CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceLloyd Noble Center, Norman, OK
Alabama St
Efficiency #324
2025-26: 10-22 · 7-12 conf
@
Oklahoma
Efficiency #47
2025-26: 21-16 · 9-12 conf
Mon, Dec 7 · TBD
68.0
win 7%
Projected
85.3
win 93%
No line posted yet.
Model: OU −17.3 · total 153.3 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Oklahoma 67.7, Alabama St 69.6 → 69.0 possessions
+1.6
Oklahoma offense vs Alabama St defense
+8.4
Alabama St offense vs Oklahoma defense
−4.9
Projected total
153.3
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Oklahoma offense vs Alabama St defense
+8.4
Alabama St offense vs Oklahoma defense
+4.9
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Oklahoma by 17.3
17.3
Alabama St side ◂▸ Oklahoma side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Oklahoma.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Alabama St is the faster team (71.3, #42 of 365) and Oklahoma the slower (68.5, #174). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.0
per team, 40 min
Projected total
153.3
model
Projected team totals
68.0 / 85.3
Alabama St / Oklahoma
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.6#75
Alabama St
67.7#232
Oklahoma
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageOklahoma
Where Oklahoma scores: shooting
Oklahoma shoots an effective 54.9% (#40); Alabama St allows 52.2% (#222). Expect about 53.8%, 2.6 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.6 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageAlabama St
Where Alabama St struggles: shooting
Alabama St shoots an effective 47.1% (#335); Oklahoma allows 51.0% (#162). Expect about 48.7%, 2.5 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.6 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Oklahoma) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Alabama St at about 39.2% of its shots from three, Oklahoma about 43.4%.
ClashOklahoma
Strength vs strength: turnover rate
Oklahoma (#37 in turnover rate) against Alabama St (#60 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 16.7%. Historically Alabama St's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.57 vs 0.64).
Alabama St has the ball
OffenseOklahoma allowsvs D1 avg
47.1% #335
51.0% #162
-3.6 pt/100
18.3% #287
15.5% #254
-0.0 pt/100
31.9% #128
32.9% #296
+1.4 pt/100
34.9% #185
34.9% #176
-0.0 pt/100
70.5% #254
—
-0.2 pt/100
Alabama St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -2.5 pts/100
Oklahoma has the ball
OffenseAlabama St allowsvs D1 avg
54.9% #40
52.2% #222
+3.6 pt/100
14.4% #37
18.7% #60
+0.1 pt/100
32.8% #92
31.5% #230
+1.3 pt/100
35.5% #161
42.3% #328
+0.6 pt/100
75.4% #68
—
+0.3 pt/100
Oklahoma net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +6.0 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersAlabama Stoffense vsOklahomadefense
Share of shots by zone
Alabama St shoots
38.1
5.0
17.4
39.4
Oklahoma allows
36.2
6.5
17.2
40.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.4%#291 | 60.1%#235 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 32.9%#317 | 40.3%#196 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 34.3%#307 | 35.0%#77 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.8%#288 | 34.1%#189 | 33.7% |
Oklahomaoffense vsAlabama Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Oklahoma shoots
35.7
4.6
16.1
43.6
Alabama St allows
40.3
5.4
14.9
39.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.5%#143 | 61.2%#275 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 47.8%#25 | 35.3%#65 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 42.5%#46 | 35.0%#79 | 38.0% |
| Three | 36.5%#41 | 34.2%#194 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersAlabama St
−1.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#246 of 365
Off reb %
31.9%
#128
Def reb %
68.5%
#230
Turnover %
18.3%
#287
Forced TO %
