8 | 77.7 |
| Mar 13 | Oklahoma | N | W 82–79 | −6.0 | L−3.0 | 167.0 | U161 | 117.2 | 112.9 | 70.0 |
| Mar 7 | Missouri | A | W 88–84 OT | +2.5 | W+6.5 | 161.5 | O172 | 115.1 | 109.9 | 76.4 |
| Mar 4 | Texas | H | W 105–85 | −7.0 | W+13.0 | 164.5 | O190 | 132.8 | 107.5 | 79.0 |
| Feb 28 | #7Florida | A | L 77–111 | +10.5 | L−23.5 | 170.0 | O188 | 95.3 | 137.4 | 80.8 |
| Feb 25 | Texas A&M | H | W 99–84 | −7.5 | W+7.5 | 170.0 | O183 | 128.1 | 108.7 | 77.3 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeAR-Pine Bluff#12Arkansas
Efficiency
101.9
117.6
111.3
102.1
71.6
72.9
Shooting
50.0%
56.4%
49.8%
56.0%
33.6%
38.2%
75.5%
75.1%
38.4%
35.9%
Ball control & glass
18.7%
12.2%
16.5%
15.6%
27.9%
32.0%
34.2%
30.9%
10.7%
6.7%
8.7%
6.4%
Style
37.2%
33.0%
42.7%
47.6%
13.1%
20.9%
56.3%
53.1%
20.7%
28.5%
Roster
3.47
3.22
6'5.9"
6'6.3"
2.7%
15.7%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputAR-Pine Bluff
Returning minutes: 2.7%Returning production: 1.8%
Lost
- Quion Williams 36.1 mpg, 17.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Trevon Payton 33.8 mpg, 10.0 ppg · transferred to Bradley
- Alex Mirhosseini 30.9 mpg, 11.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Milhan Charles 28.3 mpg, 9.9 ppg · transferred to FAU
- Jaquan Scott 27.6 mpg, 15.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Ramel Lloyd Jr. 13.2 mpg, 4.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Elijah Hernandez new to D1 · 37.0 mpg, 16.0 ppg last season
- Jalen Tatum from Jackson St · 8.8 mpg, 2.6 ppg last season
- David Giddens from Cleveland St · 6.8 mpg, 2.5 ppg last season
- CJ Smith from UTEP · 2.6 mpg, 0.5 ppg last season
- Cedric Dixon no D1 minutes last season
- Dominic Capriotti no D1 minutes last season
Returns 3% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
#12Arkansas
Returning minutes: 15.7%Returning production: 15.1%
Lost
- Darius Acuff Jr. 34.3 mpg, 22.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Trevon Brazile 30.6 mpg, 12.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Meleek Thomas 30.5 mpg, 15.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- DJ Wagner 22.3 mpg, 7.0 ppg · transferred to Maryland
- Malique Ewin 21.0 mpg, 9.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Nick Pringle 17.9 mpg, 4.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Jeremiah Wilkinson from Georgia · 24.1 mpg, 16.4 ppg last season
- Cooper Bowser from Furman · 21.1 mpg, 9.8 ppg last season
- Caleb Ourigou no D1 minutes last season
- Davion Thompson no D1 minutes last season
- Miikka Muurinen no D1 minutes last season
- Paulo Semedo no D1 minutes last season
Returns 16% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -40.5→-42.5-105 | 163.5→167.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| FanDuel | -37.5→-41.5-118 | 164.5→166.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| BetMGM | -39.5→-42.5-110 | 163.5→167.5o-105 u-115 | — | — |
| BetRivers | -39.5→-41.5-120 | 165.5→166.5o-113 u-110 | — | — |
| Caesars | -38.5→-42-110 | 163.5→167.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Fanatics | -40→-42.5+100 | 163.5→167.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| BetOnline | -38→-41.5-115 | 164→167.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Bovada | -38.5→-42-110 | 163.5→167.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| theScore Bet | -38.5→-41.5-115 | 162.5→166.5o-115 u-105 | — | — |
| Hard Rock | -39.5→-41.5-115 | 165.5→166.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Kalshi | — | 165.5o-127 u+117 | — | — |
| Polymarket | — | — | — | — |
| Novig | -42.5+100 | 163.5→— | — | — |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
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The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.