CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.

Non-conferenceCassell Coliseum, Blacksburg, VA

MD Eastern

Efficiency #345

2025-26: 9-23 · 5-10 conf

Virginia Tech

Efficiency #61

2025-26: 19-13 · 8-11 conf

Thu, Dec 10 · TBD

60.7

win 7%

Projected

77.6

win 93%

No line posted yet.

Model: VT −16.9 · total 138.2 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3

Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one

Projected total

Average D-I game

148.2

PaceAdjusted tempo: Virginia Tech 68.2, MD Eastern 65.7 → 65.5 possessions

−6.0

Virginia Tech offense vs MD Eastern defense

+4.6

MD Eastern offense vs Virginia Tech defense

−8.5

Projected total

138.2

Axis starts at 130 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Projected margin

Even game

0.0

Virginia Tech offense vs MD Eastern defense

+4.6

MD Eastern offense vs Virginia Tech defense

+8.5

Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors

+3.8

Virginia Tech by 16.9

16.9

MD Eastern side ◂▸ Virginia Tech side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 138.3 against a projected 138.2. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Virginia Tech.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 65.5, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Virginia Tech is the faster team (68.0, #201 of 365) and MD Eastern the slower (64.4, #343). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions

65.5

per team, 40 min

Projected total

138.2

model

Projected team totals

60.7 / 77.6

MD Eastern / Virginia Tech

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

65.7#352

MD Eastern

68.2#191

Virginia Tech

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet

AdvantageMD Eastern

Where MD Eastern struggles: ball control

MD Eastern turns it over on 23.8% of possessions (#365); Virginia Tech forces turnovers on 17.2% of opponent possessions (#133). Expect about 21.1%, 4.3 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -5.3 points per 100 possessions.

Pace

Half-court grind

Virginia Tech averages 68.0 possessions per 40, MD Eastern 64.4. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 65 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.

Watch for noise

3-point caution

A notable season 3-point number here (MD Eastern, Virginia Tech's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect MD Eastern at about 34.8% of its shots from three, Virginia Tech about 39.8%.

AdvantageVirginia Tech

Where Virginia Tech scores: the offensive glass

Virginia Tech rebounds 31.9% of its own misses (#129); MD Eastern lets opponents grab 33.6% of their own misses (#311). Expect about 33.0%, 2.6 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.6 points per 100 possessions.

ClashMD Eastern

Style match: paint scoring

MD Eastern scores 46.3% of its points in the paint; Virginia Tech gives up 46.6% of opponents' points in the paint (D1 average 42.8%). Expect about 44.9% — both habits push the same way.

MD Eastern has the ball

OffenseVirginia Tech allowsvs D1 avg

47.8% #319

50.8% #147

-3.2 pt/100

23.8% #365

17.2% #133

-5.3 pt/100

32.4% #112

32.6% #284

+1.5 pt/100

29.5% #321

28.8% #41

-0.8 pt/100

71.5% #224

—

-0.1 pt/100

MD Eastern net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -7.9 pts/100

Virginia Tech has the ball

OffenseMD Eastern allowsvs D1 avg

52.2% #134

50.7% #142

+0.4 pt/100

14.9% #61

17.9% #102

+0.4 pt/100

31.9% #129

33.6% #311

+1.6 pt/100

34.0% #209

43.0% #340

+0.5 pt/100

74.3% #116

—

+0.2 pt/100

Virginia Tech net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.1 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers

MD Easternoffense vsVirginia Techdefense

Share of shots by zone

MD Eastern shoots

40.3

4.5

20.7

34.5

Virginia Tech allows

38.1

5.5

16.6

39.8

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	55.9%#277	61.0%#269	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	36.4%#259	41.4%#222	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	39.3%#138	42.1%#307	38.0%
Three	29.0%#354	30.6%#26	33.7%

Virginia Techoffense vsMD Easterndefense

Share of shots by zone

Virginia Tech shoots

35.1

6.7

18.3

39.9

MD Eastern allows

40.3

3.1

17.9

38.7

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	62.6%#59	58.3%#155	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	43.3%#95	35.6%#74	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	32.4%#339	33.2%#32	38.0%
Three	35.5%#88	33.5%#156	33.7%

RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers

MD Eastern

−7.8extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#361 of 365

Off reb %

32.4%

#112

Def reb %

66.4%

#311

Turnover %

23.8%

#365

Forced TO %

17.9%

#102

FT rate

29.5%

#321

FT allowed

43.0%

#340

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding+0.6

Defensive rebounding−1.0

Ball security−4.8

Forcing turnovers+0.8

Foul shots drawn−1.4

Foul shots allowed−2.0

Virginia Tech

+2.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#59 of 365

Off reb %

31.9%

#129

Def reb %

67.4%

#284

Turnover %

14.9%

#61

Forced TO %

17.2%

#133

FT rate

34.0%

#209

FT allowed

28.8%

#41

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding+0.5

Defensive rebounding−0.6

Ball security+1.2

Forcing turnovers+0.4

Foul shots drawn−0.3

Foul shots allowed+1.7

Virginia Tech has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.9 (#59 of 365) to MD Eastern’s −7.8 (#361).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

MD Eastern2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted MD Eastern's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
4	Michael Teal	G	Sr	6'1"	32-32	26.2	5.8	2.1	3.5	2.2	43.8%	17.1%	1.3	76.1%	18.8%
0	Jaden Cooper	G	Sr	6'3"	32-31	26.0	8.0	3.7	1.7	1.2	49.5%	33.6%	3.6	83.7%	20.5%
5	Dorion Staples	F	Sr	6'8"	32-24	24.3	9.3	3.0	1.8	1.2	52.4%	33.8%	4.3	78.8%	24.4%
1	Zion Obanla	G	Sr	6'8"	32-15	22.1	10.8	5.9	0.9	1.6	60.6%	20.0%	0.2	70.4%	28.1%
12	Justin Monden	G	Jr	6'0"	32-1	20.8	6.0	1.2	1.6	1.5	45.6%	27.0%	2.3	72.2%	23.1%
14	Joseph Locandro	F	Sr	6'9"	32-22	19.3	9.3	3.3	0.5	1.6	56.9%	40.7%	2.8	71.8%	30.7%
24	Levi Beckwith	SF	Fr	6'7"	26-24	17.3	2.0	2.9	0.6	0.8	27.0%	11.8%	1.3	61.1%	14.2%
35	Christopher Flippin	PF	Sr	6'8"	30-1	13.2	5.0	2.8	0.7	1.1	47.0%	—	0.0	55.1%	29.2%
3	Trey Brown	PG	Jr	6'7"	27-0	13.8	3.3	2.4	1.3	1.5	41.0%	31.0%	1.1	66.7%	23.4%
31	Maurio Hanson Jr.	F	So	6'7"	23-0	8.8	2.8	1.7	0.5	0.7	56.8%	40.0%	0.2	70.0%	20.8%
22	Maurice Vassel	F	So	6'9"	25-10	7.6	2.0	1.2	0.1	0.8	58.1%	—	0.0	70.0%	18.9%
23	Trey Hall	F	Sr	6'9"	16-0	11.4	1.8	1.4	0.4	1.2	39.2%	20.0%	1.6	—	18.5%
2	Jaden Johnson	PG	Jr	5'10"	22-0	6.9	1.0	0.7	0.7	0.7	26.7%	13.3%	0.7	100.0%	18.8%
11	Javoy Thompson	G	Jr	6'7"	17-0	8.6	1.7	0.6	0.3	0.4	41.4%	0.0%	0.2	71.4%	15.9%
10	Devin Thomas	G	Fr	6'0"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Virginia Tech2025-26 numbers

