CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceTownsley Law Arena, Lake Charles, LA
Southern Miss
Efficiency #218
2025-26: 19-16 · 12-10 conf
@
McNeese
Efficiency #49
2025-26: 28-6 · 21-3 conf
Thu, Dec 10 · 7:30 PM ET
67.2
win 15%
Projected
79.2
win 85%
No line posted yet.
Model: MCN −12.0 · total 146.4 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: McNeese 67.4, Southern Miss 69.4 → 68.5 possessions
+0.5
McNeese offense vs Southern Miss defense
+2.9
Southern Miss offense vs McNeese defense
−5.2
Projected total
146.4
Axis starts at 144 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
McNeese offense vs Southern Miss defense
+2.9
Southern Miss offense vs McNeese defense
+5.2
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
McNeese by 12.0
12.0
Southern Miss side ◂▸ McNeese side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help McNeese.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.5, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Southern Miss is the faster team (69.6, #110 of 365) and McNeese the slower (66.4, #282). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.5
per team, 40 min
Projected total
146.4
model
Projected team totals
67.2 / 79.2
Southern Miss / McNeese
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.4#89
Southern Miss
67.4#255
McNeese
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageSouthern Miss
Where Southern Miss struggles: ball control
Southern Miss turns it over on 18.4% of possessions (#290); McNeese forces turnovers on 24.5% of opponent possessions (#1). Expect about 22.6%, 5.8 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -7.2 points per 100 possessions.
DefenseMcNeese
McNeese's shot-blocking
McNeese ranks #4 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 14.4% of Southern Miss's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.
DefenseMcNeese
McNeese's ball-hawking
McNeese ranks #1 nationally in steal rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 13.4% of Southern Miss's possessions to end in a steal against this defense.
GlassSouthern Miss
Southern Miss owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 34.1% is worth roughly +2.3 points per 100 possessions for Southern Miss's offense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Southern Miss) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Southern Miss at about 35.6% of its shots from three, McNeese about 36.0%.
AdvantageMcNeese
Where McNeese scores: the offensive glass
McNeese rebounds 35.1% of its own misses (#46); Southern Miss lets opponents grab 28.8% of their own misses (#97). Expect about 32.9%, 2.5 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.5 points per 100 possessions.
Southern Miss has the ball
OffenseMcNeese allowsvs D1 avg
49.0% #289
49.3% #76
-3.3 pt/100
18.4% #290
24.5% #1
-7.2 pt/100
32.5% #103
34.9% #338
+2.3 pt/100
43.2% #18
42.1% #323
+1.0 pt/100
73.6% #146
—
+0.1 pt/100
Southern Miss net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -7.1 pts/100
McNeese has the ball
OffenseSouthern Miss allowsvs D1 avg
50.7% #202
51.4% #177
-0.5 pt/100
14.2% #28
17.8% #109
+1.1 pt/100
35.1% #46
28.8% #97
+1.5 pt/100
37.4% #114
43.6% #343
+0.8 pt/100
74.4% #109
—
+0.2 pt/100
McNeese net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.1 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersSouthern Missoffense vsMcNeesedefense
Share of shots by zone
Southern Miss shoots
41.8
8.5
21.2
28.4
McNeese allows
35.6
3.8
14.6
46.1
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 60.5%#108 | 54.1%#42 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 34.9%#289 | 40.0%#191 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.0%#187 | 36.0%#109 | 38.0% |
| Three | 28.9%#355 | 32.7%#102 | 33.7% |
McNeeseoffense vsSouthern Missdefense
Share of shots by zone
McNeese shoots
44.9
3.8
15.8
35.4
Southern Miss allows
39.4
8.0
13.9
