CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceCharles Koch Arena, Wichita, KS
SE Missouri
Efficiency #209
2025-26: 20-13 · 15-7 conf
@
Wichita St
Efficiency #60
2025-26: 24-12 · 14-6 conf
Mon, Nov 30 · TBD
67.0
win 18%
Projected
77.5
win 82%
No line posted yet.
Model: WICH −10.4 · total 144.5 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Wichita St 67.9, SE Missouri 69.4 → 69.0 possessions
+1.4
Wichita St offense vs SE Missouri defense
+0.7
SE Missouri offense vs Wichita St defense
−5.8
Projected total
144.5
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Wichita St offense vs SE Missouri defense
+0.7
SE Missouri offense vs Wichita St defense
+5.8
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Wichita St by 10.4
10.4
SE Missouri side ◂▸ Wichita St side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +10.5 against +10.4. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Wichita St.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, SE Missouri is the faster team (69.9, #98 of 365) and Wichita St the slower (67.8, #211). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.0
per team, 40 min
Projected total
144.5
model
Projected team totals
67.0 / 77.5
SE Missouri / Wichita St
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.4#92
SE Missouri
67.9#218
Wichita St
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageSE Missouri
Where SE Missouri struggles: shooting
SE Missouri shoots an effective 49.8% (#244); Wichita St allows 47.2% (#24). Expect about 48.4%, 2.9 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -4.1 points per 100 possessions.
ClashWichita St
Style match: ball movement
Wichita St creates off the dribble (assists on 41.3% of its baskets); SE Missouri breaks up passing offenses (assists on 43.9% allowed) (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 39.7% — both habits push the same way.
AdvantageWichita St
Where Wichita St struggles: shooting
Wichita St shoots an effective 49.4% (#274); SE Missouri allows 48.8% (#57). Expect about 48.9%, 2.3 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.3 points per 100 possessions.
ClashSE Missouri
Style match: ball movement
SE Missouri creates off the dribble (assists on 45.7% of its baskets); Wichita St breaks up passing offenses (assists on 43.8% allowed) (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 42.5% — both habits push the same way.
GlassWichita St
Wichita St owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 34.7% is worth roughly +2.6 points per 100 possessions for Wichita St's offense.
ClashWichita St
Style match: 3-point volume
Wichita St rarely shoots threes (33.8% of its shots); SE Missouri runs teams off the line (33.2% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 30.9% — both habits push the same way.
SE Missouri has the ball
OffenseWichita St allowsvs D1 avg
49.8% #244
47.2% #24
-4.1 pt/100
16.9% #192
15.7% #235
+0.8 pt/100
29.6% #218
28.8% #93
-0.8 pt/100
38.8% #84
34.3% #158
+0.2 pt/100
69.5% #281
—
-0.3 pt/100
SE Missouri net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -4.3 pts/100
Wichita St has the ball
OffenseSE Missouri allowsvs D1 avg
49.4% #274
48.8% #57
-3.3 pt/100
14.9% #60
18.1% #91
+0.3 pt/100
38.0% #8
28.2% #76
+2.6 pt/100
36.0% #149
48.0% #361
+1.0 pt/100
69.2% #291
—
-0.3 pt/100
Wichita St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +0.3 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersSE Missourioffense vsWichita Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
SE Missouri shoots
43.5
6.5
14.5
35.5
Wichita St allows
35.7
9.5
20.8
34.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.7%#168 | 53.9%#39 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 34.7%#292 | 35.5%#73 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 34.8%#295 | 39.8%#235 | 38.0% |
