CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceUniversity Credit Union Pavilion, Moraga, CA
Portland St
Efficiency #145
2025-26: 20-11 · 14-6 conf
@
Saint Mary's
Efficiency #23
2025-26: 27-6 · 16-3 conf
Mon, Nov 16 · TBD
63.6
win 14%
Projected
76.0
win 86%
No line posted yet.
Model: SMC −12.4 · total 139.6 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Saint Mary's 66.7, Portland St 68.6 → 67.0 possessions
−2.8
Saint Mary's offense vs Portland St defense
+1.3
Portland St offense vs Saint Mary's defense
−7.2
Projected total
139.6
Axis starts at 135 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Saint Mary's offense vs Portland St defense
+1.3
Portland St offense vs Saint Mary's defense
+7.2
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
Saint Mary's by 12.4
12.4
Portland St side ◂▸ Saint Mary's side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 139.5 against a projected 139.6. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Saint Mary's.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 67.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Portland St is the faster team (69.0, #147 of 365) and Saint Mary's the slower (66.2, #288). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
67.0
per team, 40 min
Projected total
139.6
model
Projected team totals
63.6 / 76.0
Portland St / Saint Mary's
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.6#157
Portland St
66.7#305
Saint Mary's
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantagePortland St
Where Portland St struggles: shooting
Portland St shoots an effective 50.6% (#211); Saint Mary's allows 46.8% (#19). Expect about 48.6%, 2.7 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.8 points per 100 possessions.
GlassPortland St
Portland St gets out-rebounded
Projected offensive rebound rate of 27.0% is worth roughly -2.1 points per 100 possessions against Portland St's offense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Saint Mary's, Saint Mary's's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Portland St at about 33.9% of its shots from three, Saint Mary's about 37.1%.
AdvantageSaint Mary's
Where Saint Mary's scores: the offensive glass
Saint Mary's rebounds 37.5% of its own misses (#11); Portland St lets opponents grab 26.4% of their own misses (#23). Expect about 33.4%, 3.0 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.8 points per 100 possessions.
Portland St has the ball
OffenseSaint Mary's allowsvs D1 avg
50.6% #211
46.8% #19
-3.8 pt/100
16.9% #200
15.2% #270
+1.1 pt/100
30.0% #199
23.9% #4
-2.1 pt/100
37.1% #126
25.7% #12
-0.6 pt/100
71.0% #238
—
-0.1 pt/100
Portland St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -5.5 pts/100
Saint Mary's has the ball
OffensePortland St allowsvs D1 avg
52.8% #109
48.8% #56
-0.5 pt/100
16.8% #189
18.0% #95
-1.0 pt/100
37.5% #11
26.4% #23
+1.8 pt/100
35.5% #162
42.8% #337
+0.6 pt/100
80.3% #2
—
+0.7 pt/100
Saint Mary's net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.6 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersPortland Stoffense vsSaint Mary'sdefense
Share of shots by zone
Portland St shoots
46.3
7.6
12.4
33.7
Saint Mary's allows
36.6
7.7
18.7
37.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.0%#239 | 54.4%#47 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 36.5%#257 | 46.4%#324 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.7%#244 | 33.7%#43 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.6%#250 | 31.3%#40 | 33.7% |
Saint Mary'soffense vsPortland Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Saint Mary's shoots
37.5
7.8
17.6
37.0
Portland St allows
38.1
7.2
15.1
39.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.4%#215 | 55.3%#69 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 42.2%#117 | 39.4%#169 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.5%#253 | 36.2%#118 | 38.0% |