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
3	Ben Hammond	G	So	5'11"	32-18	31.5	13.2	2.3	3.2	1.4	51.0%	43.1%	3.2	86.5%	24.3%
13	Amani Hansberry	F	Jr	6'8"	30-30	30.7	14.3	7.4	2.4	2.1	54.5%	35.4%	3.2	73.6%	27.8%
0	Jailen Bedford	G	Sr	6'4"	31-31	26.0	11.3	3.3	1.3	1.1	48.3%	35.9%	4.7	72.6%	27.8%
2	Jaden Schutt	G	Jr	6'5"	32-5	24.8	7.7	1.6	0.9	0.4	54.4%	38.5%	5.3	86.2%	17.0%
32	Christian Gurdak	C	Fr	6'10"	31-10	17.1	5.6	4.4	0.3	0.6	63.2%	—	0.0	69.6%	16.8%
10	Tyler Johnson	G	So	6'5"	17-13	26.2	8.0	4.5	1.6	0.7	62.5%	41.5%	2.4	67.7%	15.5%
77	Antonio Dorn	C	Fr	7'0"	24-5	8.5	2.6	1.8	0.4	0.5	64.3%	—	0.0	50.0%	17.8%
4	Izaiah Pasha	G	So	6'5"	18-0	8.2	2.0	0.8	0.7	0.6	36.3%	14.3%	0.4	53.8%	23.1%
5	Sin'Cere Jones	F	Fr	6'7"	11-0	6.5	0.6	1.4	0.0	0.1	25.0%	0.0%	0.6	33.3%	11.5%
7	Brett Freeman	G	Fr	6'5"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—
22	Solomon Davis	C	Fr	6'11"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

MD Eastern2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted MD Eastern's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
4	Michael Teal	G	Sr	6'1"	32-32	26.2	5.8	2.1	3.5	2.2	43.8%	17.1%	1.3	76.1%	18.8%
0	Jaden Cooper	G	Sr	6'3"	32-31	26.0	8.0	3.7	1.7	1.2	49.5%	33.6%	3.6	83.7%	20.5%
5	Dorion Staples	F	Sr	6'8"	32-24	24.3	9.3	3.0	1.8	1.2	52.4%	33.8%	4.3	78.8%	24.4%
1	Zion Obanla	G	Sr	6'8"	32-15	22.1	10.8	5.9	0.9	1.6	60.6%	20.0%	0.2	70.4%	28.1%
12	Justin Monden	G	Jr	6'0"	32-1	20.8	6.0	1.2	1.6	1.5	45.6%	27.0%	2.3	72.2%	23.1%
14	Joseph Locandro	F	Sr	6'9"	32-22	19.3	9.3	3.3	0.5	1.6	56.9%	40.7%	2.8	71.8%	30.7%
24	Levi Beckwith	SF	Fr	6'7"	26-24	17.3	2.0	2.9	0.6	0.8	27.0%	11.8%	1.3	61.1%	14.2%
35	Christopher Flippin	PF	Sr	6'8"	30-1	13.2	5.0	2.8	0.7	1.1	47.0%	—	0.0	55.1%	29.2%
3	Trey Brown	PG	Jr	6'7"	27-0	13.8	3.3	2.4	1.3	1.5	41.0%	31.0%	1.1	66.7%	23.4%
31	Maurio Hanson Jr.	F	So	6'7"	23-0	8.8	2.8	1.7	0.5	0.7	56.8%	40.0%	0.2	70.0%	20.8%
22	Maurice Vassel	F	So	6'9"	25-10	7.6	2.0	1.2	0.1	0.8	58.1%	—	0.0	70.0%	18.9%
23	Trey Hall	F	Sr	6'9"	16-0	11.4	1.8	1.4	0.4	1.2	39.2%	20.0%	1.6	—	18.5%
2	Jaden Johnson	PG	Jr	5'10"	22-0	6.9	1.0	0.7	0.7	0.7	26.7%	13.3%	0.7	100.0%	18.8%
11	Javoy Thompson	G	Jr	6'7"	17-0	8.6	1.7	0.6	0.3	0.4	41.4%	0.0%	0.2	71.4%	15.9%
10	Devin Thomas	G	Fr	6'0"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Trends

