CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceCameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, NC
Harvard
Efficiency #133
2025-26: 17-12 · 10-5 conf
@
Duke
Efficiency #2
2025-26: 35-3 · 20-1 conf
Fri, Dec 4 · TBD
59.3
win 5%
Projected
78.0
win 95%
No line posted yet.
Model: DUKE −18.7 · total 137.3 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Duke 67.2, Harvard 65.6 → 64.5 possessions
−8.4
Duke offense vs Harvard defense
+6.3
Harvard offense vs Duke defense
−8.8
Projected total
137.3
Axis starts at 130 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Duke offense vs Harvard defense
+6.3
Harvard offense vs Duke defense
+8.8
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.7
Duke by 18.7
18.7
Harvard side ◂▸ Duke side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +18.8 against +18.7. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Duke.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 64.5, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Duke is the faster team (66.8, #250 of 365) and Harvard the slower (63.9, #357). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
64.5
per team, 40 min
Projected total
137.3
model
Projected team totals
59.3 / 78.0
Harvard / Duke
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
65.6#354
Harvard
67.2#274
Duke
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Half-court grind
Duke averages 66.8 possessions per 40, Harvard 63.9. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 64 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageDuke
Where Duke scores: shooting
Duke shoots an effective 56.6% (#13); Harvard allows 50.4% (#122). Expect about 53.9%, 2.7 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.8 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageHarvard
Where Harvard struggles: the offensive glass
Harvard rebounds 26.8% of its own misses (#302); Duke lets opponents grab 25.2% of their own misses (#10). Expect about 25.4%, 5.0 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.1 points per 100 possessions.
GlassDuke
Duke owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 34.9% is worth roughly +2.8 points per 100 possessions for Duke's offense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Duke's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Harvard at about 43.6% of its shots from three, Duke about 42.2%.
Harvard has the ball
OffenseDuke allowsvs D1 avg
53.2% #94
46.2% #13
-2.1 pt/100
17.4% #233
17.3% #132
-0.9 pt/100
26.8% #302
25.2% #10
-3.1 pt/100
25.7% #359
22.8% #2
-1.5 pt/100
80.8% #1
—
+0.7 pt/100
Harvard net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -6.7 pts/100
Duke has the ball
OffenseHarvard allowsvs D1 avg
56.6% #13
50.4% #122
+3.8 pt/100
15.9% #135
17.1% #141
+0.3 pt/100
38.4% #4
28.2% #69
+2.8 pt/100
38.2% #97
26.6% #17
-0.4 pt/100
72.9% #175
—
+0.0 pt/100
Duke net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +6.5 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersHarvardoffense vsDukedefense
Share of shots by zone
Harvard shoots
38.5
4.1
17.1
40.3
Duke allows
30.5
6.1
18.7
44.7
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 61.7%#80 | 55.4%#75 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 47.5%#35 | 41.9%#229 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 39.8%#118 | 34.4%#61 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.7%#135 | 30.6%#27 | 33.7% |
Dukeoffense vsHarvarddefense
Share of shots by zone
Duke shoots
44.5
4.3
8.0
43.1
Harvard allows
41.4
4.6
15.2
38.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 64.4%#29 | 56.4%#95 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 42.7%#108 | 44.9%#295 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 43.1%#34 | 41.3%#284 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.7%#133 | 32.6%#94 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersHarvard
−0.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#212 of 365
Off reb %
26.8%
#302
Def reb %
71.8%
#69
Turnover %
17.4%
#233
Forced TO %
17.1%
#141
FT rate
25.7%
#359
FT allowed
26.6%
#17
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.2
Defensive rebounding+0.8
Ball security−0.4
Forcing turnovers+0.3
Foul shots drawn−2.4
Foul shots allowed+2.2
Duke
+9.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#1 of 365
Off reb %
38.4%
#4
Def reb %
74.8%
#10
Turnover %
15.9%
#135
Forced TO %
17.3%
#132
FT rate
38.2%
#97
FT allowed
22.8%
#2
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.6
Defensive rebounding+1.7
Ball security+0.6
Forcing turnovers+0.4
Foul shots drawn+0.8
Foul shots allowed+3.2
Duke has more extra scoring chances per game: +9.3 (#1 of 365) to Harvard’s −0.7 (#212).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Harvard2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Harvard's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Tey Barbour | G | So | 6'4" | 29-28 | 33.6 | 13.6 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 60.8% | 39.6% | 6.8 | 81.6% | 22.1% | |
| 13 | Chandler Pigge | G | Sr | 6'5" | 29-29 | 33.6 | 12.9 | 5.1 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 50.6% | 31.5% | 3.1 | 75.3% | 26.3% | |
| 4 | Robert Hinton | G | So | 6'5" | 29-29 | 33.4 | 16.8 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 52.4% | 29.4% | 2.9 | 82.9% | 31.2% | |
| 15 | Thomas Batties III | F | Jr | 6'7" | 29-29 | 33.0 | 12.3 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 57.7% | 45.3% | 4.4 | 87.2% | 22.4% | |
| 5 | Ben Eisendrath | G | So | 6'2" | 28-26 | 29.1 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 45.2% | 14.3% | 1.5 | 89.7% | 15.9% | |
| 7 | Austin Hunt | G | So | 6'4" | 14-3 | 22.8 | 6.9 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 58.7% | 37.8% | 2.6 | 81.8% | 18.6% | |
| 10 | Frankie Mannino | G | Fr | 6'5" | 28-0 | 8.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 57.4% | 10.0% | 0.4 | 66.7% | 13.1% | |
| 34 | Ryan Sullivan | F | Fr | 6'9" | 21-0 | 7.5 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 30.0% | 11.3% | |
| 3 | Xavier Nesbitt | G | Jr | 5'11" | 27-0 | 5.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 24.1% | 11.1% | 0.7 | 75.0% | 17.0% | |
| 0 | Kenan Parrish | F | Fr | 7'0" | 18-0 | 6.2 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 45.8% | 33.3% | 0.5 | 66.7% | 26.6% | |
| 35 | Luca Ace-Nasteski | F | Jr | 6'10" | 20-0 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 43.8% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 81.8% | 13.6% | |
| 12 | Dutch Dowdell | G | So | 6'6" | 16-0 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 44.1% | 31.3% | 1.0 | — | 18.3% | |
| 18 | Joseph Quartey | G | Fr | 6'2" | 7-0 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4 | — | 18.3% | |
| 14 | Greg Cooper | G | Sr | 6'0" | 4-1 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 0.5 | — | 13.6% | |
| 24 | Payton Pitts | G | Jr | 6'2" | 3-0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 12.5% | |
| 41 | Avner Dror | F | Fr | 6'9" | 2-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 15.5% | |
| 11 | Alex Touomou | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Duke2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | John Blackwellat Wisconsin | G | Sr | 6'5" | 34-34 | 33.8 | 19.1 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 53.4% | 38.9% | 7.3 | 85.9% | 30.6% | |
| 7 | Dame Sarr | F | So | 6'8" | 38-30 | 23.5 | 6.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 50.7% | 32.3% | 3.5 | 53.2% | 18.8% | |
| 2 | Cayden Boozer | G | So | 6'4" | 38-11 | 22.8 | 7.7 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 54.8% | 30.3% | 1.7 | 81.3% | 20.6% | |
| 1 | Caleb Foster | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-30 | 24.9 | 8.3 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 53.3% | 39.8% | 3.0 | 58.2% | 21.0% | |
