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MLB Props

Projection-implied probabilities lined up against posted prop prices.

ET
Hitter Props Board
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The props board compares our projected player distributions against posted player-prop lines across the book universe — hits, home runs, RBIs, strikeouts, and more. Each row shows the model's over/under probability next to the best available price, with the gap made explicit. Prop projections freeze pregame; the board is transparent about which edges the model has historically failed to convert, and those markets are labeled research-only.

What these numbers mean: implied probability · devigging odds · expected value.