CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceTudor Fieldhouse, Houston, TX
Sam Houston
Efficiency #101
2025-26: 22-12 · 14-8 conf
@
Rice
Efficiency #255
2025-26: 13-18 · 7-11 conf
Fri, Dec 4 · 8:00 PM ET
77.6
win 57%
Projected
75.7
win 43%
No line posted yet.
Model: SHSU −1.9 · total 153.3 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Rice 67.2, Sam Houston 70.1 → 68.9 possessions
+1.3
Rice offense vs Sam Houston defense
−1.1
Sam Houston offense vs Rice defense
+4.8
Projected total
153.3
Axis starts at 146 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Rice offense vs Sam Houston defense
−1.1
Sam Houston offense vs Rice defense
−4.8
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Sam Houston by 1.9
1.9
Sam Houston side ◂▸ Rice side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 153.2 against a projected 153.3. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Rice.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Sam Houston is the faster team (70.6, #69 of 365) and Rice the slower (66.7, #254). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.9
per team, 40 min
Projected total
153.3
model
Projected team totals
77.6 / 75.7
Sam Houston / Rice
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.1#42
Sam Houston
67.2#276
Rice
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageSam Houston
Where Sam Houston scores: the offensive glass
Sam Houston rebounds 35.9% of its own misses (#25); Rice lets opponents grab 34.6% of their own misses (#329). Expect about 36.3%, 5.9 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.6 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageRice
Where Rice struggles: shooting
Rice shoots an effective 48.5% (#303); Sam Houston allows 51.4% (#180). Expect about 49.8%, 1.5 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.2 points per 100 possessions.
GlassRice
Rice owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 33.7% is worth roughly +2.0 points per 100 possessions for Rice's offense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Sam Houston) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Sam Houston at about 34.0% of its shots from three, Rice about 44.7%.
ClashSam Houston
Style match: 3-point volume
Sam Houston rarely shoots threes (35.8% of its shots); Rice runs teams off the line (35.5% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 34.0% — both habits push the same way.
Sam Houston has the ball
OffenseRice allowsvs D1 avg
52.5% #128
51.0% #160
+0.8 pt/100
16.8% #181
15.7% #237
+0.9 pt/100
35.9% #25
34.6% #329
+3.6 pt/100
34.4% #199
40.4% #306
+0.4 pt/100
71.6% #216
—
-0.1 pt/100
Sam Houston net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +5.5 pts/100
Rice has the ball
OffenseSam Houston allowsvs D1 avg
48.5% #303
51.4% #180
-2.2 pt/100
17.9% #265
16.1% #219
-0.2 pt/100
35.3% #38
30.1% #168
+2.0 pt/100
33.9% #214
36.7% #230
+0.1 pt/100
68.1% #326
—
-0.4 pt/100
Rice net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -0.7 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersSam Houstonoffense vsRicedefense
Share of shots by zone
Sam Houston shoots
41.6
7.6
14.7
36.2
Rice allows
35.6
8.8
20.3
35.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.0%#297 | 62.5%#310 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 41.6%#129 | 33.3%#31 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.7%#158 | 36.2%#115 | 38.0% |
| Three | 37.2%#24 | 34.0%#184 | 33.7% |
Riceoffense vsSam Houstondefense
Share of shots by zone
Rice shoots
28.7
5.5
22.1
43.7
Sam Houston allows
37.8
5.9
14.9