| Three | 38.7%#7 | 32.3%#77 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersPortland St
+0.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#153 of 365
Off reb %
30.0%
#199
Def reb %
73.6%
#23
Turnover %
16.9%
#200
Forced TO %
18.0%
#95
FT rate
37.1%
#126
FT allowed
42.8%
#337
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.1
Defensive rebounding+1.4
Ball security−0.1
Forcing turnovers+0.9
Foul shots drawn+0.5
Foul shots allowed−1.9
Saint Mary's
+6.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#13 of 365
Off reb %
37.5%
#11
Def reb %
76.1%
#4
Turnover %
16.8%
#189
Forced TO %
15.2%
#270
FT rate
35.5%
#162
FT allowed
25.7%
#12
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.3
Defensive rebounding+2.2
Ball security0.0
Forcing turnovers−1.0
Foul shots drawn+0.1
Foul shots allowed+2.4
Saint Mary's has more extra scoring chances per game: +6.0 (#13 of 365) to Portland St’s +0.6 (#153).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Portland St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Portland St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jaylin Henderson | G | Sr | 6'3" | 31-31 | 37.3 | 18.2 | 4.1 | 5.8 | 2.9 | 45.9% | 26.6% | 4.0 | 78.7% | 31.6% | |
| 23 | Terri Miller Jr. | F | Sr | 6'8" | 30-30 | 31.5 | 19.1 | 5.6 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 56.6% | 38.8% | 4.6 | 69.9% | 35.1% | |
| 4 | Tre-Vaughn Minott | C | Sr | 6'10" | 31-31 | 28.6 | 9.9 | 8.8 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 65.6% | — | 0.0 | 61.4% | 17.4% | |
| 0 | Keyon Kensie Jr. | G | Jr | 6'8" | 29-29 | 30.3 | 10.9 | 6.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 46.8% | 28.7% | 2.8 | 72.4% | 22.9% | |
| 1 | Kelcy Phipps | G | So | 6'2" | 31-4 | 17.6 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 59.5% | 43.1% | 1.9 | 47.7% | 16.0% | |
| 15 | Alex Dupre | G | Fr | 6'5" | 30-26 | 15.4 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 37.5% | 29.4% | 1.7 | 83.9% | 14.7% | |
| 21 | Isaiah Williams | G | Sr | 6'7" | 24-3 | 14.4 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 47.1% | 24.4% | 1.7 | 75.0% | 15.9% | |
| 6 | Sebastian Tidor | G | Jr | 6'5" | 27-0 | 12.8 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 49.1% | 34.2% | 2.9 | 70.0% | 20.8% | |
| 3 | Brycen Long | G | Sr | 6'2" | 27-0 | 10.4 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 52.6% | 37.3% | 1.9 | 83.3% | 17.8% | |
| 2 | Mozae Downing-Rivers | G | Sr | 6'6" | 19-0 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 100.0% | 15.3% | |
| 7 | Charles Chukwu | F | Jr | 6'9" | 21-0 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 83.3% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 13.0% | |
| 32 | Brayden Barron | F | Fr | 6'6" | 18-0 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 52.9% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 16.0% | |
| 10 | Colt Ness | G | Fr | 6'0" | 10-1 | 5.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 30.8% | 0.0% | 0.4 | — | 17.7% | |
| 12 | Samuel Stewart IV | G | Sr | 6'4" | 11-0 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 34.6% | 12.5% | 0.7 | — | 15.7% | |
| 13 | Kean Webb | F | So | 6'11" | 4-0 | 6.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 14.3% | 11.8% | |
| 9 | Isaac Brice | F | Sr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 35 | Matt Beatty | C | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Saint Mary's2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Joshua Dent | G | So | 6'3" | 33-33 | 36.2 | 13.2 | 2.5 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 56.7% | 40.4% | 4.6 | 91.8% | 21.7% | |
