CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceNeutral siteJenny Craig Pavilion, San Diego, CARady Children's Invitational
Georgetown
Efficiency #95
2025-26: 16-18 · 8-15 conf
vs
Texas
Efficiency #38
2025-26: 21-15 · 9-10 conf
Thu, Nov 26 · 2:30 PM ET
72.9
win 35%
Projected
77.4
win 65%
No line posted yet.
Model: TEX −4.5 · total 150.3 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Texas 67.8, Georgetown 67.6 → 67.1 possessions
−2.7
Texas offense vs Georgetown defense
+4.7
Georgetown offense vs Texas defense
+0.1
Projected total
150.3
Axis starts at 142 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Texas offense vs Georgetown defense
+4.7
Georgetown offense vs Texas defense
−0.1
Texas by 4.5
4.5
Georgetown side ◂▸ Texas side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +4.6 against +4.5. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Texas.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 67.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Texas is the faster team (68.2, #193 of 365) and Georgetown the slower (67.0, #244). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
67.1
per team, 40 min
Projected total
150.3
model
Projected team totals
72.9 / 77.4
Georgetown / Texas
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
67.6#247
Georgetown
67.8#223
Texas
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageGeorgetown
Where Georgetown scores: ball control
Georgetown turns it over on 15.8% of possessions (#119); Texas forces turnovers on 13.0% of opponent possessions (#355). Expect about 13.8%, 3.0 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.7 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageTexas
Where Texas scores: the offensive glass
Texas rebounds 35.4% of its own misses (#35); Georgetown lets opponents grab 31.5% of their own misses (#228). Expect about 34.4%, 4.0 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.5 points per 100 possessions.
ClashGeorgetown
Style match: 3-point volume
Georgetown rarely shoots threes (35.2% of its shots); Texas runs teams off the line (33.0% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 31.9% — both habits push the same way.
TurnoversTexas
Texas protects the ball
Projected turnover rate of 15.4% is worth roughly +1.7 points per 100 possessions for Texas's offense.
ClashGeorgetown
Style clash: ball movement
Georgetown assists on 57.8% of its made baskets; Texas breaks up passing offenses (assists on 46.0% allowed) (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 51.7% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.65 vs 0.65).
Georgetown has the ball
OffenseTexas allowsvs D1 avg
49.6% #257
50.8% #144
-1.7 pt/100
15.8% #119
13.0% #355
+3.7 pt/100
32.5% #107
26.9% #35
-0.1 pt/100
37.3% #121
39.6% #297
+0.5 pt/100
74.0% #133
—
+0.1 pt/100
Georgetown net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.4 pts/100
Texas has the ball
OffenseGeorgetown allowsvs D1 avg
54.1% #65
49.9% #96
+1.3 pt/100
15.0% #67
16.2% #212
+1.7 pt/100
35.4% #35
31.5% #228
+2.5 pt/100
44.2% #7
33.9% #146
+0.5 pt/100
74.4% #110
—
+0.2 pt/100
Texas net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +6.1 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersGeorgetownoffense vsTexasdefense
Share of shots by zone
Georgetown shoots
39.1
6.3
19.7
35.0
Texas allows
39.2
5.2
22.8
32.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.9%#243 | 57.6%#134 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 39.7%#182 | 42.3%#234 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.9%#80 | 38.2%#165 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.8%#285 | 34.7%#230 | 33.7% |
Texasoffense vsGeorgetowndefense
Share of shots by zone
Texas shoots
39.0
5.9
19.7
35.5
Georgetown allows
