CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceKirby Sports Center, Easton, PA
Penn
Efficiency #162
2025-26: 18-12 · 11-5 conf
@
Lafayette
Efficiency #319
2025-26: 11-21 · 8-11 conf
Mon, Dec 7 · TBD
75.2
win 60%
Projected
72.4
win 40%
No line posted yet.
Model: PENN −2.8 · total 147.6 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Lafayette 68.0, Penn 69.3 → 69.0 possessions
+1.4
Lafayette offense vs Penn defense
−4.4
Penn offense vs Lafayette defense
+2.4
Projected total
147.6
Axis starts at 142 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Lafayette offense vs Penn defense
−4.4
Penn offense vs Lafayette defense
−2.4
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Penn by 2.8
2.8
Penn side ◂▸ Lafayette side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Lafayette.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Penn is the faster team (68.7, #163 of 365) and Lafayette the slower (66.9, #248). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.0
per team, 40 min
Projected total
147.6
model
Projected team totals
75.2 / 72.4
Penn / Lafayette
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.3#95
Penn
68.0#214
Lafayette
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantagePenn
Where Penn scores: ball control
Penn turns it over on 15.3% of possessions (#89); Lafayette forces turnovers on 15.1% of opponent possessions (#276). Expect about 14.9%, 1.9 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.3 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Penn) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Penn at about 35.2% of its shots from three, Lafayette about 39.9%.
AdvantageLafayette
Where Lafayette struggles: the offensive glass
Lafayette rebounds 25.8% of its own misses (#326); Penn lets opponents grab 31.3% of their own misses (#220). Expect about 27.6%, 2.8 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -1.7 points per 100 possessions.
Penn has the ball
OffenseLafayette allowsvs D1 avg
50.4% #223
53.6% #286
+0.9 pt/100
15.3% #89
15.1% #276
+2.3 pt/100
30.0% #200
28.6% #88
-0.7 pt/100
33.9% #212
30.6% #76
-0.4 pt/100
69.4% #285
—
-0.3 pt/100
Penn net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.9 pts/100
Lafayette has the ball
OffensePenn allowsvs D1 avg
49.3% #278
52.1% #218
-1.1 pt/100
15.3% #90
17.3% #131
+0.6 pt/100
25.8% #326
31.3% #220
-1.7 pt/100
32.4% #249
27.5% #28
-0.7 pt/100
68.9% #303
—
-0.3 pt/100
Lafayette net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -3.2 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersPennoffense vsLafayettedefense
Share of shots by zone
Penn shoots
36.7
5.6
22.4
35.4
Lafayette allows
37.2
8.3
16.3
38.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 53.4%#331 | 62.6%#314 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 35.2%#286 | 41.5%#224 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.7%#196 | 37.7%#152 | 38.0% |
| Three | 38.3%#13 | 36.0%#298 | 33.7% |
Lafayetteoffense vsPenndefense
Share of shots by zone
Lafayette shoots
41.6
5.2
13.5
39.7
Penn allows
40.5
6.0
14.1
39.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.1%#231 | 61.3%#278 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.7%#152 | 46.0%#320 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 32.9%#331 | 38.0%#160 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.2%#273 | 32.2%#73 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersPenn
+2.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#63 of 365
Off reb %
30.0%
#200
Def reb %
68.7%
#220
Turnover %
15.3%
#89
Forced TO %
17.3%
#131
FT rate
33.9%
#212
FT allowed
27.5%
#28
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.1
Defensive rebounding−0.2
Ball security+1.0
Forcing turnovers+0.4
Foul shots drawn−0.3
Foul shots allowed+2.0
Lafayette
−0.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#194 of 365
