CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceMizzou Arena, Columbia, MO
Cleveland St
Efficiency #330
2025-26: 11-22 · 7-15 conf
@
Missouri
Efficiency #67
2025-26: 20-13 · 10-9 conf
Tue, Nov 3 · TBD
71.7
win 8%
Projected
87.8
win 92%
No line posted yet.
Model: MIZ −16.2 · total 159.5 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Missouri 67.7, Cleveland St 69.9 → 69.2 possessions
+2.0
Missouri offense vs Cleveland St defense
+10.7
Cleveland St offense vs Missouri defense
−1.5
Projected total
159.5
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Missouri offense vs Cleveland St defense
+10.7
Cleveland St offense vs Missouri defense
+1.5
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Missouri by 16.2
16.2
Cleveland St side ◂▸ Missouri side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 159.4 against a projected 159.5. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Missouri.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.2, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Cleveland St is the faster team (71.4, #39 of 365) and Missouri the slower (68.3, #182). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.2
per team, 40 min
Projected total
159.5
model
Projected team totals
71.7 / 87.8
Cleveland St / Missouri
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.9#59
Cleveland St
67.7#235
Missouri
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageMissouri
Where Missouri scores: shooting
Missouri shoots an effective 55.0% (#36); Cleveland St allows 57.2% (#360). Expect about 56.5%, 5.2 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +7.4 points per 100 possessions.
GlassMissouri
Missouri owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 36.6% is worth roughly +3.8 points per 100 possessions for Missouri's offense.
ClashCleveland St
Style match: 3-point volume
Cleveland St takes 50.8% of its shots from three; Missouri lets opponents take 43.0% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 50.8% — both habits push the same way.
AdvantageCleveland St
Where Cleveland St scores: shooting
Cleveland St shoots an effective 54.2% (#62); Missouri allows 51.5% (#183). Expect about 53.1%, 1.8 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.5 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Cleveland St, Missouri's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Cleveland St at about 50.8% of its shots from three, Missouri about 39.9%.
ClashCleveland St
Style match: paint scoring
Cleveland St gets only 33.3% of its points in the paint; Missouri protects the paint (35.8% of opponents' points) (D1 average 42.8%). Expect about 38.1% — both habits push the same way.
Cleveland St has the ball
OffenseMissouri allowsvs D1 avg
54.2% #62
51.5% #183
+2.5 pt/100
17.8% #262
16.5% #186
-0.5 pt/100
27.0% #294
31.7% #238
-1.1 pt/100
37.9% #105
35.5% #193
+0.2 pt/100
76.2% #48
—
+0.3 pt/100
Cleveland St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.5 pts/100
Missouri has the ball
OffenseCleveland St allowsvs D1 avg
55.0% #36
57.2% #360
+7.4 pt/100
17.8% #261
15.1% #278
+0.6 pt/100
34.9% #48
36.6% #356
+3.8 pt/100
42.1% #28
35.5% #196
+0.5 pt/100
69.1% #298
—
-0.3 pt/100
Missouri net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +11.9 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersCleveland Stoffense vsMissouridefense
Share of shots by zone
Cleveland St shoots
33.2
4.9
11.2
50.7
Missouri allows
32.8
7.0
17.0
43.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.0%#160 | 55.4%#72 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 35.6%#275 | 39.5%#172 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 34.1%#310 | 36.2%#116 | 38.0% |
| Three | 37.5%#21 | 36.8%#341 | 33.7% |
Missourioffense vsCleveland Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Missouri shoots
43.9
7.6
12.5
35.9
Cleveland St allows
38.0
6.0
12.0
