CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferencePhysical Education Complex, Baltimore, MD
Mount St Marys
Efficiency #265
2025-26: 15-17 · 11-10 conf
@
Coppin St
Efficiency #364
2025-26: 7-24 · 5-9 conf
Thu, Dec 10 · 7:00 PM ET
74.1
win 67%
Projected
69.0
win 33%
No line posted yet.
Model: MSM −5.2 · total 143.1 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Coppin St 69.1, Mount St Marys 68.5 → 69.3 possessions
+2.1
Coppin St offense vs Mount St Marys defense
−8.2
Mount St Marys offense vs Coppin St defense
+0.9
Projected total
143.1
Axis starts at 135 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Coppin St offense vs Mount St Marys defense
−8.2
Mount St Marys offense vs Coppin St defense
−0.9
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Mount St Marys by 5.2
5.2
Mount St Marys side ◂▸ Coppin St side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 143.0 against a projected 143.1, and the margin steps add to −5.1 against −5.2. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Coppin St.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.3, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Coppin St is the faster team (69.0, #144 of 365) and Mount St Marys the slower (67.7, #214). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.3
per team, 40 min
Projected total
143.1
model
Projected team totals
74.1 / 69.0
Mount St Marys / Coppin St
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.5#164
Mount St Marys
69.1#119
Coppin St
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageCoppin St
Where Coppin St struggles: shooting
Coppin St shoots an effective 45.9% (#350); Mount St Marys allows 47.2% (#23). Expect about 46.1%, 5.2 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -7.4 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageMount St Marys
Where Mount St Marys struggles: ball control
Mount St Marys turns it over on 22.4% of possessions (#364); Coppin St forces turnovers on 17.5% of opponent possessions (#118). Expect about 20.5%, 3.7 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -4.6 points per 100 possessions.
TurnoversCoppin St
Coppin St turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 19.0% is worth roughly -2.8 points per 100 possessions against Coppin St's offense.
GlassMount St Marys
Mount St Marys owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 33.8% is worth roughly +2.1 points per 100 possessions for Mount St Marys's offense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Coppin St, Coppin St's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Mount St Marys at about 44.4% of its shots from three, Coppin St about 39.5%.
ClashCoppin St
Style clash: 3-point volume
Coppin St rarely shoots threes (35.2% of its shots); Mount St Marys lets opponents take 44.9% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 39.5% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).
Mount St Marys has the ball
OffenseCoppin St allowsvs D1 avg
50.6% #208
55.4% #339
+2.5 pt/100
22.4% #364
17.5% #118
-4.6 pt/100
32.3% #115
34.8% #333
+2.1 pt/100
33.3% #230
42.9% #339
+0.5 pt/100
67.4% #337
—
-0.4 pt/100
Mount St Marys net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +0.1 pts/100
Coppin St has the ball
OffenseMount St Marys allowsvs D1 avg
45.9% #350
47.2% #23
-7.4 pt/100
22.3% #363
15.3% #261
-2.8 pt/100
30.4% #183
29.1% #114
-0.4 pt/100
38.5% #90
37.3% #247
+0.4 pt/100
67.2% #342
—
-0.5 pt/100
Coppin St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -10.6 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersMount St Marysoffense vsCoppin Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Mount St Marys shoots
42.3
4.1
10.9
42.8
Coppin St allows
38.8
3.0
14.9
43.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.2%#188 | 60.1%#231 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.6%#158 | 46.5%#327 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 29.2%#359 | 35.5%#91 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.7%#244 | 38.3%#360 | 33.7% |