| 23 | Paulius Murauskas | F | Jr | 6'8" | 33-32 | 32.2 | 18.4 | 7.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 52.5% | 33.3% | 3.3 | 84.0% | 32.7% | |
| 11 | Dillan Shaw | G | Fr | 6'7" | 33-22 | 27.5 | 7.5 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 55.7% | 41.6% | 3.8 | 69.7% | 17.0% | |
| 0 | Mikey Lewis | G | So | 6'3" | 33-33 | 26.8 | 13.9 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 48.6% | 36.8% | 5.6 | 88.2% | 33.0% | |
| 45 | Andrew McKeever | C | So | 7'2" | 33-10 | 23.1 | 8.2 | 9.2 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 62.8% | 24.8% | |
| 33 | Liam Campbell | G | Fr | 6'4" | 33-0 | 14.7 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 63.7% | 52.0% | 1.5 | 80.0% | 16.9% | |
| 8 | Rory Hawke | G | Fr | 6'5" | 31-4 | 11.0 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 54.7% | 22.2% | 0.6 | 78.3% | 14.3% | |
| 6 | Mantas Juzenas | G | Fr | 6'6" | 26-1 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 66.2% | 48.4% | 1.2 | 55.6% | 19.5% | |
| 2 | Tony Duckett | G | So | 6'4" | 20-0 | 7.3 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 45.1% | 30.8% | 0.7 | 92.0% | 29.4% | |
| 24 | Kevin Gad | F | Jr | 6'6" | 7-7 | 10.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 45.5% | 33.3% | 0.9 | — | 10.0% | |
| 22 | Cade Bennett | G | Jr | 6'0" | 8-0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 60.0% | 40.0% | 0.6 | 50.0% | 12.9% | |
| 14 | Oliver Faubert | F | Fr | 6'8" | 11-0 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 33.3% | — | 0.0 | — | 11.5% | |
| 32 | Jazz Gardner | C | Jr | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 42 | Trent MacLean | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Portland St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Portland St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jaylin Henderson | G | Sr | 6'3" | 31-31 | 37.3 | 18.2 | 4.1 | 5.8 | 2.9 | 45.9% | 26.6% | 4.0 | 78.7% | 31.6% | |
| 23 | Terri Miller Jr. | F | Sr | 6'8" | 30-30 | 31.5 | 19.1 | 5.6 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 56.6% | 38.8% | 4.6 | 69.9% | 35.1% | |
| 4 | Tre-Vaughn Minott | C | Sr | 6'10" | 31-31 | 28.6 | 9.9 | 8.8 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 65.6% | — | 0.0 | 61.4% | 17.4% | |
| 0 | Keyon Kensie Jr. | G | Jr | 6'8" | 29-29 | 30.3 | 10.9 | 6.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 46.8% | 28.7% | 2.8 | 72.4% | 22.9% | |
| 1 | Kelcy Phipps | G | So | 6'2" | 31-4 | 17.6 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 59.5% | 43.1% | 1.9 | 47.7% | 16.0% | |
| 15 | Alex Dupre | G | Fr | 6'5" | 30-26 | 15.4 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 37.5% | 29.4% | 1.7 | 83.9% | 14.7% | |
| 21 | Isaiah Williams | G | Sr | 6'7" | 24-3 | 14.4 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 47.1% | 24.4% | 1.7 | 75.0% | 15.9% | |
| 6 | Sebastian Tidor | G | Jr | 6'5" | 27-0 | 12.8 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 49.1% | 34.2% | 2.9 | 70.0% | 20.8% | |
| 3 | Brycen Long | G | Sr | 6'2" | 27-0 | 10.4 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 52.6% | 37.3% | 1.9 | 83.3% | 17.8% | |
| 2 | Mozae Downing-Rivers | G | Sr | 6'6" | 19-0 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 100.0% | 15.3% | |
| 7 | Charles Chukwu | F | Jr | 6'9" | 21-0 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 83.3% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 13.0% | |
| 32 | Brayden Barron | F | Fr | 6'6" | 18-0 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 52.9% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 16.0% | |
| 10 | Colt Ness | G | Fr | 6'0" | 10-1 | 5.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 30.8% | 0.0% | 0.4 | — | 17.7% | |
| 12 | Samuel Stewart IV | G | Sr | 6'4" | 11-0 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 34.6% | 12.5% | 0.7 | — | 15.7% | |