44.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 65.0%#21 | 67.1%#361 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 36.8%#247 | 43.0%#252 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 34.5%#301 | 42.0%#305 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.0%#112 | 36.2%#309 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersCleveland St
−4.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#331 of 365
Off reb %
27.0%
#294
Def reb %
63.4%
#356
Turnover %
17.8%
#262
Forced TO %
15.1%
#278
FT rate
37.9%
#105
FT allowed
35.5%
#196
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.1
Defensive rebounding−1.9
Ball security−0.7
Forcing turnovers−1.1
Foul shots drawn+0.7
Foul shots allowed−0.1
Missouri
+2.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#97 of 365
Off reb %
34.9%
#48
Def reb %
68.3%
#238
Turnover %
17.8%
#261
Forced TO %
16.5%
#186
FT rate
42.1%
#28
FT allowed
35.5%
#193
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.5
Defensive rebounding−0.3
Ball security−0.7
Forcing turnovers−0.2
Foul shots drawn+1.8
Foul shots allowed−0.1
Missouri has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.0 (#97 of 365) to Cleveland St’s −4.2 (#331).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Cleveland St2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tre Beard | G | Sr | 5'10" | 30-30 | 30.9 | 12.6 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 58.6% | 41.9% | 6.8 | 85.7% | 20.5% | |
| 2 | Jaidon Lipscomb | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-32 | 27.4 | 12.9 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 61.2% | 41.7% | 7.0 | 85.5% | 24.5% | |
| 1 | Chevalier Emery | G | Jr | 6'0" | 33-1 | 21.8 | 12.7 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 54.9% | 38.2% | 4.0 | 78.0% | 32.3% | |
| 7 | Dayan Nessah | F | So | 6'7" | 26-26 | 27.4 | 15.5 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 57.0% | 33.3% | 0.9 | 75.0% | 30.9% | |
| 0 | Foster Wonders | G | Sr | 6'5" | 31-9 | 22.1 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 53.0% | 34.4% | 3.9 | 72.7% | 13.7% | |
| 22 | Josiah Harris | F | Jr | 6'7" | 22-14 | 26.6 | 9.0 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 49.4% | 33.0% | 4.1 | 81.3% | 20.4% | |
| 24 | Kamari Jones | G | So | 6'4" | 23-4 | 10.9 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 47.1% | 31.7% | 2.6 | 78.3% | 23.6% | |
| 5 | David Giddens | G | Jr | 6'7" | 22-3 | 10.1 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 51.4% | 29.6% | 2.5 | 70.0% | 22.3% | |
| 23 | Manny Hill | G | Sr | 6'0" | 19-0 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 47.4% | 33.3% | 0.3 | 69.2% | 23.6% | |
| 15 | Ivan Spirov | F | Jr | 6'8" | 17-0 | 7.6 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 54.4% | 33.3% | 0.5 | — | 18.7% | |
| 13 | Lucas Burton | F | Sr | 6'8" | 13-1 | 7.3 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 61.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 66.7% | 19.3% | |
| 50 | Kevo St. Hilaire | F | Fr | 6'10" | 15-0 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 58.3% | — | 0.0 | 40.0% | 14.4% | |
| 11 | Waqo Tessema | G | Jr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Missouri2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jordan Crawfordat South Dakota | G | Sr | 6'2" | 32-32 | 31.2 | 14.4 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 51.7% | 36.8% | 6.5 | 74.5% | 26.1% | |
| 0 | Cord Stansberryat W Carolina | G | Sr | 6'4" | 30-29 | 30.0 | 14.1 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 43.6% | 29.6% | 6.3 | 80.3% | 30.2% | |
| 4 | Kennard Davis Jr.at BYU | G | Sr | 6'6" | 32-32 | 29.5 | 8.5 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 50.6% | 32.1% | 5.2 | 75.0% | 16.8% | |
| 15 | Bryson Tillerat Kansas | F | So | 6'11" | 35-31 | 25.9 | 7.9 | 6.1 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 48.0% | 26.9% | 1.5 | 69.4% | 21.3% | |
| 1 | Jamier Jonesat Providence | G | So | 6'6" | 31-19 | 25.7 | 11.9 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 59.5% | 38.7% | 1.0 | 66.4% | 24.7% | |