Off reb %
25.8%
#326
Def reb %
71.4%
#88
Turnover %
15.3%
#90
Forced TO %
15.1%
#276
FT rate
32.4%
#249
FT allowed
30.6%
#76
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.5
Defensive rebounding+0.6
Ball security+1.0
Forcing turnovers−1.1
Foul shots drawn−0.7
Foul shots allowed+1.2
Penn has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.7 (#63 of 365) to Lafayette’s −0.4 (#194).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Penn2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | TJ Power | F | Jr | 6'9" | 30-30 | 35.1 | 16.4 | 7.6 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 55.3% | 43.2% | 6.1 | 64.9% | 27.5% | |
| 7 | Michael Zanoni | F | Sr | 6'5" | 30-30 | 28.8 | 11.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 53.1% | 38.7% | 4.7 | 92.0% | 22.1% | |
| 0 | AJ Levine | G | So | 6'0" | 30-30 | 24.3 | 8.2 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 46.2% | 27.5% | 2.3 | 63.4% | 24.7% | |
| 25 | Augustus Gerhart | F | Jr | 6'9" | 30-30 | 19.8 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 62.4% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 63.6% | 15.3% | |
| 30 | Lucas Lueth | F | So | 6'7" | 28-1 | 16.7 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 43.5% | 22.6% | 1.1 | 37.9% | 15.0% | |
| 5 | Cam Thrower | G | Sr | 6'3" | 27-6 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 47.8% | 41.9% | 2.3 | 86.8% | 23.1% | |
| 13 | Dalton Scantlebury | C | Fr | 6'9" | 29-0 | 15.5 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 51.2% | — | 0.0 | 62.3% | 23.2% | |
| 4 | Jay Jones | G | Fr | 6'4" | 27-0 | 13.7 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 48.0% | 38.9% | 0.7 | 58.9% | 18.8% | |
| 35 | Niklas Polonowski | F | Jr | 6'6" | 23-0 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 40.3% | 31.8% | 1.0 | 63.6% | 15.6% | |
| 2 | Dylan Williams | G | Sr | 5'11" | 7-0 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 40.6% | 25.0% | 0.6 | 33.3% | 24.9% | |
| 11 | Alex Massung | G | So | 6'4" | 10-0 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 35.7% | — | 0.0 | 70.0% | 24.2% | |
| 33 | Michelangelo Oberti | C | So | 6'10" | 12-0 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 69.2% | — | 0.0 | 80.0% | 20.8% | |
| 3 | Johnnie Walter | F | Sr | 6'10" | 5-0 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 0.6 | — | 11.2% | |
| 21 | Payton Kamin | F | Fr | 6'7" | 4-0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 18.4% | |
| 40 | William Kruse | F | Fr | 6'11" | 3-0 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 125.0% | 100.0% | 0.3 | — | 8.7% | |
| 15 | Bradyn Foster | F | So | 6'8" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 34 | Chris Ubochi | C | Sr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Ryan Altman | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Lafayette2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Andrew Phillips | G | So | 6'4" | 32-32 | 33.4 | 13.9 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 48.1% | 31.1% | 6.5 | 71.3% | 26.3% | |
| 1 | Caleb Williams | G | Fr | 6'0" | 31-31 | 32.7 | 16.1 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 48.3% | 33.2% | 7.4 | 87.9% | 31.1% | |
| 22 | Christian Humphrey-Rembert | F | Fr | — | 32-31 | 30.1 | 7.7 | 6.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 52.4% | 37.2% | 4.9 | 66.0% | 15.6% | |
| 44 | Shareef Jackson | F | Fr | 6'8" | 30-30 | 22.1 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 57.1% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 52.4% | 29.6% | |
| 0 | Ryan Pettit | G | Jr | 6'2" | 28-3 | 20.8 | 5.6 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 52.0% | 25.0% | 1.4 | 58.3% | 16.9% | |
| 13 | Misha Bednostin | C | So | 6'11" | 28-0 | 10.0 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 57.7% | — | 0.0 | 55.6% | 11.1% | |