| 13 | Kean Webb | F | So | 6'11" | 4-0 | 6.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 14.3% | 11.8% | |
| 9 | Isaac Brice | F | Sr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 35 | Matt Beatty | C | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Portland St
Against the spread
Season
19-9
Home
7-4
Road
11-4
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −2.8
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 8 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
12-16
Home
3-8
Road
7-8
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +1.1
Over 2 straightOver in 4 of 8 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10 | Montana | N | L 72–75 | −3.5 | L−6.5 | 145.0 | O147 | 97.8 | 101.9 | 73.6 |
| Mar 8 | Idaho St | N | W 85–78 | −5.5 | W+1.5 | 141.0 | O163 | 115.6 | 106.1 | 73.5 |
| Mar 2 | Weber St | H | W 84–60 | −5.0 | W+19.0 | 144.5 | U144 | 121.8 | 87.0 | 68.9 |
| Feb 28 | Montana | A | L 68–74 | −1.0 | L−7.0 | 140.0 | O142 | 95.0 | 103.4 | 71.5 |
| Feb 26 | Montana St | A | L 69–84 | +1.5 | L−13.5 | 140.5 | O153 | 98.0 | 119.3 | 70.4 |
| Feb 21 | E Washington | H | L 55–67 | −6.0 | L−18.0 | 146.5 | U122 | 83.0 | 101.1 | 66.3 |
| Feb 19 | Idaho | H | W 77–67 | −3.5 | W+6.5 | 145.0 | U144 | 112.3 | 97.7 | 68.6 |
| Feb 14 | N Colorado | A | L 65–77 | +3.5 | L−8.5 | 149.5 | U142 | 94.1 | 111.5 | 69.1 |
| Feb 12 | N Arizona | A | W 77–68 | −7.5 | W+1.5 | 135.5 | O145 | 121.8 | 107.6 | 63.2 |
| Feb 7 | Sacramento St | A | W 74–73 | −4.0 | L−3.0 | 150.5 | U147 | 108.3 | 106.9 | 68.3 |
Saint Mary's
Against the spread
Season
19-13
Home
12-4
Road
6-4
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +3.0
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 6 of 9 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
12-18-2
Home
7-7-2
Road
4-6
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −5.3
Under 4 straightOver in 3 of 9 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19 | #10Texas A&M | N | L 50–63 | −2.5 | L−15.5 | 148.5 | U113 | 84.5 | 106.4 | 59.2 |
| Mar 9 | Santa Clara | N | L 71–76 | −4.5 | L−9.5 | 150.0 | U147 | 114.8 | 122.9 | 61.8 |
| Feb 28 | #9Gonzaga | H | W 70–59 | +2.5 | W+13.5 | 143.0 | U129 | 109.4 | 92.2 | 64.0 |
| Feb 25 | Santa Clara | H | W 86–67 | −5.5 | W+13.5 | 154.0 | U153 | 131.5 | 102.4 | 65.4 |
| Feb 21 | Washington St | A | W 83–67 | −8.5 | W+7.5 | 148.5 | O150 | 131.9 | 106.5 | 62.9 |
| Feb 18 | Seattle U | A | W 72–70 | −9.5 | L−7.5 | 133.0 | O142 | 98.4 | 95.7 | 73.1 |
| Feb 14 | Pacific | A | W 72–61 | −7.0 | W+4.0 | 135.5 | U133 | 113.5 | 96.2 | 63.4 |
| Feb 11 | Pepperdine | H | W 88–60 | −24.5 | W+3.5 | 144.0 | O148 | 122.9 | 83.8 | 71.6 |
| Feb 7 | San Francisco | H | W 79–54 | −11.5 | W+13.5 | 143.0 | U133 | 123.1 | 84.1 | 64.2 |
| Feb 4 | San Diego | H | W 87–60 | −19.5 | W+7.5 | 149.0 | U147 | 136.3 | 94.0 | 63.8 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homePortland StSaint Mary's
Efficiency
105.4
114.9
104.1
100.8
68.6
66.7
—
—
Shooting
50.6%
52.8%
51.5%
49.8%
32.6%
38.7%
71.0%
80.3%
37.1%
35.5%
Ball control & glass
16.9%
16.8%
18.0%
15.2%
30.0%
37.5%
26.4%
23.9%
9.5%
8.4%
7.4%
8.8%
Style
34.4%
36.4%
48.2%
40.9%
12.5%
10.5%
51.2%
57.8%
28.6%
29.3%
Roster
3.32
1.88
6'6"
6'6.2"
—
91.9%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputPortland St
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Portland St's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Saint Mary's
Returning minutes: 91.9%Returning production: 91.8%
Lost
- Harry Wessels 16.2 mpg, 4.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Trent MacLean no D1 minutes last season
- Jazz Gardner no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 92% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.