41.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.4%#290 | 61.5%#285 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 36.7%#252 | 36.3%#97 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.5%#250 | 35.9%#105 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.3%#153 | 32.5%#89 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersSam Houston
+1.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#138 of 365
Off reb %
35.9%
#25
Def reb %
69.9%
#168
Turnover %
16.8%
#181
Forced TO %
16.1%
#219
FT rate
34.4%
#199
FT allowed
36.7%
#230
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.8
Defensive rebounding+0.2
Ball security0.0
Forcing turnovers−0.4
Foul shots drawn−0.2
Foul shots allowed−0.4
Rice
−2.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#292 of 365
Off reb %
35.3%
#38
Def reb %
65.4%
#329
Turnover %
17.9%
#265
Forced TO %
15.7%
#237
FT rate
33.9%
#214
FT allowed
40.4%
#306
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.6
Defensive rebounding−1.3
Ball security−0.8
Forcing turnovers−0.7
Foul shots drawn−0.3
Foul shots allowed−1.3
Sam Houston has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.0 (#138 of 365) to Rice’s −2.7 (#292).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Sam Houston2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Sam Houston's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Damon Nicholas Jr. | G | Sr | 6'4" | 34-34 | 27.1 | 8.6 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 49.2% | 35.2% | 2.1 | 82.0% | 19.3% | |
| 4 | Kashie Natt | G | Sr | 6'3" | 34-34 | 26.4 | 10.8 | 8.2 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 48.7% | 38.3% | 2.4 | 78.0% | 23.7% | |
| 55 | Jacob Walker | G | Fr | 6'1" | 34-12 | 25.8 | 11.5 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 50.9% | 35.8% | 3.2 | 74.8% | 26.1% | |
| 35 | Po'Boigh King | G | Sr | 6'5" | 31-31 | 27.8 | 13.7 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 51.9% | 37.0% | 5.9 | 84.8% | 26.5% | |
| 8 | Veljko Ilic | F | Sr | 6'10" | 34-34 | 24.3 | 11.4 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 59.2% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 45.0% | 26.8% | |
| 2 | Jacobe Coleman | G | Fr | 6'3" | 33-3 | 21.8 | 8.7 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 56.0% | 37.8% | 3.6 | 69.2% | 22.1% | |
| 5 | Justin Begg | G | So | 6'0" | 22-22 | 26.3 | 9.5 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 48.4% | 32.3% | 4.5 | 73.7% | 26.7% | |
| 13 | Isaiah Manning | F | So | 6'8" | 16-0 | 19.8 | 10.7 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 54.8% | 34.9% | 3.9 | 86.8% | 27.8% | |
| 1 | CJ Beaumont | G | Jr | 6'8" | 30-0 | 10.2 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 57.9% | 46.8% | 1.6 | 62.5% | 17.3% | |
| 12 | Matt Dann | F | Fr | 7'0" | 31-0 | 9.6 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 64.1% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 60.6% | 17.6% | |
| 10 | Jaxson Ford | F | So | 6'7" | 17-0 | 11.1 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 60.4% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 20.6% | |
| 23 | Cheikh Ndiaye | F | So | 6'10" | 1-0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 22 | Jackson Rogers | G | So | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Nathan Nguyen | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Noah Benny | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Rice2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jalen Smith | G | Sr | 6'4" | 31-31 | 32.6 | 12.5 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 53.2% | 38.3% | 6.7 | 64.4% | 24.8% | |
| 12 | Trae Broadnax | G | Sr | 6'4" | 31-31 | 30.6 | 15.6 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 48.9% | 31.0% | 4.2 | 80.1% | 32.5% | |