18.7%
#60
FT rate
34.9%
#185
FT allowed
42.3%
#328
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.5
Defensive rebounding−0.3
Ball security−1.0
Forcing turnovers+1.4
Foul shots drawn0.0
Foul shots allowed−1.8
Oklahoma
+1.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#134 of 365
Off reb %
32.8%
#92
Def reb %
67.1%
#296
Turnover %
14.4%
#37
Forced TO %
15.5%
#254
FT rate
35.5%
#161
FT allowed
34.9%
#176
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.8
Defensive rebounding−0.7
Ball security+1.6
Forcing turnovers−0.8
Foul shots drawn+0.1
Foul shots allowed+0.1
Oklahoma has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.1 (#134 of 365) to Alabama St’s −1.3 (#246).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Alabama St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Alabama St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Micah Simpson | G | Sr | 6'2" | 32-32 | 32.7 | 13.9 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 43.8% | 33.2% | 6.9 | 76.5% | 29.6% | |
| 11 | Cameron Palesse | G | Jr | 6'5" | 32-31 | 27.7 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 42.2% | 37.5% | 1.3 | 64.0% | 14.2% | |
| 24 | Jerquarius Stanback | F | Fr | 6'9" | 32-32 | 24.6 | 8.8 | 5.8 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 52.9% | 14.3% | 0.7 | 67.8% | 21.2% | |
| 0 | Tyler Byrd | G | Jr | 6'3" | 31-12 | 24.1 | 10.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 51.4% | 30.0% | 2.6 | 77.4% | 24.8% | |
| 20 | Asjon Anderson | G | Sr | 6'2" | 28-20 | 26.6 | 14.2 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 42.8% | 31.2% | 6.1 | 83.0% | 36.0% | |
| 1 | Damarien Yates | G | Jr | 6'7" | 32-0 | 17.1 | 6.8 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 54.4% | 34.5% | 2.7 | 64.8% | 23.2% | |
| 23 | R'Chaun King | F | Fr | 6'6" | 29-17 | 12.8 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 59.5% | — | 0.0 | 72.1% | 20.1% | |
| 5 | Tyler Mack | G | Sr | 6'5" | 16-0 | 20.9 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 46.8% | 27.6% | 4.8 | 50.0% | 19.0% | |
| 4 | Mario Andrews | C | Sr | 6'6" | 31-1 | 9.2 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 50.0% | 20.0% | 0.2 | 38.9% | 12.3% | |
| 12 | Tyler Mason | F | Jr | 6'9" | 22-1 | 11.9 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 56.3% | 60.0% | 0.5 | 40.6% | 23.9% | |
| 25 | JaSteven Walker | F | Jr | 6'10" | 16-14 | 15.8 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 47.0% | 31.0% | 1.8 | 62.5% | 18.8% | |
| 3 | Trey Miller | G | Sr | 6'2" | 3-0 | 22.0 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 43.8% | 42.9% | 2.3 | 50.0% | 23.7% | |
| 22 | Kevin Alabi | F | So | 6'7" | 6-0 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 25.0% | — | 0.0 | 14.3% | 18.3% | |
| 13 | Jordon Marshall | G | Sr | 6'2" | 6-0 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 66.7% | 21.1% | |
| 7 | Damarion Bonds | G | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Damion Cox Jr. | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Oklahoma2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xzayvier Brown | G | Sr | 6'3" | 37-37 | 32.3 | 15.4 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 52.6% | 34.3% | 4.9 | 87.4% | 27.3% | |
| 32 | Duke Brennanat Villanova | F | Sr | 6'10" | 32-32 | 31.0 | 12.4 | 10.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 65.8% | — | 0.0 | 61.3% | 22.3% | |
| 5 | B.J. Edwardsat SMU | G | Sr | 6'3" | 28-28 | 33.2 | 12.7 | 5.9 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 55.1% | 37.2% | 4.0 | 77.1% | 21.8% | |
| 35 | Derrion Reid | F | Jr | 6'8" | 37-37 | 27.5 | 11.7 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 57.1% | 35.8% | 2.6 | 76.1% | 22.1% | |
| 15 | Tyler Hendricksat Utah Valley | G | Sr | 6'6" | 28-28 | 29.8 | 11.8 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 61.7% | 44.8% | 4.8 | 79.1% | 20.4% | |