35.4
4.9
18.7
41.1
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 61.9%#74 | 56.6%#105 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.9%#197 | 33.3%#31 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 42.1%#51 | 41.9%#294 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.1%#107 | 33.3%#139 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersGeorgetown
+1.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#113 of 365
Off reb %
32.5%
#107
Def reb %
68.5%
#228
Turnover %
15.8%
#119
Forced TO %
16.2%
#212
FT rate
37.3%
#121
FT allowed
33.9%
#146
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.7
Defensive rebounding−0.3
Ball security+0.7
Forcing turnovers−0.3
Foul shots drawn+0.6
Foul shots allowed+0.3
Texas
+2.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#67 of 365
Off reb %
35.4%
#35
Def reb %
73.1%
#35
Turnover %
15.0%
#67
Forced TO %
13.0%
#355
FT rate
44.2%
#7
FT allowed
39.6%
#297
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.6
Defensive rebounding+1.2
Ball security+1.2
Forcing turnovers−2.5
Foul shots drawn+2.4
Foul shots allowed−1.1
Texas has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.7 (#67 of 365) to Georgetown’s +1.7 (#113).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Georgetown2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Georgetown's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Malik Mack | G | Jr | 6'2" | 34-34 | 32.2 | 13.6 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 45.0% | 29.8% | 5.5 | 81.8% | 28.8% | |
| 4 | Caleb Williams | F | So | 6'7" | 33-33 | 30.0 | 8.8 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 54.2% | 37.7% | 3.5 | 75.4% | 17.1% | |
| 5 | KJ Lewis | G | Jr | 6'4" | 28-27 | 30.0 | 14.9 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 45.6% | 30.5% | 3.8 | 75.2% | 33.1% | |
| 25 | Jeremiah Williams | G | Sr | 6'4" | 34-7 | 20.3 | 5.9 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 43.1% | 37.1% | 1.0 | 67.9% | 22.7% | |
| 7 | Isaiah Abraham | F | So | 6'7" | 33-31 | 19.9 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 47.2% | 32.5% | 2.3 | 69.4% | 15.9% | |
| 11 | Julius Halaifonua | C | So | 7'0" | 32-28 | 19.8 | 9.5 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 62.4% | 27.3% | 0.7 | 74.7% | 24.1% | |
| 3 | Vince Iwuchukwu | C | Sr | 7'1" | 24-6 | 23.2 | 11.6 | 6.1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 56.6% | 37.5% | 0.7 | 75.5% | 28.5% | |
| 45 | Kayvaun Mulready | G | So | 6'4" | 32-2 | 16.8 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 52.8% | 34.1% | 2.8 | 72.4% | 20.5% | |
| 0 | Jayden Fort | F | So | 6'9" | 34-1 | 13.6 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 50.6% | 10.0% | 0.3 | 60.0% | 15.7% | |
| 13 | Langston Love | G | Sr | 6'5" | 22-1 | 12.4 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 45.6% | 25.0% | 1.5 | 80.0% | 16.5% | |
| 1 | DeShawn Harris-Smith | G | Jr | 6'5" | 6-0 | 16.7 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 70.0% | 16.7% | |
| 14 | Seal Diouf | C | So | 6'9" | 10-0 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 22.2% | — | 0.0 | 33.3% | 24.1% | |
| 22 | Mason Moses | G | So | 6'6" | 3-0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 100.0% | 27.4% | |
| 30 | Michael Van Raaphorst | G | So | 6'2" | 3-0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 14.5% | |
| 12 | Austin Montgomery | F | Jr | 6'6" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 8 | Gabriel Landeira | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | Hashem Asadallah | G | Jr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Texas2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Jordan Pope | G | Sr | 6'1" | 36-35 | 29.0 | 13.1 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 51.3% | 37.2% | 6.4 | 84.0% | 25.7% | |
