CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.

Non-conferencePrudential Center, Newark, NJ

Kansas St

Efficiency #128

2025-26: 12-20 · 3-16 conf

Seton Hall

Efficiency #56

2025-26: 21-12 · 11-11 conf

Fri, Dec 4 · TBD

69.3

win 24%

Projected

77.7

win 76%

No line posted yet.

Model: HALL −8.3 · total 147.0 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3

Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one

Projected total

Average D-I game

148.2

PaceAdjusted tempo: Seton Hall 66.9, Kansas St 71.8 → 70.4 possessions

+4.4

Seton Hall offense vs Kansas St defense

−0.7

Kansas St offense vs Seton Hall defense

−5.0

Projected total

147.0

Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Projected margin

Even game

0.0

Seton Hall offense vs Kansas St defense

−0.7

Kansas St offense vs Seton Hall defense

+5.0

Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors

+4.0

Seton Hall by 8.3

8.3

Kansas St side ◂▸ Seton Hall side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 146.9 against a projected 147.0. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Seton Hall.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 70.4, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Kansas St is the faster team (73.8, #7 of 365) and Seton Hall the slower (66.5, #273). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions

70.4

per team, 40 min

Projected total

147.0

model

Projected team totals

69.3 / 77.7

Kansas St / Seton Hall

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

71.8#7

Kansas St

66.9#298

Seton Hall

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet

DefenseSeton Hall

Seton Hall's shot-blocking

Seton Hall ranks #1 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 16.4% of Kansas St's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.

AdvantageKansas St

Where Kansas St struggles: ball control

Kansas St turns it over on 17.4% of possessions (#234); Seton Hall forces turnovers on 21.5% of opponent possessions (#5). Expect about 20.1%, 3.4 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -4.1 points per 100 possessions.

Pace

Tempo tug-of-war

Seton Hall averages 66.5 possessions per 40, Kansas St 73.8. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 70 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.

AdvantageSeton Hall

Where Seton Hall scores: the offensive glass

Seton Hall rebounds 35.6% of its own misses (#33); Kansas St lets opponents grab 33.9% of their own misses (#317). Expect about 35.8%, 5.4 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.3 points per 100 possessions.

DefenseSeton Hall

Seton Hall's ball-hawking

Seton Hall ranks #4 nationally in steal rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 12.5% of Kansas St's possessions to end in a steal against this defense.

ClashKansas St

Style match: ball movement

Kansas St assists on 57.7% of its made baskets; Seton Hall allows assists on 58.3% of opponents' baskets (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 59.7% — both habits push the same way.

Kansas St has the ball

OffenseSeton Hall allowsvs D1 avg

53.3% #88

47.3% #25

-1.2 pt/100

17.4% #234

21.5% #5

-4.1 pt/100

29.2% #229

31.9% #251

-0.1 pt/100

26.9% #351

42.1% #325

+0.0 pt/100

71.0% #241

—

-0.1 pt/100

Kansas St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -5.6 pts/100

Seton Hall has the ball

OffenseKansas St allowsvs D1 avg

47.6% #321

52.5% #239

-2.1 pt/100

16.7% #175

17.1% #144

-0.2 pt/100

35.6% #33

33.9% #317

+3.3 pt/100

35.3% #168

35.2% #183

+0.0 pt/100

72.3% #199

—

-0.0 pt/100

Seton Hall net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.0 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers

Kansas Stoffense vsSeton Halldefense

Share of shots by zone

Kansas St shoots

38.1

7.9

13.9

40.1

Seton Hall allows

39.7

3.7

14.7

41.9

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	62.6%#60	52.7%#22	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	36.6%#254	29.3%#13	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	31.9%#341	32.6%#22	38.0%
Three	36.4%#43	32.4%#87	33.7%

Seton Halloffense vsKansas Stdefense

Share of shots by zone

Seton Hall shoots

46.7

5.3

21.8

26.2

Kansas St allows

39.3

6.6

15.8

38.2

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	54.5%#314	60.6%#255	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	33.7%#311	40.8%#205	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	38.9%#146	42.0%#301	38.0%
Three	30.5%#334	33.7%#166	33.7%

RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers

Kansas St

−3.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#323 of 365

Off reb %

29.2%

#229

Def reb %

66.1%

#317

Turnover %

17.4%

#234

Forced TO %

17.1%

#144

FT rate

26.9%

#351

FT allowed

35.2%

#183

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding−0.4

Defensive rebounding−1.1

Ball security−0.5

Forcing turnovers+0.2

Foul shots drawn−2.1

Foul shots allowed0.0

Seton Hall

+2.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#56 of 365

Off reb %

35.6%

#33

Def reb %

68.1%

#251

Turnover %

16.7%

#175

Forced TO %

21.5%

FT rate

35.3%

#168

FT allowed

42.1%

#325

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding+1.7

Defensive rebounding−0.4

Ball security+0.1

Forcing turnovers+3.3

Foul shots drawn+0.1

Foul shots allowed−1.8

Seton Hall has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.9 (#56 of 365) to Kansas St’s −3.7 (#323).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Kansas St2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted Kansas St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
4	P.J. Haggerty	G	Jr	6'4"	31-31	35.2	23.4	5.3	3.8	3.3	52.5%	35.1%	3.7	70.1%	37.3%
34	Nate Johnson	G	Sr	6'2"	32-32	32.8	12.8	4.9	4.6	2.4	55.0%	40.8%	4.9	85.0%	22.0%
10	David Castillo	G	So	6'1"	32-16	28.1	10.3	1.9	1.8	1.3	49.7%	35.2%	5.0	82.0%	21.6%
15	Taj Manning	F	Jr	6'7"	30-17	20.7	4.2	5.1	0.9	0.7	51.0%	18.5%	0.9	69.7%	12.1%
21	Khamari McGriff	F	Sr	6'9"	28-28	20.1	9.7	4.4	1.0	1.0	68.4%	20.0%	0.2	66.7%	21.5%
3	C.J. Jones	G	Sr	6'5"	31-1	17.4	3.6	1.8	1.3	0.8	37.1%	23.2%	2.2	83.3%	16.7%
1	Abdi Bashir Jr.	G	Jr	6'7"	18-18	24.5	13.2	2.2	2.3	1.1	59.7%	44.4%	8.4	68.8%	26.3%
22	Dorin Buca	C	Jr	7'2"	27-4	12.9	3.2	3.3	0.5	1.1	52.2%	18.2%	0.4	53.3%	17.7%
47	Andrej Kostic	F	Fr	6'6"	23-0	13.8	5.2	1.7	1.0	0.9	51.9%	37.5%	3.5	76.9%	22.8%
0	Elias Rapieque	F	Jr	6'9"	20-12	15.3	3.7	2.5	1.5	0.7	54.0%	40.0%	1.3	31.6%	14.8%
14	Mobi Ikegwuruka	G	Jr	6'6"	10-1	12.7	1.9	2.0	0.4	0.6	57.1%	—	0.0	50.0%	9.6%
6	Marcus Johnson	F	Sr	6'7"	14-0	6.3	2.5	1.1	0.4	0.6	48.5%	35.5%	2.2	66.7%	27.6%
23	Stephen Osei	F	So	6'10"	3-0	3.0	0.7	1.0	0.0	1.0	33.3%	—	0.0	—	34.0%
2	Exavier Wilson	G	Fr	6'1"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Seton Hall2025-26 numbers