| 8 | Drew Scharnowskiat Belmont | F | Sr | 6'10" | 30-24 | 21.7 | 10.7 | 6.0 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 68.3% | 20.0% | 0.2 | 43.6% | 27.3% | |
| 26 | Jacob Theodosiouat Loyola MD | G | Sr | 6'4" | 27-18 | 23.4 | 13.1 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 51.7% | 29.6% | 3.6 | 67.2% | 35.2% | |
| 21 | Patrick Ngongba II | C | Jr | 6'11" | 32-28 | 21.9 | 10.1 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 62.8% | 25.8% | 1.0 | 66.4% | 24.8% | |
| 50 | Brock Davis | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Sebastian Wilkins | F | So | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | Bryson Howard | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Cameron Williams | F | Fr | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Deron Rippey Jr. | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 30 | Joaquim Boumtje Boumtje | C | Fr | 7'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | Maxime Meyer | C | Fr | 7'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 55 | Nick Arnold | G | Fr | 5'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: John Blackwell (from Wisconsin), Drew Scharnowski (from Belmont), Jacob Theodosiou (from Loyola MD)
Harvard2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Harvard's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Tey Barbour | G | So | 6'4" | 29-28 | 33.6 | 13.6 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 60.8% | 39.6% | 6.8 | 81.6% | 22.1% | |
| 13 | Chandler Pigge | G | Sr | 6'5" | 29-29 | 33.6 | 12.9 | 5.1 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 50.6% | 31.5% | 3.1 | 75.3% | 26.3% | |
| 4 | Robert Hinton | G | So | 6'5" | 29-29 | 33.4 | 16.8 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 52.4% | 29.4% | 2.9 | 82.9% | 31.2% | |
| 15 | Thomas Batties III | F | Jr | 6'7" | 29-29 | 33.0 | 12.3 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 57.7% | 45.3% | 4.4 | 87.2% | 22.4% | |
| 5 | Ben Eisendrath | G | So | 6'2" | 28-26 | 29.1 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 45.2% | 14.3% | 1.5 | 89.7% | 15.9% | |
| 7 | Austin Hunt | G | So | 6'4" | 14-3 | 22.8 | 6.9 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 58.7% | 37.8% | 2.6 | 81.8% | 18.6% | |
| 10 | Frankie Mannino | G | Fr | 6'5" | 28-0 | 8.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 57.4% | 10.0% | 0.4 | 66.7% | 13.1% | |
| 34 | Ryan Sullivan | F | Fr | 6'9" | 21-0 | 7.5 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 30.0% | 11.3% | |
| 3 | Xavier Nesbitt | G | Jr | 5'11" | 27-0 | 5.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 24.1% | 11.1% | 0.7 | 75.0% | 17.0% | |
| 0 | Kenan Parrish | F | Fr | 7'0" | 18-0 | 6.2 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 45.8% | 33.3% | 0.5 | 66.7% | 26.6% | |
| 35 | Luca Ace-Nasteski | F | Jr | 6'10" | 20-0 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 43.8% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 81.8% | 13.6% | |
| 12 | Dutch Dowdell | G | So | 6'6" | 16-0 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 44.1% | 31.3% | 1.0 | — | 18.3% | |
| 18 | Joseph Quartey | G | Fr | 6'2" | 7-0 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4 | — | 18.3% | |
| 14 | Greg Cooper | G | Sr | 6'0" | 4-1 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 0.5 | — | 13.6% | |
| 24 | Payton Pitts | G | Jr | 6'2" | 3-0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 12.5% | |
| 41 | Avner Dror | F | Fr | 6'9" | 2-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 15.5% | |
| 11 | Alex Touomou | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Harvard
Against the spread
Season
14-14
Home
4-7
Road
10-5
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +5.2
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
10-18
Home
5-6
Road
4-11
Last 10