| 8 | Matas Vokietaitis | C | So | 7'0" | 36-36 | 26.0 | 15.6 | 7.1 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 61.9% | — | 0.0 | 66.9% | 31.8% | |
| 5 | Camden Heide | F | Jr | 6'7" | 35-29 | 22.5 | 5.9 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 66.1% | 45.4% | 3.1 | 70.6% | 12.5% | |
| 2 | Chendall Weaver | G | Sr | 6'3" | 36-2 | 20.9 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 47.3% | 21.7% | 1.3 | 71.4% | 17.5% | |
| 7 | Simeon Wilcher | G | Jr | 6'4" | 36-1 | 18.6 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 45.6% | 33.7% | 2.6 | 91.7% | 20.7% | |
| 10 | Nic Codie | F | So | 6'8" | 24-4 | 15.8 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 50.6% | 14.3% | 0.6 | 63.0% | 16.8% | |
| 23 | Lassina Traore | F | Sr | 6'10" | 23-1 | 15.7 | 3.4 | 5.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 44.9% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 66.0% | 15.3% | |
| 4 | Declan Duru Jr. | F | Fr | 6'8" | 12-0 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.4 | 25.0% | 12.9% | |
| 33 | Anthon McDermott | G | Fr | 6'4" | 7-0 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 0.6 | — | 15.7% | |
| 1 | Cole Bott | F | Sr | 6'6" | 6-0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 150.0% | 100.0% | 0.2 | — | 7.4% | |
| 44 | Brandon Taylor | G | Sr | 5'10" | 4-0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 30.0% | 25.0% | 1.0 | — | 64.8% | |
| 9 | John Clark | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Lewis Obiorah | C | Fr | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Georgetown2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Georgetown's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Malik Mack | G | Jr | 6'2" | 34-34 | 32.2 | 13.6 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 45.0% | 29.8% | 5.5 | 81.8% | 28.8% | |
| 4 | Caleb Williams | F | So | 6'7" | 33-33 | 30.0 | 8.8 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 54.2% | 37.7% | 3.5 | 75.4% | 17.1% | |
| 5 | KJ Lewis | G | Jr | 6'4" | 28-27 | 30.0 | 14.9 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 45.6% | 30.5% | 3.8 | 75.2% | 33.1% | |
| 25 | Jeremiah Williams | G | Sr | 6'4" | 34-7 | 20.3 | 5.9 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 43.1% | 37.1% | 1.0 | 67.9% | 22.7% | |
| 7 | Isaiah Abraham | F | So | 6'7" | 33-31 | 19.9 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 47.2% | 32.5% | 2.3 | 69.4% | 15.9% | |
| 11 | Julius Halaifonua | C | So | 7'0" | 32-28 | 19.8 | 9.5 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 62.4% | 27.3% | 0.7 | 74.7% | 24.1% | |
| 3 | Vince Iwuchukwu | C | Sr | 7'1" | 24-6 | 23.2 | 11.6 | 6.1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 56.6% | 37.5% | 0.7 | 75.5% | 28.5% | |
| 45 | Kayvaun Mulready | G | So | 6'4" | 32-2 | 16.8 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 52.8% | 34.1% | 2.8 | 72.4% | 20.5% | |
| 0 | Jayden Fort | F | So | 6'9" | 34-1 | 13.6 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 50.6% | 10.0% | 0.3 | 60.0% | 15.7% | |
| 13 | Langston Love | G | Sr | 6'5" | 22-1 | 12.4 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 45.6% | 25.0% | 1.5 | 80.0% | 16.5% | |
| 1 | DeShawn Harris-Smith | G | Jr | 6'5" | 6-0 | 16.7 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 70.0% | 16.7% | |
| 14 | Seal Diouf | C | So | 6'9" | 10-0 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 22.2% | — | 0.0 | 33.3% | 24.1% | |
| 22 | Mason Moses | G | So | 6'6" | 3-0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 100.0% | 27.4% | |
| 30 | Michael Van Raaphorst | G | So | 6'2" | 3-0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 14.5% | |
