Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs Duquesne Dukes basketball final score
Tue, Nov 3 · 7:00 PM ET · UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse, Pittsburgh, PA
Non-conferenceESPN+UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse, Pittsburgh, PA
Purdue FW
2025-26: 17-15 · 11-10 conf
Efficiency #254
@
Duquesne
2025-26: 18-15 · 10-10 conf
Efficiency #137
Final
7178
Final score
Projected 70.4 – 82.1
PFW win 16%DUQ win 84%
MarketClose
Spread
DUQ −9.5
open DUQ −11.0
Total
152.5
open 152.5
Our line
DUQ −11.6
as of Tue, Nov 3 · 6:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Duquesnerated 4.1 above average
+4.1
Purdue FWrated 4.0 below average
+4.0
Home court
+3.5
Our line
DUQ −11.6
◂ Purdue FW sideDuquesne side ▸
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Duquesne. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 71.5, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Duquesne is the faster team (69.3, #127 of 365) and Purdue FW the slower (69.0, #145). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
71.5
per team, 40 min
Market total
152.5
Market close · open 152.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.6#177
Purdue FW
71.3#111
Duquesne
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
DUQ −11.6
Four factors 2.9Not in these stats 8.7
From the four factors
Duquesne has the ball+3.9
Purdue FW has the ball+1.0
Duquesne has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 52.3% #131 · PFW allows 56.1% #345+3.9
✓Wins second chancesOR% 30.4% #184 · PFW allows 34.5% #327+0.5
✗Coughs it upTO% 17.6% #245 · PFW forces 19.1% #45 · ~13 turnovers−0.3
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 38.3% #94 · PFW allows 28.5% #36 · FT 71.5% #220−0.2
Purdue FW has the ball
✗Few second chancesOR% 22.9% #351 · DUQ allows 29.6% #142−2.8
✓Shoots it welleFG% 52.6% #125 · DUQ allows 52.5% #241+2.2
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 14.5% #44 · DUQ forces 18.3% #84 · ~12 turnovers+1.7
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 30.6% #292 · DUQ allows 39.9% #300 · FT 70.7% #2470.0
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersPurdue FWoffense vsDuquesnedefense
Share of shots by zone
Purdue FW shoots
41.7
3.2
10.2
44.9
Duquesne allows
38.6
5.7
15.0
40.8
D-I average
38.1
7.3
13.6
41.0
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.5%#176 | 56.2%#90 | 58.8% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.0%#171 | 45.7%#319 | 37.0% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.5%#251 | 39.4%#216 | 36.1% |
| Three | 34.2%#163 | 36.2%#314 | 32.7% |
Duquesneoffense vsPurdue FWdefense
Share of shots by zone
Duquesne shoots
42.0
5.0
8.9
44.1
Purdue FW allows
39.8
4.2
12.3
43.7
D-I average
38.1
7.3
13.6
41.0
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.1%#158 | 62.7%#317 | 58.8% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 36.5%#258 | 30.3%#17 | 37.0% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.7%#161 | 35.8%#100 | 36.1% |
| Three | 33.1%#223 | 37.9%#355 | 32.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersPurdue FW
+0.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#177 of 365
Off reb %
22.9%
#351
Def reb %
65.5%
#327
Turnover %
14.5%
#44
Forced TO %
19.1%
#45
FT rate
30.6%
#292
FT allowed
28.5%
#36
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.4
Defensive rebounding−1.3
Ball security+1.5
Forcing turnovers+1.6
Foul shots drawn−1.1
Foul shots allowed+1.7
Duquesne
+0.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#161 of 365
Off reb %
30.4%
#184
Def reb %
70.4%
#142
Turnover %
17.6%
#245
Forced TO %
18.3%
#84
FT rate
38.3%
#94
FT allowed
39.9%
#300
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding0.0
Defensive rebounding+0.3
Ball security−0.6
Forcing turnovers+1.1
Foul shots drawn+0.9
Foul shots allowed−1.2
Duquesne has more extra scoring chances per game: +0.5 (#161 of 365) to Purdue FW’s +0.1 (#177).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Purdue FW2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | G | Jr | 6'3" | 2-2 | 25.5 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 39.5% | 27.3% | 5.5 | 50.0% | 23.0% | |