| 23 | Jaylen Careyat Tennessee | F | Sr | 6'8" | 37-8 | 18.4 | 7.4 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 48.7% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 49.1% | 27.3% | |
| 11 | Trent Pierce | G | Sr | 6'10" | 20-12 | 28.4 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 59.7% | 38.4% | 5.0 | 75.0% | 19.3% | |
| 45 | Luke Northweather | F | Sr | 6'11" | 20-2 | 12.3 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 61.1% | 41.9% | 1.6 | 57.1% | 12.6% | |
| 7 | Trent Burns | C | Jr | 7'5" | 21-0 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 45.6% | 7.7% | 0.6 | 50.0% | 19.0% | |
| 6 | Annor Boateng | G | Jr | 6'6" | 15-4 | 11.5 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 37.5% | 25.0% | 1.3 | 50.0% | 23.2% | |
| 24 | Nicholas Randall | F | So | 6'9" | 22-0 | 5.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 27.8% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 50.0% | 15.5% | |
| 2 | Aaron Rowe | G | So | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Aidan Chronister | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Jason Crowe Jr. | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Toni Bryant | F | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Jaylen Carey (from Tennessee), Jordan Crawford (from South Dakota), Kennard Davis Jr. (from BYU), Jamier Jones (from Providence), Cord Stansberry (from W Carolina), Bryson Tiller (from Kansas)
Cleveland St2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tre Beard | G | Sr | 5'10" | 30-30 | 30.9 | 12.6 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 58.6% | 41.9% | 6.8 | 85.7% | 20.5% | |
| 2 | Jaidon Lipscomb | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-32 | 27.4 | 12.9 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 61.2% | 41.7% | 7.0 | 85.5% | 24.5% | |
| 1 | Chevalier Emery | G | Jr | 6'0" | 33-1 | 21.8 | 12.7 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 54.9% | 38.2% | 4.0 | 78.0% | 32.3% | |
| 7 | Dayan Nessah | F | So | 6'7" | 26-26 | 27.4 | 15.5 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 57.0% | 33.3% | 0.9 | 75.0% | 30.9% | |
| 0 | Foster Wonders | G | Sr | 6'5" | 31-9 | 22.1 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 53.0% | 34.4% | 3.9 | 72.7% | 13.7% | |
| 22 | Josiah Harris | F | Jr | 6'7" | 22-14 | 26.6 | 9.0 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 49.4% | 33.0% | 4.1 | 81.3% | 20.4% | |
| 24 | Kamari Jones | G | So | 6'4" | 23-4 | 10.9 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 47.1% | 31.7% | 2.6 | 78.3% | 23.6% | |
| 5 | David Giddens | G | Jr | 6'7" | 22-3 | 10.1 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 51.4% | 29.6% | 2.5 | 70.0% | 22.3% | |
| 23 | Manny Hill | G | Sr | 6'0" | 19-0 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 47.4% | 33.3% | 0.3 | 69.2% | 23.6% | |
| 15 | Ivan Spirov | F | Jr | 6'8" | 17-0 | 7.6 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 54.4% | 33.3% | 0.5 | — | 18.7% | |
| 13 | Lucas Burton | F | Sr | 6'8" | 13-1 | 7.3 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 61.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 66.7% | 19.3% | |
| 50 | Kevo St. Hilaire | F | Fr | 6'10" | 15-0 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 58.3% | — | 0.0 | 40.0% | 14.4% | |
| 11 | Waqo Tessema | G | Jr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Cleveland St
Against the spread
Season
12-18
Home
4-8
Road
6-10
Last 10
2-8
avg cover −3.5
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 1 of 9 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
19-11
Home
7-5
Road
10-6
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total +5.5
Under in the last gameOver in 3 of 9 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4 | Wright St | A | L 61–90 | +14.5 | L−14.5 | 161.5 | U151 | 88.1 | 130.0 | 69.2 |