| 23 | Nick Anderson | G | Sr | 6'3" | 31-29 | 29.2 | 15.5 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 55.9% | 40.0% | 6.8 | 81.2% | 28.6% | |
| 1 | Cam Carroll | G | Fr | 6'2" | 31-24 | 23.5 | 6.8 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 40.7% | 28.2% | 3.8 | 84.3% | 23.2% | |
| 24 | Jimmy Oladokun Jr. | F | Jr | 6'9" | 31-18 | 17.4 | 4.3 | 4.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 47.9% | — | 0.0 | 25.0% | 18.9% | |
| 8 | Eternity Eguagie | F | So | 6'6" | 31-1 | 17.4 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 48.2% | 39.0% | 1.3 | 62.5% | 22.8% | |
| 32 | Stephen Giwa | C | Sr | 6'9" | 31-13 | 15.5 | 3.4 | 4.8 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 60.6% | — | 0.0 | 47.6% | 14.2% | |
| 13 | Andrew Akuchie | F | Sr | 6'11" | 31-6 | 13.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 56.5% | 20.0% | 0.2 | 72.7% | 15.6% | |
| 7 | Bodey Howell | G | Fr | 6'4" | 25-0 | 10.6 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 51.8% | 40.4% | 1.9 | — | 20.3% | |
| 0 | Dallas Hobbs | G | Jr | 6'1" | 9-1 | 18.0 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 32.2% | 21.6% | 4.1 | 68.8% | 31.8% | |
| 21 | Evan Cochran | F | Fr | 6'9" | 5-0 | 6.0 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 12.5% | 0.0% | 0.4 | — | 16.7% | |
| 30 | George Perkins | F | Jr | 6'8" | 3-1 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.7 | — | 24.9% | |
| 10 | Cole Andrews-Heitz | G | Jr | 6'1" | 2-0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 100.0% | 21.2% | |
| 14 | Presley Patterson | G | Sr | 5'11" | 2-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 14.0% | |
| 11 | Aaron Powell | G | So | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Sam Houston2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Sam Houston's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Damon Nicholas Jr. | G | Sr | 6'4" | 34-34 | 27.1 | 8.6 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 49.2% | 35.2% | 2.1 | 82.0% | 19.3% | |
| 4 | Kashie Natt | G | Sr | 6'3" | 34-34 | 26.4 | 10.8 | 8.2 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 48.7% | 38.3% | 2.4 | 78.0% | 23.7% | |
| 55 | Jacob Walker | G | Fr | 6'1" | 34-12 | 25.8 | 11.5 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 50.9% | 35.8% | 3.2 | 74.8% | 26.1% | |
| 35 | Po'Boigh King | G | Sr | 6'5" | 31-31 | 27.8 | 13.7 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 51.9% | 37.0% | 5.9 | 84.8% | 26.5% | |
| 8 | Veljko Ilic | F | Sr | 6'10" | 34-34 | 24.3 | 11.4 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 59.2% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 45.0% | 26.8% | |
| 2 | Jacobe Coleman | G | Fr | 6'3" | 33-3 | 21.8 | 8.7 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 56.0% | 37.8% | 3.6 | 69.2% | 22.1% | |
| 5 | Justin Begg | G | So | 6'0" | 22-22 | 26.3 | 9.5 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 48.4% | 32.3% | 4.5 | 73.7% | 26.7% | |
| 13 | Isaiah Manning | F | So | 6'8" | 16-0 | 19.8 | 10.7 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 54.8% | 34.9% | 3.9 | 86.8% | 27.8% | |
| 1 | CJ Beaumont | G | Jr | 6'8" | 30-0 | 10.2 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 57.9% | 46.8% | 1.6 | 62.5% | 17.3% | |
| 12 | Matt Dann | F | Fr | 7'0" | 31-0 | 9.6 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 64.1% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 60.6% | 17.6% | |
| 10 | Jaxson Ford | F | So | 6'7" | 17-0 | 11.1 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 60.4% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 20.6% | |