| 2 | KaiMani Murdock | G | So | 6'6" | 25-0 | 10.6 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 49.3% | 33.3% | 2.5 | 33.3% | 19.1% | |
| 34 | Luke Bevilacqua | F | Fr | 6'11" | 25-1 | 9.1 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 58.5% | — | 0.0 | 55.0% | 22.1% | |
| 24 | Folabomi Fayemi | G | Fr | 6'4" | 16-0 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 31.5% | 16.7% | 0.4 | 44.4% | 21.2% | |
| 23 | Joshua Wyche | G | So | 6'7" | 11-0 | 6.9 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 37.5% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 25.0% | 9.7% | |
| 20 | Ashton Wallace | G | Fr | 6'3" | 11-0 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 100.0% | 21.0% | |
| 14 | Malik Rasul | F | Fr | 6'7" | 7-0 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 42.9% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 18.4% | |
| 11 | Luke Azzinaro | F | Fr | 6'5" | 6-0 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.5 | — | 23.1% | |
| 3 | Beckett Currie | G | Fr | 5'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Chris Rubayo | F | Sr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | Justin Vander Baan | C | Sr | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 99 | Luka Savicevic | G | Sr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 9 | TJ Berger | G | Sr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Penn2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | TJ Power | F | Jr | 6'9" | 30-30 | 35.1 | 16.4 | 7.6 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 55.3% | 43.2% | 6.1 | 64.9% | 27.5% | |
| 7 | Michael Zanoni | F | Sr | 6'5" | 30-30 | 28.8 | 11.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 53.1% | 38.7% | 4.7 | 92.0% | 22.1% | |
| 0 | AJ Levine | G | So | 6'0" | 30-30 | 24.3 | 8.2 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 46.2% | 27.5% | 2.3 | 63.4% | 24.7% | |
| 25 | Augustus Gerhart | F | Jr | 6'9" | 30-30 | 19.8 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 62.4% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 63.6% | 15.3% | |
| 30 | Lucas Lueth | F | So | 6'7" | 28-1 | 16.7 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 43.5% | 22.6% | 1.1 | 37.9% | 15.0% | |
| 5 | Cam Thrower | G | Sr | 6'3" | 27-6 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 47.8% | 41.9% | 2.3 | 86.8% | 23.1% | |
| 13 | Dalton Scantlebury | C | Fr | 6'9" | 29-0 | 15.5 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 51.2% | — | 0.0 | 62.3% | 23.2% | |
| 4 | Jay Jones | G | Fr | 6'4" | 27-0 | 13.7 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 48.0% | 38.9% | 0.7 | 58.9% | 18.8% | |
| 35 | Niklas Polonowski | F | Jr | 6'6" | 23-0 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 40.3% | 31.8% | 1.0 | 63.6% | 15.6% | |
| 2 | Dylan Williams | G | Sr | 5'11" | 7-0 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 40.6% | 25.0% | 0.6 | 33.3% | 24.9% | |
| 11 | Alex Massung | G | So | 6'4" | 10-0 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 35.7% | — | 0.0 | 70.0% | 24.2% | |
| 33 | Michelangelo Oberti | C | So | 6'10" | 12-0 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 69.2% | — | 0.0 | 80.0% | 20.8% | |
| 3 | Johnnie Walter | F | Sr | 6'10" | 5-0 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 0.6 | — | 11.2% | |
| 21 | Payton Kamin | F | Fr | 6'7" | 4-0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 18.4% | |
| 40 | William Kruse | F | Fr | 6'11" | 3-0 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 125.0% | 100.0% | 0.3 | — | 8.7% | |
| 15 | Bradyn Foster | F | So | 6'8" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 34 | Chris Ubochi | C | Sr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Ryan Altman | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Penn