Coppin Stoffense vsMount St Marysdefense
Share of shots by zone
Coppin St shoots
40.8
4.1
19.7
35.4
Mount St Marys allows
32.9
3.1
19.0
45.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 53.4%#336 | 49.4%#4 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 28.1%#357 | 38.5%#145 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 29.7%#356 | 38.1%#162 | 38.0% |
| Three | 30.7%#326 | 32.3%#81 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersMount St Marys
−4.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#343 of 365
Off reb %
32.3%
#115
Def reb %
70.9%
#114
Turnover %
22.4%
#364
Forced TO %
15.3%
#261
FT rate
33.3%
#230
FT allowed
37.3%
#247
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.6
Defensive rebounding+0.5
Ball security−3.8
Forcing turnovers−0.9
Foul shots drawn−0.4
Foul shots allowed−0.5
Coppin St
−5.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#353 of 365
Off reb %
30.4%
#183
Def reb %
65.2%
#333
Turnover %
22.3%
#363
Forced TO %
17.5%
#118
FT rate
38.5%
#90
FT allowed
42.9%
#339
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding0.0
Defensive rebounding−1.3
Ball security−3.8
Forcing turnovers+0.6
Foul shots drawn+0.9
Foul shots allowed−2.0
Mount St Marys has more extra scoring chances per game: −4.7 (#343 of 365) to Coppin St’s −5.6 (#353).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Mount St Marys2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Redd Thompson Jr.at Longwood | G | Jr | 5'11" | 32-1 | 22.1 | 10.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 49.2% | 32.9% | 4.6 | 88.0% | 28.9% | |
| 4 | Mason So | G | Sr | 6'2" | 31-16 | 18.2 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 51.5% | 35.5% | 2.0 | 78.9% | 17.4% | |
| 9 | Abdou Khadre Kebe | G | Jr | 6'7" | 22-13 | 21.9 | 7.7 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 47.3% | 27.8% | 3.6 | 69.0% | 24.6% | |
| 30 | Anthony Arrington Jr. | G | Sr | 6'3" | 22-2 | 19.0 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 37.8% | 21.7% | 2.7 | 50.0% | 28.3% | |
| 1 | Anastasios Rozakeas | G | Jr | 6'8" | 24-8 | 14.4 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 45.7% | 32.9% | 2.9 | 83.3% | 18.4% | |
| 7 | Wilguens Jr. Exacteat Drake | F | Sr | 6'6" | 18-13 | 19.4 | 7.3 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 45.2% | 22.2% | 2.5 | 68.3% | 27.3% | |
| 23 | Yakhya Diop | F | So | 7'0" | 31-0 | 8.8 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 64.7% | 16.1% | |
| 10 | Cade Ornessat Gonzaga | G | So | 6'4" | 8-0 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 20.0% | 20.2% | |
| 5 | Noah Rogers | G | Jr | 5'11" | 3-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 10.1% | |
| 6 | Jaxon Hartman | G | Jr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 16 | Crue Gard | F | Fr | 6'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Julien Smith | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Liam Joyce | F | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Miquel Llompart | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | Noah Limol | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Ryan Brzezanski | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Wilguens Jr. Exacte (from Drake), Cade Orness (from Gonzaga), Redd Thompson Jr. (from Longwood)
Coppin St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Coppin St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hassan Perkins | G | Sr | 6'0" | 31-18 | 22.6 | 6.6 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 49.4% | 37.2% | 2.5 | 72.9% | 19.5% | |
| 7 | Khali Horton | F | Jr | 6'8" | 31-24 | 19.8 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 46.5% | 36.2% | 4.1 | 72.9% | 24.2% | |
| 4 | Hussain Williams | G | Jr | 6'5" | 31-7 | 19.8 | 7.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 42.8% | 26.3% | 4.4 | 71.7% | 25.9% | |
| 11 | Torrin Andrews | G | Sr | 6'4" | 31-12 | 19.1 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 49.6% | 31.7% | 2.6 | 78.0% | 20.4% | |
