Liberty Flames vs High Point Panthers basketball final score
Sun, Nov 1 · 11:59 PM ET · Rock Hill Sports & Event Center, Rock Hill, SC (neutral site)
Field of 68 Opening Day MarathonNeutral siteNon-conferenceYouTubeRock Hill Sports & Event Center, Rock Hill, SC
Liberty
2025-26: 26-8 · 17-4 conf
Efficiency #103
vs
High Point
2025-26: 31-5 · 18-1 conf
Efficiency #50
Final
5772
Final score
Projected 75.8 – 78.8
LIB win 40%HPU win 60%
MarketClose
Spread
HPU −9.5
open HPU −7.5
Total
155.0
open 154.5
Our line
HPU −3.0
as of Sun, Nov 1 · 11:31 PM ET
Our play
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
High Pointrated 7.9 above average
+7.9
Libertyrated 4.9 above average
−4.9
Our line
HPU −3.0
◂ Liberty sideHigh Point side ▸
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward High Point. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 67.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, High Point is the faster team (71.2, #45 of 365) and Liberty the slower (64.5, #339). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
67.8
per team, 40 min
Market total
155.0
Market close · open 154.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
66.1#340
Liberty
70.1#43
High Point
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
HPU −3.0
Four factors +5.1 · not in these stats −2.1
From the four factors
High Point has the ball+5.1
Liberty has the ball0.0
High Point has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 54.5% #51 · LIB allows 52.7% #251+2.5
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 12.8% #5 · LIB forces 17.1% #147 · ~10 turnovers+1.7
✓Wins second chancesOR% 31.8% #131 · LIB allows 33.1% #302+0.9
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 40.8% #50 · LIB allows 27.0% #23 · FT 74.3% #112−0.1
Liberty has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 59.1% #4 · HPU allows 50.5% #126+4.0
✗Few second chancesOR% 19.3% #365 · HPU allows 31.1% #207−3.1
✗Coughs it upTO% 13.4% #12 · HPU forces 21.3% #8 · ~12 turnovers−0.8
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 31.4% #273 · HPU allows 35.5% #199 · FT 71.4% #228−0.2
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersLibertyoffense vsHigh Pointdefense
Share of shots by zone
Liberty shoots
42.9
4.9
4.4
47.7
High Point allows
41.2
5.0
13.1
40.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 64.5%#28 | 57.7%#138 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 41.0%#147 | 40.5%#198 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.0%#109 | 35.3%#83 | 38.0% |
| Three | 38.6%#8 | 32.6%#97 | 33.7% |
High Pointoffense vsLibertydefense
Share of shots by zone
High Point shoots
44.7
4.2
7.4
43.7
Liberty allows
40.8
8.7
14.1
36.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 63.0%#50 | 55.8%#83 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 33.8%#308 | 43.2%#255 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 33.6%#320 | 39.9%#240 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.2%#161 | 37.7%#353 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersLiberty
−0.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#207 of 365
Off reb %
19.3%
#365
Def reb %
66.9%
#302
Turnover %
13.4%
#12
Forced TO %
17.1%
#147
FT rate
31.4%
#273
FT allowed
27.0%
#23
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−3.6
Defensive rebounding−0.8
Ball security+2.3
Forcing turnovers+0.2
Foul shots drawn−0.9
Foul shots allowed+2.1
High Point
+7.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#4 of 365
Off reb %
31.8%
#131
Def reb %
68.9%
#207
Turnover %
12.8%
#5
Forced TO %
21.3%
#8
FT rate
40.8%
#50
FT allowed
35.5%
#199
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.5
Defensive rebounding−0.1
Ball security+2.7
Forcing turnovers+3.1
Foul shots drawn+1.5
Foul shots allowed−0.1