Against the spread
Season
20-9
Home
8-5
Road
10-3
Last 10
8-2
avg cover +5.6
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 6 of 7 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
8-21
Home
1-12
Road
5-8
Last 10
2-8
avg vs total −3.2
Over 2 straightOver in 2 of 7 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19 | #3Illinois | N | L 70–105 | +25.5 | L−9.5 | 151.0 | O175 | 103.0 | 154.5 | 68.0 |
| Mar 15 | Yale | N | W 88–84 OT | +9.5 | W+13.5 | 144.0 | O172 | 121.7 | 116.1 | 72.3 |
| Mar 14 | Harvard | N | W 62–60 OT | +3.5 | W+5.5 | 139.0 | U122 | 88.7 | 85.9 | 69.9 |
| Mar 6 | Brown | A | W 82–61 | +1.0 | W+22.0 | 147.0 | U143 | 114.2 | 84.9 | 71.8 |
| Feb 28 | Harvard | H | W 64–61 | +1.0 | W+4.0 | 139.5 | U125 | 89.5 | 85.3 | 71.5 |
| Feb 27 | Dartmouth | H | W 80–71 | −6.5 | W+2.5 | 153.5 | U151 | 115.6 | 102.6 | 69.2 |
| Feb 21 | Yale | A | L 70–74 | +8.5 | W+4.5 | 149.5 | U144 | 105.1 | 111.1 | 66.6 |
| Feb 14 | Cornell | H | W 82–76 | +3.0 | W+9.0 | 170.0 | U158 | 107.6 | 99.7 | 76.2 |
| Feb 13 | Columbia | H | W 76–67 | −2.0 | W+7.0 | 148.0 | U143 | 108.0 | 95.2 | 70.4 |
| Feb 7 | Princeton | H | W 61–60 | −3.5 | L−2.5 | 145.0 | U121 | 104.5 | 102.8 | 58.4 |
Lafayette
Against the spread
Season
14-17
Home
4-11
Road
10-6
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −3.1
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 2 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
18-13
Home
9-6
Road
9-7
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total −2.9
Over 2 straightOver in 3 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 1 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3 | Holy Cross | H | L 77–82 | −4.5 | L−9.5 | 141.5 | O159 | 114.0 | 121.4 | 67.5 |
| Feb 28 | Army | H | W 83–77 | −3.0 | W+3.0 | 144.5 | O160 | 114.5 | 106.2 | 72.5 |
| Feb 25 | Colgate | A | W 70–69 | +8.5 | W+9.5 | 147.5 | U139 | 112.2 | 110.6 | 62.4 |
| Feb 22 | American | H | L 61–75 | +3.5 | L−10.5 | 141.0 | U136 | 103.5 | 127.3 | 58.9 |
| Feb 18 | Holy Cross | A | W 86–83 | +2.0 | W+5.0 | 139.5 | O169 | 120.3 | 116.1 | 71.5 |
| Feb 14 | Lehigh | H | L 69–78 | −1.0 | L−10.0 | 140.5 | O147 | 106.8 | 120.7 | 64.6 |
| Feb 11 | Loyola MD | H | L 54–68 | −3.0 | L−17.0 | 148.5 | U122 | 82.5 | 103.9 | 65.5 |
| Feb 7 | Army | A | W 63–60 | −1.0 | W+2.0 | 143.0 | U123 | 93.6 | 89.1 | 67.3 |
| Feb 4 | Navy | H | L 50–65 | +3.5 | L−11.5 | 141.5 | U115 | 78.7 | 102.3 | 63.5 |
| Jan 31 | American | A | W 67–65 | +5.5 | W+7.5 | 143.0 | U132 | 105.4 | 102.2 | 63.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homePennLafayette
Efficiency
107.9
103.4
107.2
112.5
69.3
68.0
—
—
Shooting
50.4%
49.3%
46.5%
50.0%
38.3%
32.2%
69.4%
68.9%
33.9%
32.4%
Ball control & glass
15.3%
15.3%
17.3%
15.1%
30.0%
25.8%
31.3%
28.6%
8.5%
7.9%
9.3%
10.5%
Style
35.4%
39.8%
39.7%
46.1%
11.0%
9.7%
52.3%
55.4%
31.8%
24.7%
Roster
2.70
1.53
6'5.9"
6'4.4"
88.4%
83.1%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputPenn
Returning minutes: 88.4%Returning production: 86.3%
Lost
- Ethan Roberts 23.4 mpg, 13.0 ppg · transferred to Notre Dame
Added
- Ryan Altman no D1 minutes last season
- Chris Ubochi no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 88% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Lafayette
Returning minutes: 83.1%Returning production: 82.8%
Lost
- Mark Butler 33.9 mpg, 10.7 ppg · transferred to Rider
Added
- Justin Vander Baan no D1 minutes last season
- Beckett Currie no D1 minutes last season
- TJ Berger no D1 minutes last season
- Chris Rubayo no D1 minutes last season
- Luka Savicevic no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 83% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Dec 8 | 2025-26 | Lafayette 72 – 74 Penn |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.