| 9 | G | Sr | 6'0" | 2-2 | 23.5 | 11.0 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 58.8% | 28.6% | 3.5 | 100.0% | 24.0% | |
| 1 | F | Sr | 6'6" | 2-2 | 21.0 | 14.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 76.5% | — | 0.0 | 75.0% | 28.2% | |
| 20 | F | Jr | 6'9" | 2-2 | 20.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 75.0% | 100.0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 10.8% | |
| 4 | G | Sr | 6'2" | 2-0 | 19.5 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 56.3% | 42.9% | 3.5 | 100.0% | 23.1% | |
| 5 | G | So | 6'0" | 2-2 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 35.7% | 33.3% | 3.0 | 100.0% | 25.0% | |
| 2 | G | Jr | 6'5" | 2-0 | 15.0 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 91.7% | 75.0% | 2.0 | — | 10.4% | |
| 7 | G | Jr | 6'6" | 2-0 | 15.0 | 12.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 68.8% | 50.0% | 4.0 | 66.7% | 35.7% | |
| 24 | G | So | 6'5" | 2-0 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 90.9% | 75.0% | 4.0 | 50.0% | 31.1% | |
| 3 | G | Fr | 6'5" | 1-0 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 30.0% | 50.0% | 2.0 | 100.0% | 19.8% | |
| 11 | G | Fr | 6'1" | 1-0 | 17.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 3.0 | — | 32.1% | |
| 31 | F | Fr | 6'9" | 2-0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 12.5% | |
| 34 | F | Fr | 6'11" | 1-0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 22.3% | |
| 13 | G | Fr | 6'1" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 33.1% | |
| 23 | G | Fr | 6'2" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% |
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gamePurdue FW
Against the spread
Season
13-16
Home
5-7
Road
8-9
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −4.5
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 1 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-13
Home
7-5
Road
9-8
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total −0.9
Under in the last gameOver in 5 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 1 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3 | Green Bay | A | L 56–64 | +4.5 | L−3.5 | 145.0 | U120 | 96.7 | 110.6 | 57.9 |
| Feb 28 | IU Indy | A | W 87–81 | −1.0 | W+5.0 | 160.5 | O168 | 125.0 | 116.4 | 69.6 |
| Feb 25 | Wright St | H | L 70–74 | +1.0 | L−3.0 | 152.0 | U144 | 98.7 | 104.3 | 70.9 |
| Feb 22 | Cleveland St | A | W 92–86 | −3.0 | W+3.0 | 163.0 | O178 | 120.7 | 112.8 | 76.2 |
| Feb 18 | N Kentucky | A | L 71–87 | +6.0 | L−10.0 | 154.0 | O158 | 99.7 | 122.1 | 71.2 |
| Feb 15 | IU Indy | H | W 83–78 | −6.5 | L−1.5 | 158.5 | O161 | 110.7 | 104.1 | 75.0 |
| Feb 12 | Green Bay | A | L 59–76 | +1.5 | L−15.5 | 144.5 | U135 | 100.1 | 129.0 | 58.9 |
| Feb 7 | Wright St | A | L 68–73 | +7.0 | W+2.0 | 150.0 | U141 | 109.2 | 117.2 | 62.3 |
| Feb 4 | Youngstown St | H | L 61–90 | −2.5 | L−31.5 | 147.0 | O151 | 96.0 | 141.6 | 63.5 |
| Jan 31 | Robert Morris | H | W 83–71 | −2.5 | W+9.5 | 144.5 | O154 | 118.8 | 101.6 | 69.9 |
Duquesne
Against the spread
Season
14-17
Home
5-11
Road
7-5
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −2.7
Covered 2 straightCovered 1 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 6 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-14-1
Home
10-6
Road
5-6-1
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −7.1
Under 2 straightOver in 1 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13 | VCU | N | L 66–71 | +7.0 | W+2.0 | 153.0 | U137 | 101.9 | 109.6 | 64.8 |
| Mar 12 | Rhode Island | N | W 67–61 | −1.5 | W+4.5 | 138.5 | U128 | 112.4 | 102.3 | 59.6 |
| Mar 7 | Richmond | H | W 79–77 | −4.5 | L−2.5 | 148.0 | O156 | 119.9 | 116.8 | 65.9 |
| Mar 4 | Rhode Island | A | L 52–64 | +2.5 | L−9.5 | 143.0 | U116 | 79.7 | 98.1 | 65.3 |
| Feb 28 | #23Saint Louis | A | L 76–91 | +13.5 | L−1.5 | 160.0 | O167 | 115.7 | 138.6 | 65.7 |