| 2 | Pop Isaacsat Texas A&M | G | Sr | 6'2" | 33-8 | 22.4 | 9.8 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 54.7% | 39.6% | 4.7 | 76.0% | 25.0% | |
| 11 | Khani Roothsat Louisville | F | Jr | 6'9" | 31-2 | 15.9 | 5.3 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 50.0% | 22.4% | 1.9 | 64.9% | 20.1% | |
| 7 | Dayton Forsythe | G | Jr | 6'2" | 28-0 | 17.2 | 5.3 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 40.0% | 28.1% | 2.0 | 86.0% | 21.8% | |
| 9 | Yaak Yaakat Oregon St | C | Sr | 7'0" | 25-9 | 15.0 | 6.6 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 52.6% | 27.3% | 0.4 | 82.9% | 25.8% | |
| 8 | Kai Rogers | F | So | 6'10" | 23-0 | 8.0 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 72.7% | — | 0.0 | 57.1% | 10.5% | |
| 6 | Finley Keeffe | F | So | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Ben Moser | G | Sr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 4 | Gage Mayfield | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Quincy Wadley | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Duke Brennan (from Villanova), B.J. Edwards (from SMU), Tyler Hendricks (from Utah Valley), Pop Isaacs (from Texas A&M), Khani Rooths (from Louisville), Yaak Yaak (from Oregon St)
Alabama St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Alabama St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Micah Simpson | G | Sr | 6'2" | 32-32 | 32.7 | 13.9 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 43.8% | 33.2% | 6.9 | 76.5% | 29.6% | |
| 11 | Cameron Palesse | G | Jr | 6'5" | 32-31 | 27.7 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 42.2% | 37.5% | 1.3 | 64.0% | 14.2% | |
| 24 | Jerquarius Stanback | F | Fr | 6'9" | 32-32 | 24.6 | 8.8 | 5.8 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 52.9% | 14.3% | 0.7 | 67.8% | 21.2% | |
| 0 | Tyler Byrd | G | Jr | 6'3" | 31-12 | 24.1 | 10.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 51.4% | 30.0% | 2.6 | 77.4% | 24.8% | |
| 20 | Asjon Anderson | G | Sr | 6'2" | 28-20 | 26.6 | 14.2 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 42.8% | 31.2% | 6.1 | 83.0% | 36.0% | |
| 1 | Damarien Yates | G | Jr | 6'7" | 32-0 | 17.1 | 6.8 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 54.4% | 34.5% | 2.7 | 64.8% | 23.2% | |
| 23 | R'Chaun King | F | Fr | 6'6" | 29-17 | 12.8 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 59.5% | — | 0.0 | 72.1% | 20.1% | |
| 5 | Tyler Mack | G | Sr | 6'5" | 16-0 | 20.9 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 46.8% | 27.6% | 4.8 | 50.0% | 19.0% | |
| 4 | Mario Andrews | C | Sr | 6'6" | 31-1 | 9.2 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 50.0% | 20.0% | 0.2 | 38.9% | 12.3% | |
| 12 | Tyler Mason | F | Jr | 6'9" | 22-1 | 11.9 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 56.3% | 60.0% | 0.5 | 40.6% | 23.9% | |
| 25 | JaSteven Walker | F | Jr | 6'10" | 16-14 | 15.8 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 47.0% | 31.0% | 1.8 | 62.5% | 18.8% | |
| 3 | Trey Miller | G | Sr | 6'2" | 3-0 | 22.0 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 43.8% | 42.9% | 2.3 | 50.0% | 23.7% | |
| 22 | Kevin Alabi | F | So | 6'7" | 6-0 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 25.0% | — | 0.0 | 14.3% | 18.3% | |
| 13 | Jordon Marshall | G | Sr | 6'2" | 6-0 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 66.7% | 21.1% | |
| 7 | Damarion Bonds | G | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Damion Cox Jr. | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Alabama St
Against the spread
Season
13-18
Home
4-4
Road
8-11
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −1.2
Missed the spread 3 straightCovered 2 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
13-17-1
Home
2-6
Road
10-9
Last 10
3-6-1
avg vs total −6.2