| Three | 30.9%#324 | 31.5%#44 | 33.7% |
Wichita Stoffense vsSE Missouridefense
Share of shots by zone
Wichita St shoots
39.0
11.0
16.9
33.1
SE Missouri allows
40.5
9.7
17.0
32.7
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.4%#288 | 53.5%#30 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 39.9%#177 | 36.6%#104 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.4%#174 | 41.9%#299 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.5%#195 | 33.1%#130 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersSE Missouri
−0.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#224 of 365
Off reb %
29.6%
#218
Def reb %
71.8%
#76
Turnover %
16.9%
#192
Forced TO %
18.1%
#91
FT rate
38.8%
#84
FT allowed
48.0%
#361
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.3
Defensive rebounding+0.8
Ball security−0.1
Forcing turnovers+1.0
Foul shots drawn+1.0
Foul shots allowed−3.3
Wichita St
+4.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#34 of 365
Off reb %
38.0%
#8
Def reb %
71.2%
#93
Turnover %
14.9%
#60
Forced TO %
15.7%
#235
FT rate
36.0%
#149
FT allowed
34.3%
#158
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.5
Defensive rebounding+0.6
Ball security+1.3
Forcing turnovers−0.7
Foul shots drawn+0.2
Foul shots allowed+0.2
Wichita St has more extra scoring chances per game: +4.1 (#34 of 365) to SE Missouri’s −0.9 (#224).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
SE Missouri2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted SE Missouri's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BJ Ward | G | Jr | 6'0" | 33-33 | 30.2 | 10.9 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 46.4% | 35.0% | 4.3 | 81.0% | 24.3% | |
| 44 | Braxton Stacker | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-33 | 28.2 | 11.8 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 48.7% | 31.9% | 4.4 | 80.3% | 24.6% | |
| 10 | Luke Almodovar | G | Jr | 6'3" | 33-23 | 27.0 | 14.1 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 51.5% | 31.6% | 6.3 | 76.0% | 28.8% | |
| 15 | Brendan Terry | F | Sr | 6'7" | 33-24 | 25.1 | 11.3 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 55.8% | 34.6% | 0.8 | 61.5% | 26.6% | |
| 55 | Marqueas Bell | G | Jr | 6'3" | 33-10 | 22.1 | 9.1 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 53.5% | 30.8% | 0.4 | 73.9% | 23.6% | |
| 7 | Landren Blocker | G | So | 6'5" | 33-28 | 17.8 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 54.5% | 41.7% | 0.7 | 48.2% | 18.1% | |
| 4 | Troy Cole Jr. | G | Sr | 6'4" | 33-4 | 13.5 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 43.4% | 7.0% | 1.3 | 68.3% | 21.6% | |
| 18 | David Idada | C | Sr | 7'0" | 33-10 | 10.7 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 54.8% | — | 0.0 | 54.3% | 10.8% | |
| 1 | PJ Farmer | G | Fr | 6'2" | 32-0 | 9.3 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 43.1% | 10.5% | 0.6 | 58.8% | 17.1% | |
| 9 | Blaize Sagna | G | Sr | 6'3" | 27-0 | 8.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 41.9% | 25.0% | 1.0 | 90.0% | 11.7% | |
| 30 | Elliot Lowndes | F | Sr | 7'0" | 32-0 | 7.1 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 58.5% | 34.3% | 1.1 | 50.0% | 19.3% | |
| 25 | Jay Reynolds | G | Fr | 6'3" | 10-0 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 28.9% | 20.0% | 1.5 | 50.0% | 22.8% | |
| 3 | Trace Sadler | F | Fr | 7'1" | 12-0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 85.7% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 10.7% | |
| 22 | Saxton Hoepker | F | Sr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Wichita St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Wichita St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kenyon Giles | G | Sr | 5'10" | 36-36 | 36.3 | 19.1 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 51.2% | 37.8% | 9.2 | 83.1% | 31.5% | |