| 12 | Austin Montgomery | F | Jr | 6'6" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 8 | Gabriel Landeira | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | Hashem Asadallah | G | Jr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Georgetown
Against the spread
Season
14-19-1
Home
4-12-1
Road
8-4
Last 10
5-4-1
avg cover +2.6
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 7 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
18-16
Home
13-4
Road
3-9
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −1.7
Under in the last gameOver in 3 of 7 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13 | #6UConn | N | L 51–67 | +14.0 | L−2.0 | 139.0 | U118 | 85.7 | 112.6 | 59.5 |
| Mar 12 | Villanova | N | W 78–64 | +6.5 | W+20.5 | 141.0 | O142 | 121.1 | 99.4 | 64.4 |
| Mar 11 | DePaul | N | W 63–56 | +5.0 | W+12.0 | 130.0 | U119 | 100.2 | 89.0 | 62.9 |
| Mar 7 | Providence | H | W 80–79 | −1.0 | P0.0 | 157.0 | O159 | 109.8 | 108.5 | 72.8 |
| Mar 3 | #18St John's | A | L 69–72 | +15.5 | W+12.5 | 148.0 | U141 | 99.2 | 103.5 | 69.6 |
| Feb 28 | Xavier | A | L 84–91 | +4.5 | L−2.5 | 154.0 | O175 | 117.6 | 127.4 | 71.4 |
| Feb 24 | Marquette | H | L 60–76 | −2.5 | L−18.5 | 150.5 | U136 | 92.0 | 116.6 | 65.2 |
| Feb 21 | Seton Hall | A | L 47–51 | +5.5 | W+1.5 | 136.0 | U98 | 74.4 | 80.8 | 63.1 |
| Feb 18 | Butler | H | L 89–93 | −6.0 | L−10.0 | 147.0 | O182 | 130.5 | 136.4 | 68.2 |
| Feb 14 | #6UConn | A | L 75–79 | +17.0 | W+13.0 | 138.5 | O154 | 114.7 | 120.8 | 65.4 |
Texas
Against the spread
Season
20-15
Home
8-9
Road
7-3
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −1.2
Covered 4 straightCovered 5 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
20-15
Home
10-7
Road
7-3
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total +0.1
Over in the last gameOver in 3 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26 | #2Purdue | N | L 77–79 | +8.5 | W+6.5 | 146.5 | O156 | 126.6 | 129.9 | 60.8 |
| Mar 21 | #3Gonzaga | N | W 74–68 | +6.0 | W+12.0 | 147.5 | U142 | 115.6 | 106.3 | 64.0 |
| Mar 19 | #6BYU | N | W 79–71 | +2.5 | W+10.5 | 158.0 | U150 | 118.0 | 106.0 | 67.0 |
| Mar 17 | #11NC State | N | W 68–66 | +1.0 | W+3.0 | 157.5 | U134 | 100.5 | 97.5 | 67.7 |
| Mar 11 | Ole Miss | N | L 66–76 | −6.0 | L−16.0 | 148.0 | U142 | 94.7 | 109.1 | 69.7 |
| Mar 7 | Oklahoma | H | L 85–88 OT | −6.5 | L−9.5 | 153.5 | O173 | 109.7 | 113.6 | 77.5 |
| Mar 4 | #20Arkansas | A | L 85–105 | +7.0 | L−13.0 | 164.5 | O190 | 107.5 | 132.8 | 79.0 |
| Feb 28 | Texas A&M | A | W 76–70 | +2.5 | W+8.5 | 160.5 | U146 | 110.5 | 101.8 | 68.8 |
| Feb 25 | #7Florida | H | L 71–84 | +7.0 | L−6.0 | 158.5 | U155 | 110.0 | 130.1 | 64.5 |
| Feb 21 | Georgia | A | L 80–91 | +3.0 | L−8.0 | 163.5 | O171 | 129.0 | 146.7 | 62.0 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeGeorgetownTexas
Efficiency
110.7
117.6
106.3
106.4
67.6
67.8
—
—
Shooting
49.6%
54.1%
50.7%
54.8%
31.8%
35.1%
74.0%
74.4%
37.3%
44.2%
Ball control & glass
15.8%
15.0%
16.2%
13.0%
32.5%
35.4%
31.5%
26.9%
9.2%
9.1%
9.1%
10.0%
Style
35.2%
35.8%
44.1%
42.2%
16.0%
14.9%
57.8%
43.7%
33.5%
30.9%
Roster
2.74
3.13
6'6.3"
6'6"
—
69.6%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputGeorgetown
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Georgetown's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Texas
Returning minutes: 69.6%Returning production: 60.5%
Lost
- Dailyn Swain 32.9 mpg, 17.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tramon Mark 28.3 mpg, 14.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Lewis Obiorah no D1 minutes last season
- John Clark no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 70% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.