Over in 1 of 5 as a favorite, 1 pushOver in 2 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9 | Alcorn St | N | L 65–77 | −7.5 | L−19.5 | 142.0 | P142 | 92.4 | 109.4 | 70.4 |
| Mar 5 | Grambling | H | L 63–65 | −2.5 | L−4.5 | 145.5 | U128 | 89.0 | 91.9 | 70.8 |
| Mar 3 | Southern | H | L 64–71 | +1.0 | L−6.0 | 153.0 | U135 | 90.2 | 100.0 | 71.0 |
| Feb 28 | Alabama A&M | A | W 89–88 | +1.0 | W+2.0 | 143.0 | O177 | 132.5 | 131.0 | 67.2 |
| Feb 21 | Florida A&M | A | L 63–76 | −1.5 | L−14.5 | 144.5 | U139 | 90.2 | 108.8 | 69.8 |
| Feb 19 | Bethune | A | L 71–82 | +5.5 | L−5.5 | 148.0 | O153 | 99.4 | 114.8 | 71.4 |
| Feb 16 | Miss Valley St | H | W 92–55 | −16.5 | W+20.5 | 143.0 | O147 | 127.3 | 76.1 | 72.3 |
| Feb 14 | AR-Pine Bluff | H | W 79–61 | −3.5 | W+14.5 | 150.0 | U140 | 109.1 | 84.2 | 72.4 |
| Feb 9 | Southern | A | L 68–69 | +7.0 | W+6.0 | 150.5 | U137 | 103.2 | 104.7 | 65.9 |
| Feb 7 | Grambling | A | L 47–57 | +5.0 | L−5.0 | 144.5 | U104 | 74.4 | 90.3 | 63.1 |
Oklahoma
Against the spread
Season
17-19-1
Home
7-9
Road
5-6
Last 10
8-2
avg cover +8.6
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 2 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 6 of 6 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
19-18
Home
9-7
Road
6-5
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +4.2
Over in the last gameOver in 3 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5 | West Virginia | N | L 82–89 OT | −3.0 | L−10.0 | 138.5 | O171 | 114.2 | 123.9 | 71.8 |
| Apr 4 | Baylor | N | W 82–69 | +1.5 | W+14.5 | 159.5 | U151 | 117.1 | 98.5 | 70.0 |
| Apr 1 | Colorado | N | W 90–86 OT | −9.0 | L−5.0 | 162.0 | O176 | 108.6 | 103.8 | 82.9 |
| Mar 13 | #17Arkansas | N | L 79–82 | +6.0 | W+3.0 | 167.0 | U161 | 112.9 | 117.2 | 70.0 |
| Mar 12 | Texas A&M | N | W 83–63 | +2.0 | W+22.0 | 162.0 | U146 | 127.0 | 96.4 | 65.3 |
| Mar 11 | South Carolina | N | W 86–74 | −8.0 | W+4.0 | 149.0 | O160 | 134.9 | 116.1 | 63.8 |
| Mar 7 | Texas | A | W 88–85 OT | +6.5 | W+9.5 | 153.5 | O173 | 113.6 | 109.7 | 77.5 |
| Mar 3 | Missouri | H | W 80–64 | −1.0 | W+15.0 | 154.0 | U144 | 125.9 | 100.7 | 63.5 |
| Feb 28 | LSU | A | W 83–67 | +2.0 | W+18.0 | 156.0 | U150 | 127.1 | 102.6 | 65.3 |
| Feb 24 | Auburn | H | W 91–79 | +3.0 | W+15.0 | 158.0 | O170 | 137.2 | 119.1 | 66.3 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeAlabama StOklahoma
Efficiency
102.1
117.5
111.6
107.7
69.6
67.7
—
—
Shooting
47.1%
54.9%
46.8%
55.1%
31.8%
36.5%
70.5%
75.4%
34.9%
35.5%
Ball control & glass
18.3%
14.4%
18.7%
15.5%
31.9%
32.8%
31.5%
32.9%
10.5%
8.2%
11.0%
10.2%
Style
38.5%
43.6%
41.5%
37.1%
17.7%
10.1%
47.6%
50.9%
35.4%
29.7%
Roster
3.02
3.67
6'5"
6'5.9"
—
38.4%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputAlabama St
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Alabama St's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Oklahoma
Returning minutes: 38.4%Returning production: 36.7%
Lost
- Nijel Pack 30.5 mpg, 16.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tae Davis 29.7 mpg, 13.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Mohamed Wague 22.4 mpg, 6.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jadon Jones 18.0 mpg, 5.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kirill Elatontsev 8.6 mpg, 2.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kuol Atak 8.0 mpg, 4.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Duke Brennan from Villanova · 30.1 mpg, 12.1 ppg last season
- B.J. Edwards from SMU · 27.4 mpg, 10.5 ppg last season
- Tyler Hendricks from Utah Valley · 24.5 mpg, 9.7 ppg last season
- Pop Isaacs from Texas A&M · 21.7 mpg, 9.5 ppg last season
- Khani Rooths from Louisville · 14.1 mpg, 4.7 ppg last season
- Yaak Yaak from Oregon St · 11.3 mpg, 5.0 ppg last season
Returns 38% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.