38.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.3%#219 | 57.8%#139 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 43.1%#103 | 37.7%#129 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.3%#103 | 35.6%#93 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.7%#290 | 34.5%#217 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersSouthern Miss
+0.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#142 of 365
Off reb %
32.5%
#103
Def reb %
71.2%
#97
Turnover %
18.4%
#290
Forced TO %
17.8%
#109
FT rate
43.2%
#18
FT allowed
43.6%
#343
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.7
Defensive rebounding+0.6
Ball security−1.1
Forcing turnovers+0.7
Foul shots drawn+2.1
Foul shots allowed−2.2
McNeese
+6.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#12 of 365
Off reb %
35.1%
#46
Def reb %
65.1%
#338
Turnover %
14.2%
#28
Forced TO %
24.5%
#1
FT rate
37.4%
#114
FT allowed
42.1%
#323
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.5
Defensive rebounding−1.4
Ball security+1.8
Forcing turnovers+5.3
Foul shots drawn+0.6
Foul shots allowed−1.7
McNeese has more extra scoring chances per game: +6.1 (#12 of 365) to Southern Miss’s +0.9 (#142).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Southern Miss2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Southern Miss's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tylik Weeks | F | Jr | 6'7" | 34-33 | 33.6 | 19.7 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 47.7% | 22.2% | 1.6 | 82.3% | 34.7% | |
| 13 | Dylan Brumfield | G | Sr | 6'5" | 35-35 | 31.2 | 8.4 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 44.3% | 16.7% | 0.7 | 73.3% | 18.5% | |
| 15 | Djahi Binet | F | Sr | 6'7" | 35-33 | 26.4 | 11.3 | 7.9 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 63.5% | 33.3% | 0.3 | 71.1% | 21.6% | |
| 1 | Curt Lewis | G | Sr | 6'5" | 35-19 | 23.2 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 52.1% | 36.9% | 4.0 | 59.1% | 14.2% | |
| 0 | Israel Hart | G | Sr | 6'3" | 34-16 | 21.6 | 7.7 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 42.9% | 31.2% | 4.1 | 83.6% | 24.6% | |
| 10 | Isaac Taveras | G | Jr | 6'6" | 22-20 | 25.9 | 15.3 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 52.5% | 17.2% | 1.3 | 58.8% | 38.5% | |
| 3 | Chiante' Tramble | G | So | 6'2" | 34-0 | 12.3 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 50.0% | 35.9% | 1.9 | 78.3% | 19.0% | |
| 22 | Tegra Izay | C | Sr | 7'0" | 35-2 | 11.1 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 60.4% | — | 0.0 | 59.3% | 14.1% | |
| 2 | Brewer Carruth | G | So | 6'4" | 27-9 | 12.3 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 40.8% | 22.9% | 1.3 | 88.2% | 15.5% | |
| 7 | Fallou Diagne | C | Sr | 6'11" | 24-2 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 45.7% | 28.6% | 1.5 | 75.0% | 18.4% | |
| 9 | Dalyn Brandon | G | Sr | 6'5" | 20-4 | 7.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 57.4% | 38.9% | 0.9 | 60.0% | 12.1% | |
| 12 | Felipe Patino | G | So | 6'4" | 18-0 | 6.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 43.8% | 29.6% | 1.5 | 66.7% | 17.8% | |
| 11 | EJ Paymon | F | Fr | 6'9" | 13-2 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 50.0% | 25.0% | 0.3 | 53.3% | 31.0% | |
| 21 | IJ Ezuma | F | Jr | 6'8" | 8-0 | 8.4 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 31.3% | 0.0% | 0.4 | 63.6% | 18.8% | |
| 6 | Robert Cowherd | G | Jr | 6'5" | 10-0 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 30.0% | 15.4% | 1.3 | 50.0% | 23.2% | |
| 14 | Blake Lander | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Chandler Watts | G | So | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Jett Montgomery | G | So | 5'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
McNeese2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Javohn Garcia | G | Sr | 6'3" | 30-30 | 29.7 | 11.9 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 53.3% | 37.4% | 3.6 | 76.7% | 22.5% | |