| Mar 2 | IU Indy | H | W 101–93 | −1.0 | W+7.0 | 169.5 | O194 | 121.7 | 112.1 | 83.0 |
| Feb 28 | Robert Morris | A | L 64–83 | +12.5 | L−6.5 | 157.5 | U147 | 100.1 | 129.8 | 63.9 |
| Feb 25 | N Kentucky | H | L 70–81 | +8.0 | L−3.0 | 165.5 | U151 | 97.0 | 112.2 | 72.2 |
| Feb 22 | Purdue FW | H | L 86–92 | +3.0 | L−3.0 | 163.0 | O178 | 112.8 | 120.7 | 76.2 |
| Feb 18 | Youngstown St | A | L 82–106 | +11.0 | L−13.0 | 156.5 | O188 | 116.8 | 151.0 | 70.2 |
| Feb 15 | Wright St | H | L 90–102 | +7.5 | L−4.5 | 158.5 | O192 | 121.2 | 137.4 | 74.2 |
| Feb 12 | Robert Morris | H | L 68–85 | +4.0 | L−13.0 | 154.0 | U153 | 108.3 | 135.3 | 62.8 |
| Feb 7 | IU Indy | A | L 74–82 | +2.5 | L−5.5 | 168.5 | U156 | 98.7 | 109.3 | 75.0 |
| Feb 4 | Oakland | H | W 91–78 | +8.0 | W+21.0 | 169.5 | U169 | 127.7 | 109.5 | 71.3 |
Missouri
Against the spread
Season
14-19
Home
8-10
Road
6-5
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −1.2
Missed the spread 4 straightCovered 4 of 7 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
17-15-1
Home
11-7
Road
4-6-1
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +3.7
Over 3 straightOver in 5 of 7 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20 | #7Miami | N | L 66–80 | +1.0 | L−13.0 | 145.5 | O146 | 98.3 | 119.1 | 67.2 |
| Mar 12 | Kentucky | N | L 72–78 | +3.5 | L−2.5 | 149.5 | O150 | 104.5 | 113.2 | 68.9 |
| Mar 7 | #20Arkansas | H | L 84–88 OT | −2.5 | L−6.5 | 161.5 | O172 | 109.9 | 115.1 | 76.4 |
| Mar 3 | Oklahoma | A | L 64–80 | +1.0 | L−15.0 | 154.0 | U144 | 100.7 | 125.9 | 63.5 |
| Feb 28 | Mississippi St | A | W 88–64 | −1.0 | W+23.0 | 154.5 | U152 | 127.9 | 93.0 | 68.8 |
| Feb 24 | #22Tennessee | H | W 73–69 | +4.0 | W+8.0 | 144.0 | U142 | 111.4 | 105.3 | 65.6 |
| Feb 21 | #20Arkansas | A | L 86–94 | +9.5 | W+1.5 | 159.5 | O180 | 125.7 | 137.4 | 68.4 |
| Feb 18 | #19Vanderbilt | H | W 81–80 | +3.0 | W+4.0 | 155.0 | O161 | 115.9 | 114.5 | 69.9 |
| Feb 14 | Texas | H | L 68–85 | −2.0 | L−19.0 | 150.5 | O153 | 105.4 | 131.8 | 64.5 |
| Feb 11 | Texas A&M | A | W 86–85 | +6.5 | W+7.5 | 160.0 | O171 | 131.0 | 129.5 | 65.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeCleveland StMissouri
Efficiency
108.3
114.0
118.5
106.5
69.9
67.7
—
—
Shooting
54.2%
55.0%
52.0%
56.4%
37.5%
35.0%
76.2%
69.1%
37.9%
42.1%
Ball control & glass
17.8%
17.8%
15.1%
16.5%
27.0%
34.9%
36.6%
31.7%
9.5%
9.6%
14.4%
9.7%
Style
50.8%
36.4%
33.3%
48.3%
17.7%
14.1%
57.9%
51.2%
36.1%
32.1%
Roster
3.30
3.39
6'3.7"
6'6.9"
82.4%
19.4%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputCleveland St
Returning minutes: 82.4%Returning production: 86.3%
Lost
- Preist Ryan 20.9 mpg, 6.8 ppg · transferred to Canisius
- Holden Pierre-Louis 14.2 mpg, 3.0 ppg · transferred to Quinnipiac
Added
- Waqo Tessema no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 82% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Missouri
Returning minutes: 19.4%Returning production: 13.8%
Lost
- Mark Mitchell Jr. 33.8 mpg, 18.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Anthony Robinson II 27.0 mpg, 8.9 ppg · transferred to Florida St
- Jayden Stone 23.6 mpg, 10.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- T.O. Barrett 22.8 mpg, 8.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jacob Crews 20.7 mpg, 8.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Shawn Phillips Jr. 19.3 mpg, 7.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Jordan Crawford from South Dakota · 31.2 mpg, 14.4 ppg last season
- Cord Stansberry from W Carolina · 29.1 mpg, 13.7 ppg last season
- Kennard Davis Jr. from BYU · 27.0 mpg, 7.7 ppg last season
- Bryson Tiller from Kansas · 25.9 mpg, 7.9 ppg last season
- Jamier Jones from Providence · 24.2 mpg, 11.2 ppg last season
- Jaylen Carey from Tennessee · 18.4 mpg, 7.4 ppg last season
Returns 19% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Fri, Nov 28 | 2025-26 | Cleveland St 59 – 86 Missouri |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.