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
0	Adam Clark	G	Jr	5'10"	33-33	30.7	12.7	3.0	4.9	2.6	45.0%	22.0%	1.2	74.6%	30.0%
14	AJ Staton-McCray	G	Sr	6'4"	33-33	27.5	11.8	3.2	1.4	1.3	47.7%	33.3%	4.9	87.5%	27.9%
23	Mike Williams	G	Jr	6'3"	33-31	20.9	7.0	2.6	1.5	1.0	44.8%	33.7%	3.0	75.9%	23.8%
22	Elijah Fisher	G	Sr	6'6"	33-33	20.7	6.6	2.9	0.8	0.8	48.0%	23.7%	1.2	69.6%	20.6%
6	Stephon Payne	F	Sr	6'9"	33-33	20.2	5.9	6.5	0.6	0.7	52.4%	—	0.0	51.8%	18.7%
25	Najai Hines	F	Fr	6'10"	31-0	17.9	6.5	5.5	0.6	0.8	60.2%	—	0.0	69.0%	20.1%
13	Trey Parker	G	So	6'0"	32-0	15.5	4.3	2.8	1.5	1.1	39.2%	20.5%	1.4	80.0%	22.7%
7	Josh Rivera	F	Sr	6'6"	30-0	11.7	3.3	2.0	0.5	0.4	50.0%	33.3%	0.2	53.6%	18.5%
1	Jacob Dar	G	Sr	6'7"	30-0	10.4	3.3	2.0	0.3	0.3	51.3%	19.0%	0.7	76.9%	19.1%
54	Godswill Erheriene	C	So	6'9"	10-0	4.5	0.8	0.7	0.0	0.5	60.0%	—	0.0	66.7%	15.0%
15	Jahseem Felton	G	So	6'5"	3-0	14.0	1.7	1.3	0.3	0.3	12.5%	0.0%	1.3	75.0%	16.2%
35	Assane Mbaye	C	So	7'2"	4-0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0%	—	0.0	—	15.2%
41	David Gabriel	G	Sr	6'1"	3-0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.3	—	41.4%
9	Patrick Suemnick	F	Sr	6'8"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Kansas St2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted Kansas St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
4	P.J. Haggerty	G	Jr	6'4"	31-31	35.2	23.4	5.3	3.8	3.3	52.5%	35.1%	3.7	70.1%	37.3%
34	Nate Johnson	G	Sr	6'2"	32-32	32.8	12.8	4.9	4.6	2.4	55.0%	40.8%	4.9	85.0%	22.0%
10	David Castillo	G	So	6'1"	32-16	28.1	10.3	1.9	1.8	1.3	49.7%	35.2%	5.0	82.0%	21.6%
15	Taj Manning	F	Jr	6'7"	30-17	20.7	4.2	5.1	0.9	0.7	51.0%	18.5%	0.9	69.7%	12.1%
21	Khamari McGriff	F	Sr	6'9"	28-28	20.1	9.7	4.4	1.0	1.0	68.4%	20.0%	0.2	66.7%	21.5%
3	C.J. Jones	G	Sr	6'5"	31-1	17.4	3.6	1.8	1.3	0.8	37.1%	23.2%	2.2	83.3%	16.7%
1	Abdi Bashir Jr.	G	Jr	6'7"	18-18	24.5	13.2	2.2	2.3	1.1	59.7%	44.4%	8.4	68.8%	26.3%
22	Dorin Buca	C	Jr	7'2"	27-4	12.9	3.2	3.3	0.5	1.1	52.2%	18.2%	0.4	53.3%	17.7%
47	Andrej Kostic	F	Fr	6'6"	23-0	13.8	5.2	1.7	1.0	0.9	51.9%	37.5%	3.5	76.9%	22.8%
0	Elias Rapieque	F	Jr	6'9"	20-12	15.3	3.7	2.5	1.5	0.7	54.0%	40.0%	1.3	31.6%	14.8%
14	Mobi Ikegwuruka	G	Jr	6'6"	10-1	12.7	1.9	2.0	0.4	0.6	57.1%	—	0.0	50.0%	9.6%
6	Marcus Johnson	F	Sr	6'7"	14-0	6.3	2.5	1.1	0.4	0.6	48.5%	35.5%	2.2	66.7%	27.6%
23	Stephen Osei	F	So	6'10"	3-0	3.0	0.7	1.0	0.0	1.0	33.3%	—	0.0	—	34.0%
2	Exavier Wilson	G	Fr	6'1"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Trends

Last 10 games of 2025-26

Kansas St

Against the spread

Season

12-20

Home

5-13

Road

5-6

Last 10

4-6

avg cover −1.4

Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 4 of 10 as an underdogCovered 2 of 5 with a line of 10+