| 14 | Jamari Piercy | G | Jr | 6'5" | 31-11 | 18.3 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 47.9% | 17.4% | 1.5 | 47.4% | 27.0% | |
| 6 | Demariontay Hall | F | Sr | 6'7" | 22-21 | 22.0 | 10.6 | 5.4 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 52.4% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 55.0% | 31.2% | |
| 33 | Tyler Koenig | F | Jr | 6'9" | 28-21 | 16.9 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 49.1% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 73.6% | 20.1% | |
| 24 | Taj Thweatt | F | Sr | 6'7" | 23-3 | 17.8 | 6.0 | 4.3 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 47.4% | 38.3% | 2.0 | 80.6% | 22.7% | |
| 0 | Baasil Saunders | G | Jr | 6'4" | 26-16 | 15.5 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 41.8% | 18.8% | 0.6 | 63.2% | 17.0% | |
| 21 | Nelson Lamizana | F | Fr | 6'9" | 17-5 | 19.2 | 6.6 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 47.7% | 26.1% | 1.4 | 87.5% | 23.9% | |
| 10 | Camaren Sparrow | G | Jr | 6'4" | 16-3 | 19.2 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 42.0% | 35.7% | 0.9 | 65.1% | 23.5% | |
| 23 | Daveyon Lydner | G | Fr | 6'4" | 23-3 | 12.7 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 24.6% | 17.6% | 0.7 | 68.8% | 18.2% | |
| 2 | Favour Aire | C | Sr | 6'11" | 21-1 | 9.1 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 51.0% | 41.7% | 0.6 | 83.3% | 22.6% | |
| 12 | Chris Morgan | F | Sr | 6'9" | 13-10 | 13.5 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 38.5% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 40.0% | 28.9% | |
| 3 | Josiah Brown | G | So | 6'5" | 11-0 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 63.6% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 100.0% | 12.0% | |
| 22 | Elijah Taylor | F | Jr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | Macahi Nelson | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Mount St Marys2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Redd Thompson Jr.at Longwood | G | Jr | 5'11" | 32-1 | 22.1 | 10.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 49.2% | 32.9% | 4.6 | 88.0% | 28.9% | |
| 4 | Mason So | G | Sr | 6'2" | 31-16 | 18.2 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 51.5% | 35.5% | 2.0 | 78.9% | 17.4% | |
| 9 | Abdou Khadre Kebe | G | Jr | 6'7" | 22-13 | 21.9 | 7.7 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 47.3% | 27.8% | 3.6 | 69.0% | 24.6% | |
| 30 | Anthony Arrington Jr. | G | Sr | 6'3" | 22-2 | 19.0 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 37.8% | 21.7% | 2.7 | 50.0% | 28.3% | |
| 1 | Anastasios Rozakeas | G | Jr | 6'8" | 24-8 | 14.4 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 45.7% | 32.9% | 2.9 | 83.3% | 18.4% | |
| 7 | Wilguens Jr. Exacteat Drake | F | Sr | 6'6" | 18-13 | 19.4 | 7.3 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 45.2% | 22.2% | 2.5 | 68.3% | 27.3% | |
| 23 | Yakhya Diop | F | So | 7'0" | 31-0 | 8.8 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 64.7% | 16.1% | |
| 10 | Cade Ornessat Gonzaga | G | So | 6'4" | 8-0 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 20.0% | 20.2% | |
| 5 | Noah Rogers | G | Jr | 5'11" | 3-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 10.1% | |
| 6 | Jaxon Hartman | G | Jr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 16 | Crue Gard | F | Fr | 6'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Julien Smith | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Liam Joyce | F | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Miquel Llompart | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | Noah Limol | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Ryan Brzezanski | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Wilguens Jr. Exacte (from Drake), Cade Orness (from Gonzaga), Redd Thompson Jr. (from Longwood)
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Mount St Marys
Against the spread
Season
17-13-1
Home
7-5
Road
10-7-1