| 8 | Tyshawn Archie | G | Jr | 6'1" | 34-24 | 25.6 | 14.3 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 51.2% | 36.9% | 5.2 | 90.0% | 34.2% | |
| 6 | Larry Johnson | G | Fr | 6'4" | 34-26 | 25.4 | 17.4 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 52.1% | 23.8% | 3.1 | 77.7% | 38.6% | |
| 2 | DJ Richards Jr. | G | Sr | 6'4" | 34-9 | 22.0 | 8.3 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 51.4% | 35.9% | 5.0 | 78.5% | 22.2% | |
| 7 | Jerrell Colbert | F | Sr | 6'10" | 34-24 | 19.8 | 5.6 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 55.6% | 20.0% | 0.1 | 56.0% | 18.4% | |
| 10 | Jacolb Fredson-Cole | F | So | 6'7" | 34-15 | 18.7 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 42.0% | 13.5% | 1.1 | 77.4% | 20.0% | |
| 23 | Carl Cherenfant | G | Jr | 6'5" | 33-15 | 16.3 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 50.5% | 21.4% | 0.8 | 73.5% | 16.4% | |
| 15 | Peitok Machar | F | So | 6'10" | 34-6 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 70.3% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 57.7% | 13.5% | |
| 13 | Yanis Ndjonga | F | Jr | 6'8" | 27-4 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 65.9% | 33.3% | 0.2 | 83.3% | 11.7% | |
| 9 | JJ Rembert | G | Fr | 5'10" | 8-0 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 0.4 | 100.0% | 18.0% | |
| 27 | Abdou Akim Mazou Tahirou | F | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Erik Villarreal | G | So | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Kaleb Brewer | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | T'Johnn Brown | G | Jr | 5'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Southern Miss2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Southern Miss's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tylik Weeks | F | Jr | 6'7" | 34-33 | 33.6 | 19.7 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 47.7% | 22.2% | 1.6 | 82.3% | 34.7% | |
| 13 | Dylan Brumfield | G | Sr | 6'5" | 35-35 | 31.2 | 8.4 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 44.3% | 16.7% | 0.7 | 73.3% | 18.5% | |
| 15 | Djahi Binet | F | Sr | 6'7" | 35-33 | 26.4 | 11.3 | 7.9 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 63.5% | 33.3% | 0.3 | 71.1% | 21.6% | |
| 1 | Curt Lewis | G | Sr | 6'5" | 35-19 | 23.2 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 52.1% | 36.9% | 4.0 | 59.1% | 14.2% | |
| 0 | Israel Hart | G | Sr | 6'3" | 34-16 | 21.6 | 7.7 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 42.9% | 31.2% | 4.1 | 83.6% | 24.6% | |
| 10 | Isaac Taveras | G | Jr | 6'6" | 22-20 | 25.9 | 15.3 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 52.5% | 17.2% | 1.3 | 58.8% | 38.5% | |
| 3 | Chiante' Tramble | G | So | 6'2" | 34-0 | 12.3 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 50.0% | 35.9% | 1.9 | 78.3% | 19.0% | |
| 22 | Tegra Izay | C | Sr | 7'0" | 35-2 | 11.1 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 60.4% | — | 0.0 | 59.3% | 14.1% | |
| 2 | Brewer Carruth | G | So | 6'4" | 27-9 | 12.3 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 40.8% | 22.9% | 1.3 | 88.2% | 15.5% | |
| 7 | Fallou Diagne | C | Sr | 6'11" | 24-2 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 45.7% | 28.6% | 1.5 | 75.0% | 18.4% | |
| 9 | Dalyn Brandon | G | Sr | 6'5" | 20-4 | 7.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 57.4% | 38.9% | 0.9 | 60.0% | 12.1% | |
| 12 | Felipe Patino | G | So | 6'4" | 18-0 | 6.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 43.8% | 29.6% | 1.5 | 66.7% | 17.8% | |
| 11 | EJ Paymon | F | Fr | 6'9" | 13-2 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 50.0% | 25.0% | 0.3 | 53.3% | 31.0% | |
| 21 | IJ Ezuma | F | Jr | 6'8" | 8-0 | 8.4 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 31.3% | 0.0% | 0.4 | 63.6% | 18.8% | |