| Feb 25 | Davidson | H | L 56–67 | −3.5 | L−14.5 | 143.0 | U123 | 85.4 | 102.2 | 65.6 |
| Feb 21 | Dayton | A | L 66–78 | +6.5 | L−5.5 | 148.5 | U144 | 102.6 | 121.3 | 64.3 |
| Feb 18 | La Salle | H | W 62–61 | −11.0 | L−10.0 | 146.0 | U123 | 89.5 | 88.1 | 69.2 |
| Feb 14 | St Bonaventure | A | W 78–73 | +2.0 | W+7.0 | 152.5 | U151 | 113.0 | 105.8 | 69.0 |
| Feb 7 | G Washington | H | W 88–86 | +1.0 | W+3.0 | 157.5 | O174 | 129.2 | 126.2 | 68.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homePurdue FWDuquesne
Efficiency
103.6
106.9
108.5
104.7
70.6
71.3
Shooting
52.6%
52.3%
53.7%
54.5%
34.2%
33.1%
70.7%
71.5%
30.6%
38.3%
Ball control & glass
14.5%
17.6%
19.1%
18.3%
22.9%
30.4%
34.5%
29.6%
7.3%
9.8%
8.3%
12.5%
Style
45.3%
44.4%
43.2%
42.9%
15.9%
15.7%
49.8%
55.9%
30.8%
31.8%
Roster
3.50
3.59
6'2.4"
6'4.4"
28.2%
28.8%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputPurdue FW
Returning minutes: 28.2%Returning production: 25.4%
Lost
- Corey Hadnot II 33.2 mpg, 20.4 ppg · transferred to Houston
- Mikale Stevenson 29.8 mpg, 13.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Maximus Nelson 27.5 mpg, 7.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Darius Duffy 21.6 mpg, 5.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Deangelo Elisee 13.8 mpg, 3.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Yuval Levin 9.6 mpg, 3.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Anthony Isaac Jr. from Manhattan · 23.8 mpg, 9.5 ppg last season
- Ashton Williamson from FIU · 18.4 mpg, 6.3 ppg last season
- Quentin Morgan no D1 minutes last season
- Luke Balanis no D1 minutes last season
- Adam Walker no D1 minutes last season
- Edir Ortiz no D1 minutes last season
Returns 28% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Duquesne
Returning minutes: 28.8%Returning production: 26.0%
Lost
- Jimmie Williams 29.7 mpg, 15.1 ppg · transferred to Ohio State
- Jakub Necas 23.7 mpg, 6.7 ppg · transferred to South Carolina
- David Dixon 22.4 mpg, 8.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Cam Crawford 18.0 mpg, 4.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Alex Williams 16.8 mpg, 8.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- John Hugley IV 13.1 mpg, 6.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Yoav Berman from Queens · 29.2 mpg, 12.3 ppg last season
- Josh Smith from West Georgia · 26.3 mpg, 15.7 ppg last season
- Kerem Konan from Creighton · 7.4 mpg, 2.3 ppg last season
- Ege Demir from Oregon · 5.3 mpg, 1.3 ppg last season
- Izaiah Pasha from Virginia Tech · 4.6 mpg, 1.1 ppg last season
- Stephen Olowoniyi from Oregon St · 1.1 mpg, 0.3 ppg last season
Returns 29% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -10.5→-9.5-115 | 152.5→153.5o-108 u-112 | -500 | +380 |
| FanDuel | -8.5→-9.5-115 | 152.5→153.5o-115 u-105 | -530 | +390 |
| BetMGM | -9.5-115 | 152.5→153.5o-110 u-110 | -500 | +375 |
| BetRivers | -9.5-117 | 152.5→153.5o-109 u-113 | -530 | +370 |
| Caesars | -10→-9.5-110 | 152.5→153.5o-110 u-110 | -480 | +360 |
| Fanatics | -10→-9.5-110 | 153→153.5o-110 u-110 | -525 | +390 |
| BetOnline | -11→-9.5-113 | 151.5→153.5o-115 u-105 | -520 | +396 |
| Bovada | -10→-9.5-110 | 153→152.5o-120 u+100 | -550 | +390 |
| theScore Bet | -10.5→-9.5-115 | 152.5→153.5o-110 u-110 | -550 | +380 |
| Hard Rock | -9.5-110 | 153.5o-105 u-110 | -525 | +375 |
| Kalshi | -8.5-117 | 152.5→154.5o+108 u-113 | -426 | +400 |
| Polymarket | — | — | -426 | +400 |
| Novig | -8.5→-9.5+100 | 152.5→153.5o-106 u+104 | -426 | +388 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Tue, Nov 3
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- Manhattan at Kentucky · 7:00 PM ET
- Stetson at South Carolina · 7:00 PM ET
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- S Dakota St at Kansas St · 8:00 PM ET
- Lipscomb at Iowa · 8:00 PM ET
- Alabama St at Texas A&M · 8:00 PM ET
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The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.