| 23 | Cheikh Ndiaye | F | So | 6'10" | 1-0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 22 | Jackson Rogers | G | So | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Nathan Nguyen | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Noah Benny | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Sam Houston
Against the spread
Season
20-11
Home
7-4
Road
10-6
Last 10
4-6
avg cover +0.1
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 3 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
18-13
Home
6-5
Road
10-6
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +3.2
Over in the last gameOver in 4 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18 | New Mexico | A | L 83–107 | +11.5 | L−12.5 | 163.0 | O190 | 109.2 | 140.7 | 76.0 |
| Mar 13 | Kennesaw St | N | L 73–79 | −2.0 | L−8.0 | 159.5 | U152 | 104.8 | 113.4 | 69.7 |
| Mar 11 | New Mexico St | N | W 69–61 | −4.5 | W+3.5 | 155.0 | U130 | 96.5 | 85.3 | 71.5 |
| Mar 7 | Liberty | A | L 72–79 | +4.5 | L−2.5 | 152.5 | U151 | 115.8 | 127.1 | 62.2 |
| Mar 5 | Delaware | A | L 80–83 | −7.5 | L−10.5 | 148.0 | O163 | 112.4 | 116.7 | 71.2 |
| Feb 28 | Missouri St | H | W 86–81 | −7.0 | L−2.0 | 154.5 | O167 | 127.1 | 119.8 | 67.6 |
| Feb 26 | FIU | H | W 100–67 | −6.0 | W+27.0 | 162.0 | O167 | 136.4 | 91.4 | 73.3 |
| Feb 21 | Jax State | H | W 82–78 | −7.5 | L−3.5 | 148.5 | O160 | 121.6 | 115.7 | 67.4 |
| Feb 18 | MTSU | H | W 78–70 | −4.0 | W+4.0 | 151.5 | U148 | 112.0 | 100.5 | 69.6 |
| Feb 14 | Kennesaw St | A | W 83–79 | +1.0 | W+5.0 | 163.0 | U162 | 125.4 | 119.3 | 66.2 |
Rice
Against the spread
Season
15-12-2
Home
6-7-1
Road
8-5
Last 10
5-5
avg cover +0.3
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
18-11
Home
10-4
Road
7-6
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +1.9
Over in the last gameOver in 5 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | UTSA | H | W 80–71 | −12.0 | L−3.0 | 150.0 | O151 | 116.3 | 103.2 | 68.8 |
| Mar 4 | North Texas | A | L 58–62 | +6.5 | W+2.5 | 138.0 | U120 | 95.0 | 101.6 | 61.0 |
| Mar 1 | Temple | A | W 80–74 | +7.0 | W+13.0 | 142.5 | O154 | 122.7 | 113.5 | 65.2 |
| Feb 25 | South Florida | H | L 56–75 | +11.0 | L−8.0 | 157.0 | U131 | 80.5 | 107.8 | 69.6 |
| Feb 22 | Tulane | A | L 75–81 | +5.0 | L−1.0 | 147.5 | O156 | 109.3 | 118.1 | 68.6 |
| Feb 14 | East Carolina | H | L 75–85 | −4.5 | L−14.5 | 145.5 | O160 | 112.8 | 127.9 | 66.5 |
| Feb 11 | FAU | H | W 81–73 | +3.5 | W+11.5 | 151.5 | O154 | 116.2 | 104.8 | 69.7 |
| Feb 8 | UAB | A | L 65–71 | +9.5 | W+3.5 | 154.5 | U136 | 97.9 | 107.0 | 66.4 |
| Feb 4 | North Texas | H | W 86–83 2OT | +1.5 | W+4.5 | 134.0 | O169 | 106.7 | 103.0 | 80.6 |
| Jan 30 | Charlotte | A | L 70–80 | +5.0 | L−5.0 | 141.0 | O150 | 114.6 | 131.0 | 61.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeSam HoustonRice
Efficiency
111.9
107.2
108.1
112.0
70.1
67.2
—
—
Shooting
52.5%
48.5%
50.6%
46.2%
37.2%
34.3%
71.6%
68.1%
34.4%
33.9%
Ball control & glass
16.8%
17.9%
16.1%
15.7%
35.9%
35.3%
30.1%
34.6%
9.2%
11.0%
8.4%
10.8%
Style
35.8%
44.1%
44.2%
34.5%
17.1%
13.1%
52.6%
46.2%
32.2%
32.9%
Roster
2.80
3.20
6'4.7"
6'5.1"
—
96.2%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputSam Houston
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Sam Houston's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Rice
Returning minutes: 96.2%Returning production: 98.6%
Lost
- Jordan Williams 4.4 mpg, 0.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Trey Patterson 3.4 mpg, 0.6 ppg · transferred to Saint Peter's
Added
- Aaron Powell no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 96% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.