High Point has more extra scoring chances per game: +7.5 (#4 of 365) to Liberty’s −0.6 (#207).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Liberty2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | G | Fr | 6'5" | 2-2 | 30.0 | 12.0 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 37.0% | 14.3% | 3.5 | 100.0% | 27.6% | |
| 1 | G | So | 6'6" | 2-2 | 27.5 | 17.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 79.5% | 62.5% | 4.0 | 0.0% | 27.9% | |
| 2 | G | Fr | 6'5" | 2-1 | 24.5 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 28.6% | 15.4% | 6.5 | 50.0% | 18.8% | |
| 3 | G | Jr | 6'1" | 2-2 | 23.5 | 13.0 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 63.9% | 42.9% | 3.5 | 75.0% | 28.1% | |
| 32 | G | Jr | 6'3" | 2-0 | 17.0 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 78.6% | 33.3% | 1.5 | — | 11.8% | |
| 4 | F | Jr | 6'9" | 1-1 | 33.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 2.0 | — | 11.2% | |
| 10 | G | Sr | 6'2" | 2-0 | 13.5 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 70.8% | 37.5% | 4.0 | 100.0% | 32.2% | |
| 21 | F | Jr | 6'9" | 2-1 | 13.5 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 70.0% | 57.1% | 3.5 | — | 23.6% | |
| 30 | F | Fr | 6'7" | 2-0 | 11.5 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 83.3% | — | 0.0 | — | 17.2% | |
| 28 | F | Sr | 6'6" | 1-1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 14.3% | |
| 15 | F | So | 6'9" | 2-0 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 42.9% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 50.0% | 33.5% | |
| 24 | F | Jr | 6'9" | 1-0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 33.0% | |
| 23 | F | So | 6'9" | 1-0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 13.7% | |
| 20 | F | So | 6'7" | 1-0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 150.0% | 100.0% | 1.0 | — | 13.7% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Liberty
Against the spread
Season
13-18
Home
6-7
Road
7-7
Last 10
3-7
avg cover −6.2
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 2 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
18-13
Home
8-5
Road
7-7
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +5.3
Under in the last gameOver in 5 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21 | Nevada | A | L 63–73 | +7.0 | L−3.0 | 147.5 | U136 | 101.5 | 117.6 | 62.0 |
| Mar 17 | George Mason | A | W 77–71 | +3.0 | W+9.0 | 141.5 | O148 | 122.3 | 112.8 | 63.0 |
| Mar 11 | Missouri St | N | L 69–77 | −5.0 | L−13.0 | 142.5 | O146 | 108.0 | 120.6 | 63.9 |
| Mar 7 | Sam Houston | H | W 79–72 | −4.5 | W+2.5 | 152.5 | U151 | 127.1 | 115.8 | 62.2 |
| Mar 5 | Louisiana Tech | H | L 71–76 | −8.5 | L−13.5 | 139.0 | O147 | 118.8 | 127.1 | 59.8 |
| Feb 28 | Jax State | A | W 81–78 | −4.0 | L−1.0 | 139.0 | O159 | 127.5 | 122.8 | 63.5 |
| Feb 26 | Kennesaw St | A | L 65–74 | +1.0 | L−8.0 | 152.5 | U139 | 102.7 | 116.9 | 63.3 |
| Feb 21 | Western KY | H | L 73–94 | −7.5 | L−28.5 | 149.0 | O167 | 105.3 | 135.5 | 69.3 |
| Feb 19 | FIU | H | W 90–89 OT | −10.5 | L−9.5 | 153.5 | O179 | 113.6 | 112.3 | 79.2 |
| Feb 14 | UTEP | A | W 73–64 | −6.5 | W+2.5 | 138.5 | U137 | 118.9 | 104.3 | 61.4 |
High Point
Against the spread
Season
17-16
Home
8-7
Road
4-5
Last 10
5-5
avg cover +1.9
Covered 3 straightCovered 3 of 8 as a favoriteCovered 4 of 8 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
22-11
Home
8-7
Road
7-2
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +3.4
Over 3 straightOver in 5 of 8 as a favoriteOver in 5 of 8 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21 | #4Arkansas | N | L 88–94 | +12.0 | W+6.0 | 170.5 | O182 | 113.8 | 121.5 | 77.4 |
| Mar 19 | #5Wisconsin | N | W 83–82 | +10.0 | W+11.0 | 161.5 | O165 | 113.7 | 112.3 | 73.0 |
| Mar 8 | Winthrop | N | W 91–76 | −7.0 | W+8.0 | 157.5 | O167 | 116.0 | 96.9 | 78.5 |