| 0 | Karon Boyd | F | Sr | 6'6" | 36-36 | 33.8 | 10.9 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 49.2% | 35.1% | 3.6 | 63.8% | 21.2% | |
| 9 | Michael Gray Jr. | G | Sr | 6'1" | 36-36 | 26.9 | 8.2 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 43.0% | 31.1% | 4.6 | 85.9% | 21.8% | |
| 4 | TJ Williams | G | Fr | 6'5" | 35-16 | 22.0 | 8.7 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 46.8% | 8.3% | 0.3 | 68.3% | 26.4% | |
| 44 | Will Berg | C | Jr | 7'2" | 35-10 | 21.9 | 8.8 | 8.1 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 55.9% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 69.0% | 22.5% | |
| 3 | Dre Kindell | G | Jr | 5'11" | 36-0 | 17.3 | 5.9 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 49.4% | 34.3% | 1.0 | 80.0% | 21.8% | |
| 20 | Emmanuel Okorafor | F | Sr | 6'10" | 36-26 | 16.9 | 6.3 | 5.2 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 57.0% | — | 0.0 | 67.2% | 22.6% | |
| 8 | Dillon Battie | F | So | 6'8" | 31-20 | 17.4 | 7.6 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 56.9% | 18.8% | 0.5 | 61.4% | 24.4% | |
| 5 | Brian Amuneke | G | So | 6'5" | 36-0 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 43.8% | 33.3% | 1.6 | 50.0% | 21.7% | |
| 2 | Jaret Valencia | F | Jr | 6'8" | 11-0 | 13.2 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 33.9% | 27.3% | 1.0 | 58.8% | 18.5% | |
| 22 | Noah Hill | F | Fr | 6'7" | 19-0 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 66.7% | — | 0.0 | 28.6% | 19.9% | |
| 21 | Henry Thengvall | F | Jr | 6'6" | 11-0 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 12.5% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 50.0% | 23.2% | |
| 12 | Joy Ighovodja | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Pierre Couisnard | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Tyrus Rathan-Mayes | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
SE Missouri2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted SE Missouri's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BJ Ward | G | Jr | 6'0" | 33-33 | 30.2 | 10.9 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 46.4% | 35.0% | 4.3 | 81.0% | 24.3% | |
| 44 | Braxton Stacker | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-33 | 28.2 | 11.8 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 48.7% | 31.9% | 4.4 | 80.3% | 24.6% | |
| 10 | Luke Almodovar | G | Jr | 6'3" | 33-23 | 27.0 | 14.1 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 51.5% | 31.6% | 6.3 | 76.0% | 28.8% | |
| 15 | Brendan Terry | F | Sr | 6'7" | 33-24 | 25.1 | 11.3 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 55.8% | 34.6% | 0.8 | 61.5% | 26.6% | |
| 55 | Marqueas Bell | G | Jr | 6'3" | 33-10 | 22.1 | 9.1 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 53.5% | 30.8% | 0.4 | 73.9% | 23.6% | |
| 7 | Landren Blocker | G | So | 6'5" | 33-28 | 17.8 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 54.5% | 41.7% | 0.7 | 48.2% | 18.1% | |
| 4 | Troy Cole Jr. | G | Sr | 6'4" | 33-4 | 13.5 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 43.4% | 7.0% | 1.3 | 68.3% | 21.6% | |
| 18 | David Idada | C | Sr | 7'0" | 33-10 | 10.7 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 54.8% | — | 0.0 | 54.3% | 10.8% | |
| 1 | PJ Farmer | G | Fr | 6'2" | 32-0 | 9.3 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 43.1% | 10.5% | 0.6 | 58.8% | 17.1% | |
| 9 | Blaize Sagna | G | Sr | 6'3" | 27-0 | 8.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 41.9% | 25.0% | 1.0 | 90.0% | 11.7% | |