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +3.6
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 6 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
10-21
Home
4-8
Road
6-12
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −6.7
Under 4 straightOver in 1 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | Siena | N | L 58–63 | +3.0 | L−2.0 | 135.0 | U121 | 96.1 | 104.4 | 60.3 |
| Mar 1 | Fairfield | A | W 69–47 | +3.5 | W+25.5 | 146.5 | U116 | 103.2 | 70.3 | 66.8 |
| Feb 27 | Sacred Heart | A | L 69–77 | +2.5 | L−5.5 | 150.5 | U146 | 104.7 | 116.9 | 65.9 |
| Feb 22 | Canisius | H | W 68–47 | −7.5 | W+13.5 | 137.5 | U115 | 108.5 | 75.0 | 62.6 |
| Feb 20 | Niagara | H | W 76–63 | −7.5 | W+5.5 | 131.0 | O139 | 108.6 | 90.1 | 69.9 |
| Feb 13 | Rider | A | W 65–55 | −5.0 | W+5.0 | 138.5 | U120 | 100.1 | 84.7 | 64.9 |
| Feb 7 | Iona | A | W 83–76 | +4.0 | W+11.0 | 141.0 | O159 | 131.1 | 120.0 | 63.3 |
| Feb 5 | Merrimack | H | L 70–87 | +2.0 | L−15.0 | 135.0 | O157 | 98.8 | 122.8 | 70.8 |
| Feb 1 | Manhattan | H | W 72–65 | −6.5 | W+0.5 | 146.5 | U137 | 110.1 | 99.4 | 65.4 |
| Jan 30 | Saint Peter's | A | L 58–66 | +6.0 | L−2.0 | 139.5 | U124 | 94.3 | 107.3 | 61.5 |
Coppin St
Against the spread
Season
14-16
Home
3-5
Road
9-10
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +2.5
Covered the last gameCovered 6 of 10 as an underdogCovered 1 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
19-11
Home
6-2
Road
11-8
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −3.0
Under in the last gameOver in 5 of 10 as an underdogOver in 2 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5 | Morgan St | A | L 66–70 | +6.5 | W+2.5 | 150.5 | U136 | 95.9 | 101.7 | 68.8 |
| Mar 2 | Howard | A | L 70–90 | +18.5 | L−1.5 | 140.0 | O160 | 98.9 | 127.2 | 70.8 |
| Feb 28 | Norfolk St | H | L 69–75 | +8.0 | W+2.0 | 141.5 | O144 | 104.5 | 113.6 | 66.0 |
| Feb 21 | MD Eastern | H | W 71–65 OT | +3.0 | W+9.0 | 127.0 | O136 | 96.4 | 88.3 | 73.6 |
| Feb 16 | SC State | A | W 59–57 | +5.0 | W+7.0 | 139.0 | U116 | 87.6 | 84.6 | 67.4 |
| Feb 14 | NC Central | A | W 58–56 | +11.0 | W+13.0 | 145.5 | U114 | 92.8 | 89.6 | 62.5 |
| Feb 7 | Delaware St | H | W 65–47 | +1.0 | W+19.0 | 133.5 | U112 | 97.8 | 70.7 | 66.4 |
| Feb 2 | Howard | H | L 53–72 | +14.0 | L−5.0 | 146.5 | U125 | 85.8 | 116.6 | 61.8 |
| Jan 31 | Morgan St | H | L 80–89 | +2.5 | L−6.5 | 155.5 | O169 | 105.5 | 117.4 | 75.8 |
| Jan 24 | Norfolk St | A | L 76–103 | +12.5 | L−14.5 | 141.5 | O179 | 94.7 | 128.4 | 80.2 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeMount St MarysCoppin St
Efficiency
102.5
97.4
107.8
115.9
68.5
69.1
—
—
Shooting
50.6%
45.9%
51.8%
45.8%
32.7%
30.7%
67.4%
67.2%
33.3%
38.5%
Ball control & glass
22.4%
22.3%
15.3%
17.5%
32.3%
30.4%
29.1%
34.8%
12.8%
13.0%
8.5%
12.0%
Style
42.6%
35.2%
44.8%
43.2%
12.0%
13.9%
55.2%
51.5%
31.3%
49.2%
Roster
3.33
3.20
6'4.2"
6'5.6"
32.5%
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputMount St Marys
Returning minutes: 32.5%Returning production: 25.0%
Lost
- Xavier Lipscomb 31.7 mpg, 9.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Arlandus Keyes 27.7 mpg, 11.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Luke McEldon 24.0 mpg, 11.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Trey Deveaux 23.4 mpg, 9.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Justin Amadi 19.8 mpg, 6.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Patrick Haigh 6.5 mpg, 2.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Redd Thompson Jr. from Longwood · 22.1 mpg, 10.3 ppg last season
- Wilguens Jr. Exacte from Drake · 10.3 mpg, 3.9 ppg last season
- Cade Orness from Gonzaga · 0.6 mpg, 0.1 ppg last season
- Liam Joyce no D1 minutes last season
- Crue Gard no D1 minutes last season
- Miquel Llompart no D1 minutes last season
Returns 33% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Coppin St
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Coppin St's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.