2-8
avg vs total −9.5
Under in the last gameOver in 1 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14 | Penn | N | L 60–62 OT | −3.5 | L−5.5 | 139.0 | U122 | 85.9 | 88.7 | 69.9 |
| Mar 6 | Columbia | H | W 81–71 | −5.0 | W+5.0 | 135.0 | O152 | 120.2 | 105.4 | 67.4 |
| Feb 28 | Penn | A | L 61–64 | −1.0 | L−4.0 | 139.5 | U125 | 85.3 | 89.5 | 71.5 |
| Feb 27 | Princeton | A | W 58–56 | −4.0 | L−2.0 | 129.5 | U114 | 96.6 | 93.3 | 60.0 |
| Feb 21 | Cornell | A | W 73–54 | +5.5 | W+24.5 | 155.0 | U127 | 121.5 | 89.9 | 60.1 |
| Feb 14 | Yale | H | L 75–76 OT | +5.5 | W+4.5 | 139.5 | O151 | 114.2 | 115.8 | 65.7 |
| Feb 13 | Brown | H | W 56–53 | −8.0 | L−5.0 | 131.5 | U109 | 90.6 | 85.7 | 61.8 |
| Feb 7 | Dartmouth | A | W 71–58 | −1.0 | W+12.0 | 140.5 | U129 | 110.3 | 90.1 | 64.4 |
| Jan 31 | Yale | A | W 67–65 | +12.0 | W+14.0 | 141.5 | U132 | 115.7 | 112.3 | 57.9 |
| Jan 30 | Brown | A | W 69–59 | −1.5 | W+8.5 | 133.0 | U128 | 113.3 | 96.8 | 60.9 |
Duke
Against the spread
Season
20-18
Home
7-8
Road
8-3
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −0.1
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 4 of 10 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 6 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
13-23-2
Home
4-10-1
Road
4-7
Last 10
5-4-1
avg vs total +1.6
Over 2 straightOver in 5 of 10 as a favorite, 1 pushOver in 1 of 6 with a line of 10+, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29 | #2UConn | N | L 72–73 | −4.5 | L−5.5 | 135.5 | O145 | 114.7 | 116.3 | 62.8 |
| Mar 27 | #5St John's | N | W 80–75 | −6.5 | L−1.5 | 140.5 | O155 | 124.8 | 117.0 | 64.1 |
| Mar 21 | #9TCU | N | W 81–58 | −12.0 | W+11.0 | 140.5 | U139 | 116.8 | 83.6 | 69.3 |
| Mar 19 | #16Siena | N | W 71–65 | −27.5 | L−21.5 | 136.0 | P136 | 114.7 | 105.0 | 61.9 |
| Mar 14 | #10Virginia | N | W 74–70 | −6.5 | L−2.5 | 139.5 | O144 | 116.4 | 110.1 | 63.5 |
| Mar 13 | Clemson | N | W 73–61 | −10.5 | W+1.5 | 135.0 | U134 | 115.5 | 96.5 | 63.2 |
| Mar 12 | Florida St | N | W 80–79 | −17.0 | L−16.0 | 150.5 | O159 | 119.0 | 117.5 | 67.2 |
| Mar 7 | #17North Carolina | H | W 76–61 | −18.0 | L−3.0 | 147.0 | U137 | 116.9 | 93.8 | 65.0 |
| Mar 2 | NC State | A | W 93–64 | −9.0 | W+20.0 | 150.5 | O157 | 144.3 | 99.3 | 64.5 |
| Feb 28 | #11Virginia | H | W 77–51 | −10.0 | W+16.0 | 143.0 | U128 | 126.4 | 83.7 | 60.9 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeHarvardDuke
Efficiency
107.6
121.1
105.6
95.8
65.6
67.2
—
—
Shooting
53.2%
56.6%
54.0%
60.2%
34.7%
34.7%
80.8%
72.9%
25.7%
38.2%
Ball control & glass
17.4%
15.9%
17.1%
17.3%
26.8%
38.4%
28.2%
25.2%
10.2%
9.7%
7.4%
9.6%
Style
40.2%
43.5%
43.0%
45.5%
10.7%
12.2%
56.1%
58.8%
19.9%
32.2%
Roster
2.45
3.26
6'4.9"
6'6.5"
—
43.2%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputHarvard
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Harvard's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Duke
Returning minutes: 43.2%Returning production: 36.9%
Lost
- Cameron Boozer 33.5 mpg, 22.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Isaiah Evans 28.3 mpg, 15.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Maliq Brown 20.2 mpg, 4.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Nikolas Khamenia 19.7 mpg, 5.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Darren Harris 9.1 mpg, 3.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Cameron Sheffield 1.2 mpg, 0.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- John Blackwell from Wisconsin · 32.8 mpg, 18.6 ppg last season
- Drew Scharnowski from Belmont · 20.3 mpg, 10.1 ppg last season
- Jacob Theodosiou from Loyola MD · 19.7 mpg, 11.0 ppg last season
- Sebastian Wilkins no D1 minutes last season
- Cameron Williams no D1 minutes last season
- Nick Arnold no D1 minutes last season
Returns 43% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5.
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.