Last 10 games of 2025-26

MD Eastern

Against the spread

Season

14-16

Home

3-5

Road

10-10

Last 10

2-8

avg cover −6.2

Missed the spread 3 straightCovered 1 of 7 as a favorite

Over / under

Season

13-17

Home

3-5

Road

9-11

Last 10

4-6

avg vs total +1.6

Over in the last gameOver in 4 of 7 as a favorite

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 12	NC CentralAdjEM #346	N	L 76–83 OT	−1.0	L−8.0	132.0	O159	109.5	119.6	69.4
Mar 5	Delaware StAdjEM #358	H	L 56–57	−5.5	L−6.5	125.0	U113	94.2	95.9	59.4
Mar 2	NC CentralAdjEM #346	H	L 73–77	−2.5	L−6.5	133.5	O150	106.9	112.8	68.3
Feb 28	SC StateAdjEM #357	H	W 69–57	−6.0	W+6.0	132.5	U126	104.0	85.9	66.3
Feb 21	Coppin StAdjEM #364	A	L 65–71 OT	−3.0	L−9.0	127.0	O136	88.3	96.4	73.6
Feb 16	Norfolk StAdjEM #305	H	L 66–70	+2.0	L−2.0	136.5	U136	111.7	118.5	59.1
Feb 14	HowardAdjEM #160	A	L 53–79	+11.0	L−15.0	133.0	U132	82.4	122.8	64.3
Feb 7	Morgan StAdjEM #349	A	L 71–79	−1.5	L−9.5	141.0	O150	106.1	118.0	66.9
Feb 4	SC StateAdjEM #357	A	L 54–63	−4.5	L−13.5	134.5	U117	83.7	97.7	64.5
Feb 2	NC CentralAdjEM #346	A	L 63–65	+4.0	W+2.0	135.5	U128	101.7	104.9	61.9

Virginia Tech

Against the spread

Season

17-14-1

Home

8-9

Road

8-1-1

Last 10

5-4-1

avg cover +1.4

Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 7 as an underdog, 1 pushCovered 2 of 4 with a line of 10+

Over / under

Season

17-15

Home

8-9

Road

6-4

Last 10

6-4

avg vs total +2.0

Over 2 straightOver in 5 of 7 as an underdogOver in 2 of 4 with a line of 10+

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 10	Wake ForestAdjEM #76	N	L 89–95 OT	+1.0	L−5.0	151.5	O184	118.6	126.6	75.0
Mar 7	#13VirginiaAdjEM #15	A	L 72–76	+12.0	W+8.0	146.5	O148	108.5	114.6	66.3
Mar 3	Boston CollegeAdjEM #187	H	W 72–63	−11.5	L−2.5	143.0	U135	108.8	95.2	66.2
Feb 28	#18North CarolinaAdjEM #29	A	L 82–89	+7.0	P0.0	150.0	O171	118.4	128.5	69.2
Feb 21	Wake ForestAdjEM #76	H	W 82–63	−4.0	W+15.0	148.5	U145	135.3	104.0	60.6
Feb 17	MiamiAdjEM #30	A	L 66–67	+8.5	W+7.5	148.0	U133	105.1	106.7	62.8
Feb 14	Florida StAdjEM #74	H	L 69–92	−4.0	L−27.0	156.5	O161	106.8	142.4	64.6
Feb 11	#20ClemsonAdjEM #35	A	W 76–66	+8.0	W+18.0	139.0	O142	117.2	101.8	64.9
Feb 7	NC StateAdjEM #34	A	L 73–82	+10.0	W+1.0	152.5	O155	101.0	113.5	72.3
Jan 31	#4DukeAdjEM #2	H	L 58–72	+13.5	L−0.5	148.0	U130	100.7	125.0	57.6

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home

MD EasternVirginia Tech

Efficiency

98.6

113.1

110.9

105.3

65.7

68.2

—

Shooting

47.8%

52.2%

49.9%

51.5%

29.0%

35.5%

71.5%

74.3%

29.5%

34.0%

Ball control & glass

23.8%

14.9%

17.9%

17.2%

32.4%

31.9%

33.6%

32.6%

13.8%

7.8%

8.6%

9.3%

Style

33.5%

39.7%

46.3%

42.1%

10.1%

10.6%

56.5%

52.4%

42.2%

27.6%

Roster

3.47

2.51

6'5.4"

6'5"

—

74.9%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

MD Eastern

Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%

ESPN hasn't posted MD Eastern's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Virginia Tech

Returning minutes: 74.9%Returning production: 74.4%

Lost

Neo Avdalas 30.8 mpg, 11.7 ppg · transferred to North Carolina
Tobi Lawal 20.9 mpg, 8.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet

Added

Brett Freeman no D1 minutes last season
Solomon Davis no D1 minutes last season

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 75% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Head-to-head

this season and last

Date	Season	Result
Sun, Dec 14	2025-26	MD Eastern 53 – 82 Virginia Tech

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.