| Mar 7 | UNC Asheville | N | W 75–71 | −13.0 | L−9.0 | 147.5 | U146 | 110.5 | 104.6 | 67.9 |
| Mar 6 | Gardner-Webb | N | W 81–59 | −27.5 | L−5.5 | 156.5 | U140 | 115.3 | 84.0 | 70.3 |
| Feb 26 | Presbyterian | A | W 79–73 | −11.5 | L−5.5 | 151.5 | O152 | 115.6 | 106.8 | 68.3 |
| Feb 21 | Winthrop | H | W 89–87 | −9.5 | L−7.5 | 166.5 | O176 | 120.5 | 117.8 | 73.9 |
| Feb 19 | UNC Asheville | H | W 74–48 | −15.0 | W+11.0 | 152.0 | U122 | 115.0 | 74.6 | 64.4 |
| Feb 14 | Gardner-Webb | A | W 112–87 | −25.5 | L−0.5 | 162.0 | O199 | 143.5 | 111.4 | 78.1 |
| Feb 12 | SC Upstate | A | W 95–70 | −14.0 | W+11.0 | 154.5 | O165 | 126.6 | 93.3 | 75.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeLibertyHigh Point
Efficiency
114.2
115.4
110.5
105.8
66.1
70.1
Shooting
59.1%
54.5%
60.2%
57.0%
38.6%
34.2%
71.4%
74.3%
31.4%
40.8%
Ball control & glass
13.4%
12.8%
17.1%
21.3%
19.3%
31.8%
33.1%
31.1%
8.0%
6.8%
11.0%
10.7%
Style
47.7%
43.6%
43.0%
43.6%
8.5%
18.9%
61.4%
52.8%
19.7%
38.5%
Roster
3.13
3.52
6'2.9"
6'5.7"
10.5%
31.7%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputLiberty
Returning minutes: 10.5%Returning production: 7.4%
Lost
- Zach Cleveland 33.9 mpg, 11.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Brett Decker Jr. 33.6 mpg, 16.9 ppg · transferred to Baylor
- Kaden Metheny 32.9 mpg, 12.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Colin Porter 32.3 mpg, 10.5 ppg · transferred to Marquette
- JJ Harper 26.8 mpg, 10.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Josh Smith 14.9 mpg, 7.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Cooper Campbell from Troy · 33.8 mpg, 12.5 ppg last season
- Cobi Campbell from Troy · 27.1 mpg, 8.8 ppg last season
- Sean Register Jr. no D1 minutes last season
- Eli Sancomb no D1 minutes last season
- Osmar Garcia-Araujo no D1 minutes last season
- Reece Davidson no D1 minutes last season
Returns 10% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
High Point
Returning minutes: 31.7%Returning production: 31.7%
Lost
- Terry Anderson 26.9 mpg, 16.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Rob Martin 26.6 mpg, 15.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Owen Aquino 26.5 mpg, 9.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Scotty Washington 18.8 mpg, 8.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Chase Johnston 12.7 mpg, 6.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Vincent Brady II 11.4 mpg, 3.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Jason Rivera-Torres from Monmouth · 35.2 mpg, 15.8 ppg last season
- Curtis Williams Jr. from Tulane · 32.1 mpg, 12.4 ppg last season
- CJ Brown from South Florida · 26.6 mpg, 10.9 ppg last season
- Isaac Garrett from Oakland · 25.3 mpg, 12.0 ppg last season
- Frankquon Sherman from Kennesaw St · 25.2 mpg, 10.4 ppg last season
- Filip Brankovic from UT Rio Grande · 23.3 mpg, 12.6 ppg last season
Returns 32% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -7.5→-9.5-112 | 154.5→155.5o-108 u-112 | -410 | +320 |
| FanDuel | -8.5→-9.5-110 | 155.5o-115 u-105 | -465 | +350 |
| BetMGM | -6.5→-9.5-110 | 154.5→155.5o-110 u-110 | -425 | +320 |
| BetRivers | -7.5→-9.5-109 | 154.5→155.5o-107 u-115 | -530 | +370 |
| Caesars | -8→-9.5-110 | 153.5→156.5o-110 u-110 | -440 | +335 |
| Fanatics | -7.5→-9.5-115 | 154.5→155.5o-110 u-110 | -425 | +325 |
| BetOnline | -7.5→-9.5-112 | 155→156.5o+100 u-120 | -420 | +330 |
| Bovada | -6.5→-9-105 | 155.5o-115 u-105 | -380 | +290 |
| theScore Bet | -7.5→-9.5-105 | 154.5→155.5o-110 u-110 | -425 | +320 |
| Hard Rock | -7.5→-9.5-110 | 154.5o-115 u-105 | -525 | +375 |
| Kalshi | -9.5-104 | 156.5o+100 u-108 | -376 | +355 |
| Polymarket | — | — | -376 | +355 |
| Novig | -7.5→— | 155.5→— | -400 | +376 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.