| 6 | Robert Cowherd | G | Jr | 6'5" | 10-0 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 30.0% | 15.4% | 1.3 | 50.0% | 23.2% | |
| 14 | Blake Lander | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Chandler Watts | G | So | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Jett Montgomery | G | So | 5'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Southern Miss
Against the spread
Season
16-15-2
Home
4-5-2
Road
7-8
Last 10
7-2-1
avg cover +5.8
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 7 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
20-12-1
Home
4-7
Road
11-4
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +7.8
Over 4 straightOver in 5 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | Troy | N | L 70–78 | +5.5 | L−2.5 | 143.0 | O148 | 98.2 | 109.4 | 71.3 |
| Mar 7 | App State | N | W 86–73 | +5.0 | W+18.0 | 137.5 | O159 | 125.4 | 106.5 | 68.6 |
| Mar 6 | Texas St | N | W 81–77 | +1.5 | W+5.5 | 140.0 | O158 | 117.3 | 111.5 | 69.0 |
| Mar 5 | James Madison | N | W 86–80 | +2.0 | W+8.0 | 143.5 | O166 | 119.4 | 111.1 | 72.0 |
| Feb 27 | South Alabama | A | W 68–55 | +4.0 | W+17.0 | 142.0 | U123 | 105.1 | 85.0 | 64.7 |
| Feb 24 | Arkansas St | A | L 84–89 | +9.0 | W+4.0 | 158.0 | O173 | 106.4 | 112.8 | 78.9 |
| Feb 21 | Old Dominion | H | W 86–81 | −5.0 | P0.0 | 148.0 | O167 | 106.1 | 100.0 | 81.0 |
| Feb 14 | Troy | H | W 69–65 | +5.0 | W+9.0 | 144.5 | U134 | 104.4 | 98.3 | 66.1 |
| Feb 12 | South Alabama | H | L 78–84 | −1.0 | L−7.0 | 136.0 | O162 | 104.1 | 112.1 | 74.9 |
| Feb 7 | Kent State | H | W 66–65 | +4.5 | W+5.5 | 150.0 | U131 | 101.6 | 100.0 | 65.0 |
McNeese
Against the spread
Season
13-17-2
Home
6-6
Road
2-10-2
Last 10
4-5-1
avg cover +1.2
Covered 2 straightCovered 3 of 9 as a favorite, 1 pushCovered 3 of 8 with a line of 10+, 1 push
Over / under
Season
15-17
Home
6-6
Road
6-8
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −0.9
Under in the last gameOver in 5 of 9 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 8 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19 | #5Vanderbilt | N | L 68–78 | +12.0 | W+2.0 | 148.0 | U146 | 106.4 | 122.1 | 63.9 |
| Mar 11 | SF Austin | N | W 76–59 | −3.5 | W+13.5 | 134.5 | O135 | 119.0 | 92.4 | 63.9 |
| Mar 10 | UT Rio Grande | N | W 84–80 3OT | −7.0 | L−3.0 | 141.0 | O164 | 98.4 | 93.8 | 85.3 |
| Mar 2 | Nicholls | A | W 75–65 | −10.0 | P0.0 | 145.0 | U140 | 111.5 | 96.6 | 67.3 |
| Feb 28 | LSU N Orleans | A | W 66–63 | −10.0 | L−7.0 | 150.5 | U129 | 102.1 | 97.5 | 64.6 |
| Feb 23 | UT Rio Grande | H | W 75–68 | −12.0 | L−5.0 | 146.0 | U143 | 108.8 | 98.7 | 68.9 |
| Feb 21 | Texas A&M-CC | H | W 70–54 | −14.0 | W+2.0 | 140.5 | U124 | 106.7 | 82.3 | 65.6 |
| Feb 16 | N'Western St | A | W 75–64 | −14.0 | L−3.0 | 137.5 | O139 | 118.2 | 100.9 | 63.5 |
| Feb 14 | East Texas A&M | A | W 97–54 | −13.5 | W+29.5 | 142.5 | O151 | 142.4 | 79.3 | 68.1 |
| Feb 9 | Hou Christian | H | W 73–69 | −20.5 | L−16.5 | 137.0 | O142 | 108.1 | 102.1 | 67.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeSouthern MissMcNeese
Efficiency
106.0
113.0
108.1
103.4
69.4
67.4
—
—
Shooting
49.0%
50.7%
51.3%
52.3%
28.9%
31.7%
73.6%
74.4%
43.2%
37.4%
Ball control & glass
18.4%
14.2%
17.8%
24.5%
32.5%
35.1%
28.8%
34.9%
10.0%
6.7%
10.7%
6.7%
Style
28.7%
35.2%
48.6%
46.2%
15.3%
19.1%
43.8%
49.0%
31.7%
40.0%
Roster
3.46
2.91
6'5.8"
6'5.1"
—
86.9%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputSouthern Miss
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Southern Miss's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
McNeese
Returning minutes: 86.9%Returning production: 86.3%
Lost
- Garwey Dual 26.6 mpg, 8.4 ppg · transferred to Syracuse
Added
- Kaleb Brewer no D1 minutes last season
- T'Johnn Brown no D1 minutes last season
- Erik Villarreal no D1 minutes last season
- Abdou Akim Mazou Tahirou no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 87% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.