Over / under

Season

17-15

Home

9-9

Road

5-6

Last 10

6-4

avg vs total +5.0

Over 2 straightOver in 6 of 10 as an underdogOver in 4 of 5 with a line of 10+

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 10	BYUAdjEM #26	N	L 91–105	+11.0	L−3.0	168.5	O196	117.0	135.0	77.8
Mar 7	#14KansasAdjEM #25	A	L 85–104	+17.5	L−1.5	157.0	O189	108.9	133.2	78.0
Mar 3	West VirginiaAdjEM #58	H	W 65–63	+4.0	W+6.0	141.5	U128	97.4	94.4	66.7
Feb 28	TCUAdjEM #51	H	L 68–77	+3.0	L−6.0	159.5	U145	94.3	106.8	72.1
Feb 25	ColoradoAdjEM #91	A	L 70–79	+6.0	L−3.0	163.0	U149	87.0	98.2	80.4
Feb 21	#13Texas TechAdjEM #21	A	L 72–100	+12.5	L−15.5	158.5	O172	104.3	144.9	69.0
Feb 17	BaylorAdjEM #55	H	W 90–74	+3.5	W+19.5	159.0	O164	111.1	91.3	81.0
Feb 14	#3HoustonAdjEM #6	A	L 64–78	+22.0	W+8.0	146.0	U142	84.7	103.2	75.6
Feb 11	CincinnatiAdjEM #52	H	L 62–91	+2.5	L−26.5	147.0	O153	88.0	129.2	70.4
Feb 7	TCUAdjEM #51	A	L 82–84	+10.0	W+8.0	154.0	O166	114.8	117.6	71.4

Seton Hall

Against the spread

Season

19-14

Home

6-11

Road

9-3

Last 10

6-4

avg cover +0.6

Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 4 as an underdog

Over / under

Season

12-20-1

Home

5-11-1

Road

5-7

Last 10

4-5-1

avg vs total −3.0

Over in the last gameOver in 2 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 4 as an underdog, 1 push

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 13	#13St John'sAdjEM #16	A	L 68–78	+8.0	L−2.0	136.5	O146	102.3	117.3	66.5
Mar 12	CreightonAdjEM #92	N	W 72–61	−3.0	W+8.0	135.5	U133	104.4	88.5	68.9
Mar 6	#18St John'sAdjEM #16	H	L 65–72	+5.0	L−2.0	137.0	P137	101.3	112.3	64.1
Mar 3	XavierAdjEM #129	A	W 77–68	−2.0	W+7.0	144.5	O145	121.4	107.2	63.4
Feb 28	#6UConnAdjEM #10	A	L 67–71	+13.0	W+9.0	130.0	O138	106.3	112.7	63.0
Feb 21	GeorgetownAdjEM #95	H	W 51–47	−5.5	L−1.5	136.0	U98	80.8	74.4	63.1
Feb 18	DePaulAdjEM #113	H	L 57–69	−7.0	L−19.0	129.0	U126	88.0	106.6	64.7
Feb 15	ButlerAdjEM #87	A	W 63–56	−4.0	W+3.0	138.5	U119	94.1	83.6	67.0
Feb 11	ProvidenceAdjEM #81	H	W 87–80	−5.0	W+2.0	150.5	O167	127.1	116.8	68.5
Feb 7	CreightonAdjEM #92	A	L 68–69	+2.5	W+1.5	138.5	U137	102.0	103.5	66.7

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home

Kansas StSeton Hall

Efficiency

110.1

108.3

107.7

99.8

71.8

66.9

—

Shooting

53.3%

47.6%

52.4%

48.3%

36.4%

30.5%

71.0%

72.3%

26.9%

35.3%

Ball control & glass

17.4%

16.7%

17.1%

21.5%

29.2%

35.6%

33.9%

31.9%

10.0%

9.4%

11.0%

8.7%

Style

40.9%

26.8%

44.5%

49.1%

18.3%

13.1%

57.7%

51.6%

29.0%

39.5%

Roster

3.11

3.21

6'5.2"

6'4.2"

—

87.4%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

Kansas St

Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%

ESPN hasn't posted Kansas St's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Seton Hall

Returning minutes: 87.4%Returning production: 88.5%

Lost

Tajuan Simpkins 25.1 mpg, 9.7 ppg · transferred to Mississippi St

Added

Patrick Suemnick no D1 minutes last season

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 87% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Head-to-head

this season and last

Date	Season	Result
Sat, Dec 6	2025-26	Seton Hall 78 – 67 Kansas St

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.