| 30 | Elliot Lowndes | F | Sr | 7'0" | 32-0 | 7.1 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 58.5% | 34.3% | 1.1 | 50.0% | 19.3% | |
| 25 | Jay Reynolds | G | Fr | 6'3" | 10-0 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 28.9% | 20.0% | 1.5 | 50.0% | 22.8% | |
| 3 | Trace Sadler | F | Fr | 7'1" | 12-0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 85.7% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 10.7% | |
| 22 | Saxton Hoepker | F | Sr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26SE Missouri
Against the spread
Season
13-16-1
Home
5-7
Road
7-7-1
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +0.8
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 4 of 8 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
13-17
Home
6-6
Road
7-8
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −5.5
Under 2 straightOver in 3 of 8 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6 | Morehead St | N | L 61–66 | −4.0 | L−9.0 | 139.5 | U127 | 94.4 | 102.1 | 64.6 |
| Mar 5 | Lindenwood | N | W 68–66 | −3.0 | L−1.0 | 149.0 | U134 | 100.1 | 97.2 | 67.9 |
| Feb 28 | Tennessee Tech | H | W 89–73 | −7.5 | W+8.5 | 142.0 | O162 | 130.8 | 107.3 | 68.1 |
| Feb 26 | Tennessee St | H | L 71–79 | −3.5 | L−11.5 | 152.0 | U150 | 96.4 | 107.3 | 73.6 |
| Feb 21 | Little Rock | A | W 70–65 | −2.5 | W+2.5 | 144.0 | U135 | 102.6 | 95.3 | 68.2 |
| Feb 17 | UT Martin | A | W 56–53 OT | +2.5 | W+5.5 | 138.5 | U109 | 78.4 | 74.2 | 71.5 |
| Feb 14 | Lindenwood | A | W 73–61 | +2.0 | W+14.0 | 156.5 | U134 | 100.8 | 84.2 | 72.4 |
| Feb 12 | SIUE | A | L 56–74 | −1.0 | L−19.0 | 137.5 | U130 | 85.4 | 112.8 | 65.6 |
| Feb 7 | S Indiana | H | W 90–65 | −11.0 | W+14.0 | 140.5 | O155 | 133.2 | 96.2 | 67.6 |
| Feb 5 | Morehead St | H | W 82–70 | −7.5 | W+4.5 | 144.0 | O152 | 117.1 | 99.9 | 70.1 |
Wichita St
Against the spread
Season
23-12
Home
12-5
Road
9-4
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +5.0
Covered 2 straightCovered 3 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 4 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-19
Home
6-11
Road
9-4
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +2.2
Over 2 straightOver in 3 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24 | Tulsa | A | L 79–83 | +4.5 | W+0.5 | 154.0 | O162 | 105.2 | 110.6 | 75.1 |
| Mar 22 | Oklahoma St | A | W 96–70 | +2.5 | W+28.5 | 163.0 | O166 | 130.5 | 95.1 | 73.6 |
| Mar 17 | Wyoming | H | W 74–70 | −5.5 | L−1.5 | 148.0 | U144 | 99.0 | 93.7 | 74.7 |
| Mar 15 | South Florida | N | L 55–70 | +6.0 | L−9.0 | 150.5 | U125 | 80.6 | 102.6 | 68.2 |
| Mar 14 | Tulsa | N | W 81–68 | +1.5 | W+14.5 | 152.0 | U149 | 124.9 | 104.9 | 64.8 |
| Mar 7 | FAU | H | W 88–70 | −8.0 | W+10.0 | 149.0 | O158 | 125.5 | 99.9 | 70.1 |
| Mar 1 | UTSA | A | W 84–67 | −15.5 | W+1.5 | 150.5 | O151 | 120.5 | 96.1 | 69.7 |
| Feb 26 | Memphis | A | W 88–82 | +1.0 | W+7.0 | 149.5 | O170 | 122.4 | 114.1 | 71.9 |
| Feb 21 | Temple | H | W 69–57 | −8.5 | W+3.5 | 143.5 | U126 | 112.4 | 92.8 | 61.4 |
| Feb 18 | East Carolina | A | W 92–89 2OT | −8.0 | L−5.0 | 149.5 | O181 | 104.4 | 101.0 | 88.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeSE MissouriWichita St
Efficiency
105.2
111.1
106.8
103.4
69.4
67.9
—
—
Shooting
49.8%
49.4%
51.8%
49.0%
30.9%
33.5%
69.5%
69.2%
38.8%
36.0%
Ball control & glass
16.9%
14.9%
18.1%
15.7%
29.6%
38.0%
28.2%
28.8%
9.9%
8.7%
9.5%
8.3%
Style
36.0%
33.8%
46.3%
45.1%
14.1%
9.5%
45.7%
41.3%
37.9%
32.4%
Roster
3.25
3.21
6'4.4"
6'4.5"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputSE Missouri
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted SE Missouri's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Wichita St
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Wichita St's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.